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Pediatrix Medical (MD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.48 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services

Pediatrix Medical (MD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.48
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -17%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Specialized Healthcare Delivery. Themes include Neonatal & Pediatric Intensive Care, Maternal-Fetal Medicine, and Pediatric Subspecialty Services.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Specialized Healthcare Delivery. Themes include Neonatal & Pediatric Intensive Care, Maternal-Fetal Medicine, and Pediatric Subspecialty Services.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -17%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) experienced significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with several key factors contributing to its performance.

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Pediatrix Medical Group reported impressive third-quarter 2025 financial results that surpassed analyst expectations. The company achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, significantly higher than the anticipated $0.47, and reported revenues of $493 million, exceeding the forecasted $477.7 million.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook: Following the strong quarterly results, Pediatrix raised its full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA outlook multiple times. Initially, the outlook was raised from a previous range of $220 million to $240 million to a new range of $245 million to $255 million after Q2 results. After Q3 results, the company further increased its adjusted EBITDA forecast for the full year 2025 to a range of $270 million to $290 million, with the midpoint well above Wall Street's estimates.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MD Return-12%11%-45%-37%41%81%-14%
Peers Return115%40%-18%3%-11%-35%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MD Win Rate50%50%42%42%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%48%40%45%45%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MD Max Drawdown-72%-15%-47%-44%-27%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-25%-35%-20%-31%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, USPH, CCRN, SLP, OMI. See MD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven319.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven252.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven194.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven893 days1480 days

Compare to ADUS, USPH, CCRN, SLP, OMI


In The Past

Pediatrix Medical's stock fell -76.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/30/2021. A -76.2% loss requires a 319.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Pediatrix Medical (MD)

Better Bets than Pediatrix Medical (MD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
MD_2292020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02292020MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%42.9%-53.8%
MD_10312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312018MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.6%-46.8%-50.1%
MD_4302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302018MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-39.1%-44.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
MD_2292020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02292020MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%42.9%-53.8%
MD_10312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312018MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.6%-46.8%-50.1%
MD_4302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302018MDPediatrix MedicalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-39.1%-44.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pediatrix Medical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDADUSUSPHCCRNSLPOMIMedian
NamePediatri.Addus Ho.US Physi.Cross Co.Simulati.Owens & . 
Mkt Price23.29117.8975.419.4520.352.6021.82
Mkt Cap2.02.11.10.30.40.20.8
Rev LTM1,9221,3477591,1938012,7271,270
Op Inc LTM2351237511533599
FCF LTM27396573411-36245
FCF 3Y Avg17410765164144786
CFO LTM290103704214-9956
CFO 3Y Avg2001157517419273145

Growth & Margins

MDADUSUSPHCCRNSLPOMIMedian
NamePediatri.Addus Ho.US Physi.Cross Co.Simulati.Owens & . 
Rev Chg LTM-4.2%18.8%17.5%-24.3%20.0%92.4%18.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%13.3%11.9%-21.5%15.8%20.2%12.6%
Rev Chg Q-3.6%25.0%17.3%-19.3%9.8%1.5%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%5.7%4.0%-5.2%2.3%0.1%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM12.2%9.2%9.9%0.9%5.8%2.6%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%8.8%10.6%4.3%11.2%2.8%9.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.0%0.2%-0.3%1.3%-0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%7.7%9.2%3.5%17.7%-0.8%8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%10.0%11.4%9.1%29.2%3.1%10.1%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%7.2%7.5%2.9%13.1%-2.8%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%9.2%9.9%8.4%22.9%0.7%9.1%

Valuation

MDADUSUSPHCCRNSLPOMIMedian
NamePediatri.Addus Ho.US Physi.Cross Co.Simulati.Owens & . 
Mkt Cap2.02.11.10.30.40.20.8
P/S0.71.61.70.44.40.01.2
P/EBIT5.916.814.3-86.575.0-1.210.1
P/E8.724.939.1-50.8-5.6-0.34.2
P/CFO4.920.718.610.224.7-3.714.4
Total Yield11.4%4.0%3.6%-2.0%-17.7%-361.3%0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.6%5.6%4.9%24.0%2.2%-19.0%5.3%
D/E0.50.10.20.00.05.90.2
Net D/E0.10.00.2-0.2-0.15.80.1

Returns

MDADUSUSPHCCRNSLPOMIMedian
NamePediatri.Addus Ho.US Physi.Cross Co.Simulati.Owens & . 
1M Rtn10.5%-0.9%-12.7%-23.2%20.1%-24.6%-6.8%
3M Rtn40.2%4.2%-9.4%-26.2%41.5%-52.6%-2.6%
6M Rtn67.6%5.2%2.0%-26.4%-26.1%-61.0%-12.0%
12M Rtn57.2%-3.5%-22.0%-15.3%-35.0%-81.9%-18.7%
3Y Rtn43.1%4.7%-11.9%-74.2%-50.9%-87.6%-31.4%
1M Excs Rtn10.5%-0.9%-12.7%-23.2%20.2%-24.6%-6.8%
3M Excs Rtn31.6%0.1%-16.9%-35.9%38.8%-57.2%-8.4%
6M Excs Rtn52.8%-9.5%-12.7%-41.1%-40.9%-75.7%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn42.1%-17.6%-35.4%-25.7%-49.5%-94.2%-30.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-16.7%-63.8%-76.1%-146.2%-121.1%-159.2%-98.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Neonatology and other pediatric subspecialties1,4421,5581,4721,3351,388
Hospital contract administrative fees276    
Maternal-fetal medicine275316344312303
Other revenue3    
Pediatric cardiology 99968789
Total1,9951,9721,9111,7341,780


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,919,400
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.3%
Average Daily Volume1,331,559
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.19
Basic Shares Quantity84,609,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021