Tearsheet

Shift4 Payments (FOUR)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $43.26 | Market Cap: $2.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Shift4 Payments (FOUR)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $43.26
Market Cap: $2.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Key risks
FOUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to cyclical consumer spending due to its concentration in the hospitality and entertainment verticals, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
8 Key risks
FOUR key risks include [1] its significant exposure to cyclical consumer spending due to its concentration in the hospitality and entertainment verticals, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) stock has lost about 25% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Shift4 Payments reported a significant revenue miss for Q4 2025 and issued substantially lowered revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026.

The company's Q4 2025 revenue of $610 million fell considerably short of analyst estimates of $1.20 billion. Furthermore, Shift4 provided a much lower-than-expected revenue outlook for FY2026, projecting $2.5 billion to $2.6 billion against a consensus estimate of $3.9 billion. The Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $547.5 million also missed analyst estimates of $1.13 billion. This notable disparity between actual and projected revenues versus market expectations signaled a slowdown in growth, negatively impacting investor sentiment.

2. Analysts responded to the weaker outlook with widespread downgrades and significant reductions in price targets.

Following the Q4 2025 earnings report and the subdued FY2026 guidance, several prominent Wall Street firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for Shift4 Payments. For instance, Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock from a "buy" to a "hold" rating and lowered its price target from $100.00 to $65.00. Similarly, Goldman Sachs downgraded Shift4 Payments to Neutral with a $56 price target, citing growth concerns. Other firms like BMO Capital Markets initiated coverage with a "market perform" rating and a $50.00 price objective. These collective reductions in analyst confidence and valuation estimates exerted downward pressure on the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -27.4% change in FOUR stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120265062026Change
Stock Price ($)59.0442.88-27.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,8794,1807.8%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%2.8%-43.4%
P/E Multiple20.724.016.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)69672.7%
Cumulative Contribution-27.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-27.4% 
Market (SPY)3.6%31.8%
Sector (XLF)-2.5%30.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.9% change in FOUR stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120255062026Change
Stock Price ($)69.1042.88-37.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6114,18015.8%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%2.8%-53.5%
P/E Multiple21.224.013.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)68671.6%
Cumulative Contribution-37.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-37.9% 
Market (SPY)5.5%36.0%
Sector (XLF)-0.2%32.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -47.6% change in FOUR stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020255062026Change
Stock Price ($)81.8042.88-47.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,4724,18020.4%
Net Income Margin (%)6.5%2.8%-56.3%
P/E Multiple25.024.0-3.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)69673.6%
Cumulative Contribution-47.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-47.6% 
Market (SPY)30.4%36.7%
Sector (XLF)8.0%35.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.7% change in FOUR stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235062026Change
Stock Price ($)67.7742.88-36.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,9944,180109.7%
Net Income Margin (%)3.8%2.8%-24.4%
P/E Multiple51.524.0-53.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5767-14.5%
Cumulative Contribution-36.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FOUR-36.7% 
Market (SPY)78.7%45.6%
Sector (XLF)64.0%45.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FOUR Return-23%-3%33%40%-39%-35%-46%
Peers Return-33%-47%11%27%-20%-20%-68%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%6%93%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FOUR Win Rate42%50%58%58%50%20% 
Peers Win Rate43%35%53%55%48%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FOUR Max Drawdown-35%-47%-22%-22%-39%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-55%-20%-18%-32%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TOST, GPN, FIS, LSPD, PYPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFOURS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven96 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-35.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-13.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven2 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven208 days427 days

Compare to TOST, GPN, FIS, LSPD, PYPL

In The Past

Shift4 Payments's stock fell -30.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 43.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventFOURS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven96 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-35.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven208 days427 days

Compare to TOST, GPN, FIS, LSPD, PYPL

In The Past

Shift4 Payments's stock fell -30.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 43.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides integrated payment processing and technology solutions in the United States. It provides omni-channel card acceptance and processing solutions, including credit, debit, contactless card, Europay, Mastercard and visa, QR Pay, and mobile wallets, as well as alternative payment methods; merchant acquiring; proprietary omni-channel gateway; complementary software integrations; integrated and mobile point-of-sale (POS) solutions; security and risk management solutions; reporting and analytical tools; and web-store design, hosting, shopping cart management, and fulfillment integration, as well as tokenization, payment device and chargeback management, fraud prevention, and gift card solutions. The company also offers VenueNext that provides mobile ordering, countertop POS, and self-service kiosk services, as well as digital wallet to facilitate food and beverage, merchandise, and loyalty for stadium and entertainment venues; and Shift4Shop, which offers eCommerce solutions, including website builder, shopping cart, product catalog, order management, marketing, search engine optimization, secure hosting, and mobile webstores. In addition, it provides Lighthouse, a cloud-based business intelligence tool that includes customer engagement, social media management, online reputation management, scheduling, and product pricing, as well as reporting and analytics; SkyTab, a hybrid-cloud-based integrated POS solution; SkyTab Mobile, a mobile payment solution; and marketplace technology for integrations into third-party applications. Further, the company offers merchant management, training and education, marketing management, and incentives tracking solutions. Additionally, it provides merchant underwriting, onboarding and activation, training, risk management, and support services; and software integrations and compliance management, and partner support and services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Shift4 Payments (FOUR):

  1. Shift4 Payments is like Square (Block Inc.) for a broader range of businesses, providing an all-in-one platform for integrated payment processing, point-of-sale (POS) systems, and business management tools.
  2. Shift4 Payments is like Shopify combined with a full-service payment processor and physical point-of-sale (POS) systems, offering comprehensive solutions for both online and in-person commerce.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Payment Processing Solutions: Provides comprehensive omni-channel card acceptance and processing, encompassing credit, debit, contactless, mobile wallets, and various alternative payment methods.
  • Point-of-Sale (POS) Solutions: Offers integrated and mobile POS systems, including SkyTab and SkyTab Mobile, designed for efficient transaction processing in physical business environments.
  • eCommerce Solutions (Shift4Shop): Delivers a full-featured platform for online businesses, including website building, shopping cart management, order processing, and marketing tools.
  • VenueNext: A specialized platform providing mobile ordering, self-service kiosks, and digital wallet capabilities tailored for stadiums and entertainment venues.
  • Lighthouse: A cloud-based business intelligence tool that offers features for customer engagement, social media management, reporting, and advanced analytics.
  • Security & Risk Management: Includes solutions for tokenization, fraud prevention, chargeback management, and compliance to ensure secure and reliable payment transactions.
  • Merchant & Partner Support Services: Encompasses a range of services such as merchant underwriting, onboarding, training, and ongoing support for both businesses and integration partners.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (FOUR) primarily sells its integrated payment processing and technology solutions to other businesses. Based on the services and products described, its major customer categories include:
  • General Merchants and Retailers: This broad category encompasses businesses of various sizes that require comprehensive payment processing for both in-store and online transactions. They utilize Shift4's omni-channel card acceptance, merchant acquiring, integrated and mobile point-of-sale (POS) solutions, e-commerce platforms (such as Shift4Shop for website building and shopping cart management), security features, and reporting tools.
  • Hospitality Sector Businesses: Restaurants, bars, and hotels are key beneficiaries of Shift4's specialized solutions like SkyTab (a hybrid-cloud-based integrated POS solution) and SkyTab Mobile (a mobile payment solution). These tools are designed to streamline order taking, payment processing, and overall business intelligence within hospitality environments.
  • Stadiums and Entertainment Venues: Large-scale venues are specifically targeted with Shift4's VenueNext platform. This solution provides mobile ordering, countertop POS, and self-service kiosk services, along with digital wallet capabilities, to facilitate food and beverage sales, merchandise purchases, and loyalty programs within these entertainment settings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Taylor Lauber, Chief Executive Officer Taylor Lauber serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Shift4 Payments. He was appointed to this role in February 2022, and also assumed the Chairman role after Jared Isaacman's resignation as Executive Chairman. Under his leadership, the company has seen revenue growth and an increase in Adjusted EBITDA.

Christopher Cruz, Chief Financial Officer Christopher Cruz became the Chief Financial Officer of Shift4 Payments on September 1, 2025, succeeding Nancy Disman. Prior to this role, he was a member of Shift4's board of directors since the company went public in 2020 and served as Lead Independent Director. His background includes experience in investing, having been a partner at the investment management firm Searchlight Capital and a member of the investment team at Oaktree Capital Management.

Jared Isaacman, Founder Jared Isaacman founded Shift4 Payments (originally United Bank Card) in 1999 at the age of 16, serving as its CEO since its inception. He guided the company through its public listing on the New York Stock Exchange in 2020. Isaacman also co-founded Draken International in 2011, a defense aerospace company providing adversary air training services to the U.S. military and NATO allies, which he later sold to the Blackstone Group in 2019. In December 2024, he was nominated to serve as the 15th Administrator of NASA.

Jordan Frankel, Chief Legal Officer Jordan Frankel serves as the Chief Legal Officer for Shift4 Payments. He has been with the company since 2014, previously holding positions as Secretary, General Counsel, and Executive Vice President of Legal, Risk, and Compliance.

Timothy Goodwin, Chief Payments Officer Timothy Goodwin was appointed Chief Payments Officer of Shift4 Payments in March 2026, a newly created position. In this role, he is responsible for all global payment technology, including the company's gateway and processing platforms. Goodwin joined Shift4 as a senior vice president of product in 2025 and has over two decades of experience in the payments industry, having previously served as Chief Product and Technology Officer for Planet Payments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Key Risks to Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

  1. Macroeconomic Sensitivity and Economic Downturn: Shift4 Payments' revenue and profitability are highly susceptible to fluctuations in global economic conditions, including inflation and political instability. The company's significant exposure to discretionary spending verticals such as hospitality, entertainment, and luxury retail means that a decline in consumer and business spending can directly lead to reduced transaction volumes and negatively impact its financial performance.
  2. Acquisition and Integration Risk: Shift4 Payments has pursued an aggressive growth strategy involving significant acquisitions, notably the large-scale international acquisition of Global Blue Group Holding AG. There are inherent risks in integrating such substantial businesses, including potential operational disruptions, financial losses, complexities arising from diverse regulatory environments in new markets, and the challenge of managing increased financial leverage.
  3. Intense Competition: The payment processing and technology solutions industry is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. Shift4 Payments faces constant innovation from rivals and pressure on pricing to maintain or gain market share. Smaller players like Shift4 may find themselves at a disadvantage against larger competitors with more aggressive strategies, potentially affecting customer retention and growth prospects.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

1. The introduction of "Tap to Pay" on iPhone by Apple Inc., which allows merchants to accept contactless payments directly on an iPhone without additional hardware. This directly competes with Shift4's integrated and mobile point-of-sale (POS) solutions and hardware-dependent mobile payment offerings like SkyTab Mobile.

2. The continued expansion of Shopify's integrated ecosystem, encompassing Shopify Payments and Shopify POS. This provides a comprehensive e-commerce platform with native payment processing and physical POS capabilities, directly competing with Shift4's Shift4Shop e-commerce solutions, payment processing, and integrated POS offerings like SkyTab.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) operates within several substantial addressable markets for its integrated payment processing and technology solutions.

Shift4's management estimates a long-term addressable market of approximately $14 trillion. Initially, their primary market was the $800 billion U.S. hospitality and retail sector, but with strategic expansion, this is projected to grow into a global opportunity exceeding $1.4 trillion, encompassing new verticals and geographic regions.

For its core offerings, the market sizes are as follows:

  • Payment Processing Solutions:
    • Globally, the payment processing solutions market was valued at approximately $70.37 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $156.60 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.1%. Other estimates place the global market at around $66.8 billion in 2024, growing to approximately $198.9 billion by 2034 at an 11.7% CAGR. Another report suggests the global market was worth $104.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $251.1 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 9.19%. In terms of vendor revenue, the global payment processing market is projected to generate between $60 billion and $140 billion in 2025, potentially exceeding $170 billion when including value-added services like gateways and fraud prevention.
    • North America is a dominant region within this market, holding approximately 35% of the market share in 2024 and 47% in 2025. Some estimates suggest North America constitutes 30% to 40% of the global market in 2025.
  • Point-of-Sale (POS) Terminal Solutions:
    • The global POS terminal solution market was valued at $72.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $128.4 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.1%. Another assessment indicates the global point of sale market size was $38.56 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $138.92 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 15.3%.
    • In North America, the POS terminal market is expected to grow from $9.78 billion in 2025 to $16.53 billion by 2031, at a 9.18% CAGR. The U.S. POS system requirement market held the largest revenue share within North America in 2024.
  • E-commerce Solutions:
    • The global e-commerce market size was estimated at $25.93 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach $83.26 trillion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 18.9% from 2024 to 2030.
    • The U.S. e-commerce market is estimated at $1.38 trillion in 2026 and is projected to reach $2.28 trillion by 2031, with a 10.53% CAGR over the period. Another report estimates the U.S. e-commerce market size at $1.31 trillion in 2025, expected to reach $2.15 trillion by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.35%.
  • Hospitality Market:
    • The global hospitality market exceeded $4.7 trillion in 2023, with forecasts for growth to approximately $5.5 trillion in 2024 and $11.6 trillion in 2029. The global hotel market specifically was about $1.3 trillion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to around $2.9 trillion by 2032. The hospitality segment is expected to hold the highest market share in payment processing solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shift4 Payments (symbol: FOUR) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  • International Expansion and Strategic Acquisitions: Shift4 is actively expanding its global footprint, particularly in Europe, and leveraging strategic acquisitions to enter new markets and enhance its offerings. The acquisition and integration of Global Blue, a leader in tax-free shopping, is expected to provide significant revenue synergies, especially in luxury retail across over 75 countries. Additionally, acquisitions like Bambora North America add a substantial merchant base, creating opportunities for further market penetration. The company plans to roll out all-in-one payment terminals in 15 European countries in 2026.
  • Growth in Core and New Verticals: The company is focused on expanding its presence within the "experience economy," including hospitality, restaurants, stadiums, and entertainment venues. This involves increasing ticketing volume and global commerce technology solutions for these large-scale environments. Shift4 also seeks to expand into new verticals, diversifying its merchant base.
  • Expansion of End-to-End Payment Volume and Customer Acquisition: A fundamental driver is the continuous growth in end-to-end payment volume, achieved by acquiring new merchants and converting existing gateway-only customers to Shift4's comprehensive end-to-end processing solutions. The company aims for consistent growth in merchant acquisition, targeting several thousand new merchants per month.
  • Introduction and Adoption of Innovative Product and Technology Solutions: The development and successful adoption of new products and integrated technology solutions, such as the SkyTab POS system, are crucial for revenue growth. SkyTab, designed for restaurants and SMBs, aims to streamline operations and enhance customer experience, with accelerated growth in installations. Shift4 is also integrating AI-driven solutions, such as AI-driven phone ordering for restaurants using SkyTab, to improve efficiency and capture more sales opportunities.
  • Enhanced Cross-Selling Opportunities and Direct Distribution: Acquisitions and the strategic shift to a more direct distribution channel are expected to unlock significant cross-selling opportunities. By directly offering its comprehensive suite of payment and technology solutions to newly acquired or existing merchant relationships, Shift4 can increase the value generated from each customer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Shift4 Payments authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million in December 2021, which expired at the end of 2022.
  • In May 2024, the company authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $500 million, set to expire in December 2025.
  • As of November 2025, Shift4 Payments announced a $1 billion stock buyback program, and between Q4 2025 and year-to-date Q1 2026, it repurchased 7.7 million shares, with $500 million remaining under the authorization.

Share Issuance

  • In May 2025, Shift4 Payments priced an underwritten public offering of 8,750,000 shares of Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock at $100.00 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 1,250,000 shares.
  • The net proceeds from this offering, along with additional debt financing and cash, were intended to fund the acquisition of Global Blue Group Holding AG and/or for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, other strategic acquisitions, and growth initiatives.
  • In March 2026, the company filed an US$83.78 million shelf registration for 1,730,632 Class A shares tied to an Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP).

Outbound Investments

  • Shift4 Payments announced the acquisition of Global Blue Group Holding AG, partially funded by the offering of Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock in May 2025.
  • In "recent weeks" leading up to March 2026, the company completed the Bambora North America acquisition.
  • Shift4 expanded its global footprint in 2025 by integrating Global Blue and entering new markets such as Australia, New Zealand, and Canada, establishing a presence outside the Americas with over 80,000 merchants.

Capital Expenditures

  • Shift4 Payments' capital expenditures averaged $90.16 million annually from fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025.
  • Capital expenditures showed a consistent increase over the last five fiscal years, rising from $54.1 million in 2021 to $135 million in 2025.
  • The company continues to invest in technology innovation and product development, including offerings like SkyTab and business intelligence tools.

Better Bets vs. Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Mkt Price42.8828.3169.6345.979.4246.2744.42
Mkt Cap2.916.616.523.81.342.216.6
Rev LTM4,1806,1538,30910,6771,19033,7347,231
Op Inc LTM3373041,5631,759-1366,362950
FCF LTM3736082,0391,82775,5031,218
FCF 3Y Avg2943362,1042,212-645,4851,220
CFO LTM6346612,6572,816576,3901,659
CFO 3Y Avg4933852,7553,074-356,2241,624

Growth & Margins

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Rev Chg LTM25.5%24.1%-0.2%5.4%12.9%5.8%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.0%31.3%-1.7%-3.5%19.9%6.3%13.1%
Rev Chg Q33.9%22.0%-0.0%8.2%11.5%7.2%9.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.8%5.0%-0.0%2.0%2.8%1.7%2.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM34.3%406.7%-12.9%-0.2%-1.9%6.4%3.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg88.1%184.3%-0.8%8.8%23.0%12.7%17.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.1%4.9%18.8%16.5%-11.5%18.9%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.2%-0.4%20.0%16.6%-16.1%18.2%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.7%-2.3%-0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM15.2%10.7%32.0%26.4%4.8%18.9%17.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.6%7.2%34.4%30.3%-4.3%19.4%17.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.9%9.9%24.5%17.1%0.6%16.3%13.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%6.2%26.3%21.9%-7.0%17.1%12.9%

Valuation

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
Mkt Cap2.916.616.523.81.342.216.6
P/S0.72.72.02.21.11.31.6
P/Op Inc8.554.810.513.5-9.66.69.5
P/EBIT7.454.88.215.2-1.96.57.8
P/E24.048.711.862.4-1.98.417.9
P/CFO4.525.26.28.423.06.67.5
Total Yield4.2%2.1%9.9%5.2%-53.0%12.3%4.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.4%3.6%0.0%0.3%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%1.8%8.4%6.1%-2.2%9.9%5.9%
D/E1.60.01.30.60.00.20.4
Net D/E1.3-0.10.80.5-0.40.00.3

Returns

FOURTOSTGPNFISLSPDPYPLMedian
NameShift4 P.Toast Global P.Fidelity.Lightspe.PayPal  
1M Rtn1.5%4.8%7.1%-1.5%5.6%1.7%3.3%
3M Rtn-26.3%-0.0%-1.3%-10.1%-6.7%13.1%-4.0%
6M Rtn-36.2%-27.4%-11.5%-28.0%-18.7%-31.7%-27.7%
12M Rtn-48.3%-19.6%-11.1%-37.9%-3.2%-31.6%-25.6%
3Y Rtn-31.1%53.6%-31.5%-10.9%-33.2%-38.0%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn-4.8%-2.3%-0.3%-11.8%-5.1%-8.2%-5.0%
3M Excs Rtn-33.3%-7.0%-8.3%-17.1%-13.7%6.1%-11.0%
6M Excs Rtn-44.8%-28.2%-16.6%-32.5%-28.1%-39.4%-30.4%
12M Excs Rtn-78.5%-51.4%-41.4%-70.1%-32.8%-62.5%-56.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.0%-15.1%-107.0%-89.1%-104.1%-114.8%-105.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment3,3312,565   
Payments-based revenue  1,8571,258684
Subscription and other revenues  13611083
Total3,3312,5651,9941,368767


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment295    
Total295    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$42.88 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.9 
First Trading Date06/05/2020 
Distance from 52W High-59.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$45.82$67.63
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-6.4%-36.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility78.2%52.0%
Downside Capture1.621.23
Upside Capture98.2686.28
Correlation (SPY)29.6%36.0%
FOUR Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.791.331.661.711.501.48
Up Beta1.541.361.121.641.751.43
Down Beta11.163.553.001.841.681.57
Up Capture79%78%92%110%58%187%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12202753118372
Down Capture578%90%211%190%160%111%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10233671132378

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR-50.6%51.7%-1.19-
Sector ETF (XLF)6.5%14.6%0.2136.1%
Equity (SPY)28.5%12.5%1.7837.8%
Gold (GLD)40.6%27.2%1.23-6.6%
Commodities (DBC)50.9%18.0%2.20-4.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.5%0.6517.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-14.2%42.1%-0.2516.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR-16.0%56.2%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.1%18.6%0.3745.1%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5850.6%
Gold (GLD)21.0%17.9%0.962.9%
Commodities (DBC)13.9%19.1%0.6010.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0939.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.7%56.1%0.3722.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FOUR
FOUR2.0%57.4%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.5%22.2%0.5241.5%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7149.0%
Gold (GLD)13.7%16.0%0.713.0%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%17.7%0.4512.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2437.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.4%66.9%1.0720.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-8.0%
Average Daily Volume1.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity66.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares22.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/2026-15.6%-17.3%-15.6%
11/6/2025-0.5%9.0%-0.6%
4/29/202512.8%3.7%13.8%
2/18/2025-17.5%-23.2%-29.8%
11/12/2024-5.5%-4.1%-3.0%
8/8/202411.3%26.2%19.2%
5/9/20244.0%22.9%23.5%
2/27/20245.6%11.3%-7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121311
# Negative768
Median Positive10.0%19.1%20.9%
Median Negative-7.1%-10.7%-8.1%
Max Positive16.1%33.1%37.8%
Max Negative-17.5%-24.3%-29.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue 548.00 Mil   Higher New
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA 233.00 Mil   Higher New
Q1 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow 70.00 Mil   Higher New
2026 Volume240.00 Bil250.00 Bil260.00 Bil19.9% RaisedGuidance: 208.50 Bil for 2025
2026 Revenue2.50 Bil2.55 Bil2.60 Bil27.5% RaisedGuidance: 2.00 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.17 Bil1.19 Bil1.22 Bil21.7% RaisedGuidance: 977.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow490.00 Mil500.00 Mil510.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Non-GAAP EPS5.55.65.7  Higher New

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Volume207.00 Bil208.50 Bil210.00 Bil-0.7% LoweredGuidance: 210.00 Bil for 2025
2025 Gross Revenue Less Network Fees1.98 Bil2.00 Bil2.02 Bil18.0% RaisedGuidance: 1.70 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA970.00 Mil977.50 Mil985.00 Mil14.7% RaisedGuidance: 852.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Blended Spreads 0.01    

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Isaacman, Jared DirectBuy311202645.7543,8272,004,87964,534,130Form
2Isaacman, Jared DirectBuy304202643.8345,6932,002,94859,917,925Form
3Isaacman, Jared DirectBuy302202644.15159,2447,030,41658,329,571Form
4Isaacman, Jared DirectBuy302202648.38136,9936,627,84556,216,816Form
5Disman, Nancy DirectSell1215202569.505,000347,5009,064,190Form