Tearsheet

Chemung Financial (CHMG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.575 | Market Cap: $282.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Chemung Financial (CHMG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.575
Market Cap: $282.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -109%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Key risks
CHMG key risks include [1] a high concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -109%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%
8 Key risks
CHMG key risks include [1] a high concentration in commercial real estate loans, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHMG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide an explanation for Chemung Financial (CHMG) stock movement during the period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as this timeframe is in the future, and I do not have access to future market data or events.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHMG Return-17%41%2%12%1%24%66%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHMG Win Rate50%67%42%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHMG Max Drawdown-45%-1%-11%-25%-20%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHMGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven559 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven354 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2173 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-54.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1476 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Chemung Financial's stock fell -35.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -35.0% loss requires a 53.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Chemung Financial (CHMG)

Better Bets than Chemung Financial (CHMG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Chemung Financial Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHMG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chemung Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHMGNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameChemung .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price59.6212.0823.7117.2714.7215.8616.56
Mkt Cap0.30.30.20.30.177.50.3
Rev LTM892696396279,60092
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM32-520193593,66626
FCF 3Y Avg29-22916-51,96816
CFO LTM35-519203994,04028
CFO 3Y Avg31-22818-52,18818

Growth & Margins

CHMGNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameChemung .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-5.2%21.8%18.0%-10.2%22.3%18.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%31.6%0.3%-1.2%62.1%1.2%
Rev Chg Q19.0%20.7%22.9%26.1%20.2%30.2%21.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%4.7%5.2%6.3%4.8%7.1%5.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM39.7%-193.4%31.5%41.2%34.3%42.1%37.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.7%-91.8%31.1%-20.2%21.7%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM36.3%-193.4%30.8%36.8%32.1%38.2%34.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.8%-91.9%27.1%-18.9%18.7%18.9%

Valuation

CHMGNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameChemung .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.30.30.20.30.177.50.3
P/S3.21.12.92.94.08.13.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E21.34.911.2-54.116.030.613.6
P/CFO8.0-0.69.17.011.819.28.5
Total Yield6.9%20.2%12.9%-1.8%7.5%3.3%7.2%
Dividend Yield2.2%0.0%4.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.3%-76.1%-----31.4%
D/E0.22.6--0.0-0.2
Net D/E-1.11.8---1.2--1.1

Returns

CHMGNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameChemung .NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn18.1%23.4%14.5%15.6%3.2%1.7%15.0%
3M Rtn13.6%2.2%17.2%9.7%13.5%-0.6%11.6%
6M Rtn27.7%19.4%40.0%--29.6%28.6%
12M Rtn14.1%-2.1%49.7%--35.6%24.8%
3Y Rtn46.7%-21.9%21.2%--306.7%33.9%
1M Excs Rtn17.3%22.7%13.8%14.9%2.5%0.9%14.3%
3M Excs Rtn9.4%-3.3%14.5%7.1%11.7%-2.2%8.3%
6M Excs Rtn15.3%7.0%27.6%--17.2%16.3%
12M Excs Rtn1.9%-19.5%37.0%--21.8%11.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.3%-87.9%-50.4%--226.1%-37.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Core banking8784777471
Wealth Management Group (WMG)101011910
Holding Company, and CFS Group, Inc. (CFS)21110
Inter-Segment Eliminations-1    
Total9996898481


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Core banking2126231714
Wealth Management Group (WMG)33322
Holding Company, and CFS Group, Inc. (CFS)1-0-0-0-1
Inter-Segment Eliminations0    
Total2529261916


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Core banking2,6902,6352,4112,2721,780
Holding Company, and CFS Group, Inc. (CFS)1978444
Wealth Management Group (WMG)33333
Inter-Segment Eliminations-179    
Total2,7112,6462,4182,2791,788


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,488
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.6%
Average Daily Volume7,340
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.34
Basic Shares Quantity4,740,092
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20252.4%2.5%0.2%
7/17/2025-1.7%-0.8%-4.4%
4/18/20250.4%3.0%14.0%
1/28/202514.6%7.6%9.1%
10/22/2024-0.0%-0.2%6.1%
7/18/2024-2.6%-3.4%-10.2%
4/18/202410.3%10.3%10.1%
1/25/20240.6%-6.9%-13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161116
# Negative8138
Median Positive1.5%5.0%6.5%
Median Negative-1.1%-0.8%-5.8%
Max Positive14.6%10.3%17.8%
Max Negative-6.5%-6.9%-15.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022322202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021323202210-K 12/31/2021