Sportradar (SRAD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $22.0 | Market Cap: $6.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Sportradar (SRAD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $22.0Market Cap: $6.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Prediction Markets, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Prediction Markets, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SRAD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the movement of Sportradar (SRAD) stock by -26.2% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Sportradar reported mixed second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025. While the company significantly surpassed earnings per share (EPS) estimates, its revenue slightly missed analyst consensus projections of €321.6 million, coming in at €312.5 million. This revenue shortfall led to a muted pre-market reaction and a slight dip in share price, despite an overall increase in full-year guidance.
2. The third-quarter 2025 financial results, released on November 5, 2025, showed an earnings per share (EPS) miss. Although Sportradar posted strong revenue and adjusted EBITDA and raised its full-year 2025 outlook, the non-GAAP EPS of €0.07 fell short of the €0.09 per share that analysts had projected. This earnings miss was highlighted as a factor contributing to the stock's negative pre-market movement following the announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SRAD Return | - | - | -43% | 11% | 57% | 26% | 24% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 6% | 52% | -27% | 23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SRAD Win Rate | - | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 5% | 21% | 33% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SRAD Max Drawdown | - | - | -58% | -19% | -17% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -1% | -4% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SRAD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 266.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1078 days | 464 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BIYA, BLIV, BMR
In The Past
Sportradar's stock fell -72.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/15/2021. A -72.7% loss requires a 266.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Sportradar Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SRAD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sportradar
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,228 |
| Op Inc LTM | 134 |
| FCF LTM | 153 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 905 |
| CFO LTM | 397 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,045 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 41.1 |
| P/E | 59.8 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -21.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -35.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 64.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -37.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3202024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5182022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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