Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 559%
3   Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 12/18/2024.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 559%
7 Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 12/18/2024.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SEZL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Sezzle (SEZL) experienced a significant stock movement, with shares falling approximately 33.7% around August 8, 2025, following the release of its second-quarter earnings. Several factors contributed to this decline.

1. Slower Revenue Growth Than Anticipated: While Sezzle reported strong Q2 2025 revenue of $98.7 million, exceeding analyst estimates, the growth rate of 76% year-over-year was slower than the triple-digit percentage increases seen in the previous quarter. This deceleration in revenue growth likely disappointed investors who had become accustomed to higher growth rates.

2. Decelerating Growth Guidance: The company's updated guidance for the full fiscal year 2025 projected total revenue growth of 60-65%, indicating a slowdown in the second half of the year. This forecasted deceleration in growth may have caused investors to re-evaluate the stock's future potential.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SEZL Return----1147%41%1652%
Peers Return1%28%-19%13%20%7%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SEZL Win Rate---50%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate46%54%29%38%44%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SEZL Max Drawdown-----20%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-6%-24%-18%-9%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SEZL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sezzle (SEZL)

Better Bets than Sezzle (SEZL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SEZL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sezzle

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SEZLPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameSezzle PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Mkt Price64.4417.09-2.02368.13227.2464.44
Mkt Cap2.20.7--254.7145.273.7
Rev LTM4191,142-470,42848,2311,142
Op Inc LTM139207----173
FCF LTM54-62-618,94420,84554
FCF 3Y Avg22-69--016,90421,06322
CFO LTM57-58-621,13922,33557
CFO 3Y Avg24-65--018,80122,25924

Growth & Margins

SEZLPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameSezzle PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Rev Chg LTM88.7%15.8%-76.6%9.1%25.4%25.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.2%-0.3%11.6%13.4%8.4%
Rev Chg Q67.0%1.4%-250.4%10.8%54.4%54.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.6%0.4%-49.0%2.6%12.7%12.6%
Op Mgn LTM33.1%18.1%----25.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.7%10.4%----14.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.8%-----0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%-5.0%-158.3%30.0%46.3%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%-6.4%--15.0%29.2%55.1%6.2%
FCF/Rev LTM12.9%-5.4%-158.3%26.9%43.2%26.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%-6.9%--15.0%26.3%52.2%5.5%

Valuation

SEZLPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameSezzle PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
Mkt Cap2.20.7--254.7145.273.7
P/S6.50.5--3.32.83.0
P/EBIT19.52.5----11.0
P/E23.46.3--21.896.022.6
P/CFO47.9-10.1--10.96.18.5
Total Yield4.3%15.8%--4.6%2.0%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.9%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.0%-9.7%--10.7%36.3%5.4%
D/E0.06.3--0.30.40.3
Net D/E0.05.9--0.0-0.10.0

Returns

SEZLPRAAGFCXSUIGAXPCOFMedian
NameSezzle PRA GoodFait.Sui American.Capital . 
1M Rtn0.5%16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%1.8%
3M Rtn-26.8%1.2%--67.1%14.0%3.1%1.2%
6M Rtn-46.2%18.8%--25.0%18.6%18.7%
12M Rtn0.7%-16.6%--23.2%23.0%11.9%
3Y Rtn--50.5%--143.8%145.0%143.8%
1M Excs Rtn0.6%16.7%--29.1%1.8%2.9%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-29.4%-4.6%--72.5%6.3%-4.6%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn-60.9%4.0%--10.3%3.9%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-22.4%-32.9%--8.6%6.3%-8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--121.8%--80.5%67.6%67.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,241,615
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202523.7%
Average Daily Volume1,238,864
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.42
Basic Shares Quantity34,048,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Paradis PaulDirector & President9112025Sell88.673,000266,01020,660,110Form
1Paradis PaulDirector & President9042025Sell91.533,000274,59021,601,080Form
2Paradis PaulDirector & President8272025Sell92.243,000276,72022,045,360Form
3Krause JustinSVP FINANCE AND CONTROLLER8272025Sell94.153,661344,6938,801,950Form
4Paradis PaulDirector & President8192025Sell91.623,000274,86022,172,040Form