Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

RYN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of 7/31/2025 to 11/13/2025 is in the future. Therefore, there is no historical data available to explain the stock movement of Rayonier (RYN) during this period. I am unable to provide the key points for why the stock moved by 1.8% as the events have not yet occurred.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RYN Return-6%42%-16%6%-18%-7%-10%
Peers Return-11%27%-14%20%2%-5%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RYN Win Rate50%67%50%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate33%68%40%53%55%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RYN Max Drawdown-43%-1%-25%-22%-18%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-5%-25%-12%-16%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RHP, KRG, KRC, PECO, WY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRYNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven328 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven822 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days1480 days

Compare to RHP, KRG, KRC, PECO, WY


In The Past

Rayonier's stock fell -44.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -44.7% loss requires a 80.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rayonier (RYN)

Better Bets than Rayonier (RYN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.7%-3.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.7%-3.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rayonier

Financials

RYNRHPKRGKRCPECOWYMedian
NameRayonier Ryman Ho.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.Phillips.Weyerhae. 
Mkt Price22.1494.4122.6442.2534.7122.4528.68
Mkt Cap3.45.95.05.04.416.25.0
Rev LTM1,2932,4878571,1277127,0721,210
Op Inc LTM428469199335191595382
FCF LTM1992502865120189200
FCF 3Y Avg3627526838208466238
CFO LTM293593434565336894500
CFO 3Y Avg2755784185703131,095494

Growth & Margins

RYNRHPKRGKRCPECOWYMedian
NameRayonier Ryman Ho.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.Phillips.Weyerhae. 
Rev Chg LTM60.6%7.0%3.6%0.8%10.7%-1.6%5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.7%15.9%4.1%1.7%7.9%-11.8%6.0%
Rev Chg Q43.1%7.7%-1.1%-3.5%10.4%2.1%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%1.7%-0.3%-0.9%2.5%0.5%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM33.2%18.8%23.2%29.7%26.8%8.4%25.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.3%20.5%19.2%29.3%25.6%11.4%21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-1.0%0.4%-0.1%1.2%-0.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM22.6%23.8%50.7%50.2%47.2%12.6%35.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.2%25.2%49.9%50.4%48.1%14.9%38.6%
FCF/Rev LTM15.4%10.0%33.4%4.5%28.2%1.3%12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%12.2%32.0%3.4%32.0%6.2%9.2%

Valuation

RYNRHPKRGKRCPECOWYMedian
NameRayonier Ryman Ho.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.Phillips.Weyerhae. 
Mkt Cap3.45.95.05.04.416.25.0
P/S2.62.45.84.46.12.33.5
P/EBIT7.812.318.010.522.127.915.1
P/E4.425.035.615.553.248.930.3
P/CFO11.710.011.48.813.018.111.6
Total Yield29.7%8.7%7.5%11.6%5.4%5.7%8.1%
Dividend Yield7.0%4.7%4.7%5.2%3.6%3.7%4.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.7%5.0%5.3%0.9%4.8%2.0%3.4%
D/E0.30.70.60.90.60.30.6
Net D/E0.00.60.60.90.60.30.6

Returns

RYNRHPKRGKRCPECOWYMedian
NameRayonier Ryman Ho.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.Phillips.Weyerhae. 
1M Rtn-9.4%6.2%4.5%4.7%3.4%-6.2%4.0%
3M Rtn-11.4%-1.9%5.6%10.5%2.8%-14.3%0.5%
6M Rtn1.4%-2.0%2.7%37.9%0.1%-12.3%0.8%
12M Rtn-16.5%-13.0%-12.7%12.5%-7.9%-24.6%-12.8%
3Y Rtn-24.7%18.4%18.8%14.3%22.1%-24.3%16.4%
1M Excs Rtn-6.0%2.2%0.7%1.0%-0.2%-9.2%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-16.6%-5.6%1.0%5.7%-2.6%-19.9%-4.1%
6M Excs Rtn-14.8%-18.2%-13.5%21.6%-16.2%-28.6%-15.5%
12M Excs Rtn-34.1%-26.3%-27.6%-6.5%-22.0%-41.8%-26.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.3%-54.6%-56.7%-59.3%-53.9%-99.1%-58.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate39013819022975
Southern Timber264264204192194
New Zealand Timber235274281202242
Pacific Northwest Timber12416214312185
Trading44719589115
Corporate and other-0    
Intersegment Eliminations -0-4-4-0
Timber Funds 019930 
Total1,0579091,110859712


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate157581137239
Southern Timber7697664158
New Zealand Timber2631523048
Trading000-00
Pacific Northwest Timber-9157-10-12
Corporate and other-39-35-31-45-25
Timber Funds 063-13 
Total21116627074107


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,390,442
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202516.2%
Average Daily Volume1,462,799
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3
Basic Shares Quantity154,306,240
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20251.6%  
8/6/20258.3%12.3%12.2%
4/30/2025-3.6%-4.0%-3.1%
2/5/20252.4%-1.6%6.1%
11/6/20240.5%-4.3%-0.0%
8/7/2024-4.1%-5.2%0.5%
5/1/2024-1.2%-0.5%0.8%
1/31/20246.8%8.5%13.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14912
# Negative101512
Median Positive1.5%5.8%7.2%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.0%-4.0%
Max Positive13.6%13.4%25.0%
Max Negative-7.8%-13.7%-14.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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