Tearsheet

Yum Brands (YUM)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $150.815 | Market Cap: $41.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Yum Brands (YUM)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $150.815
Market Cap: $41.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

YUM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 3.8% movement in Yum Brands (YUM) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025, which primarily reflects a recent pullback in the stock. 1. Underperformance and Strategic Review of Pizza Hut: Yum! Brands announced it is exploring strategic options for its Pizza Hut brand, which has experienced eight consecutive quarters of same-store sales declines and faces significant challenges in global markets. Analysts have expressed caution about the limited upside a potential divestiture might offer.

2. Concerns Regarding High Debt Load and Leverage: Analysts have highlighted concerns over Yum! Brands' substantial gross debt of $11.3 billion and a leverage ratio of 4x. This leverage ratio is considered high, exceeding the 3x threshold typically used by commercial banks for highly leveraged companies.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
YUM Return10%30%-6%4%5%13%65%
Peers Return29%33%-17%24%-5%-2%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
YUM Win Rate67%67%33%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%55%42%55%45%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
YUM Max Drawdown-44%-7%-23%-8%-3%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-8%-33%-10%-17%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, QSR, DPZ, CMG, PZZA. See YUM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventYUMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven195 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven542 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1480 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, CMG, DRI, WEN


In The Past

Yum Brands's stock fell -24.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -24.2% loss requires a 31.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Yum Brands (YUM)

Better Bets than Yum Brands (YUM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to YUM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Yum Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

YUMMCDQSRDPZCMGPZZAMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.Restaura.Domino's.Chipotle.Papa Joh. 
Mkt Price151.06316.7270.87431.7336.1441.41110.97
Mkt Cap42.0225.823.214.648.21.432.6
Rev LTM8,06126,2639,1064,84811,7872,0868,584
Op Inc LTM2,48512,1132,3489281,9961082,172
FCF LTM1,5647,3721,3546321,573791,459
FCF 3Y Avg1,4137,0491,2405341,404721,322
CFO LTM1,90610,4851,5887302,2151571,747
CFO 3Y Avg1,7129,7041,4056381,9931491,558

Growth & Margins

YUMMCDQSRDPZCMGPZZAMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.Restaura.Domino's.Chipotle.Papa Joh. 
Rev Chg LTM11.6%1.2%21.8%3.9%7.3%-0.6%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%4.2%14.2%2.6%11.9%-0.3%5.3%
Rev Chg Q8.4%3.0%15.9%6.2%7.5%0.3%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.8%3.8%1.4%1.8%0.1%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM30.8%46.1%25.8%19.1%16.9%5.2%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg31.7%45.9%28.8%18.4%17.0%6.1%23.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.0%-0.6%0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM23.6%39.9%17.4%15.1%18.8%7.5%18.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.0%37.7%18.1%13.7%18.6%7.1%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM19.4%28.1%14.9%13.0%13.3%3.8%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.9%27.4%16.0%11.4%13.1%3.4%14.6%

Valuation

YUMMCDQSRDPZCMGPZZAMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.Restaura.Domino's.Chipotle.Papa Joh. 
Mkt Cap42.0225.823.214.648.21.432.6
P/S5.28.22.33.04.40.83.7
P/EBIT16.917.79.815.326.216.816.9
P/E29.225.724.524.834.041.427.5
P/CFO22.220.713.220.123.610.120.4
Total Yield5.3%6.2%9.2%5.6%2.9%6.3%5.9%
Dividend Yield1.8%2.3%5.1%1.5%0.0%3.9%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%3.4%5.8%3.7%2.4%3.9%3.7%
D/E0.30.30.80.30.10.60.3
Net D/E0.20.20.70.30.10.60.3

Returns

YUMMCDQSRDPZCMGPZZAMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.Restaura.Domino's.Chipotle.Papa Joh. 
1M Rtn1.6%3.8%2.5%6.9%15.4%2.7%3.3%
3M Rtn1.5%4.3%13.7%-4.1%-6.4%-16.9%-1.3%
6M Rtn5.9%6.1%7.4%-4.1%-28.1%-16.1%0.9%
12M Rtn11.1%9.3%6.3%-5.7%-45.4%-8.0%0.3%
3Y Rtn22.9%23.8%16.5%24.4%16.7%-47.6%19.8%
1M Excs Rtn2.0%4.1%2.8%7.3%15.7%3.1%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-1.3%2.3%8.8%-7.3%-9.5%-18.8%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-8.3%-8.1%-6.8%-18.4%-42.3%-30.4%-13.3%
12M Excs Rtn-1.7%-5.4%-8.1%-16.6%-57.4%-22.6%-12.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.8%-48.0%-54.7%-52.6%-53.8%-116.6%-53.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division2,8302,8342,7932,2722,491
Taco Bell Division2,6412,4372,2382,0312,079
Pizza Hut Division1,0191,0041,0281,0021,027
Habit Burger & Grill Division586567525347 
Total7,0766,8426,5845,6525,597


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division1,3041,1981,2309221,052
Taco Bell Division944850758696683
Pizza Hut Division391387387335369
Unallocated Refranchising gain (loss)2927353437
Unallocated Franchise and property expenses-1-61-4-14
Unallocated Other income (expense)-952-14-146-9
Habit Burger & Grill Division-14-242-22 
Corporate and unallocated General and administrative (G&A) expenses-326-297-260-312-188
Total2,3182,1872,1391,5031,930


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division2,2812,2272,3132,0112,042
Taco Bell Division1,5441,4831,3971,3871,330
Corporate and Unallocated9627578201,1131,058
Pizza Hut Division814788850804801
Habit Burger & Grill Division630591586537 
Total6,2315,8465,9665,8525,231


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,795,499
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.3%
Average Daily Volume2,041,438
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.33
Basic Shares Quantity278,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20257.3%6.4%5.1%
8/5/2025-5.1%-3.9%-1.2%
4/30/20251.9%0.4%-2.0%
2/6/20259.7%11.6%24.4%
11/5/20241.5%2.9%4.6%
8/6/20242.6%1.7%1.6%
5/1/2024-4.2%-3.8%-4.1%
2/7/20241.9%3.1%10.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative111110
Median Positive1.9%3.1%4.8%
Median Negative-1.9%-3.8%-4.1%
Max Positive9.7%11.6%24.4%
Max Negative-5.1%-5.7%-15.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021