Tearsheet

Abacus Global Management (ABL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.86 | Market Cap: $658.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance

Abacus Global Management (ABL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.86
Market Cap: $658.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Life & Health Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ABL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Abacus Global Management (ABL) experienced a stock movement of -1.1% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Several factors contributed to this slight decline amidst a period that also included positive company developments: 1. 1. Stock volatility and valuation concerns entering the period. Despite reporting strong Q2 2025 results on August 7, 2025, which included nearly doubled revenue year-over-year and raised full-year guidance, the stock had already experienced a significant decline from earlier highs, indicating a "disconnect between operational performance and market valuation" and overall stock volatility. 2. 2. Sequential decline in GAAP net income in Q3 2025. While Abacus Global Management reported robust Q3 2025 results with a 124% year-over-year revenue increase and a 60% rise in adjusted net income, the GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was $7.1 million, which was a sequential decrease compared to Q2 2025. This was primarily due to higher interest expenses and operating costs, which may have tempered investor enthusiasm despite otherwise strong performance metrics. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABL Return--3%3%-5%-19%-15%-35%
Peers Return-7%26%8%11%24%3%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABL Win Rate67%58%92%58%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate42%55%45%48%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABL Max Drawdown--4%-0%-43%-22%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-2%-10%-13%-3%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventABLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven28 days148 days

Compare to OSG, MFC, AFL, MET, PRU


In The Past

Abacus Global Management's stock fell -47.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2023. A -47.7% loss requires a 91.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Abacus Global Management (ABL)

Better Bets than Abacus Global Management (ABL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Abacus Global Management

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABLOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAbacus G.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Mkt Price6.868.8435.10109.0477.51109.5756.31
Mkt Cap0.7-60.057.851.538.951.5
Rev LTM19725047,46217,96270,76057,92632,712
Op Inc LTM47-----47
FCF LTM-111-12728,6082,57314,6275,2743,924
FCF 3Y Avg-92-123,4243,05713,5455,7814,419
CFO LTM-110-12728,6082,57314,6275,2743,924
CFO 3Y Avg-91-123,4243,05713,5455,7814,419

Growth & Margins

ABLOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAbacus G.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Rev Chg LTM91.9%143.9%10.0%3.0%0.2%-21.0%6.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-253.2%1.5%-3.5%1.3%1.9%1.5%
Rev Chg Q123.7%-4.9%21.7%57.9%-7.7%-8.2%8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.5%-1.3%6.1%10.8%-2.0%-2.7%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM23.7%-----23.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg33.9%-----33.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.7%-----4.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-56.1%-51.0%60.3%14.3%20.7%9.1%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-80.4%309.5%54.5%16.8%19.6%9.4%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-56.6%-51.0%60.3%14.3%20.7%9.1%11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-80.8%309.5%54.5%16.8%19.6%9.4%18.2%

Valuation

ABLOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAbacus G.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
Mkt Cap0.7-60.057.851.538.951.5
P/S2.8-1.23.30.80.61.2
P/EBIT9.3-6.111.29.2-9.2
P/E49.8-9.014.214.314.114.2
P/CFO-5.0-1.923.03.77.03.7
Total Yield2.0%-17.0%9.0%9.8%12.3%9.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%-5.9%2.0%2.8%5.2%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.1%-51.2%5.7%25.3%15.0%15.0%
D/E0.8-0.20.10.40.60.4
Net D/E0.6--0.2-1.1-1.7-1.3-1.1

Returns

ABLOSGMFCAFLMETPRUMedian
NameAbacus G.Octave S.Manulife.Aflac MetLife Prudenti. 
1M Rtn36.8%-7.2%2.5%-2.1%6.1%6.1%
3M Rtn3.4%-16.3%2.7%-3.1%3.3%3.3%
6M Rtn17.8%-12.0%7.2%-0.2%8.3%8.3%
12M Rtn-11.1%-13.9%4.4%-7.0%-9.4%-7.0%
3Y Rtn-29.9%-122.8%61.0%10.6%18.1%18.1%
1M Excs Rtn36.8%-7.3%2.5%-2.1%6.1%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn3.1%-9.2%-4.4%-9.8%-3.3%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn3.1%--2.7%-7.5%-14.9%-6.4%-6.4%
12M Excs Rtn-27.1%-0.2%-15.8%-23.2%-24.5%-23.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-102.8%-58.3%-8.7%-60.5%-52.3%-52.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,947,889
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume974,092
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.13
Basic Shares Quantity95,956,504
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
33120237252023S-1 3/31/2023
123120229182023S-1 12/31/2022
1231202110142022PREM14A 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McNealy SeanCo-Founder and President6052025Buy5.7786,207497,75971,919,252Form
1Kirby Kevin ScottCo-Founder and President6052025Buy5.7786,207497,75971,871,374Form
2McCauley William Hugh JRChief Financial Officer6052025Buy5.8233,000192,156506,592Form
3McNealy SeanCo-Founder and President12202024Sell8.0075,800606,40098,892,000Form
4Ganovsky MatthewCo-Founder and President12202024Sell8.0075,800606,40080,113,232Form