Tearsheet

Blackstone (BX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $139.99 | Market Cap: $109.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Blackstone (BX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $139.99
Market Cap: $109.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.6x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.6x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

BX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss

Blackstone reported total revenue of $3.09 billion for the third quarter of 2025, which fell short of analyst forecasts of $3.2 billion. This figure also represented a 15.7% decline from the $3.663 billion reported in the same quarter of the previous year. This revenue miss contributed to investor concerns and a negative market reaction.

2. Significant GAAP Net Income Miss

Despite exceeding distributable earnings (DE) expectations, Blackstone's Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) net income for Q3 2025 stood at $624.9 million, or $0.80 per diluted share. This was a substantial miss compared to analyst GAAP EPS estimates, which had ranged from $1.23, and a decrease from $780.84 million, or $1.02 per share, reported in Q3 2024. This divergence between adjusted and GAAP metrics fueled investor unease and contributed to the stock's decline.

3. Decline in Operating Margin

The company's operating margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 44.6%, a notable decrease from 57.4% in the comparable quarter of the previous year. This decline signals pressure on profitability due to higher-than-anticipated expenses.

4. Major Insider Selling Activities

Several significant insider selling transactions occurred during this period. Joseph Baratta, a Director, sold 113,000 shares for approximately $19.85 million on September 25, 2025, and an additional 100,000 shares for about $16.74 million on August 5, 2025. Vikrant Sawhney, the Chief Administrative Officer, also sold 50,850 shares totaling approximately $8.83 million on August 14, 2025. Such substantial insider sales can sometimes be interpreted by the market as a lack of confidence in the company's short-term prospects.

5. Increased Investor Sensitivity to Core Profitability

The market demonstrated an increased focus on core profitability metrics and the sustainability of investment returns for private equity firms. Despite Blackstone's strong fundraising capabilities and robust distributable earnings, the significant miss on GAAP net income in Q3 2025 triggered a negative market reaction, indicating that investors are increasingly scrutinizing traditional accounting metrics rather than solely adjusted figures.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BX Return20%107%-40%83%35%-17%206%
Peers Return15%39%-18%13%33%12%121%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BX Win Rate42%83%42%67%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%67%45%47%72%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BX Max Drawdown-35%-5%-42%0%-11%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-4%-37%-13%-4%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, BK, AMP, STT, TROW. See BX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven625 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven125 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven805.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1838 days1480 days

Compare to BLK, BK, AMP, STT, TROW


In The Past

Blackstone's stock fell -51.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -51.5% loss requires a 106.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blackstone (BX)

Better Bets than Blackstone (BX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.5%-0.5%-2.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.0%13.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.5%-0.5%-2.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.0%13.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blackstone

Financials

BXBLKBKAMPSTTTROWMedian
NameBlacksto.BlackRockBank of .Ameripri.State St.T. Rowe . 
Mkt Price139.531,069.65111.04459.42118.28103.72128.91
Mkt Cap109.2165.779.444.733.522.862.1
Rev LTM11,37622,88518,93017,62713,7107,20515,668
Op Inc LTM-7,721---2,4335,077
FCF LTM3,6523,9332,3806,700-6,6111,1703,016
FCF 3Y Avg3,8073,9224,0055,596-2,1211,1813,865
CFO LTM3,7574,2683,8476,881-5,5741,4903,802
CFO 3Y Avg3,9504,2485,2865,773-1,2091,5144,099

Growth & Margins

BXBLKBKAMPSTTTROWMedian
NameBlacksto.BlackRockBank of .Ameripri.State St.T. Rowe . 
Rev Chg LTM21.9%18.2%7.0%8.3%9.2%4.3%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%7.5%6.0%8.7%4.5%1.6%6.8%
Rev Chg Q-6.9%25.2%9.2%3.7%11.5%6.0%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%6.1%2.2%0.9%2.8%1.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-33.7%---33.8%33.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.3%---33.0%34.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.9%---0.1%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM33.0%18.6%20.3%39.0%-40.7%20.7%20.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.5%21.5%30.3%35.3%-8.0%22.1%26.2%
FCF/Rev LTM32.1%17.2%12.6%38.0%-48.2%16.2%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg41.8%19.9%23.1%34.2%-15.1%17.3%21.5%

Valuation

BXBLKBKAMPSTTTROWMedian
NameBlacksto.BlackRockBank of .Ameripri.State St.T. Rowe . 
Mkt Cap109.2165.779.444.733.522.862.1
P/S9.67.24.22.52.43.23.7
P/EBIT-18.9-10.3-9.410.3
P/E40.327.215.913.911.210.914.9
P/CFO29.138.820.66.5-6.015.318.0
Total Yield7.5%5.7%8.0%8.5%8.9%14.2%8.3%
Dividend Yield5.0%2.0%1.8%1.3%0.0%5.0%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%3.0%10.2%12.7%-5.5%5.0%4.3%
D/E0.10.10.50.11.00.00.1
Net D/E0.10.0-2.1-0.9-3.2-0.1-0.5

Returns

BXBLKBKAMPSTTTROWMedian
NameBlacksto.BlackRockBank of .Ameripri.State St.T. Rowe . 
1M Rtn-14.2%-10.4%4.2%-5.2%2.5%-2.3%-3.8%
3M Rtn-19.4%-7.4%8.0%-10.3%4.9%-3.7%-5.6%
6M Rtn-3.5%9.9%25.5%-11.0%22.2%9.0%9.4%
12M Rtn-20.8%5.9%46.2%-16.9%28.2%-8.0%-1.1%
3Y Rtn50.6%55.5%177.8%49.6%65.8%-5.1%53.1%
1M Excs Rtn-15.1%-12.1%1.4%-5.2%0.3%-2.9%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-22.4%-9.8%6.0%-12.8%2.8%-6.4%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-17.4%-4.0%11.6%-24.8%8.3%-4.9%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-33.7%-8.7%32.0%-29.8%14.1%-19.8%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.6%-8.1%107.5%-26.3%-4.0%-66.8%-9.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Private Equity3,4283,1594,4022,2191,624
Real Estate3,3906,8355,0642,7892,575
Credit & Insurance2,2421,8631,202684674
Multi-Asset Investing635733996822708
Interest and Dividend Revenue536285163130193
Impact of Consolidation2001091,19823488
Intersegment Eliminations-3-3-4-6-10
Transaction-Related and Non-Recurring Items-2625-1-30168
Net Gains from Fund Investment Activities-57-10546231283
Other Revenue-93184203-25479
Unrealized Principal Investment (Income) Loss-593-1,236680-102113
Unrealized Performance Revenues-1,692-3,4378,675-3851,127
Amortization of Intangibles   -2-2
Total7,9668,41323,0396,1327,621


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Private Equity14,90214,14215,24310,1389,008
Real Estate13,01714,63814,8668,5629,023
Credit & Insurance6,7066,3466,5223,7224,009
Impact of Consolidation3,8444,5761,7731,3748,307
Multi-Asset Investing1,8202,8222,7922,4722,238
Total40,28842,52441,19626,26932,586


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,964,769
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202525.9%
Average Daily Volume4,525,842
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.31
Basic Shares Quantity782,633,394
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-4.2%-7.1% 
7/24/20253.6%2.0%-4.4%
4/17/20250.8%4.0%14.2%
1/30/2025-4.1%-5.7%-12.3%
10/17/20246.3%4.5%14.0%
7/18/20241.2%2.1%1.6%
4/18/2024-2.3%0.5%4.5%
1/25/20242.4%3.2%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121616
# Negative1288
Median Positive3.4%5.1%7.2%
Median Negative-3.1%-6.4%-9.8%
Max Positive6.8%23.8%17.7%
Max Negative-7.9%-10.7%-13.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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