Ryvyl (RVYL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.3488 | Market Cap: $3.7 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Ryvyl (RVYL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.3488Market Cap: $3.7 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 143% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, and Blockchain Enterprise Solutions. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.4% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -262% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 194% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 143% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, and Blockchain Enterprise Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -262% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 194% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 33% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RVYL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Ryvyl (RVYL) stock experienced positive movement during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Merger Agreement with RTB Digital and Strategic Investment. RYVYL announced a significant merger agreement with RTB Digital, Inc. (also referred to as Roundtable) to power a Web3 digital media platform on a Bitcoin Treasury Ecosystem. This partnership was further solidified by RTB Digital's $5 million investment in RYVYL. The anticipation of the merger generated significant trading activity in RYVYL's shares and led to the rescheduling of the 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting to allow new shareholders to participate.
2. Regaining Nasdaq Compliance. After facing challenges with Nasdaq's Majority Independent Board Requirement and Audit Committee Composition Requirement in September 2025, Ryvyl successfully regained compliance with Nasdaq's stockholders' equity rule by October 2025. This resolution likely instilled greater investor confidence by removing potential delisting concerns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RVYL Return | -50% | 8300% | -89% | -9% | -69% | -74% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 6% | -31% | 39% | -9% | -3% | -4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RVYL Win Rate | 8% | 33% | 17% | 58% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 12% | 27% | 20% | 38% | 33% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RVYL Max Drawdown | -78% | 0% | -90% | -64% | -78% | -80% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | 0% | -1% | -34% | -10% | -22% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RVYL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11816.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -78.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 354.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -82.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 471.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 485 days | 120 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK
In The Past
Ryvyl's stock fell -99.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -99.2% loss requires a 11816.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RVYL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ryvyl
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,202 |
| Op Inc LTM | -27 |
| FCF LTM | 163 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 140 |
| CFO LTM | 188 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 148 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -10.2 |
| P/E | 15.1 |
| P/CFO | 16.9 |
| Total Yield | -3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | S8 Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | 7172025 | Buy | 0.36 | 200,000 | 71,180 | 1,282,964 | Form | |
| 1 | S8 Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | 7032025 | Sell | 0.83 | 100,000 | 82,740 | 2,817,169 | Form | |
| 2 | S8 Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | 7012025 | Buy | 0.79 | 100,000 | 79,460 | 2,773,435 | Form | |
| 3 | S8 Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | 6272025 | Buy | 0.77 | 3,354 | 2,583 | 2,533,573 | Form | |
| 4 | S8 Global Fintech & Regtech Fund | 6242025 | Buy | 0.75 | 100,000 | 75,090 | 2,393,118 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |