Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Key risks
AMGN key risks include [1] significant revenue erosion from imminent patent expirations and biosimilar competition for blockbuster drugs including Enbrel and Prolia, Show more.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
6 Key risks
AMGN key risks include [1] significant revenue erosion from imminent patent expirations and biosimilar competition for blockbuster drugs including Enbrel and Prolia, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Amgen's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Amgen reported a 12% increase in total revenues, reaching $9.6 billion, primarily driven by 14% volume growth. The company also saw its GAAP earnings per share rise by 14% to $5.93 and increased its full-year 2025 guidance for both revenue and non-GAAP EPS, exceeding analyst expectations.

2. Positive Clinical Trial Results for Repatha: The Phase 3 VESALIUS-CV clinical trial for Amgen's cardiovascular drug Repatha met its dual primary endpoints. Announced in October 2025 and presented in November 2025, the trial demonstrated that Repatha significantly reduced the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients without a prior history of heart attack or stroke.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMGN Return-2%2%20%13%-7%29%64%
Peers Return6%23%18%-15%4%17%59%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMGN Win Rate67%33%58%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%62%37%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMGN Max Drawdown-24%-10%-2%-17%-8%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-7%-8%-23%-10%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABBV, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY. See AMGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven215 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-47.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1575 days1480 days

Compare to ABBV, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACSB


In The Past

Amgen's stock fell -26.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2022. A -26.7% loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amgen (AMGN)

Better Bets than Amgen (AMGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amgen

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMGNABBVJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Johnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price326.03224.43210.5699.2025.0653.57154.88
Mkt Cap175.4397.0507.1247.5142.5109.1211.5
Rev LTM35,97159,64492,14964,23562,78648,03461,215
Op Inc LTM8,67114,36624,14622,39115,41711,42014,892
FCF LTM11,53919,68418,67913,04910,37615,30214,176
FCF 3Y Avg9,06720,01217,81413,6858,92713,59813,642
CFO LTM13,12620,86024,20417,06513,07716,62116,843
CFO 3Y Avg10,32220,96223,20917,50612,12714,84616,176

Growth & Margins

AMGNABBVJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Johnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM10.6%7.4%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.2%1.2%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.0%
Rev Chg Q12.4%9.1%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%2.3%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM24.1%24.1%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%24.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.4%27.0%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%24.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.6%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM36.5%35.0%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%30.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.7%37.0%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM32.1%33.0%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%26.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg28.8%35.3%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%25.4%

Valuation

AMGNABBVJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Johnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap175.4397.0507.1247.5142.5109.1211.5
P/S4.26.94.93.32.31.93.7
P/EBIT13.790.213.89.112.29.213.0
P/E21.7171.617.811.014.815.216.5
P/CFO11.619.618.512.311.15.511.9
Total Yield7.9%3.4%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield3.3%2.8%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%6.2%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%5.7%
D/E0.40.20.10.20.40.60.3
Net D/E0.30.20.10.10.30.40.2

Returns

AMGNABBVJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Johnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn-4.6%-4.1%6.2%7.7%-0.1%14.4%3.0%
3M Rtn19.5%2.4%19.6%23.3%6.0%17.7%18.6%
6M Rtn14.3%22.9%41.6%27.4%8.6%17.5%20.2%
12M Rtn26.6%32.4%48.2%2.9%1.7%-2.5%14.7%
3Y Rtn34.2%56.1%31.3%-0.5%-42.0%-16.7%15.4%
1M Excs Rtn-5.3%-4.8%5.4%7.0%-0.8%13.7%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn17.7%0.5%20.3%21.4%4.2%17.7%17.7%
6M Excs Rtn1.9%10.5%29.2%15.0%-3.8%5.1%7.8%
12M Excs Rtn13.3%22.9%36.9%-9.4%-6.0%-10.3%3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.8%-16.9%-38.8%-68.0%-111.3%-90.9%-53.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Other products4,6965,2205,3215,7245,538
Prolia4,0483,6283,2482,7632,672
ENBREL3,6974,1174,4654,9965,226
Otezla2,1882,2882,2492,195178
XGEVA2,1122,0142,0181,8991,935
Repatha1,6351,2961,117887661
Nplate1,4771,3071,027850 
KYPROLIS1,4031,2471,1081,0651,044
Aranesp1,3621,4211,4801,5681,729
Other revenues1,2801,5221,6821,1841,158
EVENITY1,160787530  
Vectibix984893   
BLINCYTO861583   
TEZSPIRE567    
TEPEZZA4480   
KRYSTEXXA2720   
Neulasta  1,7342,2933,221
Total28,19026,32325,97925,42423,362


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,322,050
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.2%
Average Daily Volume2,786,141
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity538,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20257.8%14.1%12.0%
8/5/2025-5.1%-5.0%-5.9%
5/1/2025-0.9%-4.1%2.6%
2/4/20256.5%2.6%10.9%
10/30/20241.5%2.0%-9.6%
8/6/2024-5.0%-1.7%-0.7%
5/2/202411.8%12.4%11.2%
2/6/2024-6.4%-8.1%-13.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91110
# Negative151314
Median Positive5.5%3.7%6.2%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.5%-5.9%
Max Positive11.8%14.1%12.2%
Max Negative-7.2%-8.1%-13.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021