Royalty Pharma (RPRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.54 | Market Cap: $17.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Royalty Pharma (RPRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.54Market Cap: $17.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 16% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -73% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Oncology Treatments. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Oncology Treatments. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -73% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RPRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Royalty Pharma (RPRX) has experienced notable activity from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with several key developments influencing its stock. **1. Royalty Funding Agreement with Denali Therapeutics.** Royalty Pharma announced on December 4, 2025, a $275 million synthetic royalty funding agreement with Denali Therapeutics. This agreement is based on future net sales of tividenofusp alfa, Denali's investigational therapy for Hunter syndrome. Royalty Pharma is set to receive a 9.25% royalty on worldwide net sales of the drug, with an initial payment of $200 million and an additional $75 million upon European Medicines Agency (EMA) approval. This strategic partnership highlights Royalty Pharma's continued investment in innovative biopharmaceutical products. **2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance.** On November 5, 2025, Royalty Pharma reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations with an EPS of $1.17 against a consensus of $1.11. The company also raised its full-year 2025 guidance for Portfolio Receipts to between $3.20 billion and $3.25 billion, signaling robust financial performance and effective management. **3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and "Moderate Buy" Consensus.** As of December 1, 2025, Wall Street analysts have issued a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for RPRX. The average twelve-month price target is $46.00, representing a forecasted upside from the current price. This positive outlook from analysts suggests confidence in Royalty Pharma's future growth prospects. **4. Institutional Investment and Shareholder Value Focus.** Norges Bank significantly increased its stake in Royalty Pharma, purchasing over 5 million shares valued at approximately $181.39 million in the second quarter, giving it a 0.90% ownership. Institutional investors collectively hold a substantial portion of the company's stock, indicating strong belief in its long-term royalty-based cash flows. Royalty Pharma has also been focusing on capital allocation, including aggressive share buybacks and a simplified corporate structure, to boost shareholder returns. **5. Consistent Dividend Payouts.** Royalty Pharma's board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per Class A ordinary share for the fourth quarter of 2025, payable on December 10, 2025. With an annualized dividend of $0.88 and a yield of approximately 2.2%, Royalty Pharma continues to offer investors a steady income stream. The company's dividend payout ratio stands at 66.67%.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RPRX Return | - | -19% | 1% | -27% | -6% | 59% | -11% |
| Peers Return | -0% | -8% | 10% | 0% | -1% | 4% | 3% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RPRX Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 31% | 46% | 42% | 35% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RPRX Max Drawdown | - | -29% | -6% | -32% | -11% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -11% | -6% | -14% | -12% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JAZZ, ACT, PRGO, ACSB, ALPS. See RPRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RPRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 148 days |
Compare to JAZZ, ACT, PRGO, ACSB, ALPS
In The Past
Royalty Pharma's stock fell -50.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -50.4% loss requires a 101.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RPRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Royalty Pharma
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,254 |
| Op Inc LTM | 454 |
| FCF LTM | 972 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 871 |
| CFO LTM | 1,048 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 973 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 45.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 43.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | -6.6 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cystic fibrosis franchise | 852 | 809 | 763 | 612 | 423 |
| Other products | 629 | 630 | 508 | 521 | 297 |
| Imbruvica | 173 | 311 | 385 | 396 | 349 |
| Tysabri | 168 | 207 | 211 | 218 | 227 |
| Other royalty income and revenues | 157 | 75 | 53 | 19 | 20 |
| Tremfya | 150 | 110 | 17 | ||
| Trelegy | 128 | 58 | |||
| Evrysdi | 98 | ||||
| Revenue from intangible royalty assets | 37 | 171 | 143 | 146 | |
| Zavzpret | 0 | ||||
| Promacta | 73 | 53 | |||
| Xtandi | 108 | 103 | 100 | ||
| Tazverik | 56 | ||||
| HIV franchise | 254 | ||||
| Total | 2,355 | 2,237 | 2,289 | 2,122 | 1,814 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |