Apollo Asset Management (APO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $146.46 | Market Cap: $86.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Apollo Asset Management (APO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $146.46Market Cap: $86.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.21 | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Key risksAPO key risks include [1] regulatory and capital adequacy challenges within its Athene insurance subsidiary, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.21 |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Key risksAPO key risks include [1] regulatory and capital adequacy challenges within its Athene insurance subsidiary, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
APO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Apollo Global Management reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations.** The company announced Q3 results on November 4, 2025, highlighting a 23% increase in Fee Related Earnings to $652 million and a 19% rise in total adjusted net income to $1,357 million. Additionally, total Assets Under Management (AUM) reached $840 billion, driven by $82 billion in inflows during the quarter.
**2. Apollo-managed funds agreed to acquire a majority stake in Prosol Group, a leading French fresh food retailer.** This acquisition, announced on December 16, 2025, demonstrates Apollo's continued expansion and strategic investments in promising sectors, with plans to support Prosol's growth in France and internationally.
**3. Apollo Global Management is reportedly exploring the potential sale of its aviation business, Atlas Air Worldwide.** Reports on December 16, 2025, indicated that Apollo aims to position Atlas Air Worldwide with a valuation exceeding $12 billion, which could unlock significant value and optimize its investment portfolio.
**4. Positive analyst sentiment and ratings contributed to investor confidence.** Citi maintained a "Buy" rating on Apollo Global Management with a price target of $150.00 on October 21, 2025. UBS also initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a price target of $186.00, citing accelerating fee-related earnings growth.
**5. Continued robust growth in alternative asset management and retirement services.** Apollo is recognized as a global leader in these segments, with its products and services experiencing increasing demand, supported by favorable regulatory changes. The company's fee-earning AUM was $685.0 billion at the end of September 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| APO Return | 8% | 53% | -10% | 49% | 80% | -10% | 263% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | 66% | 47% | 0% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| APO Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 75% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 63% | 72% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| APO Max Drawdown | -49% | -6% | -35% | -11% | -2% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -3% | -6% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BX, KKR, ARES, CG, BAM. See APO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | APO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 392 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 74 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 120 days |
Compare to ET, KKR, ARES, IBKR, BLKS
In The Past
Apollo Asset Management's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/25/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 70.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to APO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Apollo Asset Management
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 139.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 85.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8,366 |
| Op Inc LTM | 675 |
| FCF LTM | 3,112 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,563 |
| CFO LTM | 3,165 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,667 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 85.2 |
| P/S | 7.2 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 49.3 |
| P/CFO | 26.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 134.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 58.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.8% |
| 8/5/2025 | 2.5% | 0.1% | -6.3% |
| 5/2/2025 | -1.8% | -3.4% | -5.0% |
| 2/4/2025 | -2.7% | -3.0% | -15.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | 7.1% | 19.6% | 25.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | -7.5% | -17.7% | -9.2% |
| 5/2/2024 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% |
| 2/8/2024 | 1.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -4.2% | -9.2% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 19.6% | 25.7% |
| Max Negative | -7.5% | -17.7% | -18.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |