Tearsheet

Autodesk (ADSK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $305.54 | Market Cap: $65.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Autodesk (ADSK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $305.54
Market Cap: $65.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ADSK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

From August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Autodesk (ADSK) experienced a net decline of approximately 2.4%. While the company reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 results in late November, several factors during this period may have contributed to a correctional or negative stock movement.

1. Significant Insider Selling Exceeding Threshold. On September 5, 2025, EVP Steven M. Blum executed a sale of 22,420 shares of Autodesk stock, totaling approximately $7,258,475.00. This substantial insider transaction, exceeding the $5 million threshold, could signal a lack of confidence from a key executive and potentially weigh on investor sentiment.

2. Period of Decline Prior to Q3 Earnings. Leading up to November 20, 2025, Autodesk shares witnessed a 5.5% decline over the preceding month, underperforming the S&P 500 composite. This earlier period of negative momentum could have contributed to an overall net decrease for the broader timeframe, even with subsequent positive earnings reactions.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ADSK Return66%-8%-34%30%21%5%69%
Peers Return0%198%-22%55%42%829%4659%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADSK Win Rate67%50%25%67%83%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%18%11%33%28%18% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADSK Max Drawdown-26%-18%-42%-3%-18%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-3%-25%-20%-14%-52% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BSY, BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE. See ADSK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADSKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven81 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven333.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1767 days1480 days

Compare to BSY, BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE


In The Past

Autodesk's stock fell -52.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/25/2021. A -52.0% loss requires a 108.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Autodesk (ADSK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ADSK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
ADSK_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%8.2%-9.9%
ADSK_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.1%-4.0%-20.9%
ADSK_11302021_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302021ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-18.3%-20.6%-35.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
ADSK_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%8.2%-9.9%
ADSK_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.1%-4.0%-20.9%
ADSK_11302021_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302021ADSKAutodeskMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-18.3%-20.6%-35.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Autodesk

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADSKBSYBMRBTTCCCCFUSEMedian
NameAutodesk Bentley .Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte.Fusemach. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

ADSKBSYBMRBTTCCCCFUSEMedian
NameAutodesk Bentley .Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte.Fusemach. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

ADSKBSYBMRBTTCCCCFUSEMedian
NameAutodesk Bentley .Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte.Fusemach. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

ADSKBSYBMRBTTCCCCFUSEMedian
NameAutodesk Bentley .Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte.Fusemach. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Architecture, Engineering, Construction and Operations2,5802,2781,9691,6491,377
AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT1,4621,3871,2441,099948
Manufacturing1,063978876799726
Media and Entertainment295291259219199
Other9771382424
Total5,4975,0054,3863,7903,274


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,081,507
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume1,106,160
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.79
Basic Shares Quantity213,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025902202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025306202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241203202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024903202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024610202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024610202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231204202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023829202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023314202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Blum Steven MEVP, Chief Operating Officer9092025Sell322.515,2701,699,6289,755,605Form
1Keene Ruth AnnEVP, Corp Affairs, CLO9042025Sell315.102,761869,99125,288,350Form
2Howard Ayanna 8292025Sell325.003,1591,026,6751,427,725Form
3Pearce RebeccaEVP, Chief People Officer8292025Sell320.002,377760,6405,460,160Form
4Pearce RebeccaEVP, Chief People Officer7032025Sell315.003,2511,024,0656,123,600Form