Emerson Electric (EMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $135.2 | Market Cap: $76.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Emerson Electric (EMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $135.2Market Cap: $76.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EMR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Emerson Electric (EMR) experienced movement within the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by a combination of financial results, strategic announcements, and market sentiment. While the exact 2.6% movement for this precise period isn't explicitly detailed in the search results, several key events could contribute to stock fluctuations.
1. Emerson's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and 2026 Outlook: On November 5, 2025, Emerson reported its fourth-quarter and fiscal year results, which concluded on September 30, 2025. The company highlighted solid fiscal 2025 performance, marked by continued margin expansion, robust cash generation, and strong execution, with GAAP earnings per share increasing by 15% in Q4 2025 compared to Q4 2024. Despite these positive results, the stock fell 3.8% on November 5 due to lower-than-expected Q4 2025 revenue of $4.86 billion and concerns about choppy demand for automation equipment. The company also provided an initial outlook for 2026, including plans to return approximately $2.2 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
2. Dividend Increase and Share Repurchase Authorization: Emerson announced a 5% quarterly cash dividend increase to $0.555 per share, payable on December 10, 2025. Additionally, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 50 million shares of common stock, signaling confidence in the company's valuation and a commitment to shareholder returns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EMR Return | 9% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 30% | 8% | 99% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 10% | -4% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EMR Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 42% | 33% | 44% | 42% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EMR Max Drawdown | -50% | -3% | -20% | -18% | -6% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -5% | -20% | -5% | -4% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GE, HON, OTIS, AIGO, SONC. See EMR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EMR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 505 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 701 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 647 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GE, HON, OTIS, AIGO, SONC
In The Past
Emerson Electric's stock fell -30.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -30.9% loss requires a 44.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | EMR | Emerson Electric | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 39.0% | 95.0% | -4.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | EMR | Emerson Electric | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 39.0% | 95.0% | -4.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Emerson Electric
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Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
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