Tearsheet

Synchrony Financial (SYF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $83.21 | Market Cap: $30.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

Synchrony Financial (SYF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $83.21
Market Cap: $30.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 38%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
Key risks
SYF key risks include [1] adverse regulatory actions from bodies like the CFPB, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.8 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 38%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 9.8 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
6 Key risks
SYF key risks include [1] adverse regulatory actions from bodies like the CFPB, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SYF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The request asks to highlight key points for a 9.5% stock movement of Synchrony Financial (SYF) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. Since the requested period is in the future relative to my current knowledge cutoff, and to adhere to the instruction to "ignore that date and use the most recent date for which you have information" while avoiding disclaimers or apologies, the response will focus on significant events and financial results around the latest available information for Synchrony Financial. However, it's important to note that this information does not directly explain a specific 9.5% stock movement within the user-specified future timeframe. Here are key points related to Synchrony Financial's performance based on the most recent available information: 1. 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Performance: Synchrony Financial reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with net earnings reaching $1.1 billion, or $2.86 per diluted share, significantly beating analyst forecasts by $0.65. Revenue for the quarter was $3.82 billion, slightly exceeding expectations. The company's return on average assets was 3.6%, and return on tangible common equity stood at 30.6%. 2. 2. Despite Positive Earnings, Initial Stock Decline: Despite the strong Q3 2025 earnings beat, Synchrony's stock experienced a pre-market decline of 0.74%, trading at $72.30 following the announcement. This indicates that market reactions to earnings can be influenced by various factors beyond just beating estimates. The stock price change reflected a -3.56% market response to the earnings results. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SYF Return-0%36%-27%20%74%31%169%
Peers Return-12%39%-29%27%48%31%115%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SYF Win Rate67%58%50%58%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%43%57%67%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SYF Max Drawdown-64%-3%-40%-17%-6%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-3%-36%-13%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COF, AXP, BFH, ALLY, WFC. See SYF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSYFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven526 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven184.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven289 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven793 days120 days

Compare to BAC, C, COF, USB, GFCX


In The Past

Synchrony Financial's stock fell -48.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/19/2021. A -48.9% loss requires a 95.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Synchrony Financial (SYF)

Better Bets than Synchrony Financial (SYF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SYF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Synchrony Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SYFCOFAXPBFHALLYWFCMedian
NameSynchron.Capital .American.Bread Fi.Ally Fin.Wells Fa. 
Mkt Price83.23239.50375.6176.3444.6492.5987.91
Mkt Cap30.5153.0259.93.513.9294.691.7
Rev LTM14,98948,23170,4283,7958,64882,53231,610
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM9,75020,84518,9442,003-261-14,2185,876
FCF 3Y Avg9,22821,06316,9041,9461,0179,1729,200
CFO LTM9,75022,33521,1392,0034,040-14,2186,895
CFO 3Y Avg9,22822,25918,8011,9564,4499,1729,200

Growth & Margins

SYFCOFAXPBFHALLYWFCMedian
NameSynchron.Capital .American.Bread Fi.Ally Fin.Wells Fa. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%25.4%9.1%-3.4%-3.3%0.2%0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.1%13.4%11.6%1.5%-1.8%2.9%6.5%
Rev Chg Q0.2%54.4%10.8%-1.2%3.3%5.3%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%12.7%2.6%-0.3%0.9%1.3%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM65.0%46.3%30.0%52.8%46.7%-17.2%46.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg64.3%55.1%29.2%49.0%49.6%11.2%49.3%
FCF/Rev LTM65.0%43.2%26.9%52.8%-3.0%-17.2%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg64.3%52.2%26.3%48.7%11.0%11.2%37.5%

Valuation

SYFCOFAXPBFHALLYWFCMedian
NameSynchron.Capital .American.Bread Fi.Ally Fin.Wells Fa. 
Mkt Cap30.5153.0259.93.513.9294.691.7
P/S1.72.83.30.71.43.22.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E7.396.021.85.519.212.715.9
P/CFO2.76.110.91.33.0-18.82.8
Total Yield15.4%2.0%4.6%19.8%8.3%9.9%9.1%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.9%0.0%1.6%3.1%2.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg50.5%36.3%10.7%89.8%12.5%6.9%24.4%
D/E0.60.40.31.51.70.80.7
Net D/E-0.2-0.10.0-0.1-0.7-0.6-0.1

Returns

SYFCOFAXPBFHALLYWFCMedian
NameSynchron.Capital .American.Bread Fi.Ally Fin.Wells Fa. 
1M Rtn18.1%19.1%10.1%27.3%18.4%11.0%18.2%
3M Rtn11.7%6.6%12.1%23.9%2.4%12.8%11.9%
6M Rtn36.6%22.3%27.4%45.7%23.1%25.3%26.3%
12M Rtn26.1%33.9%26.0%19.0%26.0%33.6%26.0%
3Y Rtn168.7%180.0%166.5%112.5%102.4%143.1%154.8%
1M Excs Rtn17.4%18.4%9.3%26.5%17.6%10.3%17.5%
3M Excs Rtn7.9%3.3%8.9%18.3%-0.4%10.1%8.4%
6M Excs Rtn24.2%9.9%15.0%33.4%10.7%12.9%13.9%
12M Excs Rtn13.4%20.4%14.6%7.6%11.3%23.2%14.0%
3Y Excs Rtn82.5%90.3%79.4%41.7%24.7%65.2%72.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment13,62711,67414,72014,80717,170
Total13,62711,67414,72014,80717,170


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,152,016
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.7%
Average Daily Volume4,054,614
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.72
Basic Shares Quantity365,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/15/2025-0.7%1.6%4.1%
7/22/20251.8%4.9%3.5%
4/22/20252.8%10.5%27.4%
1/28/2025-4.6%-3.0%-14.2%
10/16/20246.1%4.5%22.8%
7/17/20241.0%-1.7%-9.9%
4/24/20245.0%2.6%2.2%
1/23/2024-0.9%3.8%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131615
# Negative1189
Median Positive2.6%4.6%11.1%
Median Negative-4.4%-3.9%-5.0%
Max Positive6.2%13.0%27.4%
Max Negative-9.9%-8.5%-14.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024719202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023721202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023420202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021