Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 5.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RYN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining factors that could have influenced Rayonier (RYN) stock movement around the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Deteriorating Investor Sentiment and Stock Drop in April 2025: Investor sentiment for Rayonier significantly deteriorated on April 8, 2025, causing the stock to fall by 16%. This substantial drop indicates a negative market reaction to underlying company or sector-specific news around that time.

2. Overall Weakness in the Timberland REIT Sector: The broader timberland REIT sector experienced headwinds, with returns down 17.5% year-to-date as of November 17, 2025. This indicates challenging market conditions for the industry, driven by factors such as a slow U.S. housing market and uncertain tariff dynamics, which would naturally affect Rayonier as a major player.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RYN Return-6%42%-16%6%-18%-10%-13%
Peers Return-10%35%-20%3%4%-6%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RYN Win Rate50%67%50%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%67%43%45%55%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RYN Max Drawdown-43%-1%-25%-22%-18%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-5%-30%-20%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, HIW, WY, RYN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRYNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven328 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven822 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days1480 days

Compare to O, FRT, HIW, WY, RYN


In The Past

Rayonier's stock fell -44.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -44.7% loss requires a 80.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rayonier (RYN)

Better Bets than Rayonier (RYN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rayonier

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RYNOFRTHIWWYMedian
NameRayonier Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae. 
Mkt Price21.2958.0997.8827.1521.8727.15
Mkt Cap3.353.18.42.915.88.4
Rev LTM1,2935,6121,2548087,0721,293
Op Inc LTM4282,564451208595451
FCF LTM1993,76333636389336
FCF 3Y Avg363,318276384466384
CFO LTM2933,763597363894597
CFO 3Y Avg2753,3185723841,095572

Growth & Margins

RYNOFRTHIWWYMedian
NameRayonier Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae. 
Rev Chg LTM60.6%14.7%6.0%-2.3%-1.6%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.7%21.5%6.2%-0.5%-11.8%6.2%
Rev Chg Q43.1%9.1%6.1%-1.2%2.1%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%2.1%1.5%-0.3%0.5%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM33.2%45.7%36.0%25.7%8.4%33.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.3%42.6%35.1%26.2%11.4%26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%1.1%-0.2%0.5%-0.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM22.6%67.1%47.6%44.9%12.6%44.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.2%69.5%48.2%46.5%14.9%46.5%
FCF/Rev LTM15.4%67.1%26.8%44.9%1.3%26.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%69.5%23.1%46.5%6.2%23.1%

Valuation

RYNOFRTHIWWYMedian
NameRayonier Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae. 
Mkt Cap3.353.18.42.915.88.4
P/S3.29.96.94.32.54.3
P/EBIT9.325.916.212.330.816.2
P/E5.357.725.127.154.027.1
P/CFO14.014.814.69.520.014.6
Total Yield24.7%6.9%4.0%9.9%5.2%6.9%
Dividend Yield5.8%5.2%0.0%6.2%3.3%5.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.7%6.9%3.2%13.2%2.0%3.2%
D/E0.30.50.61.00.30.5
Net D/E0.00.50.51.00.30.5

Returns

RYNOFRTHIWWYMedian
NameRayonier Realty I.Federal .Highwood.Weyerhae. 
1M Rtn-2.2%0.3%2.3%-3.2%-1.9%-1.9%
3M Rtn-11.4%1.6%-1.1%-11.2%-11.0%-11.0%
6M Rtn-1.7%6.8%5.3%-7.1%-15.3%-1.7%
12M Rtn-24.7%9.7%-10.0%-6.8%-28.8%-10.0%
3Y Rtn-27.7%8.9%1.8%16.5%-24.4%1.8%
1M Excs Rtn-2.2%0.3%2.3%-3.1%-1.9%-1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-18.6%-4.3%-7.3%-17.1%-18.9%-17.1%
6M Excs Rtn-16.4%-7.9%-9.5%-21.8%-30.1%-16.4%
12M Excs Rtn-38.6%-6.9%-25.9%-24.0%-43.5%-25.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-98.8%-61.5%-69.3%-53.9%-93.9%-69.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate39013819022975
Southern Timber264264204192194
New Zealand Timber235274281202242
Pacific Northwest Timber12416214312185
Trading44719589115
Corporate and other-0    
Intersegment Eliminations -0-4-4-0
Timber Funds 019930 
Total1,0579091,110859712


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate157581137239
Southern Timber7697664158
New Zealand Timber2631523048
Trading000-00
Pacific Northwest Timber-9157-10-12
Corporate and other-39-35-31-45-25
Timber Funds 063-13 
Total21116627074107


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,354,067
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202522.0%
Average Daily Volume1,712,529
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.13
Basic Shares Quantity154,306,240
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021