Tearsheet

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.73 | Market Cap: $586.9 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.73
Market Cap: $586.9 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 5.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 5.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 18%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

REPX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the approximate time period leading up to December 4, 2025, several factors could contribute to a negative stock movement for Riley Exploration Permian (REPX). While a precise -4.6% daily movement during this specific timeframe is not clearly identifiable from the provided information, the following key points represent potential influences on the company's stock performance: 1. Oil Price Volatility and Oversupply Concerns. The broader oil market in late 2025 has shown signs of softening prices, with concerns about global oversupply and WTI prices experiencing a notable decline, impacting the profitability and outlook for exploration and production companies like Riley Exploration Permian.

2. Mixed Natural Gas Market Conditions. Although natural gas futures experienced significant surges in early December 2025 due to colder forecasts and increased demand, the overall natural gas market in 2025 has seen more modest demand growth and regional price volatility, which could create headwinds for companies with natural gas exposure.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
REPX Return153%35%60%-4%24%-10%483%
Peers Return-39%91%65%8%-3%-3%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
REPX Win Rate83%58%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate37%70%58%57%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
REPX Max Drawdown-12%-2%-13%-14%-20%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%0%-14%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventREPXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven275.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-69.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven230.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven395 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven647.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

Riley Exploration Permian's stock fell -73.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -73.4% loss requires a 275.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)

Better Bets than Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to REPX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Riley Exploration Permian

Peers to compare with:

Financials

REPXCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameRiley Ex.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Price27.5091.8134.13111.51158.3842.4567.13
Mkt Cap0.6114.371.360.345.741.853.0
Rev LTM39759,78844,52122,57915,28427,15024,864
Op Inc LTM15712,5499,0227,5395,5845,4576,562
FCF LTM1027,0888,1243,891-1,0944,7764,334
FCF 3Y Avg828,9108,2845,167-1,9665,7455,456
CFO LTM21419,93514,77010,1958,75612,14611,170
CFO 3Y Avg21420,72013,87411,4536,73012,36611,909

Growth & Margins

REPXCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameRiley Ex.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%0.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.1%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-6.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q4.4%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%-5.9%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%-1.5%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM39.5%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%20.1%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg47.4%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%23.4%30.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.6%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-2.0%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM53.9%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%44.7%44.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg55.2%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%43.1%46.1%
FCF/Rev LTM25.6%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.6%17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%19.7%19.7%

Valuation

REPXCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameRiley Ex.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Cap0.6114.371.360.345.741.853.0
P/S1.42.01.52.72.71.51.7
P/EBIT4.08.17.68.36.98.87.8
P/E6.613.310.011.09.917.210.5
P/CFO2.75.94.55.94.73.44.6
Total Yield20.8%10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%5.8%12.8%
Dividend Yield5.7%3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%0.0%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.4%6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%11.6%9.6%
D/E0.70.20.30.10.40.60.3
Net D/E0.60.10.30.10.40.50.3

Returns

REPXCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameRiley Ex.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
1M Rtn5.9%4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.7%5.7%
3M Rtn-1.9%-2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%-8.3%-2.0%
6M Rtn7.1%8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%2.4%7.9%
12M Rtn-16.7%-10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-14.0%-11.5%
3Y Rtn2.6%-16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-34.8%-3.4%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.8%5.8%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%-8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-14.3%-8.8%
6M Excs Rtn-7.6%-6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-12.3%-6.8%
12M Excs Rtn-30.9%-25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-27.9%-26.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.7%-90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-107.7%-76.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity594,386
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume128,380
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.63
Basic Shares Quantity21,164,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021