Towne Bank (TOWN)
Market Price (10/2/2026): $35.87 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Towne Bank (TOWN)
Market Price (10/2/2026): $35.87Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Towne Bank (TOWN) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Market Reaction: Towne Bank's stock movement was influenced by its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, reported on July 23, 2026, which showed earnings per share (EPS) of $0.78, narrowly missing the consensus estimate of $0.79 per share. However, the company's revenue of $245.72 million exceeded the consensus estimate of $245.33 million. Despite the slight EPS miss, the stock price experienced a 2.5% increase between the earnings announcement on July 22, 2026, and September 11, 2026, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) which rose 2.3% during the same period, indicating a balanced market response that prevented a significant downturn or surge.
2. Consistent Dividend Payouts: The declaration of a steady fiscal Q3 2026 cash dividend of $0.28 per common share on August 26, 2026, acted as a stabilizing factor. This consistent commitment to shareholder returns signaled financial health and predictability, reinforcing investor confidence and contributing to the stock's ability to remain largely at its current level.
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Towne Bank (TOWN) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Market Reaction: Towne Bank's stock movement was influenced by its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, reported on July 23, 2026, which showed earnings per share (EPS) of $0.78, narrowly missing the consensus estimate of $0.79 per share. However, the company's revenue of $245.72 million exceeded the consensus estimate of $245.33 million. Despite the slight EPS miss, the stock price experienced a 2.5% increase between the earnings announcement on July 22, 2026, and September 11, 2026, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) which rose 2.3% during the same period, indicating a balanced market response that prevented a significant downturn or surge.
2. Consistent Dividend Payouts: The declaration of a steady fiscal Q3 2026 cash dividend of $0.28 per common share on August 26, 2026, acted as a stabilizing factor. This consistent commitment to shareholder returns signaled financial health and predictability, reinforcing investor confidence and contributing to the stock's ability to remain largely at its current level.
3. Analyst Consensus and Price Targets: A consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from Wall Street analysts, based on reports from four analysts, established a perceived valuation range for Towne Bank's stock. The average twelve-month price target of approximately $39.50, representing a forecasted upside of 10.80% from the stock's price of $35.65 as of September 25, 2026, likely provided both a floor and a ceiling for the stock, keeping its movement within a relatively tight range.
4. Relative Resilience Amidst Regional Banking Sector Headwinds: Despite broader macroeconomic challenges impacting the regional banking sector, such as rising Treasury yields (with the 10-year yield near 5.1%) and the failure of six regional U.S. banks in 2026 due to pressures from higher interest rates and commercial real estate concerns, Towne Bank demonstrated relative stability. This resilience suggests that company-specific strengths or effective risk management strategies helped mitigate significant negative impacts, contributing to its stable stock performance while some peers faced declines.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.3% change in TOWN stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -0.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.96 | 35.87 | -0.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 888 | 888 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.0% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.3 | 20.3 | -0.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 90 | 90 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOWN | -0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.3% | 9.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.3% | 54.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.4% change in TOWN stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.50 | 35.87 | 10.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 825 | 888 | 7.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.7% | 18.0% | -8.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.8 | 20.3 | 28.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 90 | -12.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 10.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.7% | 53.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.2% change in TOWN stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.84 | 35.87 | 9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 741 | 888 | 19.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.5% | 18.0% | -19.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.9 | 20.3 | 36.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 90 | -16.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 0.4% | 57.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 75.6% change in TOWN stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 135.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.42 | 35.87 | 75.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 720 | 888 | 23.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.6% | 18.0% | -26.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.6 | 20.3 | 135.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 90 | -17.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 75.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 75.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.9% | 42.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 68.2% | 63.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TOWN Return | 38% | 1% | 0% | 18% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Peers Return | 35% | -12% | -2% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TOWN Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 44% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 52% | 52% | 57% | 60% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TOWN Max Drawdown | -14% | -21% | -31% | -13% | -18% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -29% | -38% | -19% | -23% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, FITB, MTB, HBAN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TOWN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 216 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -15.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Towne Bank's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | TOWN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 216 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -43.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 322 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 167 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Towne Bank's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Peer Outperformance in Regional Banks
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOWN | Towne Bank | 8.7% | 20.2x | 10.3% | 79.5% | 35.6% | — |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial | 9.5% | 10.8x | 10.7% | 102.9% | 89.6% | +54pp |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp | 6.3% | 11.9x | 21.3% | 165.0% | 80.3% | +45pp |
| FULT | Fulton Financial | 8.0% | 10.9x | 28.4% | 113.3% | 78.5% | +43pp |
| FCF | First Commonwealth Financial | 5.9% | 12.2x | 24.0% | 84.3% | 71.0% | +35pp |
| PRK | Park National | 8.5% | 17.0x | 14.8% | 111.6% | 68.7% | +33pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 5 | 26.6% | 69.2% | 134.7% | SPNT 161% · RNR 140% · RGA 135% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -3.5% | 98.2% | 105.0% | IBKR 446% · SNEX 235% · GS 166% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 12 | 15.5% | 55.9% | 97.6% | JXN 531% · UNM 296% · FG 192% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 25 | -0.4% | 66.9% | 76.1% | TRV 161% · ACGL 160% · UFCS 160% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 3 | 0.5% | 43.8% | 70.0% | BRK-B 82% · VOYA 70% · JEF 46% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 24 | 10.2% | 59.5% | 67.2% | WT 347% · VCTR 273% · AAMI 264% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 8 | 4.0% | 63.4% | 54.9% | GNW 140% · L 93% · AIZ 82% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 3 | -0.9% | 33.7% | 43.7% | ACT 154% · ESNT 44% · WD -65% |
| Diversified Banks | 7 | 9.3% | 116.2% | 41.0% | JPM 126% · C 112% · WFC 93% |
| Regional Banks ← | 90 | 16.4% | 79.7% | 38.9% | FBP 135% · OFG 126% · NIC 125% |
| Consumer Finance | 14 | 2.7% | 111.7% | 35.5% | ENVA 378% · EZPW 297% · FCFS 151% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 13 | -2.0% | 44.0% | 30.3% | VIRT 168% · CBOE 140% · CME 66% |
| Insurance Brokers | 8 | -25.3% | -10.5% | 19.6% | AJG 60% · ERIE 33% · WTW 29% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 6.8% | 38.3% | -12.0% | EFC 18% · CACC -12% · HASI -17% |
| Mortgage REITs | 9 | -18.7% | 4.0% | -14.1% | RITM 33% · AGNC 13% · NLY 10% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | -3.5% | -9.0% | -45.4% | V 62% · MA 57% · CPAY 46% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TOWN Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Time To Buy Towne Bank Stock? | 02/28/2025 | |
| Towne Bank (TOWN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Towne Bank (TOWN) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.7 |
| Rev LTM | 9,823 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,896 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,342 |
| CFO LTM | 3,665 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,704 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 45.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 619 | 489 | 500 | 386 | 364 |
| Insurance | 103 | 100 | 91 | 65 | 55 |
| Resort Vacation Management | 58 | ||||
| Mortgage | 56 | ||||
| Realty | 104 | 104 | 113 | 114 | |
| Total | 836 | 694 | 694 | 564 | 533 |
| $ Mil | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 56 | 55 | 45 |
| Insurance | 12 | 8 | 6 |
| Realty | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Total | 77 | 74 | 65 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 137 | 135 | 135 | 177 | 170 |
| Insurance | 22 | 22 | 19 | 14 | 10 |
| Resort Vacation Management | 10 | ||||
| Mortgage | 0 | ||||
| Realty | 5 | -0 | -2 | 36 | |
| Total | 170 | 162 | 154 | 189 | 215 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 18,430 | 16,046 | 15,767 | 14,905 | 15,228 |
| Insurance | 849 | 727 | 615 | 500 | 442 |
| Mortgage | 305 | 342 | |||
| Resort Vacation Management | 103 | 133 | |||
| Realty | 453 | 441 | 692 | ||
| Total | 19,687 | 17,247 | 16,835 | 15,845 | 16,361 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $35.87 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $37.01 | $34.65 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -3.1% | 3.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 16.1% | 20.9% |
| Downside Capture | 62.94 | 44.55 |
| Upside Capture | 49.68 | 48.54 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.1% | 24.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.72 |
| Up Beta | -2.30 | 0.16 | -0.82 | -0.03 | 0.41 | 0.75 |
| Down Beta | 0.75 | -0.09 | -0.17 | -0.30 | 0.23 | 0.62 |
| Up Capture | 31% | 20% | 45% | 45% | 35% | 50% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 28 | 59 | 123 | 371 |
| Down Capture | 91% | 81% | 60% | 51% | 53% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 24 | 36 | 67 | 128 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOWN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 9.3% | 20.9% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 0.5% | 14.8% | -0.19 | 57.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 13.0% | 0.85 | 24.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 7.7% | 29.6% | 0.25 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.7% | 20.8% | 1.64 | -28.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 13.6% | -0.16 | 41.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.5% | -0.58 | 7.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOWN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 7.7% | 26.3% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.8% | 18.3% | 0.35 | 64.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 47.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.9% | 0.80 | 0.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.6% | 0.40 | 4.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 18.9% | -0.08 | 49.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.2% | 52.3% | 0.43 | 16.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOWN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOWN | 7.8% | 30.4% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 22.1% | 0.52 | 73.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 55.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.4% | 0.58 | -4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 15.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 20.7% | 0.17 | 52.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.9% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 12.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 2, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
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| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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