Sezzle (SEZL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.52 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Sezzle (SEZL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.52Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 559% | |
| Short seller reportHindenburg Research report on 12/18/2024. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 89% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 559% |
| Short seller reportHindenburg Research report on 12/18/2024. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SEZL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Sezzle (SEZL) experienced a significant stock movement, with shares falling approximately 33.7% around August 8, 2025, following the release of its second-quarter earnings. Several factors contributed to this decline.
1. Slower Revenue Growth Than Anticipated: While Sezzle reported strong Q2 2025 revenue of $98.7 million, exceeding analyst estimates, the growth rate of 76% year-over-year was slower than the triple-digit percentage increases seen in the previous quarter. This deceleration in revenue growth likely disappointed investors who had become accustomed to higher growth rates.
2. Decelerating Growth Guidance: The company's updated guidance for the full fiscal year 2025 projected total revenue growth of 60-65%, indicating a slowdown in the second half of the year. This forecasted deceleration in growth may have caused investors to re-evaluate the stock's future potential.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SEZL Return | - | - | - | - | 1147% | 41% | 1652% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 28% | -19% | 13% | 20% | 7% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SEZL Win Rate | - | - | - | 50% | 75% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 54% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SEZL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -20% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -6% | -24% | -18% | -9% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SEZL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4470 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is Sezzle Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Sezzle Stock with -44% Return (vs. 105% YTD) [8/11/2025] | Notification | ||
| Why Sezzle Stock Moved: SEZL Stock Has Gained 1652% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| SEZL Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Sezzle (SEZL) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sezzle (SEZL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sezzle (SEZL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sezzle (SEZL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sezzle (SEZL) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| SEZL Stock Down -44% after 5-Day Loss Streak | August 12th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: LZ, ASTH, GCT | Losers: TTD, SEZL, BLND | August 9th, 2025 | ||
| SEZL Fell 22% In A Week. Just a Blip, or the Start? | July 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SEZL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sezzle
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 73.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,142 |
| Op Inc LTM | 173 |
| FCF LTM | 54 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 22 |
| CFO LTM | 57 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 24 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 54.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 73.7 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 11.0 |
| P/E | 22.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 143.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 67.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Paradis Paul | Director & President | 9112025 | Sell | 88.67 | 3,000 | 266,010 | 20,660,110 | Form |
| 1 | Paradis Paul | Director & President | 9042025 | Sell | 91.53 | 3,000 | 274,590 | 21,601,080 | Form |
| 2 | Paradis Paul | Director & President | 8272025 | Sell | 92.24 | 3,000 | 276,720 | 22,045,360 | Form |
| 3 | Krause Justin | SVP FINANCE AND CONTROLLER | 8272025 | Sell | 94.15 | 3,661 | 344,693 | 8,801,950 | Form |
| 4 | Paradis Paul | Director & President | 8192025 | Sell | 91.62 | 3,000 | 274,860 | 22,172,040 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |