Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
Market Price (4/28/2026): $35.71 | Market Cap: $754.2 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
Market Price (4/28/2026): $35.71Market Cap: $754.2 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 11% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3% Key risksREPX key risks include [1] high debt levels and distressed financial health indicators, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3% |
| Key risksREPX key risks include [1] high debt levels and distressed financial health indicators, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. A significant surge in crude oil prices, driven by geopolitical events, provided a strong macroeconomic tailwind for oil and gas exploration and production companies. Brent crude oil prices began 2026 at $61 per barrel and concluded the first quarter at $118 per barrel, marking the largest inflation-adjusted increase since 1988, largely due to military actions in the Middle East and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz on February 28, 2026. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also saw a substantial increase, peaking at $115.68 per barrel on March 9, 2026, a 100.41% jump from January.
2. Riley Exploration Permian reported robust financial results for Q4 2025 and provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, surpassing analyst expectations. On March 4, 2026, the company announced Q4 2025 diluted earnings per share of $4.02, representing a 704.0% year-over-year increase and significantly exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $1.08 per share. Net income for the quarter surged by 681.5% year-over-year to $85 million. The company also set its 2026 production guidance at 35.0–37.0 MBoe/d.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.5% change in REPX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 88.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.02 | 35.78 | 37.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 397 | 392 | -1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.7% | 41.0% | 88.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.4 | 4.7 | -26.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 37.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 37.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.2% | -12.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.0% | 53.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.9% change in REPX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.33 | 35.78 | 35.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 393 | 392 | -0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 41.0% | 68.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.8 | 4.7 | -19.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 35.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.2% | 59.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.0% change in REPX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.53 | 35.78 | 30.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 410 | 392 | -4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.7% | 41.0% | 89.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.5 | 4.7 | -28.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 30.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 30.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 42.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 24.6% | 75.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.4% change in REPX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.70 | 35.78 | 9.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 322 | 392 | 21.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 36.7% | 41.0% | 11.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.4 | 4.7 | -13.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 21 | -7.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 9.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 79.8% | 34.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.2% | 65.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REPX Return | 35% | 60% | -4% | 24% | -13% | 38% | 208% |
| Peers Return | 112% | 36% | 15% | 8% | -26% | 41% | 271% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 91% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REPX Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 62% | 54% | 56% | 50% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REPX Max Drawdown | -2% | -13% | -14% | -20% | -28% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -2% | -17% | -14% | -39% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PR, FANG, MTDR, CRGY, NOG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REPX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 275.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 230.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 395 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 647.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PR, FANG, MTDR, CRGY, NOG
In The Past
Riley Exploration Permian's stock fell -73.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -73.4% loss requires a 275.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- A smaller, independent oil and gas producer, similar to a regional ConocoPhillips.
- A Permian Basin oil and gas explorer, like a focused Occidental Petroleum.
- A specialized Permian Basin oil and gas company, like a smaller Pioneer Natural Resources.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil: Riley Exploration Permian produces and sells crude oil extracted from its reserves primarily in Texas and New Mexico.
- Natural Gas: The company engages in the production and sale of natural gas from its exploration and development activities.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Riley Exploration Permian also extracts and sells natural gas liquids, which are byproducts of natural gas production.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As such, its customers are other companies rather than individuals. According to its financial filings, Riley Exploration Permian does not have any single "major customer" that accounts for 10% or more of its total revenue. Therefore, no specific customer company names are publicly disclosed. The company's products (crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids) are sold to various entities primarily consisting of:- Crude oil and natural gas marketers
- Pipeline companies
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Bobby Riley – President and Chief Executive Officer
Bobby Riley was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Riley Permian in June 2016 and also serves as Chairman of the Board. He has nearly 40 years of experience in the independent oil and gas sector. Mr. Riley previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Riley Exploration Group, Inc. (REG) from its founding in 2012 to May 2018. He also co-founded REX in 2007, the predecessor to REG, and was involved with the company until 2012. Notably, he designed and patented specialized completion equipment licensed to Baker-Hughes, and participated in the design, development, and testing of Intelligent Well Bore Systems, which was sold to Weatherford International in 2000. In 2009, he formed a joint venture with a private equity group to invest in unconventional oil and gas plays, deploying over $350 million in the Eagle Ford Shale and Permian Basin. From 2002 to 2005, he was Managing Partner of Tuleta Energy Partners, LLC, a privately-held exploration and production company, until its acquisition by Activa Resources, Inc. He founded his first independent exploration and production company, Durango Energy, Inc., in 1984.
Philip Riley – Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President – Strategy
Philip Riley joined Riley Permian in March 2021 and was appointed Chief Financial Officer on September 1, 2021, also serving as Executive Vice President – Strategy. He brings over 25 years of experience across energy and other industries as an executive officer, investor, and strategic advisor. Before joining Riley Permian, he was a Managing Director of private capital funds Bluescape Energy Partners (beginning May 2015) and Parallel Resource Partners (beginning November 2012), where he developed investment strategies, sourced opportunities, and managed existing investments. He also served as Bluescape's designated director for REP LLC. Earlier in his career, Mr. Riley worked as an investment banker at Lazard, Imperial Capital, and Petrie Parkman, where he advised on domestic and international transactions exceeding $135 billion in value.
John Suter – Chief Operating Officer
John Suter was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Riley Permian in June 2024. He has 38 years of experience in the oil and gas sector and 31 years in management roles. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Suter served as the State of Oklahoma Chief Operating Officer in state government.
Jeffrey Gutman – Chief Accounting Officer
Jeffrey Gutman was appointed Chief Accounting Officer of Riley Permian in June 2024. He previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Riley Exploration Permian, LLC ("REP"), a subsidiary of the Company, from 2018 to 2020. Mr. Gutman was also a co-founder, Chief Financial Officer, and board member of Sabinal Energy, LLC from 2016 to 2017, and Chief Financial Officer of Jefferson Energy Companies from 2015 to 2016.
Corey Riley – Chief Information Officer and Chief Compliance Officer
Corey Riley was appointed Chief Information Officer and Chief Compliance Officer of Riley Permian in April 2024. He previously held the position of Executive Vice President - Business Intelligence of REP LLC starting in April 2019. Before that, he was Chief Financial Officer of REG from its founding in 2012 until mid-2015, when he was promoted to President, a role he held through 2019. Mr. Riley also co-founded REX in 2007, the predecessor to REG, and was involved with the company until 2012.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) are primarily associated with the inherent volatility of the oil and natural gas industry, operational challenges, and financial exposures.
- Commodity Price Volatility: Riley Exploration Permian's financial performance is highly sensitive to the fluctuating prices of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue and profitability are directly impacted by these market dynamics, as evidenced by past instances of negative realized gas prices affecting margins. Significant hedging of its 2026 production (70%) may also limit the company's ability to fully capitalize on potential increases in commodity prices, impacting its bottom line.
- Operational and Production Risks: As an exploration and production company, REPX faces inherent operational risks, including the geological and mechanical challenges of drilling and completing wells. The company has experienced infrastructure constraints, particularly concerning natural gas transportation in the Permian Basin, which has historically led to burning off production due to a lack of pipeline access. While the company is working on midstream and power generation initiatives to address these issues, the success and timing of these projects are crucial. Furthermore, the oil and gas industry is susceptible to environmental hazards, accidents, and regulatory scrutiny related to operations such as drilling and transportation.
- Stock Volatility and Capital Allocation Risks: REPX's stock exhibits higher volatility compared to the broader market, with a beta of 1.45 and a volatility of 25.17%. Additionally, the company has disclosed liquidity and execution risks related to its $100 million share buyback program. Management's discretion regarding the timing and size of these buybacks could potentially distort the share price and limit funds available for future strategic investments. The company's financial health has been described as mixed.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- The accelerating global transition to electric vehicles (EVs) and other alternative energy sources for transportation directly threatens the long-term demand for crude oil, a primary product for Riley Exploration Permian. As vehicle fleets electrify, the consumption of gasoline and diesel is expected to decline, potentially diminishing the market size and pricing power for oil producers.
- Growing pressure from environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment criteria, coupled with stricter climate change policies, poses a significant emerging threat. This trend makes it increasingly difficult and expensive for fossil fuel companies like Riley Exploration Permian to access capital for new exploration and development, potentially limiting their growth, increasing financing costs, and impacting overall valuation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable market for Riley Exploration Permian (REPX), an independent oil and natural gas company, encompasses the U.S. oil and natural gas market. The company's primary operations are focused on the San Andres Formation in Texas and New Mexico, both of which are significant contributors to the overall U.S. energy landscape.
The U.S. oil and gas market was valued at approximately USD 1.55 trillion in 2024. It is projected to grow to approximately USD 1.61 trillion in 2025 and reach around USD 2.24 trillion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.75% between 2025 and 2034.
Specifically, the regions where Riley Exploration Permian operates play a crucial role in this market:
- Texas is a leading producer, supplying nearly 2.1 billion barrels of oil and over 13.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in 2025, both setting new records.
- New Mexico is the second-largest crude oil-producing state after Texas, with 797 million barrels produced in 2025. In 2024, New Mexico was also the third-largest natural gas-producing state, accounting for 8% of the nation's total natural gas gross withdrawals.
- The Permian Basin, which spans parts of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, is a major production hub. The San Andres Formation, where REPX focuses its activities, is the most prolific hydrocarbon reservoir in the Permian Basin and has historically accounted for a significant portion of its oil production.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market factors:- Increased Oil and Gas Production: The company forecasts significant oil production growth, with expectations of a 12% increase in 2026 compared to 2H 2025 levels and an overall target of 21,000-22,000 barrels of oil per day by 2026. This growth is supported by increased upstream investments and general outperformance.
- Elevated Capital Expenditures in Upstream Development: Riley Permian plans to increase its capital expenditures for upstream development, with a 2026 forecast of $190 million to $210 million. This increased investment, partly driven by the reallocation of $80 million from midstream divestiture, is expected to fuel production growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Inventory Expansion: The company has recently made strategic acquisitions, such as Silverback Exploration II, LLC, which has expanded its undeveloped inventory to provide 7-8 years of high cash-on-cash return opportunities. This expansion positions Riley Permian for a more active and value-enhancing development program in 2026 and beyond.
- Operational Efficiencies and Cost Reduction: Efforts to improve operational excellence, control costs, and enhance capital efficiency, including a 25% reduction in cost per lateral foot in Red Lake and 15% in Texas in drilling and completion, contribute to a higher netback per barrel. This makes more production economically viable and boosts overall revenue generation.
- Favorable Commodity Prices: Sustained higher oil prices, such as the projected $75 WTI oil strip price for 2026, are expected to provide a favorable macro backdrop. This directly increases revenue generated from production volumes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- On December 16, 2025, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its outstanding common stock over a 24-month period.
- The company commenced repurchasing shares under this program in January 2026.
- Between December 16, 2025, and February 28, 2026, Riley Exploration Permian repurchased 152,408 shares for $4 million.
Share Issuance
- As of Q4 2025, the number of common shares outstanding was 21.7 million, marking a 1% increase year-over-year.
- In the last 12 months (as of March 4, 2026), shares outstanding increased by 1.53%.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2024, total accrual capital expenditures were $108 million, with $97 million allocated to upstream activities, while cash capital expenditures amounted to $110 million, with $99 million for upstream.
- In the full year 2025, total accrual capital expenditures were $120 million ($83 million for upstream), and cash capital expenditures were $128 million ($91 million for upstream).
- The company's guidance for full-year 2026 projects activity-based capital expenditures before acquisitions to be between $190 million and $210 million, focusing on strategic investments, shifting development activity to New Mexico, and advancing its New Mexico gas midstream project and overall infrastructure build-out.
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| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.5% | 60.5% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,618 |
| Op Inc LTM | 894 |
| FCF LTM | 161 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -57 |
| CFO LTM | 2,053 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,773 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -14.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 40.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 62.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 64.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.9 |
| P/E | 24.3 |
| P/CFO | 3.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 35.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 42.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 47.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 29.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 32.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $35.78 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/28/1998 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $33.63 | $28.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.4% | 26.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.8% | 43.2% |
| Downside Capture | -0.62 | -0.03 |
| Upside Capture | 25.05 | 39.56 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -14.7% | 13.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.75 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.45 | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Up Beta | -1.67 | 0.12 | 0.37 | 1.08 | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| Down Beta | 0.24 | 0.58 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Up Capture | 79% | 120% | 79% | 62% | 63% | 55% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 26 | 39 | 71 | 134 | 378 |
| Down Capture | -250% | -111% | -135% | -35% | 57% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 15 | 22 | 52 | 115 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | 44.3% | 43.1% | 0.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 41.2% | 19.6% | 1.64 | 66.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 12.5% | 1.91 | 13.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.7% | 27.2% | 1.21 | -1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.1% | 18.1% | 1.93 | 42.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.4% | 0.67 | 7.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.7% | 42.1% | -0.35 | 18.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | 13.3% | 62.3% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 23.6% | 26.1% | 0.81 | 50.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 33.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.8% | 0.96 | 7.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.5% | 19.1% | 0.62 | 34.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 23.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.5% | 56.3% | 0.33 | 13.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | 11.2% | 114.2% | 0.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.1% | 29.5% | 0.38 | 22.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 14.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.8% | 15.9% | 0.72 | 6.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.0% | 17.8% | 0.47 | 18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 11.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.8% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/4/2026 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% |
| 3/5/2025 | 1.6% | 0.9% | -0.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 6.4% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 3.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| 3/6/2024 | 14.9% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | -15.6% | -11.7% | -16.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 10.6% | 21.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.2% | -8.6% | -10.3% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 58.0% | 71.8% |
| Max Negative | -15.6% | -13.1% | -16.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/04/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/08/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Total Net Production | 33,200 | 33,600 | 34,000 | 0.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 33,400 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 55.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 60.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Total Net Production | 35,000 | 36,000 | 37,000 | 25.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 28,700 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 190.00 Mil | 200.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 54.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 129.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 32.80 | 490,433 | 16,084,584 | 67,843,910 | Form | |
| 2 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 31.76 | 391,913 | 12,445,276 | 81,263,240 | Form | |
| 3 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.65 | 36,050 | 1,068,926 | 87,499,683 | Form | |
| 4 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.58 | 26,327 | 778,811 | 88,362,505 | Form | |
| 5 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.73 | 19,310 | 574,173 | 89,600,247 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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