Tearsheet

Aspen Aerogels (ASPN)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $7.49 | Market Cap: $615.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Aspen Aerogels (ASPN)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $7.49
Market Cap: $615.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -34%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -56%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -34%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -56%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ASPN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASPN Return115%198%-76%34%-25%-38%5%
Peers Return16%31%-40%47%58%-6%101%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASPN Win Rate67%75%25%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%52%35%57%60%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASPN Max Drawdown-36%-5%-83%-53%-31%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-9%-50%-21%-12%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARLO, TILE, SWIM, APOG, NX. See ASPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASPNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1055.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven184 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-70.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven235.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven169 days120 days

Compare to ARLO, TILE, SWIM, APOG, NX


In The Past

Aspen Aerogels's stock fell -91.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -91.3% loss requires a 1055.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aspen Aerogels (ASPN)

Better Bets than Aspen Aerogels (ASPN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%-0.9%-3.5%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.8%-0.8%-8.2%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.1%-0.1%-0.6%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.9%-7.9%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.9%-0.9%-3.5%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.8%-0.8%-8.2%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.1%-0.1%-0.6%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.9%-7.9%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aspen Aerogels

Financials

ASPNARLOTILESWIMAPOGNXMedian
NameAspen Ae.Arlo Tec.InterfaceLatham Apogee E.Quanex B. 
Mkt Price7.4117.7126.126.9535.4413.3815.55
Mkt Cap0.61.81.50.80.80.60.8
Rev LTM3975081,3725331,3921,840953
Op Inc LTM31-1115828697850
FCF LTM-35711724672742
FCF 3Y Avg-15733116551157766
CFO LTM586515746988273
CFO 3Y Avg-193814682157120101

Growth & Margins

ASPNARLOTILESWIMAPOGNXMedian
NameAspen Ae.Arlo Tec.InterfaceLatham Apogee E.Quanex B. 
Rev Chg LTM11.2%-1.7%5.1%4.1%1.2%70.2%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg43.1%0.8%1.8%-9.3%0.1%19.9%1.3%
Rev Chg Q-33.7%1.5%5.9%7.6%4.6%76.7%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-9.1%0.4%1.5%2.2%1.1%13.2%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM7.7%-2.2%11.5%5.3%4.9%4.3%5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.3%-6.6%9.7%3.5%8.3%7.2%5.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.7%2.9%0.7%1.4%-1.2%0.0%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.6%12.8%11.4%8.7%7.1%4.5%10.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.6%7.4%11.1%14.9%11.3%9.8%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%11.2%8.6%4.5%4.8%1.5%4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-71.3%6.5%8.8%10.1%8.2%6.6%7.4%

Valuation

ASPNARLOTILESWIMAPOGNXMedian
NameAspen Ae.Arlo Tec.InterfaceLatham Apogee E.Quanex B. 
Mkt Cap0.61.81.50.80.80.60.8
P/S1.53.61.11.50.50.31.3
P/EBIT-2.0-167.39.827.110.4-2.63.9
P/E-2.0-262.413.4-73.417.1-2.2-2.1
P/CFO10.528.49.717.57.77.410.1
Total Yield-51.2%-0.4%7.6%-1.4%8.8%-44.0%-0.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%2.9%2.5%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-23.1%2.2%12.6%11.6%9.7%8.7%9.2%
D/E0.30.00.30.40.41.40.3
Net D/E0.0-0.10.10.30.41.30.2

Returns

ASPNARLOTILESWIMAPOGNXMedian
NameAspen Ae.Arlo Tec.InterfaceLatham Apogee E.Quanex B. 
1M Rtn-14.8%3.1%-4.1%-6.3%-18.4%-7.9%-7.1%
3M Rtn-10.1%10.0%1.7%-5.3%-13.8%-29.8%-7.7%
6M Rtn30.2%70.3%31.7%16.4%-6.7%-18.3%23.3%
12M Rtn-60.0%58.5%8.5%5.6%-54.4%-54.4%-24.4%
3Y Rtn-41.4%276.8%158.0%60.9%-16.6%-36.7%22.1%
1M Excs Rtn-9.3%3.6%-4.2%-7.3%-18.0%-8.2%-7.8%
3M Excs Rtn-9.3%0.6%-2.1%-12.1%-21.4%-38.9%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn9.5%49.6%11.0%-4.3%-27.4%-39.0%2.6%
12M Excs Rtn-77.6%53.6%-6.0%-11.2%-70.7%-71.8%-41.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.1%168.4%57.6%-18.3%-93.3%-112.7%-55.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Energy industrial129125115  
Thermal barrier110567  
Product revenue   90120
Research services   02
Subsea projects   1017
Total239180122100139


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Energy industrial341914  
Thermal barrier23-14-5  
Corporate expenses-106-84-51  
Total-49-79-41  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Construction in progress315    
All other corporate assets177    
Thermal barrier119    
Energy industrial93    
Total703    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,579,892
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-16.6%
Average Daily Volume2,313,675
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.71
Basic Shares Quantity82,179,136
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2025-8.1%-9.3%-19.8%
5/8/2025-24.3%0.7%5.8%
2/12/2025-23.4%-30.6%-37.2%
10/16/202413.2%-9.1%-30.7%
8/7/202416.0%27.7%28.5%
5/1/202456.7%75.0%96.6%
1/11/2024-4.2%-14.8%-16.4%
11/1/202311.3%25.8%43.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141115
# Negative9128
Median Positive11.2%13.9%20.2%
Median Negative-8.1%-7.9%-19.3%
Max Positive56.7%75.0%96.6%
Max Negative-24.3%-30.6%-40.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Daniel Santhosh PChief Accounting Officer8132025Sell7.314,41032,237145,315Form
1Young Donald RPresident and CEO5122025Buy5.3520,000107,0002,947,080Form