Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $572.5 | Market Cap: $204.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $572.5Market Cap: $204.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 72x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 69x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 74x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Key risksISRG key risks include [1] intensifying competition from rival robotic surgery platforms threatening its dominant market share and [2] sales vulnerability to constrained hospital budgets given the high capital cost of its da Vinci systems. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 72x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 69x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 74x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
| Key risksISRG key risks include [1] intensifying competition from rival robotic surgery platforms threatening its dominant market share and [2] sales vulnerability to constrained hospital budgets given the high capital cost of its da Vinci systems. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ISRG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) experienced significant movement in its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, primarily influenced by strong third-quarter earnings, product innovations, and strategic business decisions. Here are five key points highlighting the reasons for the stock's movement: 1. 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance: Intuitive Surgical reported stronger-than-expected revenue and earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings of $2.40 per diluted share, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.99. Revenue reached $2.51 billion, a 23% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates of $2.41 billion. This strong performance led the company to raise its full-year 2025 guidance for da Vinci procedure growth to 17-17.5%, up from the prior 15.5-17%. 2. 2. Robust Demand for da Vinci V System and Procedure Growth: Management attributed growth to robust demand for the da Vinci V system and expanded international placements. Worldwide da Vinci procedures grew approximately 19% in Q3 2025 compared to the same quarter in 2024, with 240 da Vinci 5 systems placed in Q3 2025 alone, significantly boosting the installed base to nearly 10,800 systems globally. The widespread adoption and increased utilization rates across all platforms were key drivers. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ISRG Return | 38% | 32% | -26% | 27% | 55% | 8% | 185% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 1% | -3% | -1% | 12% | 13% | 34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ISRG Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 52% | 55% | 48% | 50% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ISRG Max Drawdown | -38% | -16% | -49% | -15% | -5% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -11% | -21% | -17% | -7% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDT, JNJ, SYK, ZBH, GMED. See ISRG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ISRG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 461 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 314.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 364 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BSX, SYK, MDT, BDX, EW
In The Past
Intuitive Surgical's stock fell -49.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -49.9% loss requires a 99.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ISRG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| 09052025 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 22.6% | 22.6% | -8.0% |
| 10312022 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 22.9% | 6.4% | -8.8% |
| 04302022 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 25.9% | -23.5% |
| 03312020 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 39.9% | 49.2% | -7.5% |
| 08312019 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 42.2% | -28.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| 09052025 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 22.6% | 22.6% | -8.0% |
| 10312022 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 22.9% | 6.4% | -8.8% |
| 04302022 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 25.9% | -23.5% |
| 03312020 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 39.9% | 49.2% | -7.5% |
| 08312019 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 42.2% | -28.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Intuitive Surgical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 152.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 131.1 |
| Rev LTM | 16,996 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,801 |
| FCF LTM | 3,172 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,326 |
| CFO LTM | 3,896 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,110 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 131.1 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 23.4 |
| P/E | 27.1 |
| P/CFO | 19.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 34.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | 13.9% | 17.9% | 22.0% |
| 7/22/2025 | -1.8% | -2.8% | -6.0% |
| 4/22/2025 | 1.9% | 7.6% | 14.3% |
| 1/15/2025 | 7.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% |
| 10/17/2024 | 10.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% |
| 7/18/2024 | 9.3% | 5.0% | 15.1% |
| 4/18/2024 | -1.7% | 0.1% | 7.0% |
| 1/9/2024 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 17.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| # Negative | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 5.0% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -5.5% | -10.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.9% | 22.8% | 35.8% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -17.4% | -25.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10182024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7242023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4202023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
