Tearsheet

Blackstone (BX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $153.17 | Market Cap: $119.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Blackstone (BX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $153.17
Market Cap: $119.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  Key risks
BX key risks include [1] challenges to its extensive real estate holdings and debt investments, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.5%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9%
7 Key risks
BX key risks include [1] challenges to its extensive real estate holdings and debt investments, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Blackstone (BX) stock moved by approximately -9.8% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Lower-than-Expected Q3 2025 Revenue.
Blackstone reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 23, 2025. While the company surpassed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, it missed revenue expectations, reporting $3.09 billion against a forecast of $3.2 billion. This revenue miss led to a negative market reaction, with Blackstone's stock dropping between 4.4% and 4.87% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

2. Analyst Price Target Adjustments.
Following the Q3 2025 earnings report, several analysts adjusted their price targets for Blackstone. For instance, on October 24, 2025, JP Morgan analyst Kenneth Worthington lowered the price target slightly from $177 to $176, and Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish maintained an "Equal-Weight" rating while lowering the price target from $171 to $165. These downward adjustments by some firms, even if overall consensus remained positive, reflected a tempered outlook and contributed to the stock's negative performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BX Return20%107%-40%83%35%-9%234%
Peers Return60%56%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BX Win Rate42%83%42%67%75%42% 
Peers Win Rate67%72%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BX Max Drawdown-35%-5%-42%0%-11%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KKR, APO, CG, ARES, BAM. See BX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven625 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven125 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven805.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1838 days1480 days

Compare to BLK, BK, AMP, STT, TROW


In The Past

Blackstone's stock fell -51.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -51.5% loss requires a 106.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blackstone (BX)

Better Bets than Blackstone (BX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blackstone

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BXKKRAPOCGARESBAMMedian
NameBlacksto.KKR Apollo A.Carlyle Ares Man.Brookfie. 
Mkt Price153.19132.15146.4058.02168.5151.70139.28
Mkt Cap119.9117.778.520.937.191.885.2
Rev LTM11,37616,72327,4682,9885,3569138,366
Op Inc LTM-4268,075-915435675
FCF LTM3,6525,0862,573-2,5174,4936903,112
FCF 3Y Avg3,8073,1614,539-9911,965632,563
CFO LTM3,7575,2662,573-2,4334,5586903,165
CFO 3Y Avg3,9503,2964,539-9192,039642,667

Growth & Margins

BXKKRAPOCGARESBAMMedian
NameBlacksto.KKR Apollo A.Carlyle Ares Man.Brookfie. 
Rev Chg LTM21.9%-26.7%-13.8%32.4%45.5%-70.6%4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.7%44.5%89.3%-4.3%17.6%-17.6%
Rev Chg Q-6.9%15.5%26.4%-55.7%46.7%7.3%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%4.6%8.1%-19.4%10.9%9.3%6.3%
Op Mgn LTM-2.5%29.4%-17.1%47.6%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%25.5%-21.9%-21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.7%1.2%--0.3%4.7%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM33.0%31.5%9.4%-81.4%85.1%75.6%32.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.5%13.3%15.9%-31.8%42.6%-15.9%
FCF/Rev LTM32.1%30.4%9.4%-84.2%83.9%75.6%31.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg41.8%12.5%15.9%-34.7%40.7%-15.9%

Valuation

BXKKRAPOCGARESBAMMedian
NameBlacksto.KKR Apollo A.Carlyle Ares Man.Brookfie. 
Mkt Cap119.9117.778.520.937.191.885.2
P/S11.86.92.97.66.6100.67.2
P/EBIT-12.5--15.2-13.8
P/E49.449.318.334.154.193.149.3
P/CFO35.622.030.5-9.37.7133.126.3
Total Yield6.1%2.6%7.0%5.2%6.5%2.0%5.7%
Dividend Yield4.1%0.6%1.5%2.2%4.7%1.0%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%1.6%--4.9%5.8%-2.6%
D/E0.10.5-0.60.4-0.4
Net D/E0.1-0.7-0.40.3-0.2

Returns

BXKKRAPOCGARESBAMMedian
NameBlacksto.KKR Apollo A.Carlyle Ares Man.Brookfie. 
1M Rtn10.7%15.9%17.7%12.9%19.4%5.5%14.4%
3M Rtn-15.8%-8.3%5.9%-13.6%-5.2%-11.1%-9.7%
6M Rtn13.1%8.3%10.8%24.8%2.0%-3.9%9.5%
12M Rtn-13.8%-12.1%-15.8%15.0%-2.9%-7.8%-10.0%
3Y Rtn122.5%190.3%146.6%117.9%169.3%111.8%134.5%
1M Excs Rtn9.9%15.2%17.0%12.2%18.7%4.8%13.7%
3M Excs Rtn-19.4%-12.7%1.1%-17.1%-8.9%-14.3%-13.5%
6M Excs Rtn0.7%-4.1%-1.5%12.4%-10.4%-16.3%-2.8%
12M Excs Rtn-27.3%-25.0%-26.9%2.1%-15.7%-18.2%-21.6%
3Y Excs Rtn34.9%111.4%72.1%44.3%91.8%8.8%58.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Private Equity3,4283,1594,4022,2191,624
Real Estate3,3906,8355,0642,7892,575
Credit & Insurance2,2421,8631,202684674
Multi-Asset Investing635733996822708
Interest and Dividend Revenue536285163130193
Impact of Consolidation2001091,19823488
Intersegment Eliminations-3-3-4-6-10
Transaction-Related and Non-Recurring Items-2625-1-30168
Net Gains from Fund Investment Activities-57-10546231283
Other Revenue-93184203-25479
Unrealized Principal Investment (Income) Loss-593-1,236680-102113
Unrealized Performance Revenues-1,692-3,4378,675-3851,127
Amortization of Intangibles   -2-2
Total7,9668,41323,0396,1327,621


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Private Equity14,90214,14215,24310,1389,008
Real Estate13,01714,63814,8668,5629,023
Credit & Insurance6,7066,3466,5223,7224,009
Impact of Consolidation3,8444,5761,7731,3748,307
Multi-Asset Investing1,8202,8222,7922,4722,238
Total40,28842,52441,19626,26932,586


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,571,138
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-15.1%
Average Daily Volume4,201,989
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.52
Basic Shares Quantity782,633,394
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-4.2%-7.1%-13.6%
7/24/20253.6%2.0%-4.4%
4/17/20250.8%4.0%14.2%
1/30/2025-4.1%-5.7%-12.3%
10/17/20246.3%4.5%14.0%
7/18/20241.2%2.1%1.6%
4/18/2024-2.3%0.5%4.5%
1/25/20242.4%3.2%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121616
# Negative1288
Median Positive3.4%5.1%7.2%
Median Negative-3.1%-6.4%-10.9%
Max Positive6.8%23.8%17.7%
Max Negative-7.9%-10.7%-13.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Porat Ruth 11132025Buy143.4011716,8055,573,926Form
1BREYER JAMES 11052025Buy142.893,700528,6938,388,500Form