Tearsheet

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $38.07 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $38.07
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 496%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 19x
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
3  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
5  Key risks
BEPC key risks include [1] its high debt load and vulnerability to interest rate changes, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
1 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 496%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 19x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
6 Key risks
BEPC key risks include [1] its high debt load and vulnerability to interest rate changes, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BEPC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement of Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) by 14.2% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments and positive market sentiment.

1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Google Partnership: Brookfield Renewable reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with Funds From Operations (FFO) increasing by 10% year-over-year to $371 million, or $0.56 per unit. This performance was driven by robust operating results across its diverse portfolio. A significant catalyst was the signing of a Hydro Framework Agreement with Google to deliver up to 3,000 MW of hydroelectric capacity in the U.S., positioning Brookfield Renewable as a preferred partner for major technology companies seeking clean power solutions.

2. Positive Analyst Ratings and Price Target Increases: Throughout the period, multiple analyst firms maintained favorable ratings and raised price targets for BEPC. For instance, on October 22, 2025, Barclays maintained an "Equal-Weight" rating but increased its price target to $35.00, a 12.90% increase from the prior target. JPMorgan also raised its price target for BEPC on October 16, 2025, from $41.00 to $44.00, and on September 19, 2025, from $39.00 to $41.00. Morgan Stanley also raised its price target on August 26, 2025, from $38.00 to $39.00. These consistent upgrades signal increasing confidence from financial institutions in the company's future performance and valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BEPC Return42%
Peers Return18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BEPC Win Rate67% 
Peers Win Rate55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BEPC Max Drawdown-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORA, STEM, AGIG, BEPC, CWEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BEPC has limited trading history. Below is the Utilities sector ETF (XLU) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,058 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brookfield Renewable (BEPC)

Better Bets than Brookfield Renewable (BEPC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BEPC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brookfield Renewable

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BEPCORASTEMAGIGCWENMedian
NameBrookfie.Ormat Te.Stem Abundia .Clearway. 
Mkt Price38.13110.7916.681.7232.6432.64
Mkt Cap6.86.70.1-3.95.3
Rev LTM3,777944165-1,3751,160
Op Inc LTM888179-94-172176
FCF LTM-749-214-24-440-119
FCF 3Y Avg30-237-107-451-39
CFO LTM352389-16-703370
CFO 3Y Avg1,027342-94-721531

Growth & Margins

BEPCORASTEMAGIGCWENMedian
NameBrookfie.Ormat Te.Stem Abundia .Clearway. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.5%6.1%-35.6%-0.8%-4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.8%9.5%-2.0%-3.5%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-10.6%17.9%30.5%--11.7%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%4.2%5.7%--4.0%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM23.5%19.0%-57.3%-12.5%15.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.8%20.5%-55.1%-17.7%19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.3%20.9%--3.9%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM9.3%41.2%-9.7%-51.1%25.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.8%38.7%-24.4%-53.1%32.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-19.8%-22.6%-14.8%-32.0%-17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.6%-27.8%-29.1%-33.2%-13.6%

Valuation

BEPCORASTEMAGIGCWENMedian
NameBrookfie.Ormat Te.Stem Abundia .Clearway. 
Mkt Cap6.86.70.1-3.95.3
P/S1.87.10.8-2.82.3
P/EBIT5.526.61.1-18.011.8
P/E-7.850.51.4-14.07.7
P/CFO19.517.3-8.7-5.511.4
Total Yield-12.8%2.4%73.4%-16.3%9.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%0.0%-9.1%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.0%-714.2%-15.0%-5.0%
D/E5.20.42.3-2.42.3
Net D/E5.00.42.0-2.32.2

Returns

BEPCORASTEMAGIGCWENMedian
NameBrookfie.Ormat Te.Stem Abundia .Clearway. 
1M Rtn-6.7%2.1%16.5%-43.0%-7.3%-6.7%
3M Rtn14.0%19.9%-7.8%-73.9%17.7%14.0%
6M Rtn23.8%31.9%3,888.5%-88.4%5.9%23.8%
12M Rtn-65.0%157.6%-85.7%32.7%48.9%
3Y Rtn-29.8%-91.3%-95.2%21.7%-34.8%
1M Excs Rtn-11.2%-1.2%5.4%-68.1%-11.1%-11.1%
3M Excs Rtn10.5%17.6%-19.0%-75.8%13.8%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn7.9%14.8%110.8%-104.2%-7.2%7.9%
12M Excs Rtn-42.9%116.0%-99.7%19.5%31.2%
3Y Excs Rtn--45.8%-163.9%-166.5%-55.9%-109.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Attributable to non-controlling interests and other26,39223,36822,32721,82023,459
Hydroelectric15,89915,60415,10812,41411,197
Wind2,9861,5951,7002,329672
Utility-scale Solar2,6041,4471,7311,867 
Distributed energy & sustainable solutions1,3701,138 1,207633
Corporate3923071790
Contribution from equity-accounted investments-222-171-176-173-204
Distributed generation, storage & other  1,279  
Total49,42143,28841,98639,47335,757


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,362,415
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.4%
Average Daily Volume1,386,933
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.87
Basic Shares Quantity179,605,290
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202580120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550220256-K 3/31/2025
12312024228202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202480520246-K 6/30/2024
331202450320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023301202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110620236-K 9/30/2023
630202380420236-K 6/30/2023
331202350820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022301202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110420226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202250620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021301202220-F 12/31/2021