Delek US (DK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92 | Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Delek US (DK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.2% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -38% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -59 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Logistics Infrastructure, and Petroleum Products Supply. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 135% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.1% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 121% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include Domestic Petroleum Refining, Midstream & Logistics Infrastructure, and Petroleum Products Supply. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -38% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -59 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 135% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 121% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Delek US (DK) experienced an approximate 39.84% stock increase from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several significant factors.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Delek US reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.13 for the third quarter of 2025, substantially surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.28. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $2.89 billion. This strong financial performance contributed to positive investor sentiment, leading to a pre-market stock increase of 2.96% following the earnings announcement on November 7, 2025.
2. Significant Benefit from Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs). The company recognized a substantial $280.8 million benefit in Q3 2025 related to the reduction in the cost of materials and other expenses, a direct result of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) granting Small Refinery Exemptions for past Renewable Volume Obligation (RVO) compliance periods. Delek US also anticipates receiving approximately $400 million from the monetization of historical SRE grants over the subsequent six to nine months, further enhancing financial prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DK Return | -50% | -7% | 84% | -1% | -25% | 120% | 42% |
| Peers Return | -27% | 39% | 57% | 26% | -12% | 37% | 139% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DK Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 75% | 42% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 62% | 68% | 58% | 40% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DK Max Drawdown | -73% | -13% | 0% | -27% | -38% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -65% | -2% | -4% | -13% | -16% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO, SUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 258 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 284.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 817 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 686.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1515 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO, SUN
In The Past
Delek US's stock fell -46.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -46.7% loss requires a 87.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Delek US Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Delek US Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Delek US (DK) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Delek US (DK) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Delek US Stock Moved: DK Stock Has Gained 198% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 01312025 | DK | Delek US | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 20.1% | 128.3% | -34.3% |
| 04302023 | DK | Delek US | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 18.6% | 40.4% | -9.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 01312025 | DK | Delek US | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 20.1% | 128.3% | -34.3% |
| 04302023 | DK | Delek US | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 18.6% | 40.4% | -9.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Delek US
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 139.85 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.2 |
| Rev LTM | 74,988 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,352 |
| FCF LTM | 1,014 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,760 |
| CFO LTM | 2,288 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,968 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.2 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 22.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 41.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 27.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Spiegel Reuven | EVP, Special Projects | 11132025 | Sell | 41.42 | 17,000 | 704,140 | 1,367,688 | Form |
| 1 | Israel Joseph | EVP | 11132025 | Sell | 41.12 | 20,028 | 823,451 | 2,581,734 | Form |
| 2 | Wright Robert G. | EVP | 11132025 | Sell | 41.46 | 5,643 | 233,970 | 1,711,095 | Form |
| 3 | Yemin Ezra Uzi | 11122025 | Sell | 43.09 | 11,861 | 511,090 | 6,666,844 | Form | |
| 4 | Yemin Ezra Uzi | 10292025 | Sell | 38.08 | 1,581 | 60,204 | 6,343,368 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |