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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
 
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Oncology Treatments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 65%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Oncology Treatments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.4%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -73%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RPRX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Royalty Pharma (RPRX) has experienced notable activity from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with several key developments influencing its stock. **1. Royalty Funding Agreement with Denali Therapeutics.** Royalty Pharma announced on December 4, 2025, a $275 million synthetic royalty funding agreement with Denali Therapeutics. This agreement is based on future net sales of tividenofusp alfa, Denali's investigational therapy for Hunter syndrome. Royalty Pharma is set to receive a 9.25% royalty on worldwide net sales of the drug, with an initial payment of $200 million and an additional $75 million upon European Medicines Agency (EMA) approval. This strategic partnership highlights Royalty Pharma's continued investment in innovative biopharmaceutical products. **2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance.** On November 5, 2025, Royalty Pharma reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations with an EPS of $1.17 against a consensus of $1.11. The company also raised its full-year 2025 guidance for Portfolio Receipts to between $3.20 billion and $3.25 billion, signaling robust financial performance and effective management. **3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and "Moderate Buy" Consensus.** As of December 1, 2025, Wall Street analysts have issued a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for RPRX. The average twelve-month price target is $46.00, representing a forecasted upside from the current price. This positive outlook from analysts suggests confidence in Royalty Pharma's future growth prospects. **4. Institutional Investment and Shareholder Value Focus.** Norges Bank significantly increased its stake in Royalty Pharma, purchasing over 5 million shares valued at approximately $181.39 million in the second quarter, giving it a 0.90% ownership. Institutional investors collectively hold a substantial portion of the company's stock, indicating strong belief in its long-term royalty-based cash flows. Royalty Pharma has also been focusing on capital allocation, including aggressive share buybacks and a simplified corporate structure, to boost shareholder returns. **5. Consistent Dividend Payouts.** Royalty Pharma's board of directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per Class A ordinary share for the fourth quarter of 2025, payable on December 10, 2025. With an annualized dividend of $0.88 and a yield of approximately 2.2%, Royalty Pharma continues to offer investors a steady income stream. The company's dividend payout ratio stands at 66.67%.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RPRX Return--19%1%-27%-6%59%-11%
Peers Return-0%-8%10%0%-1%4%3%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RPRX Win Rate50%50%50%33%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate23%31%46%42%35%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RPRX Max Drawdown--29%-6%-32%-11%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-11%-6%-14%-12%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JAZZ, ACT, PRGO, ACSB, ALPS. See RPRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRPRXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven90 days148 days

Compare to JAZZ, ACT, PRGO, ACSB, ALPS


In The Past

Royalty Pharma's stock fell -50.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -50.4% loss requires a 101.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Royalty Pharma (RPRX)

Better Bets than Royalty Pharma (RPRX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RPRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Royalty Pharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RPRXJAZZACTPRGOACSBALPSMedian
NameRoyalty .Jazz Pha.Enact Perrigo Acesis ALPS  
Mkt Price39.60167.1038.6113.96-1.0738.61
Mkt Cap17.110.15.71.9--7.9
Rev LTM2,3504,1581,2254,282--3,254
Op Inc LTM1,533454-393--454
FCF LTM2,4051,239704271--972
FCF 3Y Avg2,6631,069672235--871
CFO LTM2,4051,392704376--1,048
CFO 3Y Avg2,6631,274672339--973

Growth & Margins

RPRXJAZZACTPRGOACSBALPSMedian
NameRoyalty .Jazz Pha.Enact Perrigo Acesis ALPS  
Rev Chg LTM3.7%4.1%2.4%-2.5%--3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%5.1%3.9%-0.8%--2.7%
Rev Chg Q7.9%6.7%0.6%-4.1%--3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%1.7%0.2%-1.0%--0.9%
Op Mgn LTM65.2%10.9%-9.2%--10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg59.0%14.3%-6.5%--14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-14.6%-4.1%--0.4%---4.1%
CFO/Rev LTM102.4%33.5%57.5%8.8%--45.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg115.2%32.0%56.6%7.6%--44.3%
FCF/Rev LTM102.4%29.8%57.5%6.3%--43.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg115.2%26.8%56.6%5.3%--41.7%

Valuation

RPRXJAZZACTPRGOACSBALPSMedian
NameRoyalty .Jazz Pha.Enact Perrigo Acesis ALPS  
Mkt Cap17.110.15.71.9--7.9
P/S6.51.94.60.7--3.3
P/EBIT9.6-15.96.311.6--8.0
P/E19.9-21.78.6-59.5---6.6
P/CFO6.35.78.08.2--7.2
Total Yield7.5%-4.6%13.8%-0.4%--3.6%
Dividend Yield2.5%0.0%2.1%1.3%--1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg20.3%14.1%12.9%6.5%--13.5%
D/E0.60.70.11.2--0.6
Net D/E0.50.4-0.31.0--0.4

Returns

RPRXJAZZACTPRGOACSBALPSMedian
NameRoyalty .Jazz Pha.Enact Perrigo Acesis ALPS  
1M Rtn6.8%20.8%8.1%-30.5%--7.5%
3M Rtn8.6%26.9%2.8%-38.8%--5.7%
6M Rtn19.8%52.7%12.7%-45.0%--16.3%
12M Rtn54.1%37.4%11.7%-48.1%--24.5%
3Y Rtn-2.1%6.3%71.4%-50.4%--2.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.8%20.8%8.2%-30.5%--7.5%
3M Excs Rtn2.6%25.2%-4.2%-44.1%---0.8%
6M Excs Rtn5.1%38.0%-2.0%-59.7%--1.5%
12M Excs Rtn38.7%23.9%-1.4%-61.9%--11.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.6%-64.3%1.3%-122.8%---68.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Cystic fibrosis franchise852809763612423
Other products629630508521297
Imbruvica173311385396349
Tysabri168207211218227
Other royalty income and revenues15775531920
Tremfya15011017  
Trelegy12858   
Evrysdi98    
Revenue from intangible royalty assets 37171143146
Zavzpret 0   
Promacta  7353 
Xtandi  108103100
Tazverik   56 
HIV franchise    254
Total2,3552,2372,2892,1221,814


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,029,541
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202569.3%
Average Daily Volume5,354,117
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.49
Basic Shares Quantity431,887,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021