Autodesk (ADSK)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $298.18 | Market Cap: $63.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Autodesk (ADSK)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $298.18Market Cap: $63.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Key risksADSK key risks include [1] regulatory and investor scrutiny following an internal investigation into its financial reporting practices, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Cloud Computing, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
| Key risksADSK key risks include [1] regulatory and investor scrutiny following an internal investigation into its financial reporting practices, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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The search results provide a mix of information for Autodesk (ADSK) during the specified timeframe, ranging from analyst ratings and earnings reports to news about potential acquisitions and concerns about operating margins. It's important to note that some results are predictions or analyses for future periods, while others refer to actual events that have occurred within the timeframe of August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025. Based on the provided search results, here are the key points highlighting why Autodesk's stock might have moved by -5.2% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025.1. Autodesk stock experienced a notable drop in early July 2025 due to rumors of a potential acquisition of PTC Inc. for $25 billion, causing a 6.9% decline in a single morning. Investor concerns focused on regulatory approval due to product overlap and the valuation and financing of such a large deal, which could impact Autodesk's margin expansion and free cash flow.
2. Concerns regarding Autodesk's adjusted operating margin in Q3 fiscal year 2025, which ended October 31, 2024, led to an almost 9% drop in stock prices in late trading on November 26, 2024 (fiscal Q3 2025 results were reported in November 2024 for the period ending Oct 31, 2024). The adjusted operating margin came in at 36%, down three percentage points from the same quarter in the previous year, despite strong overall earnings and revenue figures. While this specific event predates the requested period, its impact on investor sentiment regarding future margins could linger.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.9% change in ADSK stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9252025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 320.17 | 298.18 | -6.87% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6605.00 | 6888.00 | 4.28% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.79% | 16.13% | 2.14% |
| P/E Multiple | 65.38 | 57.17 | -12.57% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 213.00 | 213.00 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.87% |
Market Drivers
9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADSK | -6.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.9% | 51.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.3% | 42.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.2% change in ADSK stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -11.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6262025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 304.93 | 298.18 | -2.21% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6347.00 | 6888.00 | 8.52% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.94% | 16.13% | 1.16% |
| P/E Multiple | 64.48 | 57.17 | -11.34% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 214.00 | 213.00 | 0.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.22% |
Market Drivers
6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADSK | -2.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 27.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 16.7% | 20.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.0% change in ADSK stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -11.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12252024 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 301.23 | 298.18 | -1.01% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5961.00 | 6888.00 | 15.55% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.30% | 16.13% | -11.87% |
| P/E Multiple | 59.36 | 57.17 | -3.70% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 215.00 | 213.00 | 0.93% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.02% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADSK | -1.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 62.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.2% | 58.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 58.5% change in ADSK stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 40.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12262022 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 188.16 | 298.18 | 58.47% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4898.00 | 6888.00 | 40.63% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.64% | 16.13% | 27.63% |
| P/E Multiple | 65.66 | 57.17 | -12.93% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 216.00 | 213.00 | 1.39% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 58.44% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADSK | 21.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.3% | 61.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.5% | 59.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADSK Return | 66% | -8% | -34% | 30% | 21% | 1% | 62% |
| Peers Return | � | 21% | -24% | 46% | -1% | -6% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADSK Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 83% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 63% | 37% | 65% | 48% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADSK Max Drawdown | -26% | -18% | -42% | -3% | -18% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -9% | -37% | -7% | -13% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTC, TRMB, BSY, ADBE, SNPS. See ADSK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADSK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 333.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,767 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Autodesk's stock fell -52.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/25/2021. A -52.0% loss requires a 108.3% gain to breakeven.
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Autodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, California.
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Here are 1-3 analogies for Autodesk (ADSK):
- Adobe for architects, engineers, and product designers.
- The Microsoft Office suite for the design, engineering, and construction industries.
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- AutoCAD: Industry-standard software for 2D and 3D computer-aided design and drafting across various industries.
- Revit: Building Information Modeling (BIM) software for architectural design, MEP engineering, structural engineering, and construction.
- Fusion 360: A cloud-based platform integrating 3D CAD, CAM, CAE, and PCB design for product development and manufacturing.
- Inventor: Professional-grade 3D mechanical design software for product development, providing tools for 3D modeling, simulation, and documentation.
- 3ds Max: 3D modeling, animation, rendering, and compositing software primarily used for architectural visualization, product design, and media & entertainment.
- Maya: Powerful 3D animation, modeling, simulation, and rendering software widely used for creating realistic characters, environments, and visual effects in film, TV, and games.
- Civil 3D: Civil engineering design and documentation software that supports BIM workflows for a variety of civil infrastructure projects.
- AEC Collection: A comprehensive collection of integrated BIM and CAD software for building and civil infrastructure design, including Revit, AutoCAD, and Civil 3D.
- Product Design & Manufacturing Collection: An integrated suite of professional-grade tools for product development, offering CAD, CAM, and CAE capabilities, including Inventor and Fusion 360.
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Autodesk (symbol: ADSK) primarily sells its software and services to other companies (B2B) across a wide range of industries.
According to its financial filings, Autodesk does not have any single customer that accounts for 10% or more of its net revenue. This signifies a highly diversified customer base rather than a few individually identifiable "major" customer companies. Instead, Autodesk serves millions of organizations globally that leverage its design and make software solutions.
Therefore, while specific customer company names cannot be listed as "major customers" due to this extensive diversification, the primary categories of companies that form Autodesk's significant customer base include:
- Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) Firms: This broad category includes architectural design firms, civil and structural engineering companies, general contractors, and building owners. These customers utilize Autodesk products such as AutoCAD, Revit, Civil 3D, and BIM 360 for building information modeling (BIM), infrastructure design, and construction management.
- Manufacturing and Product Design Companies: Businesses in sectors like automotive, aerospace, industrial machinery, consumer products, and electronics constitute a significant customer base. They rely on software like Inventor, Fusion 360, and PowerMill for mechanical design, product simulation, and advanced manufacturing.
- Media and Entertainment Studios: This segment includes film studios, television production companies, game developers, and visualization specialists. They employ Autodesk tools such as Maya, 3ds Max, and ShotGrid for 3D animation, visual effects, and game development.
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- Amazon Web Services (Parent Company: Amazon, Symbol: AMZN)
- Microsoft Azure (Parent Company: Microsoft, Symbol: MSFT)
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Andrew Anagnost, President and Chief Executive Officer
Andrew Anagnost has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Autodesk since 2017. He joined Autodesk in 1997 and has held various leadership positions, including Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Business Strategy & Marketing. Anagnost was instrumental in guiding Autodesk's strategic transformation to a subscription and cloud-based business model. Before his tenure at Autodesk, he worked at Lockheed Aeronautical Systems, NASA Ames Research Center as a postdoctoral fellow, and Exa Corporation. He also serves on the board of HubSpot and the Autodesk Foundation.
Janesh Moorjani, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Janesh Moorjani will assume the role of Chief Financial Officer at Autodesk, effective December 16, 2024. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Elastic NV. Moorjani's career spans over two decades in the technology industry, with prior executive and leadership roles at companies such as Infoblox, VMware, Cisco, PTC, and Goldman Sachs. He also serves on the board of directors of Cohesity.
Amy Bunszel, Executive Vice President, Architecture, Engineering and Construction Design Solutions
Amy Bunszel leads product and industry strategy for Autodesk's Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) solutions. With over 30 years of experience, she has a strong background in innovating software products across various industries. Before joining Autodesk, Bunszel co-founded Linius Technologies, a computer-aided design (CAD) software company, which was acquired by Autodesk in 2003. She serves on the board of directors of Pixelworks (PXLW).
Debbie Clifford, Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer
Debbie Clifford serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer at Autodesk. She previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer at Autodesk and was also the Chief Financial Officer at SVMK Inc. (SurveyMonkey). Her tenure at Autodesk includes various finance leadership roles, such as Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis and Vice President of Division Finance.
Steve Blum, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Steve Blum is the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at Autodesk, a position he has held since November 2022. He has held various other positions within the company prior to his current role.
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The key risks to Autodesk's business include:
- Financial Reporting Practices and Regulatory Scrutiny: Autodesk recently underwent an internal Audit Committee investigation into its free cash flow and non-GAAP operating margin practices, which identified areas where financial metric targets influenced accounting decisions. While no restatement of financial statements was required, the investigation led to a delay in filing its annual report on Form 10-K and a notice of non-compliance from Nasdaq. This situation introduces risks related to corporate governance, investor confidence, and potential ongoing regulatory scrutiny.
- Intensifying Competition and Market Dynamics, particularly in China: Autodesk faces significant and intensifying competition across its various product segments, especially in the growing Chinese market. The company has experienced slower growth rates in the Asia-Pacific region compared to some competitors, and the potential international spread of competing Chinese software could further impact Autodesk's market share and growth.
- Inability to Predict Subscription Renewal Rates: A substantial portion of Autodesk's revenue is derived from its subscription model. The company faces a key risk in its ability to accurately predict subscription renewal rates, which can significantly impact its future revenue and overall operating results.
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Blender, an open-source 3D creation suite, is emerging as a significant threat to Autodesk's dominance in the Media & Entertainment (M&E) sector, particularly for its Maya and 3ds Max products. While Blender has existed for many years, its rapid development pace, increasing professional-grade features, and growing adoption within animation studios, VFX houses, and game development companies directly challenge the need for expensive proprietary software. Its free availability and strong community support are attracting new artists and smaller studios, and even integrating into larger studio pipelines, eroding the market share and revenue potential for Autodesk's established M&E offerings.
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Autodesk (ADSK) operates in several large addressable markets, primarily across the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC), Manufacturing, and Media and Entertainment industries.
Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC)
- The global AEC software market was valued at approximately $9.06 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $13.65 billion by 2028 and $22.85 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global AEC software market at USD 9.17 billion in 2023, expected to grow to USD 21.89 billion by 2032.
- The broader global architectural, engineering, and construction services market, which includes software, was estimated at USD 108.15 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 263.77 billion by 2030.
- In the U.S., the architectural, engineering, and construction services market is expected to grow significantly at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.5% from 2024 to 2030.
- The global AI in Construction Market was valued at USD 5.13 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 33.31 billion by 2033. The U.S. AI in Construction Market is expected to grow from USD 1.43 billion in 2025 to USD 7.69 billion by 2033.
Manufacturing
- The global Digital Manufacturing Software market was valued at USD 6.9 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 33.7 billion by 2032. Another source indicates the Digital Manufacturing Software market size as USD 12.5 billion in 2023, growing at a CAGR of 13.57% from 2023 to 2030.
- The global Manufacturing software market reached $44.7 billion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to $59.5 billion by 2029.
- The global Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM) market is projected to grow from USD 3.39 billion in 2024 to USD 5.69 billion by 2030.
Media and Entertainment
- The global Digital Media Production Software Market is projected to grow from USD 7.70 billion in 2024 to USD 28.04 billion by 2035.
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Autodesk (ADSK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- AI and Cloud-Powered Workflows: Autodesk is heavily investing in and leading the integration of AI into its design and make platforms, with a focus on its AI-first industry clouds: Forma, Fusion, and Flow. These AI-native, end-to-end workflows are designed to transform how industries like architecture, engineering, construction (AECO), and manufacturing operate, enhancing productivity and connecting professionals through advanced digital processes.
- Expansion in Core and High-Growth Markets: The company is tapping into multi-trillion-dollar markets, including infrastructure, construction, and manufacturing, by helping these sectors digitize and modernize. The AECO product family, in particular, has been identified as a primary growth driver, with strong performance driven by sustained investment in data centers, infrastructure, and industrial buildings.
- Leveraging its Subscription Model and Recurring Revenue: Autodesk's business model, characterized by a high proportion of recurring subscription revenue (around 97% as of fiscal 2025), provides substantial revenue predictability and stability. This consistent revenue stream forms a strong foundation for sustainable growth.
- Optimization of the New Transaction Model: The transition to a new transaction model is expected to continue providing a tailwind to both billings and revenue growth. This model contributes to efficient and sustainable growth by optimizing sales and marketing strategies and enhancing direct-to-customer sales.
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Share Repurchases
- Autodesk authorized a $5 billion share-repurchase program in November 2024. As of January 31, 2025, $3.88 billion remained available under a November 2022 program and the full $5 billion under the November 2024 program.
- The company repurchased $852 million in fiscal 2025 and 3 million shares at an average of $278.86 per share. In fiscal 2024, Autodesk repurchased 4 million shares for $795 million.
- For fiscal 2026, Autodesk targets share repurchases of approximately $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion. Share repurchases are consistently used to offset dilution from employee stock plans.
Share Issuance
- Share issuances primarily stem from the company's employee stock plans, which lead to dilution that is often offset by share repurchases.
- Autodesk's shares outstanding were 0.217 billion in 2025, a 0.46% increase from 2024.
- Stock-based compensation, which contributes to share issuance, amounted to $788 million for the latest twelve months ending July 31, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Autodesk spent $825 million on acquisitions in fiscal 2025, following $70 million in fiscal 2024 and $96 million in fiscal 2023.
- The company has strategically focused on organic growth and "tuck-in acquisitions," which averaged $231 million.
- Significant acquisitions in the last few years include Innovyze for $1 billion in March 2021, Golaem in August 2024, Datum360 in June 2024, Wonder Dynamics in May 2024, and Payapps in January 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Autodesk's capital expenditures for the latest twelve months ending July 31, 2025, totaled $41 million.
- Capital expenditures averaged $51.6 million for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025, with a peak of $91 million in January 2021 and a low of $31 million in January 2024.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 are approximately $50 million, primarily focused on internal-use software applications.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ADSK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.0% | 17.0% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | ADSK | Autodesk | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | 8.2% | -9.9% |
| 05312022 | ADSK | Autodesk | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.1% | -4.0% | -20.9% |
| 11302021 | ADSK | Autodesk | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -18.3% | -20.6% | -35.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Autodesk
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 237.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 42.3 |
| Rev LTM | 5,244 |
| Op Inc LTM | 956 |
| FCF LTM | 1,103 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,051 |
| CFO LTM | 1,193 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,143 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 42.3 |
| P/S | 8.0 |
| P/EBIT | 36.4 |
| P/E | 49.4 |
| P/CFO | 27.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $298.21 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 63.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/1985 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $300.66 | $294.38 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.8% | 1.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.2% | 27.7% |
| Downside Capture | 112.76 | 94.12 |
| Upside Capture | 54.17 | 79.26 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 51.4% | 62.3% |
ADSK Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.93 | 0.85 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.89 | 1.17 |
| Up Beta | 0.12 | 0.86 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Down Beta | 1.39 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Up Capture | 108% | 60% | 47% | 48% | 76% | 231% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 64 | 124 | 395 |
| Down Capture | 105% | 111% | 94% | 79% | 95% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 30 | 60 | 123 | 354 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ADSK With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 1.6% | 26.7% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 27.6% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 58.9% | 62.5% | 5.6% | 19.7% | 49.0% | 21.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ADSK With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.4% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 34.4% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 68.3% | 68.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 50.8% | 31.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ADSK With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 17.0% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 36.3% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 69.8% | 68.1% | 4.3% | 21.4% | 47.5% | 20.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/25/2025 | 2.4% | 3.9% | |
| 8/28/2025 | 9.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
| 5/22/2025 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 3.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | -2.9% | -7.8% | -7.3% |
| 11/26/2024 | -8.6% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 8/29/2024 | 0.1% | -3.0% | 6.7% |
| 6/3/2024 | 0.6% | 3.5% | 16.8% |
| 2/29/2024 | 2.5% | -1.7% | 0.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.3% | -4.3% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.3% |
| Max Negative | -15.5% | -17.9% | -21.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11262025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9022025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5292025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3062025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12032024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9032024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 6102024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12042023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8292023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3142023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3142022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Blum Steven M | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | 9092025 | Sell | 322.51 | 5,270 | 1,699,628 | 9,755,605 | Form |
| 1 | Keene Ruth Ann | EVP, Corp Affairs, CLO | 9042025 | Sell | 315.10 | 2,761 | 869,991 | 25,288,350 | Form |
| 2 | Howard Ayanna | 8292025 | Sell | 325.00 | 3,159 | 1,026,675 | 1,427,725 | Form | |
| 3 | Pearce Rebecca | EVP, Chief People Officer | 8292025 | Sell | 320.00 | 2,377 | 760,640 | 5,460,160 | Form |
| 4 | Pearce Rebecca | EVP, Chief People Officer | 7032025 | Sell | 315.00 | 3,251 | 1,024,065 | 6,123,600 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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