Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Amgen (AMGN) stock movements can be attributed to a combination of factors, including clinical trial results, regulatory updates, earnings performance, and strategic acquisitions. Here are five key points that could explain a significant stock movement for Amgen.

1. Positive Phase 2 Results for Obesity Drug MariTide: Amgen announced promising Phase 2 results for its investigational obesity drug, MariTide (maridebart cafraglutide), in November 2024. The study showed participants with obesity lost up to 20% of their body weight over one year, with potential for further weight loss and significant improvements in cardiometabolic parameters. This news generated considerable investor interest due to the large and growing market for obesity treatments. While some analysts noted a higher discontinuation rate compared to competitors, the monthly or less frequent dosing schedule of MariTide was highlighted as a potential differentiator.

2. Strong Q1 2024 Revenue Growth: Amgen reported a substantial 22% increase in total revenues for the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in the previous year. This growth was primarily driven by a 25% increase in product sales volume. Key products like Repatha, Prolia, and Evenity showed significant year-over-year sales increases, contributing to a positive financial outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMGN Return-2%2%20%13%-7%34%70%
Peers Return8%23%19%3%-6%23%89%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMGN Win Rate67%33%58%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%62%48%46%50%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMGN Max Drawdown-24%-10%-2%-17%-8%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-5%-14%-13%-21%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABBV, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACSB. See AMGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven215 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-47.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1575 days1480 days

Compare to ABBV, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACSB


In The Past

Amgen's stock fell -26.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2022. A -26.7% loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Amgen (AMGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amgen

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMGNABBVGILDREGNBIIBACSBMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Gilead S.Regenero.Biogen Acesis  
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Growth & Margins

AMGNABBVGILDREGNBIIBACSBMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Gilead S.Regenero.Biogen Acesis  
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Valuation

AMGNABBVGILDREGNBIIBACSBMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Gilead S.Regenero.Biogen Acesis  
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Returns

AMGNABBVGILDREGNBIIBACSBMedian
NameAmgen AbbVie Gilead S.Regenero.Biogen Acesis  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Other products4,6965,2205,3215,7245,538
Prolia4,0483,6283,2482,7632,672
ENBREL3,6974,1174,4654,9965,226
Otezla2,1882,2882,2492,195178
XGEVA2,1122,0142,0181,8991,935
Repatha1,6351,2961,117887661
Nplate1,4771,3071,027850 
KYPROLIS1,4031,2471,1081,0651,044
Aranesp1,3621,4211,4801,5681,729
Other revenues1,2801,5221,6821,1841,158
EVENITY1,160787530  
Vectibix984893   
BLINCYTO861583   
TEZSPIRE567    
TEPEZZA4480   
KRYSTEXXA2720   
Neulasta  1,7342,2933,221
Total28,19026,32325,97925,42423,362


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,363,223
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.5%
Average Daily Volume3,251,938
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.11
Basic Shares Quantity538,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021