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Paysafe (PSFE)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.18 | Market Cap: $485.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Paysafe (PSFE)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $8.18
Market Cap: $485.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 311%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Markets & Betting, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Markets & Betting, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 311%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSFE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Paysafe Missed Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Expectations.

Paysafe reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.70 for the third quarter of 2025, which fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $0.73. Additionally, the company's Q3 revenue of $433.8 million missed the anticipated $439.51 million. This dual miss on key financial metrics contributed to a significant negative market reaction.

2. The Company Significantly Lowered its Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance.

Following the Q3 results, Paysafe dramatically cut its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS outlook to a range of $1.83-$1.88, down from its previous guidance of $2.21-$2.51. Full-year revenue projections were also reduced to $1.70 billion-$1.71 billion, from an earlier target of $1.710 billion-$1.734 billion. This downward revision in guidance signaled weaker expectations for future performance.

3. A Shift Towards Lower-Margin Products Impacted Profitability.

A key factor cited for the lowered guidance was a stronger-than-expected performance in lower-margin products and sales channels, such as the Independent Sales Organization (ISO) channel. This negative mix shift negatively affected overall profitability, outweighing growth in higher-margin areas.

4. Paysafe Reported a Widened Net Loss Due to a Large Income Tax Charge.

The net loss for the third quarter of 2025 significantly widened to $87.7 million, compared to a net loss of $13.0 million in the same period a year prior. This increase was primarily driven by an $81.2 million income tax charge, a non-cash item, related to a new valuation allowance on U.S. deferred tax assets following the passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" in July 2025.

5. Analyst Downgrades and Concerns Over High Leverage Exacerbated the Decline.

In response to the disappointing financial update, several analysts lowered their price targets for Paysafe, and some maintained or downgraded their ratings, reflecting cautious sentiment. Furthermore, concerns over the company's financial health, including a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.22 and an Altman Z-Score of -0.09 indicating potential distress, contributed to investor apprehension.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSFE Return--74%-70%-8%34%-52%-95%
Peers Return13%13%-38%33%-9%-1%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSFE Win Rate100%42%25%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate23%40%30%45%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSFE Max Drawdown--78%-75%-33%-5%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-1%-42%-20%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSFES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2377.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-7.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven13 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

Paysafe's stock fell -96.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/21/2021. A -96.0% loss requires a 2377.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Paysafe (PSFE)

Better Bets than Paysafe (PSFE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Paysafe

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSFEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NamePaysafe Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Price8.1927.0618.4816.97-10.1816.97
Mkt Cap0.516.79.95.6--7.8
Rev LTM1,6764,4731,497907--1,587
Op Inc LTM1141,697-46-328--34
FCF LTM1051,30031017--207
FCF 3Y Avg-3201,463268-44--112
CFO LTM2331,32433541--284
CFO 3Y Avg-1871,480282-22--130

Growth & Margins

PSFEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NamePaysafe Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%16.2%8.3%25.4%--12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%16.5%14.6%45.6%--15.5%
Rev Chg Q-2.7%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.8%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%--1.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.0%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---2.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%--18.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.0%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM6.2%29.1%20.7%1.8%--13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.2%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

PSFEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NamePaysafe Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Cap0.516.79.95.6--7.8
P/S0.43.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT8.010.9-148.1-19.8---5.9
P/E-15.330.7340.3-14.1--8.3
P/CFO3.213.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-6.6%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-56.3%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E3.50.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E3.10.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

PSFEGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NamePaysafe Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
1M Rtn-21.3%5.1%29.5%0.6%-19.3%5.1%
3M Rtn-39.1%-7.9%70.3%-6.5%---7.2%
6M Rtn-34.3%-6.3%39.4%-6.3%---6.3%
12M Rtn-58.3%-13.1%20.5%-40.8%---27.0%
3Y Rtn-52.3%22.2%39.9%19.1%--20.6%
1M Excs Rtn-22.5%3.8%28.2%-0.7%-18.1%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-50.0%-13.6%55.0%-15.2%---14.4%
6M Excs Rtn-49.7%-21.8%23.9%-21.8%---21.8%
12M Excs Rtn-72.9%-24.4%13.9%-51.5%---37.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-122.7%-45.8%-16.3%-63.4%---54.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Merchant Solutions878817745611 
Digital Wallets735686750 424
Elimination of intersegment revenue-12-7-8  
Corporate  0  
Digital Commerce   816 
ECash Solutions    265
Integrated Processing    729
Total1,6011,4961,4871,4261,418


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Digital Wallets319289   
Integrated Processing222200   
Gain / (loss) on disposal of subsidiaries and other assets, net-0-1   
Impairment expense on goodwill and other assets-1-1,887   
Restructuring and other costs-6-64   
Share-based compensation-29-62   
Unallocated Corporate costs-82-80   
Depreciation and amortization-263-267   
Total159-1,872   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,430,446
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202524.9%
Average Daily Volume859,512
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.83
Basic Shares Quantity59,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581220256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024304202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023320202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381620236-K 6/30/2023
331202351720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022315202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111720226-K 9/30/2022
6302022101920226-K 6/30/2022
331202251820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021328202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111520216-K 9/30/2021