Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $263.2 | Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $263.2Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.2% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ZBRA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) stock experienced a decline of over 16% around October 28, 2025, primarily due to investor concerns about the company's forward guidance despite a beat on third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue. This significant drop occurred within the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025.
1. Weak organic growth projections for Q4 2025. Despite reporting strong Q3 2025 results that surpassed analyst expectations, Zebra Technologies' stock was negatively impacted by investor focus on the projected flat organic growth for the fourth quarter of 2025.
2. Uncertain macroeconomic environment. Investors were spooked by the company's cautious outlook, which cited an uncertain macroeconomic picture and uneven demand from customers as factors influencing future performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ZBRA Return | 50% | 55% | -57% | 7% | 41% | -32% | 3% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 14% | -2% | 5% | 3% | -6% | 31% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ZBRA Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 40% | 47% | 42% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ZBRA Max Drawdown | -37% | -2% | -62% | -23% | -12% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -7% | -24% | -15% | -10% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, AVY, IEX, TTC, BRC. See ZBRA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ZBRA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 148 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 792 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HON, AVY, IEX, TTC, BRC
In The Past
Zebra Technologies's stock fell -67.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -67.8% loss requires a 210.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ZBRA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -15.2% |
| 04302025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 3.6% | -8.8% |
| 04302022 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.1% | -22.1% | -38.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -15.2% |
| 04302025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.2% | 3.6% | -8.8% |
| 04302022 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.1% | -22.1% | -38.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Zebra Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 177.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,888 |
| Op Inc LTM | 755 |
| FCF LTM | 618 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 569 |
| CFO LTM | 750 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 643 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.4 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 21.4 |
| P/CFO | 17.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -1.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise Visibility & Mobility (EVM) | 2,933 | 3,944 | 3,976 | 3,063 | 3,006 |
| Asset Intelligence & Tracking (AIT) | 1,651 | 1,837 | 1,657 | 1,392 | 1,479 |
| Corporate | 0 | -6 | -7 | ||
| Total | 4,584 | 5,781 | 5,627 | 4,448 | 4,485 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Intelligence & Tracking (AIT) | 346 | 361 | 382 | 318 | 355 |
| Enterprise Visibility & Mobility (EVM) | 343 | 711 | 750 | 470 | 483 |
| Corporate | -208 | -543 | -153 | -137 | -146 |
| Total | 481 | 529 | 979 | 651 | 692 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |