Catalyst Pharmaceuticals (CPRX)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $23.77 | Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals (CPRX)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $23.77Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 9.7% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -33% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | ||
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 9.7% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. **Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Increased Full-Year Guidance.** Catalyst Pharmaceuticals reported total revenues of $148.4 million for the third quarter of 2025, marking a 15.3% increase compared to the third quarter of 2024. Net product revenue also saw a significant rise of 17.4% to $148.4 million. Following these results, the company raised its full-year 2025 total revenue guidance to a range of $565 million to $585 million, up from the previous range of $545 million to $565 million, reflecting better-than-forecasted performance across its product portfolio including FIRDAPSE, AGAMREE, and FYCOMPA.
**2. **Initiation of a $200 Million Share Repurchase Program.** On October 1, 2025, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals' Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the company to buy back up to $200 million of its outstanding common stock. This program is scheduled to run between October 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, and is expected to be funded using existing cash reserves. This action signaled management's confidence in the company's long-term financial outlook and strong balance sheet, which included $689.9 million in cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025.
**3. **Positive Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results.** Earlier in the period, on August 6, 2025, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals announced record financial results for the second quarter and first half of 2025. Total net product revenue for Q2 2025 reached $146.5 million, an increase of 19.5% year-over-year, driven by sustained demand across its product portfolio. FIRDAPSE net product revenue for the quarter was $84.8 million, up 9.7% from the previous year. The company ended the second quarter with a robust cash position of $652.8 million.
**4. **Settlement of FIRDAPSE Patent Litigation.** On August 26, 2025, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals announced the settlement of patent litigation related to its drug FIRDAPSE (amifampridine) with Lupin Ltd. The resolution of this litigation reduced commercial uncertainties surrounding one of its key products.
**5. **Positive Analyst Sentiment and Technical Stock Momentum.** As of early December 2025, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals (CPRX) showed strong technical indicators, including breaking out above its 20-day moving average. The stock gained 8% over the four weeks leading up to December 4, 2025, and received a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Positive earnings estimate revisions and a reduction in short interest also contributed to a bullish sentiment among investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPRX Return | -11% | 103% | 175% | -10% | 24% | 10% | 512% |
| Peers Return | 36% | -37% | 33% | -8% | 6% | 9% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPRX Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 45% | 65% | 48% | 55% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPRX Max Drawdown | -30% | 0% | -22% | -38% | -22% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -52% | -35% | -34% | -21% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRPT, BMRN, PTCT, FOLD, AXSM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 482 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1566.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3693 days | 1480 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -45.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2023. A -45.4% loss requires a 83.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| 03312023 | CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -29.5% | -3.9% | -30.6% |
| 09302022 | CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.2% | -8.9% | -10.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| 03312023 | CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -29.5% | -3.9% | -30.6% |
| 09302022 | CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.2% | -8.9% | -10.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Catalyst Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,189 |
| Op Inc LTM | 147 |
| FCF LTM | 122 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -60 |
| CFO LTM | 124 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 24 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 41.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -7.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 7.4 |
| P/E | -0.4 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 21.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -60.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
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