Biogen (BIIB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $172.07 | Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Biogen (BIIB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $172.07Market Cap: $25.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% | Key risksBIIB key risks include [1] eroding sales in its core multiple sclerosis franchise from intense generic and branded competition, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9% |
| Key risksBIIB key risks include [1] eroding sales in its core multiple sclerosis franchise from intense generic and branded competition, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BIIB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Biogen (BIIB) stock experienced an upward movement. Key factors contributing to such a positive change could include:
1. Research Collaboration with Dayra Therapeutics.
Biogen announced on November 24, 2025, a research collaboration with Dayra Therapeutics to discover and develop oral macrocyclic peptides for immunological conditions, including an upfront payment of $50 million to Dayra. This strategic partnership aims to expand Biogen's pipeline in immunology.
2. Positive Regulatory Opinion for Nusinersen.
A positive opinion from the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) was issued, recommending the approval of a high-dose regimen of nusinersen for 5q spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). A final decision from the European Commission is anticipated in January 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BIIB Return | -17% | -2% | 15% | -7% | -41% | 12% | -42% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 19% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 23% | 155% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BIIB Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 47% | 62% | 48% | 58% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BIIB Max Drawdown | -20% | -9% | -22% | -20% | -43% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -10% | -7% | -15% | -11% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMGN, LLY, BMY, GILD, VRTX. See BIIB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BIIB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 210 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 808 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 865 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMGN, BMY, REGN, ACSB, AIXC
In The Past
Biogen's stock fell -54.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -54.8% loss requires a 121.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BIIB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 08312025 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 06302020 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | 29.4% | -11.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| 08312025 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 06302020 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | 29.4% | -11.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Biogen
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 249.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 132.9 |
| Rev LTM | 32,528 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,911 |
| FCF LTM | 6,250 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,439 |
| CFO LTM | 10,303 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,297 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 132.9 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.2 |
| P/E | 19.3 |
| P/CFO | 12.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TYSABRI | 1,877 | 2,031 | 2,063 | 1,946 | 1,892 |
| SPINRAZA | 1,741 | 1,794 | 1,905 | 2,052 | 2,097 |
| Revenue from anti-CD20 therapeutic programs | 1,690 | 1,700 | 1,658 | 1,978 | 2,290 |
| TECFIDERA | 1,012 | 1,444 | 1,952 | ||
| Contract manufacturing, royalty and other revenue | 899 | 485 | |||
| AVONEX | 811 | 974 | 1,209 | ||
| VUMERITY | 576 | 553 | 410 | ||
| BENEPALI | 439 | 441 | 498 | 482 | 486 |
| PLEGRIDY | 295 | 332 | 357 | ||
| IMRALDI | 222 | 224 | 233 | 216 | 184 |
| FAMPYRA | 90 | 97 | 105 | 103 | 97 |
| FLIXABI | 77 | 81 | 99 | 98 | 68 |
| SKYCLARYS | 56 | 0 | |||
| BYOOVIZ | 32 | 4 | |||
| Other | 10 | 13 | |||
| QALSODY | 6 | 0 | |||
| ZURZUVAE | 2 | ||||
| Alzheimer's collaboration revenue | 0 | ||||
| TOFIDENCE | 0 | ||||
| ADUHELM | 3 | ||||
| FUMADERM | 11 | 12 | 15 | ||
| Other revenues | 476 | 775 | 708 | ||
| Fumarate | 3,905 | 4,438 | |||
| Interferon | 1,878 | 2,102 | |||
| Total | 9,836 | 10,173 | 10,982 | 13,445 | 14,378 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/14/2025 | -1.1% | 0.6% | 11.1% |
| 7/31/2025 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.1% | -3.2% | 7.2% |
| 2/12/2025 | -4.3% | -1.9% | 0.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | -1.2% | -3.6% | -12.9% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.2% | -6.3% | -3.9% |
| 4/24/2024 | 4.6% | 11.2% | 16.6% |
| 2/13/2024 | -7.4% | -10.4% | -7.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 1.1% | 2.1% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -4.3% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.4% | -10.4% | -12.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4242024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7202022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
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