Tearsheet

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.81 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.81
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 19%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
Key risks
HRMY key risks include [1] its substantial dependence on a single product, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
 
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
8 Key risks
HRMY key risks include [1] its substantial dependence on a single product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HRMY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Harmony Biosciences reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with net revenue from its flagship product WAKIX® increasing 29% year-over-year to $239 million. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $845 million to $865 million, reflecting strong market performance and strategic growth.

2. Disappointing Fragile X Syndrome Trial Results: The company's shares experienced a significant drop following the announcement around September 25, 2025, that its ZYN002 drug failed to meet the primary endpoint in the Phase 3 RECONNECT study for Fragile X syndrome. This setback was attributed partly to a higher-than-expected placebo response rate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HRMY Return18%29%-41%7%13%
Peers Return0%-25%30%20%-6%33%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRMY Win Rate50%42%58%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%58%52%47%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRMY Max Drawdown-29%-22%-65%-11%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-40%-22%-18%-24%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JAZZ, AXSM, ALKS, NBIX, ACAD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRMYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven482 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Harmony Biosciences's stock fell -68.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/5/2022. A -68.5% loss requires a 217.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)

Better Bets than Harmony Biosciences (HRMY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HRMY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Harmony Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRMYJAZZAXSMALKSNBIXACADMedian
NameHarmony .Jazz Pha.Axsome T.Alkermes Neurocri.ACADIA P. 
Mkt Price38.78164.91148.0028.04141.7026.9390.24
Mkt Cap2.210.07.44.614.14.56.0
Rev LTM8264,1585611,5212,6831,0471,284
Op Inc LTM226454-19535955494292
FCF LTM2971,239-10149159399394
FCF 3Y Avg2291,069-12635347370291
CFO LTM2981,392-101541637199419
CFO 3Y Avg2291,274-125397508103313

Growth & Margins

HRMYJAZZAXSMALKSNBIXACADMedian
NameHarmony .Jazz Pha.Axsome T.Alkermes Neurocri.ACADIA P. 
Rev Chg LTM21.1%4.1%65.8%1.1%19.6%12.7%16.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.4%5.1%296.0%12.1%24.6%27.8%26.0%
Rev Chg Q28.7%6.7%63.2%4.2%27.8%11.3%19.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.9%1.7%13.4%1.1%6.9%2.8%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM27.3%10.9%-34.7%23.6%20.6%9.0%15.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.9%14.3%-63.2%24.7%22.1%-1.1%18.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-4.1%7.3%-1.3%0.8%0.2%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM36.0%33.5%-18.0%35.6%23.7%19.0%28.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%32.0%-40.3%25.9%22.6%8.7%24.3%
FCF/Rev LTM35.9%29.8%-18.1%32.3%22.1%9.5%26.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%26.8%-40.4%23.1%21.1%5.5%22.1%

Valuation

HRMYJAZZAXSMALKSNBIXACADMedian
NameHarmony .Jazz Pha.Axsome T.Alkermes Neurocri.ACADIA P. 
Mkt Cap2.210.07.44.614.14.56.0
P/S1.91.910.83.35.23.43.3
P/EBIT6.5-15.9-27.312.223.938.29.3
P/E8.5-21.7-26.514.632.613.811.2
P/CFO5.35.7-60.29.221.918.17.5
Total Yield11.7%-4.6%-3.8%6.8%3.1%7.2%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%14.1%-3.0%7.4%3.8%2.7%5.6%
D/E0.10.70.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.30.4-0.0-0.2-0.0-0.2-0.1

Returns

HRMYJAZZAXSMALKSNBIXACADMedian
NameHarmony .Jazz Pha.Axsome T.Alkermes Neurocri.ACADIA P. 
1M Rtn14.1%-3.0%1.7%-4.4%-1.3%12.2%0.2%
3M Rtn21.0%27.3%26.9%0.6%-0.7%11.3%16.1%
6M Rtn19.4%52.4%43.8%-4.4%11.3%17.3%18.4%
12M Rtn15.3%34.6%58.3%-8.8%3.7%54.7%25.0%
3Y Rtn-30.4%4.6%88.8%18.2%20.9%75.0%19.6%
1M Excs Rtn13.4%-3.8%0.9%-5.1%-2.0%11.4%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn17.5%24.4%23.4%-3.1%-4.1%7.4%12.5%
6M Excs Rtn7.0%40.0%31.5%-16.8%-1.1%5.0%6.0%
12M Excs Rtn8.7%23.0%53.2%-19.2%0.8%44.9%15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.8%-60.4%18.0%-49.1%-49.8%5.2%-49.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Net product revenue5824383051606
Total5824383051606


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,412,922
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.0%
Average Daily Volume827,410
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.33
Basic Shares Quantity57,550,902
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/202512.7%11.6%27.1%
8/5/2025-1.7%-2.1%5.6%
5/6/20257.0%19.0%17.4%
1/13/20257.6%15.3%11.5%
10/29/202416.1%-7.6%-2.6%
8/6/20246.2%8.1%16.6%
2/22/2024-4.7%0.8%1.7%
10/31/202319.4%26.5%49.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121211
# Negative667
Median Positive7.3%9.9%16.6%
Median Negative-4.3%-6.4%-7.0%
Max Positive19.4%26.5%49.2%
Max Negative-11.1%-9.8%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021