Apollo Asset Management (APO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $134.51 | Market Cap: $78.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Apollo Asset Management (APO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $134.51Market Cap: $78.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
APO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Apollo Global Management reported robust earnings per share for Q3 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. However, the company's revenue significantly missed forecasts, posting $1.15 billion against an anticipated $5.07 billion. This substantial revenue shortfall likely influenced negative market sentiment despite the strong profitability. 2. Projected Revenue Decline: Analysts forecast a significant decline in Apollo's revenue, expected to decrease by 64.7% per annum over the next three years. This outlook on top-line growth could be a factor contributing to investor caution, despite projections for annual earnings growth.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| APO Return | 8% | 53% | -10% | 49% | 80% | -19% | 226% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 59% | -1% | 51% | 75% | 3% | 400% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| APO Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 75% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 62% | 52% | 62% | 79% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| APO Max Drawdown | -49% | -6% | -35% | -11% | -2% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -4% | -27% | -1% | -2% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, KKR, ARES, IBKR, BLKS. See APO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | APO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 392 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 74 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 120 days |
Compare to ET, KKR, ARES, IBKR, BLKS
In The Past
Apollo Asset Management's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/25/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 70.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to APO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Apollo Asset Management
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retirement Services | 29,137 | 8,199 | 0 | ||
| Asset Management | 3,507 | 2,769 | 5,951 | ||
| Adjustments related to consolidated funds and VIEs | -78 | -13 | |||
| Credit Segment | 1,062 | 844 | |||
| Equity awards granted by unconsolidated related parties, reimbursable expenses and other | 118 | 103 | |||
| Performance fees | 316 | 1,037 | |||
| Principal investment income (loss) | 89 | 170 | |||
| Private Equity Segment | 631 | 595 | |||
| Real Assets Segment | 216 | 196 | |||
| Total | 32,644 | 10,968 | 5,951 | 2,354 | 2,932 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retirement Services | 294,730 | ||||
| Principal Investing | 9,573 | ||||
| Adjustments | 7,247 | 14,988 | 1,205 | ||
| Asset Management | 1,938 | ||||
| Credit Segment | 4,711 | 3,134 | |||
| Private Equity Segment | 3,245 | 3,297 | |||
| Real Assets Segment | 726 | 907 | |||
| Total | 313,488 | 23,669 | 8,542 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |