Anglogold Ashanti (AU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $84.67 | Market Cap: $42.9 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Anglogold Ashanti (AU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $84.67Market Cap: $42.9 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 268% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% | Key risksAU key risks include [1] significant jurisdictional and regulatory exposure from its substantial production concentration in Africa and [2] challenges in managing the high operational costs and resource conversion targets within these regions. | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.6% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.5 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 268% |
| Key risksAU key risks include [1] significant jurisdictional and regulatory exposure from its substantial production concentration in Africa and [2] challenges in managing the high operational costs and resource conversion targets within these regions. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Key points for Anglogold Ashanti (AU) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Operational and Financial Performance in Q3 2025: AngloGold Ashanti demonstrated robust performance in the third quarter of 2025, reporting a significant 17% year-on-year increase in gold production to 768,000 ounces. The company also saw its adjusted EBITDA surge by 109% year-on-year to $1.6 billion, while free cash flow rose substantially by 141% to $920 million. This strong operational execution and improved financial health were key contributors to the stock's positive momentum.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AU Return | 2% | -16% | 0% | 1% | 25% | 282% | 313% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | -8% | 24% | 162% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AU Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | 45% | 45% | 52% | 73% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AU Max Drawdown | -37% | -33% | 0% | -19% | -14% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -26% | -15% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 976 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1598 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 720 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Anglogold Ashanti's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/19/2021. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Anglogold Ashanti Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| Time To Buy Anglogold Ashanti Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Stacking Up AU Against Its Peers - Is It Still a Buy? | |||
| AU Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why AEM, AU Could Outperform Royal Gold Stock | December 10th, 2025 | ||
| Pan American Silver vs Anglogold Ashanti: Which Stock Could Rally? | December 5th, 2025 | ||
| Why AU Could Outperform Agnico Eagle Mines Stock | November 21st, 2025 | ||
| AEM, AU Look Smarter Buy Than Franco-Nevada Stock | October 30th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Anglogold Ashanti
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 92.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,061 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,242 |
| FCF LTM | 1,263 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 537 |
| CFO LTM | 2,581 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,621 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 41.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 62.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 43.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.9 |
| P/S | 8.0 |
| P/EBIT | 26.4 |
| P/E | 20.2 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 69.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 130.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 192.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 28.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 57.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 116.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 122.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4252024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6232023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8062021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
| 3312021 | 5102021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 3262021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 6302020 | 8072020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
External Quote Links
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