Blackstone (BX)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $151.58 | Market Cap: $118.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Blackstone (BX)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $151.58Market Cap: $118.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, Blackstone (BX) experienced a stock decline of -10.9% due to several key factors.
1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report: While Blackstone reported strong distributable earnings of $1.9 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.52, surpassing analyst consensus estimates, the company's revenue of $3.09 billion fell short of the forecasted $3.2 billion. This revenue miss likely contributed to investor concern despite the positive EPS.
2. Immediate Negative Stock Reaction to Q3 Earnings: Following the release of its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 23, 2025, Blackstone's stock reacted negatively, dropping by approximately 4.87% in pre-market trading to $161.07. The stock price change of -4.40% directly reflected the market's response to the earnings results.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BX Return | 20% | 107% | -40% | 83% | 35% | -9% | 233% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 39% | -18% | 13% | 33% | 15% | 126% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BX Win Rate | 42% | 83% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 45% | 47% | 72% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BX Max Drawdown | -35% | -5% | -42% | 0% | -11% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -4% | -37% | -13% | -4% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, BK, AMP, STT, TROW. See BX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 625 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -30.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -89.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 805.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1838 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BLK, BK, AMP, STT, TROW
In The Past
Blackstone's stock fell -51.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -51.5% loss requires a 106.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Blackstone
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 136.63 |
| Mkt Cap | 63.8 |
| Rev LTM | 15,668 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,077 |
| FCF LTM | 3,016 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,865 |
| CFO LTM | 3,802 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,099 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 34.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 63.8 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 11.0 |
| P/E | 15.2 |
| P/CFO | 17.7 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 69.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private Equity | 3,428 | 3,159 | 4,402 | 2,219 | 1,624 |
| Real Estate | 3,390 | 6,835 | 5,064 | 2,789 | 2,575 |
| Credit & Insurance | 2,242 | 1,863 | 1,202 | 684 | 674 |
| Multi-Asset Investing | 635 | 733 | 996 | 822 | 708 |
| Interest and Dividend Revenue | 536 | 285 | 163 | 130 | 193 |
| Impact of Consolidation | 200 | 109 | 1,198 | 234 | 88 |
| Intersegment Eliminations | -3 | -3 | -4 | -6 | -10 |
| Transaction-Related and Non-Recurring Items | -26 | 25 | -1 | -30 | 168 |
| Net Gains from Fund Investment Activities | -57 | -105 | 462 | 31 | 283 |
| Other Revenue | -93 | 184 | 203 | -254 | 79 |
| Unrealized Principal Investment (Income) Loss | -593 | -1,236 | 680 | -102 | 113 |
| Unrealized Performance Revenues | -1,692 | -3,437 | 8,675 | -385 | 1,127 |
| Amortization of Intangibles | -2 | -2 | |||
| Total | 7,966 | 8,413 | 23,039 | 6,132 | 7,621 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private Equity | 14,902 | 14,142 | 15,243 | 10,138 | 9,008 |
| Real Estate | 13,017 | 14,638 | 14,866 | 8,562 | 9,023 |
| Credit & Insurance | 6,706 | 6,346 | 6,522 | 3,722 | 4,009 |
| Impact of Consolidation | 3,844 | 4,576 | 1,773 | 1,374 | 8,307 |
| Multi-Asset Investing | 1,820 | 2,822 | 2,792 | 2,472 | 2,238 |
| Total | 40,288 | 42,524 | 41,196 | 26,269 | 32,586 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |