Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 77%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 77%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BFH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Bread Financial (BFH) experienced an upward stock movement of over 8% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This positive trend can be attributed to several key developments: 1. Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. stock hit a 52-week high of $71.32 USD on December 3, 2025. This milestone was supported by a significant 16.45% increase over the past year and a 34.24% surge over the preceding six months, indicating strong performance and investor confidence. InvestingPro analysis also suggested the stock appeared undervalued with a P/E ratio of 7.29 at this time.

2. The company reported improved credit performance metrics for October 2025. The net loss rate decreased to 7.5% from 7.9% year-over-year, and net principal losses fell from $120 million to $112 million. Additionally, an update for August 2025 highlighted a slight decrease in both net loss and delinquency rates, signaling improved financial health.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BFH Return-33%11%-42%-11%89%15%-16%
Peers Return-1%26%-10%48%29%-10%94%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BFH Win Rate42%50%42%58%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%44%33%40%50%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BFH Max Drawdown-80%-9%-55%-37%-11%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-4%-16%-1%-10%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LRN, YELP, GFCX, SUIG, AXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBFHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven328.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven404.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven362 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven239.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven728 days1480 days

Compare to LRN, YELP, GFCX, SUIG, AXP


In The Past

Bread Financial's stock fell -76.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -76.7% loss requires a 328.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bread Financial (BFH)

Better Bets than Bread Financial (BFH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BFH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Bread Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BFHLRNYELPGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameBread Fi.Stride Yelp GoodFait.Sui American. 
Mkt Price71.2461.2130.13-2.02368.1361.21
Mkt Cap3.32.71.9--254.73.0
Rev LTM3,7952,4751,467-470,4282,475
Op Inc LTM-441189---315
FCF LTM2,003312311-618,944312
FCF 3Y Avg1,946223271--016,904271
CFO LTM2,003379359-621,139379
CFO 3Y Avg1,956287308--018,801308

Growth & Margins

BFHLRNYELPGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameBread Fi.Stride Yelp GoodFait.Sui American. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.4%17.3%5.3%-76.6%9.1%9.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%13.1%8.3%-0.3%11.6%8.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%12.7%4.4%-250.4%10.8%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%2.9%1.1%-49.0%2.6%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-17.8%12.9%---15.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.1%9.5%---11.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.3%---0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM52.8%15.3%24.4%-158.3%30.0%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg49.0%13.1%22.1%--15.0%29.2%22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM52.8%12.6%21.2%-158.3%26.9%26.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg48.7%10.1%19.4%--15.0%26.3%19.4%

Valuation

BFHLRNYELPGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameBread Fi.Stride Yelp GoodFait.Sui American. 
Mkt Cap3.32.71.9--254.73.0
P/S0.72.61.3--3.32.0
P/EBIT-15.310.4---12.8
P/E5.520.513.1--21.816.8
P/CFO1.317.05.5--10.98.2
Total Yield19.8%4.9%7.6%--4.6%6.3%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg89.8%6.1%11.8%--10.7%11.2%
D/E1.50.10.0--0.30.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.2--0.0-0.0

Returns

BFHLRNYELPGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameBread Fi.Stride Yelp GoodFait.Sui American. 
1M Rtn12.0%-14.6%-8.9%--29.1%1.8%-8.9%
3M Rtn8.5%-61.7%-4.4%--67.1%14.0%-4.4%
6M Rtn43.6%-57.4%-19.5%--25.0%2.7%
12M Rtn18.2%-44.4%-21.4%--23.2%-1.6%
3Y Rtn88.7%77.9%-0.3%--143.8%83.3%
1M Excs Rtn12.0%-14.6%-8.8%--29.1%1.8%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn1.4%-67.6%-10.3%--72.5%6.3%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn28.9%-72.1%-34.3%--10.3%-12.0%
12M Excs Rtn9.4%-56.3%-34.7%--8.6%-13.1%
3Y Excs Rtn24.2%-2.6%-69.7%--80.5%10.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment4,2953,8703,2703,284 
Card Services    4,548
Corporate/Other    0
LoyaltyOne    1,033
Total4,2953,8703,2703,2845,581


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,398,731
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.4%
Average Daily Volume658,032
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.20
Basic Shares Quantity46,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021