Tearsheet

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $36.83 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $36.83
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HRMY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance: Harmony Biosciences reported robust financial results for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In the second quarter, net income more than tripled year-over-year, and the company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 net product revenue guidance. The third quarter saw earnings per share reach $1.08, significantly surpassing the forecasted $0.74, with revenue of $239.5 million exceeding projections of $220.04 million. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $845 million to $865 million.

2. Positive Clinical Trial Data for EPX-100: Preliminary open-label extension data from the Phase 3 ARGUS trial evaluating EPX-100 in Dravet syndrome indicated a significant approximate 50% reduction in median countable motor seizures per 28 days in patients with at least six months of treatment exposure. This data, which also showed a favorable safety profile, was viewed by analysts as a "de-risking event" for a key pipeline asset. Harmony Biosciences is scheduled to present further new data from this trial at the American Epilepsy Society Annual Meeting in December 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HRMY Return-18%29%-41%7%5%-0%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRMY Win Rate50%42%58%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRMY Max Drawdown--29%-22%-65%-11%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRMYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven482 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Harmony Biosciences's stock fell -68.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/5/2022. A -68.5% loss requires a 217.2% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)

Better Bets than Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HRMY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Harmony Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRMYVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameHarmony .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price37.00463.13-2.541.07-19.77
Mkt Cap2.1118.4----60.3
Rev LTM82611,723-0--826
Op Inc LTM226-92--5---5
FCF LTM2973,337--6--297
FCF 3Y Avg2292,064--10--229
CFO LTM2983,718--6--298
CFO 3Y Avg2292,419--10--229

Growth & Margins

HRMYVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameHarmony .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM21.1%10.3%----15.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.4%10.5%----18.9%
Rev Chg Q28.7%11.0%----19.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.9%2.7%----4.8%
Op Mgn LTM27.3%-0.8%----13.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.9%26.2%----28.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%1.0%-----0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM36.0%31.7%----33.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%23.1%----28.1%
FCF/Rev LTM35.9%28.5%----32.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%19.8%----26.5%

Valuation

HRMYVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameHarmony .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap2.1118.4----60.3
P/S1.98.5----5.2
P/EBIT6.522.4----14.4
P/E8.527.2----17.9
P/CFO5.326.9----16.1
Total Yield11.7%3.7%----7.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%2.3%----7.3%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

HRMYVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameHarmony .Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn26.2%8.7%----17.4%
3M Rtn-1.4%16.8%----7.7%
6M Rtn5.2%3.9%----4.6%
12M Rtn7.2%1.3%----4.3%
3Y Rtn-38.8%44.1%----2.6%
1M Excs Rtn26.2%8.7%----17.5%
3M Excs Rtn-3.4%11.3%----4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-9.5%-10.8%-----10.2%
12M Excs Rtn-6.8%-14.6%-----10.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-108.9%-25.9%-----67.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Net product revenue5824383051606
Total5824383051606


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,285,274
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.0%
Average Daily Volume1,029,047
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.16
Basic Shares Quantity57,550,902
Short % of Basic Shares7.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021