Tearsheet

White Mountains Insurance (WTM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2046.3101 | Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

White Mountains Insurance (WTM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2046.3101
Market Cap: $5.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
 
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 10.7% stock movement for White Mountains Insurance (WTM) from late August 2025 to early December 2025: 1. Strong Earnings Report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported strong third-quarter results with an earnings per share (EPS) of $72.21, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $57.00. This positive earnings surprise contributed to the stock's upward momentum.

2. New 52-Week High. The company's stock achieved a new 52-week high, trading as high as $2,045.80 on December 2, 2025. This milestone reflects increased investor confidence and market enthusiasm.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WTM Return-10%1%40%6%29%4%83%
Peers Return-17%27%-0%34%12%18%88%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WTM Win Rate50%42%67%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%57%47%68%53%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WTM Max Drawdown-38%-1%-1%-7%-2%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-4%-17%-12%-6%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MTG, ESNT, RDN, AGO, BHF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWTMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven304.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1528 days1480 days

Compare to MTG, ESNT, RDN, AGO, BHF


In The Past

White Mountains Insurance's stock fell -22.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/22/2021. A -22.1% loss requires a 28.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About White Mountains Insurance (WTM)

Better Bets than White Mountains Insurance (WTM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for White Mountains Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WTMMTGESNTRDNAGOBHFMedian
NameWhite Mo.MGIC Inv.Essent Radian Assured .Brightho. 
Mkt Price2,025.5528.2861.8835.4488.8365.5963.73
Mkt Cap5.16.56.04.94.23.85.0
Rev LTM2,4891,2161,2901,2859546,1501,288
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM561803837-1,15626651413
FCF 3Y Avg565741798-20032-490299
CFO LTM561804854-1,15326651413
CFO 3Y Avg565742808-18932-490299

Growth & Margins

WTMMTGESNTRDNAGOBHFMedian
NameWhite Mo.MGIC Inv.Essent Radian Assured .Brightho. 
Rev Chg LTM-8.9%2.2%2.1%0.3%2.5%61.5%2.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg42.6%1.2%8.2%1.2%25.8%15.2%11.7%
Rev Chg Q-9.4%-0.7%-1.3%-1.0%-21.0%-40.6%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.5%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-5.3%-8.1%-1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%66.1%66.2%-89.7%27.9%0.8%25.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.7%62.3%67.1%-14.1%4.7%-20.7%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM22.5%66.1%64.8%-89.9%27.9%0.8%25.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.7%62.2%66.4%-14.9%4.7%-20.7%14.7%

Valuation

WTMMTGESNTRDNAGOBHFMedian
NameWhite Mo.MGIC Inv.Essent Radian Assured .Brightho. 
Mkt Cap5.16.56.04.94.23.85.0
P/S1.75.34.83.94.20.54.0
P/EBIT11.36.67.25.86.53.46.5
P/E30.38.68.88.410.04.68.7
P/CFO7.68.17.3-4.315.160.57.8
Total Yield3.4%13.6%13.3%14.9%10.0%21.5%13.5%
Dividend Yield0.1%2.0%2.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.8%12.7%13.4%-3.4%0.3%-14.9%6.5%
D/E0.20.10.10.70.41.00.3
Net D/E-0.2-0.8-0.90.1-0.2-27.3-0.5

Returns

WTMMTGESNTRDNAGOBHFMedian
NameWhite Mo.MGIC Inv.Essent Radian Assured .Brightho. 
1M Rtn6.6%2.7%2.1%4.7%9.6%22.4%5.7%
3M Rtn14.3%1.4%-1.2%2.0%9.1%46.8%5.5%
6M Rtn13.2%9.7%9.0%8.3%6.0%12.9%9.3%
12M Rtn2.1%11.4%11.1%2.8%-2.2%29.1%7.0%
3Y Rtn51.6%127.9%66.3%105.5%40.8%19.2%58.9%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%2.7%2.1%4.7%9.6%22.5%5.7%
3M Excs Rtn7.2%-5.4%-7.9%-4.4%2.0%42.9%-1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-1.5%-5.0%-5.7%-6.5%-8.7%-1.8%-5.4%
12M Excs Rtn-12.7%-3.6%-3.7%-11.5%-16.8%11.9%-7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.2%53.6%-2.5%30.3%-26.9%-51.4%-14.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ark/White Mountains (WM) Outrigger1,5581,010   
Other Operations33976 781524
Kudu177118 4621
HG Global92-46 6867
NSM Insurance HoldCo, LLC (NSM)   285233
MediaAlpha    49
Total2,1671,158 1,181893


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ark/White Mountains (WM) Outrigger4,3793,6913,027  
Other Operations1,8761,8142,2022,3821,940
HG Global1,1721,0581,0451,018924
Kudu959826727430290
Held for Sale   23
NSM Insurance HoldCo, LLC (NSM)   1,000825
Total8,3867,3897,0014,8313,983


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity95,355
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-11.6%
Average Daily Volume22,756
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.19
Basic Shares Quantity2,542,300
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021