Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Key risks
WAFD key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its concentration in commercial real estate (CRE) loans as borrowers experience financial stress, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 17%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 12%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 17%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 12%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
9 Key risks
WAFD key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its concentration in commercial real estate (CRE) loans as borrowers experience financial stress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WAFD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 7.2% movement in WaFd (WAFD) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance and Expanding Net Interest Margin.
WaFd reported robust fiscal year 2025 results, with net income increasing by 13% year-over-year to $226.1 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) rising by 5.2% compared to fiscal year 2024. The company also demonstrated an improving net interest margin (NIM), which expanded to 2.71% in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025 from 2.69% in the third quarter, largely driven by decreasing costs of deposits and borrowings.

2. Successful Strategic Shift towards Business Banking and Increased Loan Originations.
WaFd highlighted a strategic shift during 2025 from traditional mortgage lending to focusing on business banking solutions, which contributed to a positive change in its deposit mix. This strategic pivot was accompanied by a significant 103% increase in new loan originations in the fourth fiscal quarter over the third quarter, with the loan pipeline consistently building for three consecutive quarters, signaling promising future growth. The bank also gained approval for SBA Preferred Lender Status on September 16, 2025, enhancing its efficiency in processing small business loans.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WAFD Return-27%33%3%2%1%5%9%
Peers Return-4%43%-15%1%26%11%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WAFD Win Rate50%83%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%62%48%43%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WAFD Max Drawdown-44%-1%-9%-26%-19%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-4%-24%-48%-17%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ZION, WAL, COLB, EWBC, BANR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWAFDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven477 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,786 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, CBC, HYNE, NU


In The Past

WaFd's stock fell -38.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -38.1% loss requires a 61.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About WaFd (WAFD)

Better Bets than WaFd (WAFD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WAFD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for WaFd

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WAFDZIONWALCOLBEWBCBANRMedian
NameWaFd Zions Ba.Western .Columbia.East Wes.Banner  
Mkt Price33.4259.2986.2128.95114.6666.9963.14
Mkt Cap2.48.39.46.915.82.37.6
Rev LTM7253,3143,3312,0722,8116472,441
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM208961-3,3236751,288322499
FCF 3Y Avg274918-1,7356231,358276449
CFO LTM2371,072-3,2317211,288332526
CFO 3Y Avg2971,027-1,6286511,358288474

Growth & Margins

WAFDZIONWALCOLBEWBCBANRMedian
NameWaFd Zions Ba.Western .Columbia.East Wes.Banner  
Rev Chg LTM0.4%9.3%13.3%5.6%10.5%9.0%9.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.3%3.4%12.8%19.8%10.1%2.8%6.7%
Rev Chg Q-0.5%8.7%14.8%17.3%19.3%10.9%12.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%2.1%3.7%4.3%4.6%2.7%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM32.7%32.3%-97.0%34.8%45.8%51.3%33.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.8%31.6%-50.9%33.5%51.5%45.9%37.2%
FCF/Rev LTM28.7%29.0%-99.8%32.6%45.8%49.7%30.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg37.6%28.2%-54.6%32.1%51.5%43.9%34.9%

Valuation

WAFDZIONWALCOLBEWBCBANRMedian
NameWaFd Zions Ba.Western .Columbia.East Wes.Banner  
Mkt Cap2.48.39.46.915.82.37.6
P/S3.32.52.83.05.23.53.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.59.810.512.811.611.911.1
P/CFO10.07.8-2.98.511.46.88.1
Total Yield13.1%10.2%9.5%12.7%10.8%11.4%11.1%
Dividend Yield3.6%0.0%0.0%4.9%2.2%3.0%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---18.5%12.3%13.1%14.6%12.7%
D/E--0.50.50.20.10.3
Net D/E---1.2-1.7-0.1-0.2-0.7

Returns

WAFDZIONWALCOLBEWBCBANRMedian
NameWaFd Zions Ba.Western .Columbia.East Wes.Banner  
1M Rtn12.4%21.2%16.7%13.9%15.2%13.6%14.6%
3M Rtn8.4%4.0%-2.5%13.6%7.3%3.2%5.6%
6M Rtn21.8%24.8%20.3%33.4%24.0%9.4%22.9%
12M Rtn0.5%9.1%-0.5%6.9%17.3%-1.3%3.7%
3Y Rtn13.1%44.9%63.7%17.6%98.0%21.2%33.0%
1M Excs Rtn11.7%20.5%16.0%13.2%14.5%12.8%13.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.6%-0.2%-6.6%7.7%3.8%-1.7%1.8%
6M Excs Rtn9.4%12.4%7.9%21.0%11.6%-2.9%10.5%
12M Excs Rtn-13.1%-4.8%-13.1%-6.9%4.6%-14.3%-10.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.5%-30.5%-19.1%-56.5%17.0%-55.5%-43.0%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment722743662566556
Total722743662566556


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,627,756
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.7%
Average Daily Volume1,167,789
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.25
Basic Shares Quantity78,491,066
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20250.4%3.3%10.9%
7/18/20250.6%0.0%3.3%
4/15/20252.3%6.4%10.6%
1/21/2025-1.2%0.0%-0.7%
10/18/2024-6.0%-6.7%-0.1%
7/17/2024-1.1%1.6%0.8%
4/23/20241.7%-1.9%3.0%
1/18/2024-0.0%5.0%0.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151617
# Negative987
Median Positive2.3%3.1%5.0%
Median Negative-1.2%-3.2%-1.5%
Max Positive6.1%13.5%15.9%
Max Negative-6.0%-8.3%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251118202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241120202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021131202210-Q 12/31/2021