DigitalBridge (DBRG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.8 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
DigitalBridge (DBRG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.8Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 247%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 10% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -102% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 781% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 247%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 245% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -102% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 781% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DBRG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -13.5% movement in DigitalBridge (DBRG) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Significant Revenue Miss in Q3 2025.
DigitalBridge reported Q3 2025 revenues of $3.82 million, which significantly missed analyst estimates of around $98.46 million to $99.16 million, despite the company beating earnings per share expectations. This substantial revenue shortfall likely fueled investor concerns regarding the company's top-line growth and ability to meet market projections.
2. Negative Distributable Earnings and Carried Interest Reversal in Q2 2025.
Prior to the specified period, DigitalBridge's Q2 2025 results, announced on August 7, 2025, revealed negative distributable earnings of $18.6 million, or a $0.10 loss per share, a notable decline from the previous year. Furthermore, the company's total revenue for Q2 2025 was materially impacted by a $115 million reversal of carried interest allocation, resulting in negative reported revenue. This earlier financial weakness likely carried over and contributed to a cautious or negative sentiment among investors into the latter part of 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DBRG Return | 7% | 73% | -67% | 61% | -36% | -16% | -47% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 23% | -32% | 30% | 17% | -8% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DBRG Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 25% | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 53% | 35% | 50% | 60% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DBRG Max Drawdown | -70% | -8% | -69% | -6% | -39% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -70% | -11% | -42% | -24% | -14% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RHP, MAC, HASI, SLG, RLJ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DBRG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 229.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 262.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 318 days | 148 days |
Compare to RHP, MAC, HASI, SLG, RLJ
In The Past
DigitalBridge's stock fell -69.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -69.6% loss requires a 229.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DBRG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 07312021 | DBRG | DigitalBridge | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.0% | -21.3% | -34.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 07312021 | DBRG | DigitalBridge | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.0% | -21.3% | -34.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DigitalBridge
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 968 |
| Op Inc LTM | 141 |
| FCF LTM | 230 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 228 |
| CFO LTM | 232 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 230 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 4.6 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.7 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 1.1 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 21.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |