Tearsheet

Blue Owl Capital (OWL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.045 | Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Blue Owl Capital (OWL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.045
Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 218x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
 
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 10%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 10%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 218x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OWL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, the specific -14.2% stock movement and its causal factors for Blue Owl Capital (OWL) during this exact period cannot be identified from current available historical data. However, based on information leading up to and within late 2025, several key events and analyst perspectives regarding Blue Owl Capital have been noted. Here are points highlighting significant developments for Blue Owl Capital (OWL) around the most recent available information:

1. Strong fundraising in evergreen non-traded products. Blue Owl Capital reported an estimated $4.3 billion in evergreen non-traded fundraising from October 1 to December 1, 2025, including a $1.7 billion first close for a digital infrastructure-focused evergreen vehicle. This indicates continued growth in its permanent capital strategies.

2. Executives and employees demonstrate confidence through share purchases. Co-Chief Executive Officer Marc S. Lipschultz purchased shares totaling $2.38 million in early December 2025. Additionally, other executives and employees have purchased over $200 million in company shares, including approximately $70 million in Class A common stock, reflecting strong internal confidence. Co-CEO Douglas I. Ostrover also reported open-market purchases of Class A shares through a trust in early December 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OWL Return-33%-26%47%62%-33%56%
Peers Return27%61%-20%31%34%-9%160%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OWL Win Rate 50%50%58%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%71%46%58%65%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OWL Max Drawdown--14%-41%-5%-2%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-3%-37%-13%-7%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LPLA, TW, CG, MORN, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOWLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven489 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-5.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1 days148 days

Compare to LPLA, TW, CG, MORN, BLKS


In The Past

Blue Owl Capital's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blue Owl Capital (OWL)

Better Bets than Blue Owl Capital (OWL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OWL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
OWL_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025OWLBlue Owl CapitalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-16.5%-23.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
OWL_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025OWLBlue Owl CapitalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-16.5%-23.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blue Owl Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OWLLPLATWCGMORNBLKSMedian
NameBlue Owl.LPL Fina.Tradeweb.Carlyle Mornings.Black Un. 
Mkt Price15.66361.23108.0655.79217.87-108.06
Mkt Cap10.428.923.120.19.2-20.1
Rev LTM2,74614,1261,9952,9882,395-2,746
Op Inc LTM4281,816811-471-641
FCF LTM1,149-5987-2,517394-394
FCF 3Y Avg969631810-991332-631
CFO LTM1,1975641,094-2,433539-564
CFO 3Y Avg1,0331,090888-919466-888

Growth & Margins

OWLLPLATWCGMORNBLKSMedian
NameBlue Owl.LPL Fina.Tradeweb.Carlyle Mornings.Black Un. 
Rev Chg LTM27.2%29.2%22.2%32.4%7.8%-27.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.6%20.0%19.7%-4.3%8.9%-19.7%
Rev Chg Q21.2%30.8%13.3%-55.7%8.4%-13.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.9%6.8%3.1%-19.4%2.0%-3.1%
Op Mgn LTM15.6%12.9%40.7%-19.7%-17.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.9%15.1%38.6%-15.6%-17.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%-0.3%1.4%-0.1%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM43.6%4.0%54.8%-81.4%22.5%-22.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg48.4%10.7%54.6%-31.8%20.9%-20.9%
FCF/Rev LTM41.9%-0.0%49.5%-84.2%16.5%-16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg45.4%6.7%49.8%-34.7%14.8%-14.8%

Valuation

OWLLPLATWCGMORNBLKSMedian
NameBlue Owl.LPL Fina.Tradeweb.Carlyle Mornings.Black Un. 
Mkt Cap10.428.923.120.19.2-20.1
P/S4.12.111.97.64.1-4.1
P/EBIT27.616.525.4-17.7-21.6
P/E217.626.837.634.126.0-34.1
P/CFO9.453.221.6-9.318.1-18.1
Total Yield4.9%4.0%3.1%5.2%4.6%-4.6%
Dividend Yield4.5%0.3%0.4%2.2%0.8%-0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.8%3.7%3.7%-4.9%2.9%-3.7%
D/E0.30.20.00.60.1-0.2
Net D/E0.30.1-0.10.40.1-0.1

Returns

OWLLPLATWCGMORNBLKSMedian
NameBlue Owl.LPL Fina.Tradeweb.Carlyle Mornings.Black Un. 
1M Rtn-1.7%-4.6%2.7%8.4%2.1%-2.1%
3M Rtn-11.3%1.5%-14.7%-11.4%-14.7%--11.4%
6M Rtn-15.5%-3.8%-21.7%25.2%-29.5%--15.5%
12M Rtn-28.8%12.1%-19.2%9.1%-37.6%--19.2%
3Y Rtn61.8%55.4%72.4%95.8%-11.0%-61.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%-4.6%2.7%8.4%2.2%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-17.3%-4.9%-17.7%-18.8%-20.8%--17.7%
6M Excs Rtn-30.3%-18.5%-36.4%10.5%-44.2%--30.3%
12M Excs Rtn-44.5%-2.1%-33.4%-5.9%-51.6%--33.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.8%-17.0%15.6%37.9%-80.8%--14.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity67,847,289
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.4%
Average Daily Volume14,021,702
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.84
Basic Shares Quantity667,112,339
Short % of Basic Shares10.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021