Tearsheet

Docusign (DOCU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.81 | Market Cap: $14.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Docusign (DOCU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.81
Market Cap: $14.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.9%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.9%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Identity Management.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DOCU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

While I cannot provide specific reasons for a future stock movement for Docusign (DOCU) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, a general decline in a company's stock price could be attributed to several factors based on historical market trends and company-specific news. Here are five potential key points that could lead to a stock movement similar to the one described, drawing on Docusign's recent performance and analyst outlook.

1. Softening Revenue Growth Projections: Even if current results are strong, a downward revision in future revenue forecasts can negatively impact investor confidence. While Docusign has seen positive revenue growth in recent fiscal quarters, any indication of a significant slowdown in anticipated future growth could lead to a stock price decline. For example, in Q4 Fiscal Year 2026 (announced March 13, 2025), Docusign's revenue forecast for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 and the full fiscal year fell short of expectations, even though Q4 earnings beat estimates.

2. Increased Competition and Market Share Concerns: Despite Docusign's market leadership in e-signatures, intensified competition from rivals like Adobe, Box, and Dropbox could put pressure on its market positioning and financial performance. A perceived erosion of market share or increased pricing challenges in the e-signature market could lead to investor apprehension.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DOCU Return200%-31%-64%7%51%-23%-7%
Peers Return52%20%-10%77%16%-6%220%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOCU Win Rate75%42%25%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%63%40%68%62%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DOCU Max Drawdown-7%-39%-74%-30%-16%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-15%-30%-6%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADBE, PANW, CDNS, FICO, DBX. See DOCU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDOCUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven704.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven350 days120 days

Compare to ADBE, PANW, CDNS, FICO, DBX


In The Past

Docusign's stock fell -87.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -87.6% loss requires a 704.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Docusign (DOCU)

Better Bets than Docusign (DOCU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DOCU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
DOCU_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025DOCUDocusignMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.3%5.3%0.0%
DOCU_2292024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02292024DOCUDocusignMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.8%56.1%-6.6%
DOCU_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022DOCUDocusignDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.8%-11.0%-30.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
DOCU_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025DOCUDocusignMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.3%5.3%0.0%
DOCU_2292024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02292024DOCUDocusignMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.8%56.1%-6.6%
DOCU_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022DOCUDocusignDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.8%-11.0%-30.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Docusign

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DOCUADBEPANWCDNSFICODBXMedian
NameDocusign Adobe Palo Alt.Cadence .Fair Isa.Dropbox  
Mkt Price70.62326.78193.63336.111,762.3529.94260.20
Mkt Cap14.3138.2130.191.142.17.866.6
Rev LTM3,09523,1819,2225,2131,9912,5284,154
Op Inc LTM2458,4021,2431,6409366181,089
FCF LTM9369,5993,4701,4797399161,207
FCF 3Y Avg8017,9253,0671,2226048391,030
CFO LTM1,0409,7923,7161,6177799301,328
CFO 3Y Avg8958,1853,2501,3506278631,122

Growth & Margins

DOCUADBEPANWCDNSFICODBXMedian
NameDocusign Adobe Palo Alt.Cadence .Fair Isa.Dropbox  
Rev Chg LTM8.3%10.7%14.9%19.7%15.9%-0.4%12.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.8%10.5%18.9%15.0%13.1%3.4%11.8%
Rev Chg Q8.8%10.7%15.8%10.1%13.6%-0.7%10.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.6%3.9%2.4%3.2%-0.2%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%36.2%13.5%31.5%47.0%24.4%27.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.7%35.4%9.2%29.8%44.0%19.6%24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.1%2.4%0.8%1.1%1.9%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM33.6%42.2%40.3%31.0%39.1%36.8%38.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.9%39.0%40.4%30.1%35.7%34.3%35.0%
FCF/Rev LTM30.2%41.4%37.6%28.4%37.1%36.2%36.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.7%37.7%38.1%27.2%34.4%33.4%33.9%

Valuation

DOCUADBEPANWCDNSFICODBXMedian
NameDocusign Adobe Palo Alt.Cadence .Fair Isa.Dropbox  
Mkt Cap14.3138.2130.191.142.17.866.6
P/S5.17.114.918.318.03.111.0
P/EBIT54.118.886.160.238.212.846.1
P/E56.223.5121.389.854.915.755.5
P/CFO15.216.737.058.945.98.526.9
Total Yield1.8%4.3%0.8%1.1%1.8%6.4%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%4.0%2.9%1.6%1.8%10.1%3.4%
D/E0.00.00.00.00.10.40.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.0-0.00.10.30.0

Returns

DOCUADBEPANWCDNSFICODBXMedian
NameDocusign Adobe Palo Alt.Cadence .Fair Isa.Dropbox  
1M Rtn-3.3%-3.2%-11.7%0.2%6.8%0.8%-1.5%
3M Rtn-7.0%-6.2%1.1%-3.2%15.9%3.3%-1.1%
6M Rtn-24.7%-21.1%-0.2%14.2%0.4%2.5%0.1%
12M Rtn-12.2%-36.7%-1.4%7.3%-24.9%4.2%-6.8%
3Y Rtn51.5%-4.3%124.3%94.9%183.6%28.3%73.2%
1M Excs Rtn-3.3%-3.1%-11.6%0.2%6.8%0.8%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.7%-10.4%-4.7%-9.1%10.7%-3.6%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-39.5%-35.8%-14.9%-0.6%-14.3%-12.2%-14.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.9%-50.2%-13.7%-4.0%-39.3%-5.3%-19.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-18.6%-73.5%53.2%31.0%127.1%-38.0%6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment2,7622,516   
Professional services and other  707256
Subscription  2,0371,381918
Total2,7622,5162,1071,453974


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment74-97   
Total74-97   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment2,971    
Total2,971    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,797,364
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.4%
Average Daily Volume1,832,460
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.62
Basic Shares Quantity202,644,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025905202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025606202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025318202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241206202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024906202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024607202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024321202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231208202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023327202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022325202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211206202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Thygesen Allan C.President and CEO10022025Sell69.0323,9821,655,47710,510,784Form
1GRAYSON BLAKE JEFFREYChief Financial Officer10022025Sell70.731,751123,8487,809,229Form
2Shaughnessy James PChief Legal Officer10022025Sell70.711,918135,6224,315,007Form
3Chatwani RobertPresident General Mgr, Growth9162025Sell80.301,682135,0655,577,718Form
4Marrs Anna 9162025Sell80.3072858,458867,160Form