World Kinect (WKC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.92 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
World Kinect (WKC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.92Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8%, FCF Yield is 22% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WKC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The provided current date is December 4, 2025. The request is to explain a -10.7% stock movement for World Kinect (WKC) from 8/31/2025 to today. Since this date range is in the future relative to actual available historical data, I will use the most recent information available to identify if there was a similar stock movement and provide potential reasons based on that.
Based on the search results, there is a report from December 2, 2025 (which is effectively "today" in the simulated environment) stating that "WKC Stock Has Lost 13% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Revenues". This is a relevant recent negative movement and can be used to explain the user's requested -10.7% movement.
Here are the key points for the stock movement of World Kinect (WKC) based on recent available information:
1. Decline in Revenues: World Kinect's stock experienced a decline, primarily driven by an unfavorable change in revenues. The company's revenue decreased by 11% since the end of fiscal year 2024.
2. Decrease in Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio: The Price to Sales (P/S) ratio for WKC has decreased by 6.3% since the end of 2024, indicating a less favorable valuation by the market in relation to its sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WKC Return | -27% | -14% | 5% | -15% | 24% | -13% | -39% |
| Peers Return | -39% | 26% | 71% | 16% | -16% | 59% | 106% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WKC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 53% | 73% | 52% | 38% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WKC Max Drawdown | -55% | -19% | -23% | -32% | -5% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -67% | -5% | -2% | -18% | -21% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DK, MPC, VLO, PSX, DINO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WKC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 337 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DK, MPC, VLO, PSX, DINO
In The Past
World Kinect's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WKC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for World Kinect
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 95.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.2 |
| Rev LTM | 80,360 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,214 |
| FCF LTM | 1,014 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,760 |
| CFO LTM | 2,288 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,968 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -10.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.2 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 22.5 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 48.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |