Tearsheet

Ciena (CIEN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $203.78 | Market Cap: $28.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Ciena (CIEN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $203.78
Market Cap: $28.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 167x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 176%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
2  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 114%
3  Key risks
CIEN key risks include [1] its reliance on a limited number of contract manufacturers for production and [2] significant customer concentration with cloud and telecom operators, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 167x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 176%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 114%
5 Key risks
CIEN key risks include [1] its reliance on a limited number of contract manufacturers for production and [2] significant customer concentration with cloud and telecom operators, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CIEN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Ciena (CIEN) stock experienced a significant movement in the approximate time period leading up to December 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations: Ciena reported robust third-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analyst expectations, leading to a notable single-day stock increase of approximately 22%.

2. High Demand for Networking Equipment Driven by AI: The company's strong performance was largely attributed to increased demand for faster networking equipment, particularly from data centers expanding their capacity to support Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CIEN Return24%46%-34%-12%88%147%392%
Peers Return26%44%-23%41%68%92%538%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CIEN Win Rate50%67%33%42%83%83% 
Peers Win Rate57%65%40%62%75%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CIEN Max Drawdown-19%-8%-49%-21%-3%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-9%-36%-12%-9%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, ANET, AVGO, LITE, GLW. See CIEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCIENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven793 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven380 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven856.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4081 days1480 days

Compare to CSCO, LITE, PI, AVT, IRDM


In The Past

Ciena's stock fell -49.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -49.5% loss requires a 98.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ciena (CIEN)

Better Bets than Ciena (CIEN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CIEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
CIEN_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022CIENCienaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.9%-8.0%-22.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
CIEN_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022CIENCienaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.9%-8.0%-22.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ciena

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CIENCSCOANETAVGOLITEGLWMedian
NameCiena Cisco Sy.Arista N.Broadcom Lumentum Corning  
Mkt Price203.9076.00122.36326.02320.2585.42163.13
Mkt Cap20.6300.7153.91,536.922.573.1113.5
Rev LTM4,77057,6968,44859,9261,84214,91511,682
Op Inc LTM31112,9913,62323,366-1042,0002,811
FCF LTM66512,7334,04624,930-881,1622,604
FCF 3Y Avg36813,8792,91120,319-618651,888
CFO LTM80613,7444,14125,4381452,2663,203
CFO 3Y Avg49614,7362,96420,8211232,0682,516

Growth & Margins

CIENCSCOANETAVGOLITEGLWMedian
NameCiena Cisco Sy.Arista N.Broadcom Lumentum Corning  
Rev Chg LTM18.8%8.9%27.8%28.0%33.6%18.3%23.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.4%3.7%29.4%24.0%3.4%1.7%7.0%
Rev Chg Q20.3%7.5%27.5%22.0%58.4%20.9%21.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%1.8%6.3%5.0%12.0%5.0%5.0%
Op Mgn LTM6.5%22.5%42.9%39.0%-5.7%13.4%18.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.7%24.2%40.8%38.4%-14.5%8.9%16.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.4%-0.3%1.5%6.0%1.4%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.9%23.8%49.0%42.4%7.9%15.2%20.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%26.1%41.7%44.6%7.5%15.3%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM13.9%22.1%47.9%41.6%-4.8%7.8%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%24.6%41.0%43.5%-3.8%6.4%16.4%

Valuation

CIENCSCOANETAVGOLITEGLWMedian
NameCiena Cisco Sy.Arista N.Broadcom Lumentum Corning  
Mkt Cap20.6300.7153.91,536.922.573.1113.5
P/S4.35.221.721.76.24.75.7
P/EBIT-21.950.656.5-175.232.932.9
P/E167.229.154.668.6101.751.461.6
P/CFO25.621.944.351.179.131.037.6
Total Yield0.6%5.6%1.8%1.5%1.0%3.4%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.4%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%2.5%3.1%-1.0%2.0%2.5%
D/E-0.10.00.00.30.10.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.10.00.20.10.0

Returns

CIENCSCOANETAVGOLITEGLWMedian
NameCiena Cisco Sy.Arista N.Broadcom Lumentum Corning  
1M Rtn6.3%-2.3%-3.9%-4.9%32.3%5.4%1.5%
3M Rtn49.5%12.9%-14.3%-5.8%96.1%11.5%12.2%
6M Rtn176.2%16.8%35.6%30.3%262.0%70.5%53.0%
12M Rtn131.3%33.2%8.3%37.0%260.2%82.3%59.6%
3Y Rtn321.1%73.5%295.8%517.3%514.8%187.4%308.5%
1M Excs Rtn5.6%-3.0%-4.6%-5.6%31.6%4.6%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn46.4%10.0%-17.9%-6.9%85.4%6.3%8.1%
6M Excs Rtn163.8%4.4%23.2%17.9%249.6%58.1%40.6%
12M Excs Rtn116.2%21.9%-2.2%35.4%233.6%69.7%52.5%
3Y Excs Rtn231.1%-0.1%205.3%448.1%419.7%108.7%218.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Networking Platforms3,4932,7782,8252,815
Global Services520501489457
Platform Software and Services304277230198
Blue Planet Automation Software and Services69777763
Total4,3873,6333,6213,532


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Networking Platforms779572851827
Global Services196211199203
Platform Software and Services187175137106
Acquisition and integration costs-3-1-3-4
Significant asset impairments and restructuring costs-24-34-30-23
Blue Planet Automation Software and Services-34-22-1-12
Amortization of intangible assets-37-33-24-23
General and administrative-215-179-182-170
Selling and marketing-491-467-452-416
Total358223495487


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,406,321
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.8%
Average Daily Volume4,061,820
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.58
Basic Shares Quantity141,573,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/11/20259.2%  
9/4/202523.3%37.0%61.0%
6/5/2025-12.9%-13.9%-6.2%
3/11/2025-2.4%0.2%-17.5%
12/12/202415.4%14.6%14.0%
9/4/2024-0.8%-4.6%19.3%
6/6/20240.7%1.1%-0.3%
3/7/2024-14.7%-16.8%-23.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121111
# Negative121313
Median Positive8.3%10.4%11.9%
Median Negative-7.3%-9.6%-9.5%
Max Positive23.3%37.0%61.0%
Max Negative-24.3%-32.4%-33.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251212202510-K 11/1/2025
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025312202510-Q 2/1/2025
103120241220202410-K 11/2/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/27/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/27/2024
1312024307202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231215202310-K 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023308202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221216202210-K 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022309202210-Q 1/29/2022