Paysafe (PSFE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.95 | Market Cap: $458.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Paysafe (PSFE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.95Market Cap: $458.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Key risksPSFE key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet with a substantial debt burden and [2] significant regulatory exposure from its concentration in high-risk verticals like iGaming. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Markets & Betting, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Markets & Betting, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Key risksPSFE key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet with a substantial debt burden and [2] significant regulatory exposure from its concentration in high-risk verticals like iGaming. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PSFE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Paysafe (PSFE) experienced a significant stock price decline of approximately 43.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, primarily due to several key factors.
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Paysafe reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 13, 2025, which fell short of Wall Street's expectations. The company reported revenue of $433.8 million against an estimated $448.3 million, and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.70 versus an estimate of $0.75 per share, leading to a sharply negative market reaction. The stock notably slumped by 27.56% on November 13, 2025, immediately following the earnings release.
2. Increased Net Loss: Paysafe's net loss widened significantly in Q3 2025, reaching $87.7 million, compared to a net loss of $13.0 million in the prior-year period. This increased loss was mainly attributed to an $81.2 million charge to income tax expense, a result of an additional valuation allowance against U.S. deferred tax assets due to the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" enacted in July 2025, and higher restructuring costs of $12.4 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PSFE Return | � | -74% | -70% | -8% | 34% | -52% | � |
| Peers Return | � | -22% | -26% | 14% | 32% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PSFE Win Rate | 100% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 45% | 43% | 58% | 60% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PSFE Max Drawdown | � | -78% | -75% | -33% | -5% | -62% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -29% | -41% | -17% | -12% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, FI, GPN, FIS, FOUR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PSFE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2377.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -7.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 148 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW
In The Past
Paysafe's stock fell -96.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/21/2021. A -96.0% loss requires a 2377.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PSFE Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| null | ||
| Paysafe (PSFE) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PSFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Paysafe
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.1 |
| Rev LTM | 10,572 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,926 |
| FCF LTM | 2,323 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,509 |
| CFO LTM | 3,066 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,260 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.1 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 17.0 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -10.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -44.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merchant Solutions | 878 | 817 | 745 | 611 | |
| Digital Wallets | 735 | 686 | 750 | 424 | |
| Elimination of intersegment revenue | -12 | -7 | -8 | ||
| Corporate | 0 | ||||
| Digital Commerce | 816 | ||||
| ECash Solutions | 265 | ||||
| Integrated Processing | 729 | ||||
| Total | 1,601 | 1,496 | 1,487 | 1,426 | 1,418 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital Wallets | 319 | ||||
| Integrated Processing | 222 | ||||
| (Loss) / gain on disposal of subsidiaries and other assets, net | -0 | ||||
| Impairment expense on goodwill and other assets | -1 | ||||
| Restructuring and other costs | -6 | ||||
| Share-based compensation | -29 | ||||
| Unallocated Corporate costs | -82 | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | -263 | ||||
| Total | 159 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3042025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3202024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8162023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5172023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11172022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 10192022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5182022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3282022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |