Tearsheet

Zenas BioPharma (ZBIO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $29.74 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Zenas BioPharma (ZBIO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $29.74
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -189 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1261%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -60%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 158%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -70%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -989%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -990%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 110%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -60%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -189 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1261%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 83x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 158%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -70%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -989%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -990%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 110%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ZBIO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZBIO Return-----265%192%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-16%-43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZBIO Win Rate----33%67% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZBIO Max Drawdown------21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ZBIO has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Zenas BioPharma (ZBIO)

Better Bets than Zenas BioPharma (ZBIO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZBIO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.2%4.2%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.8%3.8%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.0%14.0%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.5%13.5%-8.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.2%4.2%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.8%3.8%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.0%14.0%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.5%13.5%-8.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zenas BioPharma

Financials

ZBIOVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameZenas Bi.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price29.88419.891.4712.002.155.588.79
Mkt Cap1.3107.8----54.5
Rev LTM1511,419-0--15
Op Inc LTM-189-199--93---189
FCF LTM-1483,500--60---60
FCF 3Y Avg-1,984----1,984
CFO LTM-1483,846--60---60
CFO 3Y Avg-2,324----2,324

Growth & Margins

ZBIOVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameZenas Bi.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM-70.0%10.5%-----29.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.0%----11.0%
Rev Chg Q-12.1%----12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.9%----1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-1,260.7%-1.7%-----631.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.5%----26.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-103.1%2.0%-----50.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-989.4%33.7%-----477.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.5%----22.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-990.0%30.6%-----479.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.2%----19.2%

Valuation

ZBIOVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameZenas Bi.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap1.3107.8----54.5
P/S83.49.4----46.4
P/EBIT-6.624.5----9.0
P/E-7.129.6----11.3
P/CFO-8.428.0----9.8
Total Yield-14.1%3.4%-----5.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.1%----2.1%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

ZBIOVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameZenas Bi.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn34.6%7.2%-27.2%3.6%8.0%7.7%7.5%
3M Rtn90.2%-8.1%-5.2%-14.4%-4.6%
6M Rtn158.5%-15.8%59.8%--6.5%-26.6%
12M Rtn42.3%-11.6%5.0%--3.4%-0.8%
3Y Rtn-34.6%-76.8%----21.1%
1M Excs Rtn33.4%2.2%-34.2%-1.9%5.3%-0.2%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn84.5%-18.5%-2.1%-8.1%-3.0%
6M Excs Rtn136.7%-37.6%38.0%--28.3%-4.9%
12M Excs Rtn23.9%-29.0%-17.8%--33.2%--23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--41.0%-151.9%----96.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,336,248
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-22.8%
Average Daily Volume440,066
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.85
Basic Shares Quantity41,865,400
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/20256.7%15.9%32.8%
5/15/202512.2%26.0%19.0%
2/5/20253.4%-5.1%-5.1%
11/12/2024-3.1%-29.1%-56.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive322
# Negative122
Median Positive6.7%21.0%25.9%
Median Negative-3.1%-17.1%-31.0%
Max Positive12.2%26.0%32.8%
Max Negative-3.1%-29.1%-56.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
33120246262024DRS/A 3/31/2024
123120239132024424B4 12/31/2023
93020231252024DRS 9/30/2023

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MOULDER LEON O JRChief Executive Officer2192025Buy6.6725,000166,7501,775,254Form
1Xiao Ting2112025Buy7.7610,00077,600364,720Form
2MOULDER LEON O JRChief Executive Officer12042024Buy10.7625,000269,0002,110,628Form
3MOULDER LEON O JRChief Executive Officer11202024Buy15.007,500112,5002,529,825Form