Rayonier (RYN)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $22.15 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Timber REITs
Rayonier (RYN)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $22.15Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Timber REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26%, FCF Yield is 5.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 30%, Dividend Yield is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 26%, FCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
RYN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of 7/31/2025 to 11/13/2025 is in the future. Therefore, there is no historical data available to explain the stock movement of Rayonier (RYN) during this period. I am unable to provide the key points for why the stock moved by 1.8% as the events have not yet occurred.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RYN Return | -6% | 42% | -16% | 6% | -18% | -7% | -10% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 27% | -14% | 20% | 2% | -5% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RYN Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 68% | 40% | 53% | 55% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RYN Max Drawdown | -43% | -1% | -25% | -22% | -18% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -5% | -25% | -12% | -16% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RHP, KRG, KRC, PECO, WY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RYN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 822 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 410 days | 1480 days |
Compare to RHP, KRG, KRC, PECO, WY
In The Past
Rayonier's stock fell -44.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -44.7% loss requires a 80.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rayonier
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,210 |
| Op Inc LTM | 382 |
| FCF LTM | 200 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 238 |
| CFO LTM | 500 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 494 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 15.1 |
| P/E | 30.3 |
| P/CFO | 11.6 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate | 390 | 138 | 190 | 229 | 75 |
| Southern Timber | 264 | 264 | 204 | 192 | 194 |
| New Zealand Timber | 235 | 274 | 281 | 202 | 242 |
| Pacific Northwest Timber | 124 | 162 | 143 | 121 | 85 |
| Trading | 44 | 71 | 95 | 89 | 115 |
| Corporate and other | -0 | ||||
| Intersegment Eliminations | -0 | -4 | -4 | -0 | |
| Timber Funds | 0 | 199 | 30 | ||
| Total | 1,057 | 909 | 1,110 | 859 | 712 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate | 157 | 58 | 113 | 72 | 39 |
| Southern Timber | 76 | 97 | 66 | 41 | 58 |
| New Zealand Timber | 26 | 31 | 52 | 30 | 48 |
| Trading | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | 0 |
| Pacific Northwest Timber | -9 | 15 | 7 | -10 | -12 |
| Corporate and other | -39 | -35 | -31 | -45 | -25 |
| Timber Funds | 0 | 63 | -13 | ||
| Total | 211 | 166 | 270 | 74 | 107 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 1.6% | ||
| 8/6/2025 | 8.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | -3.6% | -4.0% | -3.1% |
| 2/5/2025 | 2.4% | -1.6% | 6.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.5% | -4.3% | -0.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | -4.1% | -5.2% | 0.5% |
| 5/1/2024 | -1.2% | -0.5% | 0.8% |
| 1/31/2024 | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -3.0% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 13.6% | 13.4% | 25.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -13.7% | -14.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |