Avery Dennison (AVY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $183.85 | Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Avery Dennison (AVY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $183.85Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Key risksAVY key risks include [1] high dependency on volatile raw material costs and [2] underwhelming organic revenue growth in its core materials business due to competitive and deflationary pressures. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% |
| Key risksAVY key risks include [1] high dependency on volatile raw material costs and [2] underwhelming organic revenue growth in its core materials business due to competitive and deflationary pressures. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AVY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Earnings Growth: Avery Dennison reported robust earnings growth, with Adjusted EPS increasing by 9% in Q3 2024 and by 19% for the full year 2024.
2. Increased Net Sales and Organic Growth: The company achieved increased net sales, with Q3 2024 net sales up 4% and full-year 2024 net sales rising by 4.7%, alongside positive organic sales growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AVY Return | 21% | 41% | -15% | 14% | -6% | -0% | 55% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 34% | -29% | 1% | 24% | -2% | 36% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AVY Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 67% | 43% | 45% | 55% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AVY Max Drawdown | -40% | -4% | -29% | -12% | -6% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -5% | -39% | -23% | -14% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MMM, ZBRA, SEE, IP, FUL. See AVY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AVY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 212 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 303 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 303.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2559 days | 1480 days |
Compare to JNJ, MMM, SEE, PI, AMCR
In The Past
Avery Dennison's stock fell -32.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -32.6% loss requires a 48.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AVY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Avery Dennison
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 111.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.6 |
| Rev LTM | 7,051 |
| Op Inc LTM | 807 |
| FCF LTM | 519 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 514 |
| CFO LTM | 861 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 748 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.6 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 11.1 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 16.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 5.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Materials Group | 5,968 | 6,632 | 6,206 | ||
| Solutions Group | 2,588 | 2,582 | 2,202 | ||
| Intersegment sales | -193 | -174 | |||
| Industrial and Healthcare Materials | 626 | 674 | |||
| Label and Graphic Materials | 4,715 | 4,746 | |||
| Retail Branding and Information Solutions | 1,631 | 1,650 | |||
| Total | 8,364 | 9,039 | 8,408 | 6,972 | 7,070 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 9.5% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| 7/22/2025 | 1.5% | -2.6% | -2.1% |
| 4/23/2025 | -2.6% | -1.8% | 3.0% |
| 1/30/2025 | -5.4% | -4.3% | -2.6% |
| 10/23/2024 | -2.2% | -2.9% | -6.9% |
| 7/23/2024 | -1.6% | -5.0% | -5.3% |
| 4/24/2024 | 0.5% | 2.8% | 8.5% |
| 1/31/2024 | -0.9% | -1.4% | 7.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -4.3% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -10.7% | -16.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |