Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 242%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 242%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance in Q3 2025. AngloGold Ashanti reported a significant increase in its net profit and revenue for the third quarter of 2025. The company's net profit surged to $669 million, with revenues rising by 61% year-over-year. This strong performance was underscored by a record free cash flow of $920 million, a 141% increase from the previous year, and headline earnings climbing by 185% to $672 million.

2. Sustained Higher Gold Prices. The company benefited from a substantial increase in the average realized gold price, which jumped 40% to $3,490 per ounce, significantly boosting margins. The broader gold market experienced multiple price surges throughout 2024 and 2025, with some experts anticipating prices to reach $4,000 per ounce. This favorable market condition for gold prices played a crucial role in AngloGold Ashanti's improved profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AU Return2%-16%0%1%25%282%313%
Peers Return51%-14%-2%-8%24%140%246%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AU Win Rate42%42%0%17%67%80% 
Peers Win Rate38%33%45%45%52%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AU Max Drawdown-37%-33%0%-19%-14%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-24%-21%-26%-15%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven976 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1598 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven165 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven267.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven720 days1480 days

Compare to FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Anglogold Ashanti's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/19/2021. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Anglogold Ashanti (AU)

Better Bets than Anglogold Ashanti (AU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Anglogold Ashanti

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AUFNVIDRPLGNEMAEMMedian
NameAnglogol.Franco-N.Idaho St.Platinum.Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price83.55202.4538.762.4989.65169.1886.60
Mkt Cap42.339.00.50.398.385.040.7
Rev LTM7,6491,54630021,50310,5684,598
Op Inc LTM2,7931,0698-49,3595,2231,931
FCF LTM1,786-8564-56,1223,645895
FCF 3Y Avg818-162-62,6362,041410
CFO LTM3,0391,31012-39,2245,8372,175
CFO 3Y Avg1,8911,0566-35,6163,8831,474

Growth & Margins

AUFNVIDRPLGNEMAEMMedian
NameAnglogol.Franco-N.Idaho St.Platinum.Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM54.6%41.1%59.6%-26.6%35.2%41.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.4%7.7%54.8%-23.9%26.0%26.0%
Rev Chg Q77.0%76.9%54.7%-20.0%41.9%54.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.2%15.9%12.3%-4.5%9.4%12.3%
Op Mgn LTM36.5%69.1%27.6%-43.5%49.4%43.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.0%64.1%15.2%-23.9%36.0%23.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.7%0.8%-1.6%-4.5%3.6%3.6%
CFO/Rev LTM39.7%84.7%38.0%-42.9%55.2%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.2%81.3%26.3%-32.6%45.6%32.6%
FCF/Rev LTM23.3%-55.4%13.3%-28.5%34.5%23.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%4.6%5.9%-13.8%22.7%12.7%

Valuation

AUFNVIDRPLGNEMAEMMedian
NameAnglogol.Franco-N.Idaho St.Platinum.Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap42.339.00.50.398.385.040.7
P/S3.027.86.0-4.38.06.0
P/EBIT7.636.720.7-37.08.916.212.5
P/E12.846.720.6-40.212.924.616.7
P/CFO7.632.815.8-55.310.014.512.3
Total Yield11.3%2.4%4.8%-2.5%9.0%4.9%4.9%
Dividend Yield3.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%0.4%0.9%-4.0%3.6%3.9%2.2%
D/E0.10.00.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

AUFNVIDRPLGNEMAEMMedian
NameAnglogol.Franco-N.Idaho St.Platinum.Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn25.9%7.8%20.3%19.7%10.2%4.3%14.9%
3M Rtn42.3%6.8%37.2%48.2%19.6%14.0%28.4%
6M Rtn85.7%14.8%179.7%56.6%63.2%37.6%59.9%
12M Rtn241.8%66.7%206.2%40.7%119.3%99.3%109.3%
3Y Rtn382.4%43.6%540.7%34.6%102.1%250.1%176.1%
1M Excs Rtn25.9%7.8%20.4%19.7%10.2%4.4%15.0%
3M Excs Rtn40.3%1.2%32.1%48.4%14.7%8.9%23.4%
6M Excs Rtn71.0%0.1%164.9%41.9%48.5%22.8%45.2%
12M Excs Rtn238.4%53.2%202.9%30.4%103.8%89.4%96.6%
3Y Excs Rtn309.6%-22.8%520.6%-21.9%49.2%204.6%126.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gold income4,4804,3883,9034,3223,439
By-products10211312610586
Total4,5824,5014,0294,4273,525


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,588,068
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202529.3%
Average Daily Volume3,109,975
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.76
Basic Shares Quantity506,818,182
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024415202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480620246-K 6/30/2024
12312023425202420-F 12/31/2023
630202380420236-K 6/30/2023
331202362320236-K 3/31/2023
12312022317202320-F 12/31/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
12312021330202220-F 12/31/2021
630202180620216-K 6/30/2021
331202151020216-K 3/31/2021
12312020326202120-F 12/31/2020
630202080720206-K 6/30/2020
331202060520206-K 3/31/2020