Anglogold Ashanti (AU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.53 | Market Cap: $41.8 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Anglogold Ashanti (AU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.53Market Cap: $41.8 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 242% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 242% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Financial Performance in Q3 2025. AngloGold Ashanti reported a significant increase in its net profit and revenue for the third quarter of 2025. The company's net profit surged to $669 million, with revenues rising by 61% year-over-year. This strong performance was underscored by a record free cash flow of $920 million, a 141% increase from the previous year, and headline earnings climbing by 185% to $672 million.
2. Sustained Higher Gold Prices. The company benefited from a substantial increase in the average realized gold price, which jumped 40% to $3,490 per ounce, significantly boosting margins. The broader gold market experienced multiple price surges throughout 2024 and 2025, with some experts anticipating prices to reach $4,000 per ounce. This favorable market condition for gold prices played a crucial role in AngloGold Ashanti's improved profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AU Return | 2% | -16% | 0% | 1% | 25% | 282% | 313% |
| Peers Return | 51% | -14% | -2% | -8% | 24% | 140% | 246% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AU Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 33% | 45% | 45% | 52% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AU Max Drawdown | -37% | -33% | 0% | -19% | -14% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -24% | -21% | -26% | -15% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 976 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1598 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 720 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FNV, IDR, PLG, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Anglogold Ashanti's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/19/2021. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Anglogold Ashanti Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti Stock Surges 25% In A Single Month, Time To Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Stacking Up AU Against Its Peers - Is It Still a Buy? | |||
| AU Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Anglogold Ashanti (AU) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why AU Could Outperform Agnico Eagle Mines Stock | November 21st, 2025 | ||
| AEM, AU Look Smarter Buy Than Franco-Nevada Stock | October 30th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 9th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Franco-Nevada Stock: Pay Less To Get More From AEM, AU | October 2nd, 2025 | ||
| PAAS’s One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate AU | September 27th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Anglogold Ashanti
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.60 |
| Mkt Cap | 40.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4,598 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,931 |
| FCF LTM | 895 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 410 |
| CFO LTM | 2,175 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,474 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 41.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 54.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 43.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 40.7 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 16.7 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 28.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 59.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 109.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 176.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 45.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 96.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 126.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4252024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6232023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8062021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
| 3312021 | 5102021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 3262021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 6302020 | 8072020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
| 3312020 | 6052020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |