Amgen (AMGN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $345.88 | Market Cap: $186.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Amgen (AMGN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $345.88Market Cap: $186.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical Development, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMGN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Amgen (AMGN) stock movements can be attributed to a combination of factors, including clinical trial results, regulatory updates, earnings performance, and strategic acquisitions. Here are five key points that could explain a significant stock movement for Amgen.
1. Positive Phase 2 Results for Obesity Drug MariTide: Amgen announced promising Phase 2 results for its investigational obesity drug, MariTide (maridebart cafraglutide), in November 2024. The study showed participants with obesity lost up to 20% of their body weight over one year, with potential for further weight loss and significant improvements in cardiometabolic parameters. This news generated considerable investor interest due to the large and growing market for obesity treatments. While some analysts noted a higher discontinuation rate compared to competitors, the monthly or less frequent dosing schedule of MariTide was highlighted as a potential differentiator.
2. Strong Q1 2024 Revenue Growth: Amgen reported a substantial 22% increase in total revenues for the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in the previous year. This growth was primarily driven by a 25% increase in product sales volume. Key products like Repatha, Prolia, and Evenity showed significant year-over-year sales increases, contributing to a positive financial outlook.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMGN Return | -2% | 2% | 20% | 13% | -7% | 34% | 70% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 23% | 19% | 3% | -6% | 23% | 89% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMGN Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 62% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMGN Max Drawdown | -24% | -10% | -2% | -17% | -8% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -5% | -14% | -13% | -21% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABBV, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACSB. See AMGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 46 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1575 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ABBV, GILD, REGN, BIIB, ACSB
In The Past
Amgen's stock fell -26.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2022. A -26.7% loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Amgen
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other products | 4,696 | 5,220 | 5,321 | 5,724 | 5,538 |
| Prolia | 4,048 | 3,628 | 3,248 | 2,763 | 2,672 |
| ENBREL | 3,697 | 4,117 | 4,465 | 4,996 | 5,226 |
| Otezla | 2,188 | 2,288 | 2,249 | 2,195 | 178 |
| XGEVA | 2,112 | 2,014 | 2,018 | 1,899 | 1,935 |
| Repatha | 1,635 | 1,296 | 1,117 | 887 | 661 |
| Nplate | 1,477 | 1,307 | 1,027 | 850 | |
| KYPROLIS | 1,403 | 1,247 | 1,108 | 1,065 | 1,044 |
| Aranesp | 1,362 | 1,421 | 1,480 | 1,568 | 1,729 |
| Other revenues | 1,280 | 1,522 | 1,682 | 1,184 | 1,158 |
| EVENITY | 1,160 | 787 | 530 | ||
| Vectibix | 984 | 893 | |||
| BLINCYTO | 861 | 583 | |||
| TEZSPIRE | 567 | ||||
| TEPEZZA | 448 | 0 | |||
| KRYSTEXXA | 272 | 0 | |||
| Neulasta | 1,734 | 2,293 | 3,221 | ||
| Total | 28,190 | 26,323 | 25,979 | 25,424 | 23,362 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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