KKR (KKR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $126.1 | Market Cap: $112.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
KKR (KKR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $126.1Market Cap: $112.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Private Equity, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable Finance, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Private Equity, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KKR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting potential reasons for KKR's stock movement of -9.2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Department of Justice Antitrust Lawsuit: On September 30, 2025, KKR's shares experienced a significant intraday drop of 5.88%, closing down 3.37%, following a lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). The lawsuit alleged violations of the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act (HSR Act) in 16 mergers and acquisitions deals, with the DOJ seeking over $650 million in fines.
2. Challenging Private Equity Fundraising Environment: The third quarter of 2025 saw a difficult fundraising landscape for the private equity industry. Limited partners reportedly felt less inclined to commit to new funds, contributing to a projected 25% decline in capital raised by private equity firms through the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KKR Return | 41% | 86% | -37% | 80% | 80% | -17% | 348% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 72% | -25% | 48% | 49% | 6% | 233% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KKR Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 83% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 75% | 40% | 58% | 67% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KKR Max Drawdown | -36% | -7% | -42% | 0% | -4% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -3% | -39% | -9% | -5% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GS, BX, APO, CG, BLKS. See KKR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KKR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 441 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 108 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 120 days |
Compare to GS, BX, APO, CG, BLKS
In The Past
KKR's stock fell -48.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -48.4% loss requires a 94.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can KKR Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for KKR Stock with -6.5% Return (vs. -6.4% YTD) [8/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| KKR YTD Stock Return Of -18% Outperforms APO by 2.7% and Underperforms UBS by -26% | Return | ||
| Time To Buy KKR Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| KKR vs. Large Cap Stocks: Which Is A Better Investment? | Investment Theme Comparisons | ||
| KKR Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 80.2% in 2024 and 28.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| KKR (KKR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| KKR (KKR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| KKR (KKR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| KKR (KKR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Will KKR Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 6th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: XEL, INTC, CNC | Losers: FCX, AXON, KKR | September 25th, 2025 | ||
| KKR Stock Down -6.5% after 6-Day Loss Streak | August 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KKR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for KKR
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |