Tearsheet

Digimarc (DMRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.9 | Market Cap: $171.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Digimarc (DMRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.9
Market Cap: $171.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.28
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
4   Key risks
DMRC key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate threatening its financial runway, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.28
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
7 Key risks
DMRC key risks include [1] a high cash burn rate threatening its financial runway, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DMRC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Digimarc (DMRC) experienced a stock decline of 8.3% due to several factors, primarily related to its financial performance and strategic challenges highlighted in its Q2 and Q3 2025 earnings reports.



1. Revenue and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Decline in Q2 and Q3 2025. Digimarc reported a significant decrease in total revenue and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In Q2 2025, total revenue decreased to $8.0 million from $10.4 million in Q2 2024, with ARR declining to $15.9 million from $23.9 million in Q2 2024. This was largely due to the expiration of two significant commercial contracts, including a $5.8 million retailer contract in 2024 and a $3.5 million DRS contract in 2025. The trend continued in Q3 2025, with total revenue decreasing to $7.6 million compared to $9.4 million for Q3 2024, and ARR falling to $15.8 million from $18.7 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to the expiration of a commercial contract that contributed $0.8 million in subscription revenue in Q3 2024.

2. Missed Analyst Revenue and Earnings Estimates. Digimarc's financial results for Q3 2025 fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported total revenue of $7.6 million, missing the estimated $7.75 million, and an earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.38, which was below the estimated loss of $0.23 per share. The stock also reacted negatively to the Q2 2025 results, with shares closing down 5.08% on August 14, 2025, reflecting investor concerns over declining revenue.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DMRC Return41%-16%-53%95%4%-78%-76%
Peers Return34%49%-28%-0%30%-18%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DMRC Win Rate58%42%33%58%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%60%31%48%54%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DMRC Max Drawdown-70%-49%-67%-11%-41%-82% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-53%-26%-19%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVY, ZBRA, PI, VRME. See DMRC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDMRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven312.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven260.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven237 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-47.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven420 days1,480 days

Compare to UIS, BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE


In The Past

Digimarc's stock fell -75.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -75.7% loss requires a 312.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Digimarc (DMRC)

Better Bets than Digimarc (DMRC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DMRC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Digimarc

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DMRCAVYZBRAPIVRMEMedian
NameDigimarc Avery De.Zebra Te.Impinj VerifyMe  
Mkt Price7.94183.86254.27166.490.70166.49
Mkt Cap0.214.312.94.90.04.9
Rev LTM348,7705,25536022360
Op Inc LTM-381,122806-2-1-1
FCF LTM-1865379241041
FCF 3Y Avg-2462153721-021
CFO LTM-1785686656156
CFO 3Y Avg-2387261239139

Growth & Margins

DMRCAVYZBRAPIVRMEMedian
NameDigimarc Avery De.Zebra Te.Impinj VerifyMe  
Rev Chg LTM-13.8%1.0%12.9%4.2%-14.2%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.7%-1.4%-2.4%16.1%47.2%4.7%
Rev Chg Q-19.2%1.5%5.2%0.9%-7.4%0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.1%0.4%1.3%0.2%-1.8%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM-112.2%12.8%15.3%-0.5%-3.6%-0.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-123.0%12.1%14.6%-4.8%-7.6%-4.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.5%-0.0%-0.2%0.4%4.6%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-50.5%9.8%16.5%15.6%5.2%9.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-65.1%10.2%12.4%10.5%2.6%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-53.7%7.4%15.1%11.3%1.8%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-67.5%7.2%10.9%5.1%-0.1%5.1%

Valuation

DMRCAVYZBRAPIVRMEMedian
NameDigimarc Avery De.Zebra Te.Impinj VerifyMe  
Mkt Cap0.214.312.94.90.04.9
P/S5.11.42.914.70.52.9
P/EBIT-4.611.618.9-555.2-3.5
P/E-4.718.229.5-427.7-2.4-2.4
P/CFO-10.114.817.494.310.114.8
Total Yield-21.3%7.8%3.4%-0.2%-41.9%-0.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.8%4.2%3.2%-1.0%-1.1%
D/E0.00.30.20.1-0.1
Net D/E-0.00.30.10.0-0.1

Returns

DMRCAVYZBRAPIVRMEMedian
NameDigimarc Avery De.Zebra Te.Impinj VerifyMe  
1M Rtn9.2%8.3%9.3%15.2%-14.5%9.2%
3M Rtn-23.0%12.1%-19.9%-13.1%-13.2%-13.2%
6M Rtn-38.1%6.9%-12.8%59.9%-7.2%-7.2%
12M Rtn-79.3%-1.9%-35.6%12.4%15.4%-1.9%
3Y Rtn-60.0%8.3%2.1%48.9%-36.6%2.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.5%7.5%8.5%14.5%-15.2%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn-27.2%10.7%-22.6%-16.3%-25.3%-22.6%
6M Excs Rtn-50.4%-5.5%-25.2%47.5%-19.5%-19.5%
12M Excs Rtn-88.1%-14.8%-48.1%-0.8%0.5%-14.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-132.6%-60.3%-69.9%-26.1%-106.3%-69.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product digitization solutions35    
Service 15151413
Subscription 15121010
Total3530272423


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product digitization solutions-48    
Total-48    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product digitization solutions-46    
Total-46    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,788,540
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.8%
Average Daily Volume158,570
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.28
Basic Shares Quantity21,709,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20254.2%-11.0%-15.0%
8/14/2025-20.1%-25.4%-9.7%
2/26/2025-43.1%-40.5%-48.7%
11/14/2024-9.8%4.2%17.9%
8/13/2024-16.3%-5.7%-0.4%
2/28/2024-12.3%-19.6%-32.0%
11/6/20232.3%11.2%19.8%
8/2/202322.1%17.9%11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive798
# Negative131112
Median Positive20.4%15.3%18.9%
Median Negative-12.3%-15.3%-16.4%
Max Positive32.2%54.9%57.9%
Max Negative-43.1%-40.5%-48.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120232292024null 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021