Tearsheet

Sable Offshore (SOC)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $12.94 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Sable Offshore (SOC)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $12.94
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0   Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -306 Mil
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%
0 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -306 Mil
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61%
4 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SOC Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SOC Return------44%-42%
Peers Return-32%18%84%3%-27%0%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SOC Win Rate----50%44% 
Peers Win Rate25%53%60%33%42%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SOC Max Drawdown------48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-1%-3%-22%-34%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NE, HP, VAL, RIG, PTEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SOC has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1858 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sable Offshore (SOC)

Better Bets than Sable Offshore (SOC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SOC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-8.6%-8.6%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
90.0%90.0%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.1%-14.1%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%14.5%-11.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.4%-5.4%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-8.6%-8.6%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
90.0%90.0%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.1%-14.1%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%14.5%-11.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sable Offshore

Financials

SOCNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSable Of.Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Mkt Price12.8329.6026.6857.703.916.3019.75
Mkt Cap1.24.72.74.13.52.43.1
Rev LTM03,4483,4282,4633,7944,8383,438
Op Inc LTM-306636312541512-67412
FCF LTM-39237232383289289
FCF 3Y Avg-249213-95-29395213
CFO LTM-901505594554880594
CFO 3Y Avg-7226573803911,016657

Growth & Margins

SOCNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSable Of.Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Rev Chg LTM-24.3%25.9%18.8%23.3%-16.6%23.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-59.6%27.4%-14.8%33.5%30.5%
Rev Chg Q--0.3%49.2%0.8%14.8%-13.4%0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--0.1%11.1%0.2%3.5%-3.6%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM-18.5%9.1%21.9%13.5%-1.4%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.8%14.2%11.9%4.5%4.9%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.2%-3.0%2.2%1.7%1.4%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-26.1%14.7%24.1%14.6%18.2%18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.3%22.5%18.0%12.4%22.1%22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.4%1.1%9.4%10.1%6.0%9.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.2%7.5%-4.8%-2.0%8.5%7.5%

Valuation

SOCNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSable Of.Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
Mkt Cap1.24.72.74.13.52.43.1
P/S-1.40.81.70.90.50.9
P/EBIT-2.18.513.26.8-2.9-36.12.3
P/E-1.820.7-86.014.9-2.3-17.7-2.0
P/CFO-5.25.36.96.32.75.3
Total Yield-56.3%8.2%0.4%6.7%-43.3%-3.1%-1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%1.6%0.0%0.0%2.6%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%6.4%-0.5%2.2%14.0%4.9%
D/E0.80.40.80.31.90.50.6
Net D/E0.60.30.80.21.80.50.5

Returns

SOCNEHPVALRIGPTENMedian
NameSable Of.Noble Helmeric.Valaris Transoce.Patterso. 
1M Rtn-26.5%4.7%20.8%18.3%25.3%21.6%19.5%
3M Rtn-58.2%12.4%66.9%18.7%33.9%8.1%15.5%
6M Rtn-35.9%36.2%39.6%62.3%67.1%10.6%37.9%
12M Rtn-39.0%0.8%-17.8%18.3%-1.8%-15.8%-8.8%
3Y Rtn--7.3%-38.2%-13.8%6.2%-60.5%-13.8%
1M Excs Rtn-37.7%-0.3%13.8%11.0%19.4%15.7%12.4%
3M Excs Rtn-66.1%7.9%63.4%18.1%29.3%5.9%13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-57.6%14.4%17.8%40.6%45.4%-11.1%16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-57.2%-17.5%-34.5%-0.8%-20.1%-34.3%-27.2%
3Y Excs Rtn--83.6%-107.6%-83.8%-67.0%-129.0%-83.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,647,841
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020257.1%
Average Daily Volume5,010,817
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.92
Basic Shares Quantity91,224,345
Short % of Basic Shares21.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/2025-2.1%-1.0%-15.5%
11/14/2024-8.2%2.4%-2.9%
8/13/20246.3%4.0%44.9%
5/15/202413.6%3.2%19.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive232
# Negative212
Median Positive10.0%3.2%32.4%
Median Negative-5.1%-1.0%-9.2%
Max Positive13.6%4.0%44.9%
Max Negative-8.2%-1.0%-15.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021404202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211122202110-Q 9/30/2021
6302021816202110-Q 6/30/2021
3312021528202110-Q 3/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Pilgrim Global ICAV7222025Sell21.98167,1753,674,506218,336,000Form
1Pilgrim Global ICAV4212025Sell25.37143,8063,648,358256,251,436Form