Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $33.24 | Market Cap: $693.7 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $33.24Market Cap: $693.7 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -68% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3% Key risksREPX key risks include [1] high debt levels and distressed financial health indicators, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -68% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3% |
| Key risksREPX key risks include [1] high debt levels and distressed financial health indicators, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive 2026 Outlook.
Riley Exploration Permian reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.02 for fiscal Q4 2025, a significant increase of 704.0% year-over-year, which substantially exceeded analyst estimates of $1.08. This strong performance, announced on March 4, 2026, was accompanied by management's guidance for over 20% oil volume growth in fiscal year 2026, signaling a positive trajectory for the company.
2. Robust Shareholder Returns and Free Cash Flow Generation.
The company demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value, generating $24 million in free cash flow during fiscal Q1 2026. This allowed for $8 million in debt reduction and the repurchase of 152,000 shares totaling $4 million in Q1 2026. Additionally, Riley Exploration Permian declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share in April 2026.
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Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive 2026 Outlook.
Riley Exploration Permian reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.02 for fiscal Q4 2025, a significant increase of 704.0% year-over-year, which substantially exceeded analyst estimates of $1.08. This strong performance, announced on March 4, 2026, was accompanied by management's guidance for over 20% oil volume growth in fiscal year 2026, signaling a positive trajectory for the company.
2. Robust Shareholder Returns and Free Cash Flow Generation.
The company demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value, generating $24 million in free cash flow during fiscal Q1 2026. This allowed for $8 million in debt reduction and the repurchase of 152,000 shares totaling $4 million in Q1 2026. Additionally, Riley Exploration Permian declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share in April 2026.
3. Operational Outperformance in Fiscal Q1 2026.
Despite some mixed reports on EPS, Riley Exploration Permian showcased strong operational execution in fiscal Q1 2026 by reporting total equivalent production averaging 35.6 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d), surpassing the high end of its guidance. Furthermore, capital spending for the quarter was below the guided range, indicating efficient capital allocation.
4. Elevated Crude Oil Prices Driven by Geopolitical Tensions.
A significant macroeconomic factor was the rise in crude oil prices, particularly WTI, which soared due to the Middle East conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026. As of March 27, 2026, oil prices remained elevated near the $100 per barrel range, creating a favorable market environment for oil and gas producers like REPX.
5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Analysts responded favorably to the company's performance and the broader market conditions. Multiple analysts raised their earnings estimates for fiscal year 2026, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing to $6.84 from $4.13, representing a projected earnings growth of 32%. Roth Capital, for instance, lifted its price target to $45 and reiterated a "Buy" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's prospects.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.4% change in REPX stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.52 | 33.49 | 17.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 397 | 403 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.7% | 15.3% | -29.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.0 | 11.3 | 61.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 17.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | -32.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | -2.7% | 69.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.5% change in REPX stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.69 | 33.49 | 25.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 397 | 403 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.7% | 15.3% | -29.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.5 | 11.3 | 73.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.5% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 25.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | -20.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 21.3% | 65.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.8% change in REPX stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 117.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.30 | 33.49 | 37.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 413 | 403 | -2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.9% | 15.3% | -36.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.2 | 11.3 | 117.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 37.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 37.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.7% | -2.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 36.9% | 68.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.9% change in REPX stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 215.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.64 | 33.49 | 16.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 322 | 403 | 25.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 48.8% | 15.3% | -68.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.6 | 11.3 | 215.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 21 | -5.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REPX | 16.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.1% | 32.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 55.7% | 67.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REPX Return | 35% | 60% | -4% | 24% | -13% | 28% | 186% |
| Peers Return | 149% | 40% | 22% | 8% | -21% | 19% | 336% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REPX Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 62% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REPX Max Drawdown | -72% | -53% | -46% | -28% | -38% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -38% | -26% | -26% | -43% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PR, FANG, MTDR, CRGY, NOG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REPX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -13.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Riley Exploration Permian's stock fell -35.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | REPX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 667 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -65.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 192.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 460 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.8% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -75.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 305.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1856 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 742 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.6% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.1% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Riley Exploration Permian's stock fell -35.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Riley Exploration Permian (REPX)
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Business Description
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the upstream segment of the energy industry. Its core business involves the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). These extracted hydrocarbons serve as its primary products, which are then sold into the broader energy markets.
The company's operational focus is primarily within the Permian Basin, with acreage concentrated in Texas and New Mexico. Specifically, REPX targets the San Andres Formation, a significant geological deposit located on the Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf. As of September 30, 2021, its assets included approximately 31,352 net acres, predominantly in contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas, and Lea and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico, along with 77 net producing wells. This strategic focus positions REPX as a supplier of essential energy commodities to customers within the North American energy sector.
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- A smaller, independent oil and gas producer, similar to a regional ConocoPhillips.
- A Permian Basin oil and gas explorer, like a focused Occidental Petroleum.
- A specialized Permian Basin oil and gas company, like a smaller Pioneer Natural Resources.
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- Oil: Riley Exploration Permian produces and sells crude oil extracted from its reserves primarily in Texas and New Mexico.
- Natural Gas: The company engages in the production and sale of natural gas from its exploration and development activities.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Riley Exploration Permian also extracts and sells natural gas liquids, which are byproducts of natural gas production.
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- Crude oil and natural gas marketers
- Pipeline companies
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Bobby Riley – President and Chief Executive Officer
Bobby Riley was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Riley Permian in June 2016 and also serves as Chairman of the Board. He has nearly 40 years of experience in the independent oil and gas sector. Mr. Riley previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Riley Exploration Group, Inc. (REG) from its founding in 2012 to May 2018. He also co-founded REX in 2007, the predecessor to REG, and was involved with the company until 2012. Notably, he designed and patented specialized completion equipment licensed to Baker-Hughes, and participated in the design, development, and testing of Intelligent Well Bore Systems, which was sold to Weatherford International in 2000. In 2009, he formed a joint venture with a private equity group to invest in unconventional oil and gas plays, deploying over $350 million in the Eagle Ford Shale and Permian Basin. From 2002 to 2005, he was Managing Partner of Tuleta Energy Partners, LLC, a privately-held exploration and production company, until its acquisition by Activa Resources, Inc. He founded his first independent exploration and production company, Durango Energy, Inc., in 1984.
Philip Riley – Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President – Strategy
Philip Riley joined Riley Permian in March 2021 and was appointed Chief Financial Officer on September 1, 2021, also serving as Executive Vice President – Strategy. He brings over 25 years of experience across energy and other industries as an executive officer, investor, and strategic advisor. Before joining Riley Permian, he was a Managing Director of private capital funds Bluescape Energy Partners (beginning May 2015) and Parallel Resource Partners (beginning November 2012), where he developed investment strategies, sourced opportunities, and managed existing investments. He also served as Bluescape's designated director for REP LLC. Earlier in his career, Mr. Riley worked as an investment banker at Lazard, Imperial Capital, and Petrie Parkman, where he advised on domestic and international transactions exceeding $135 billion in value.
John Suter – Chief Operating Officer
John Suter was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Riley Permian in June 2024. He has 38 years of experience in the oil and gas sector and 31 years in management roles. Prior to joining the company, Mr. Suter served as the State of Oklahoma Chief Operating Officer in state government.
Jeffrey Gutman – Chief Accounting Officer
Jeffrey Gutman was appointed Chief Accounting Officer of Riley Permian in June 2024. He previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Riley Exploration Permian, LLC ("REP"), a subsidiary of the Company, from 2018 to 2020. Mr. Gutman was also a co-founder, Chief Financial Officer, and board member of Sabinal Energy, LLC from 2016 to 2017, and Chief Financial Officer of Jefferson Energy Companies from 2015 to 2016.
Corey Riley – Chief Information Officer and Chief Compliance Officer
Corey Riley was appointed Chief Information Officer and Chief Compliance Officer of Riley Permian in April 2024. He previously held the position of Executive Vice President - Business Intelligence of REP LLC starting in April 2019. Before that, he was Chief Financial Officer of REG from its founding in 2012 until mid-2015, when he was promoted to President, a role he held through 2019. Mr. Riley also co-founded REX in 2007, the predecessor to REG, and was involved with the company until 2012.
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The key risks to Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) are primarily associated with the inherent volatility of the oil and natural gas industry, operational challenges, and financial exposures.
- Commodity Price Volatility: Riley Exploration Permian's financial performance is highly sensitive to the fluctuating prices of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue and profitability are directly impacted by these market dynamics, as evidenced by past instances of negative realized gas prices affecting margins. Significant hedging of its 2026 production (70%) may also limit the company's ability to fully capitalize on potential increases in commodity prices, impacting its bottom line.
- Operational and Production Risks: As an exploration and production company, REPX faces inherent operational risks, including the geological and mechanical challenges of drilling and completing wells. The company has experienced infrastructure constraints, particularly concerning natural gas transportation in the Permian Basin, which has historically led to burning off production due to a lack of pipeline access. While the company is working on midstream and power generation initiatives to address these issues, the success and timing of these projects are crucial. Furthermore, the oil and gas industry is susceptible to environmental hazards, accidents, and regulatory scrutiny related to operations such as drilling and transportation.
- Stock Volatility and Capital Allocation Risks: REPX's stock exhibits higher volatility compared to the broader market, with a beta of 1.45 and a volatility of 25.17%. Additionally, the company has disclosed liquidity and execution risks related to its $100 million share buyback program. Management's discretion regarding the timing and size of these buybacks could potentially distort the share price and limit funds available for future strategic investments. The company's financial health has been described as mixed.
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- The accelerating global transition to electric vehicles (EVs) and other alternative energy sources for transportation directly threatens the long-term demand for crude oil, a primary product for Riley Exploration Permian. As vehicle fleets electrify, the consumption of gasoline and diesel is expected to decline, potentially diminishing the market size and pricing power for oil producers.
- Growing pressure from environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment criteria, coupled with stricter climate change policies, poses a significant emerging threat. This trend makes it increasingly difficult and expensive for fossil fuel companies like Riley Exploration Permian to access capital for new exploration and development, potentially limiting their growth, increasing financing costs, and impacting overall valuation.
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The addressable market for Riley Exploration Permian (REPX), an independent oil and natural gas company, encompasses the U.S. oil and natural gas market. The company's primary operations are focused on the San Andres Formation in Texas and New Mexico, both of which are significant contributors to the overall U.S. energy landscape.
The U.S. oil and gas market was valued at approximately USD 1.55 trillion in 2024. It is projected to grow to approximately USD 1.61 trillion in 2025 and reach around USD 2.24 trillion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.75% between 2025 and 2034.
Specifically, the regions where Riley Exploration Permian operates play a crucial role in this market:
- Texas is a leading producer, supplying nearly 2.1 billion barrels of oil and over 13.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in 2025, both setting new records.
- New Mexico is the second-largest crude oil-producing state after Texas, with 797 million barrels produced in 2025. In 2024, New Mexico was also the third-largest natural gas-producing state, accounting for 8% of the nation's total natural gas gross withdrawals.
- The Permian Basin, which spans parts of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, is a major production hub. The San Andres Formation, where REPX focuses its activities, is the most prolific hydrocarbon reservoir in the Permian Basin and has historically accounted for a significant portion of its oil production.
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- Increased Oil and Gas Production: The company forecasts significant oil production growth, with expectations of a 12% increase in 2026 compared to 2H 2025 levels and an overall target of 21,000-22,000 barrels of oil per day by 2026. This growth is supported by increased upstream investments and general outperformance.
- Elevated Capital Expenditures in Upstream Development: Riley Permian plans to increase its capital expenditures for upstream development, with a 2026 forecast of $190 million to $210 million. This increased investment, partly driven by the reallocation of $80 million from midstream divestiture, is expected to fuel production growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Inventory Expansion: The company has recently made strategic acquisitions, such as Silverback Exploration II, LLC, which has expanded its undeveloped inventory to provide 7-8 years of high cash-on-cash return opportunities. This expansion positions Riley Permian for a more active and value-enhancing development program in 2026 and beyond.
- Operational Efficiencies and Cost Reduction: Efforts to improve operational excellence, control costs, and enhance capital efficiency, including a 25% reduction in cost per lateral foot in Red Lake and 15% in Texas in drilling and completion, contribute to a higher netback per barrel. This makes more production economically viable and boosts overall revenue generation.
- Favorable Commodity Prices: Sustained higher oil prices, such as the projected $75 WTI oil strip price for 2026, are expected to provide a favorable macro backdrop. This directly increases revenue generated from production volumes.
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Share Repurchases
- On December 16, 2025, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its outstanding common stock over a 24-month period.
- The company commenced repurchasing shares under this program in January 2026.
- Between December 16, 2025, and February 28, 2026, Riley Exploration Permian repurchased 152,408 shares for $4 million.
Share Issuance
- As of Q4 2025, the number of common shares outstanding was 21.7 million, marking a 1% increase year-over-year.
- In the last 12 months (as of March 4, 2026), shares outstanding increased by 1.53%.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2024, total accrual capital expenditures were $108 million, with $97 million allocated to upstream activities, while cash capital expenditures amounted to $110 million, with $99 million for upstream.
- In the full year 2025, total accrual capital expenditures were $120 million ($83 million for upstream), and cash capital expenditures were $128 million ($91 million for upstream).
- The company's guidance for full-year 2026 projects activity-based capital expenditures before acquisitions to be between $190 million and $210 million, focusing on strategic investments, shifting development activity to New Mexico, and advancing its New Mexico gas midstream project and overall infrastructure build-out.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,702 |
| Op Inc LTM | 844 |
| FCF LTM | 61 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -89 |
| CFO LTM | 1,960 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,804 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -20.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -12.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 31.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 39.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 57.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 62.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $33.49 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/28/1998 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $35.58 | $29.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -5.9% | 12.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 61.5% | 46.0% |
| Downside Capture | -168.70 | -56.33 |
| Upside Capture | -101.93 | -13.80 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -32.5% | -3.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -4.54 | -3.26 | -1.65 | -0.89 | -0.08 | 1.08 |
| Up Beta | -6.38 | -4.01 | -2.39 | -1.79 | -0.33 | 1.19 |
| Down Beta | -2.21 | -1.94 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 1.69 |
| Up Capture | -278% | -130% | -85% | -41% | -3% | 32% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 39 | 77 | 139 | 381 |
| Down Capture | -700% | -641% | -372% | -216% | -98% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 24 | 45 | 108 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | 27.6% | 46.0% | 0.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 26.8% | 20.9% | 1.04 | 67.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.1% | 12.4% | 1.59 | -3.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.5% | 18.8% | 0.77 | 47.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.8% | 13.8% | 0.57 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.2% | 42.5% | -1.09 | 10.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | -1.7% | 60.8% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 18.7% | 26.1% | 0.65 | 52.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 33.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 35.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.1% | 18.9% | 0.01 | 23.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 54.1% | 0.37 | 16.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REPX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | 14.3% | 113.6% | 0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.2% | 29.6% | 0.35 | 22.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 14.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.1% | 0.62 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.0% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 18.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 11.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.9% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 8.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 2.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 3/4/2026 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 6.8% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| 3/5/2025 | 1.6% | 0.9% | -0.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 6.4% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 3.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 10.6% | 16.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.8% | -8.6% | -9.9% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 58.0% | 71.8% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -13.1% | -16.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 2.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 3/4/2026 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 6.8% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| 3/5/2025 | 1.6% | 0.9% | -0.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 6.4% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 3.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| 5/8/2024 | 6.2% | -1.2% | 1.1% |
| 3/6/2024 | 14.9% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | -15.6% | -11.7% | -16.3% |
| 8/7/2023 | -9.6% | -7.0% | -10.8% |
| 5/8/2023 | -15.9% | -12.0% | -5.4% |
| 3/8/2023 | -0.7% | -10.3% | 28.0% |
| 11/14/2022 | 1.5% | -5.1% | -9.9% |
| 5/11/2022 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 29.0% |
| 2/14/2022 | 13.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| 12/13/2021 | 7.7% | -4.7% | 33.1% |
| 8/12/2021 | -8.8% | -13.1% | 11.6% |
| 5/11/2021 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 31.0% |
| 3/4/2021 | 5.1% | 58.0% | 71.8% |
| 11/12/2020 | -3.5% | 18.9% | 23.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 10.6% | 16.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.8% | -8.6% | -9.9% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 58.0% | 71.8% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -13.1% | -16.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/04/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/08/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/04/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/08/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 12/14/2021 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/30/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/14/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/30/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/13/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/13/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Net Production - Total Equivalent | 35 | 36 | 37 | 7.1% | Raised | Guidance: 33.6 for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 75.00 Mil | 82.50 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 37.5% | Raised | Guidance: 60.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Net Operated Well Activity - Drilled | 18 | 19 | 20 | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 19 for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Production - Total Equivalent | 37.5 | 38.5 | 39.5 | 6.9% | Raised | Guidance: 36 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 200.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 220.00 Mil | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Operated Well Activity - Drilled | 42 | 45 | 48 | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 45 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Total Net Production | 33,200 | 33,600 | 34,000 | 0.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 33,400 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 55.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 60.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Total Net Production | 35,000 | 36,000 | 37,000 | 25.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 28,700 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Total Capital Expenditures | 190.00 Mil | 200.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 54.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 129.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 36.22 | 30,000 | 1,086,603 | 17,946,444 | Form |
| 2 | Arriaga, Brent Alexander | Direct | Sell | 5192026 | 38.94 | 2,500 | 97,350 | 647,689 | Form | |
| 3 | Riley, Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 34.37 | 3,500 | 120,302 | 5,103,277 | Form |
| 4 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 34.45 | 12,500 | 430,580 | 10,782,403 | Form |
| 5 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 32.80 | 490,433 | 16,084,584 | 67,843,910 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 36.22 | 30,000 | 1,086,603 | 17,946,444 | Form |
| 2 | Arriaga, Brent Alexander | Direct | Sell | 5192026 | 38.94 | 2,500 | 97,350 | 647,689 | Form | |
| 3 | Riley, Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 34.37 | 3,500 | 120,302 | 5,103,277 | Form |
| 4 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 5122026 | 34.45 | 12,500 | 430,580 | 10,782,403 | Form |
| 5 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 32.80 | 490,433 | 16,084,584 | 67,843,910 | Form | |
| 6 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 31.76 | 391,913 | 12,445,276 | 81,263,240 | Form | |
| 7 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.65 | 36,050 | 1,068,926 | 87,499,683 | Form | |
| 8 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.58 | 26,327 | 778,811 | 88,362,505 | Form | |
| 9 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 29.73 | 19,310 | 574,173 | 89,600,247 | Form | |
| 10 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 28.38 | 5,256 | 149,173 | 86,071,241 | Form | |
| 11 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2202026 | 28.33 | 55,147 | 1,562,055 | 86,049,684 | Form | |
| 12 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2202026 | 28.48 | 35,302 | 1,005,574 | 88,105,391 | Form | |
| 13 | Riley, Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | Direct | Sell | 2132026 | 27.41 | 3,500 | 95,942 | 4,346,568 | Form |
| 14 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2132026 | 28.23 | 4,820 | 136,086 | 88,324,808 | Form | |
| 15 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 28.88 | 122,647 | 3,542,475 | 90,497,147 | Form | |
| 16 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 28.39 | 195,297 | 5,544,365 | 92,430,918 | Form | |
| 17 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 28.56 | 148,900 | 4,252,956 | 98,572,672 | Form | |
| 18 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 28.18 | 73,528 | 2,071,813 | 101,438,540 | Form | |
| 19 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 28.07 | 8,806 | 247,144 | 103,099,650 | Form | |
| 20 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1302026 | 28.10 | 3,388 | 95,218 | 103,491,142 | Form | |
| 21 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1302026 | 28.31 | 90,000 | 2,547,819 | 104,340,095 | Form | |
| 22 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1302026 | 27.73 | 57,012 | 1,581,148 | 104,714,974 | Form | |
| 23 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1272026 | 27.57 | 75,220 | 2,073,733 | 105,664,867 | Form | |
| 24 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1272026 | 27.55 | 1,595 | 43,942 | 107,664,739 | Form | |
| 25 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1272026 | 27.80 | 13,128 | 364,970 | 108,689,592 | Form | |
| 26 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 27.56 | 22,771 | 627,589 | 108,113,115 | Form | |
| 27 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 27.74 | 122,795 | 3,406,247 | 109,444,576 | Form | |
| 28 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 27.71 | 16,548 | 458,562 | 112,735,691 | Form | |
| 29 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 25.91 | 20,000 | 518,220 | 9,054,107 | Form |
| 30 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 28.12 | 43,000 | 1,209,048 | 116,893,226 | Form | |
| 31 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 27.78 | 70,368 | 1,954,957 | 116,693,065 | Form | |
| 32 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 27.56 | 95,539 | 2,633,112 | 117,702,917 | Form | |
| 33 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 25.05 | 12,500 | 313,094 | 9,253,323 | Form |
| 34 | Riley, Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 24.87 | 3,500 | 87,034 | 4,030,054 | Form |
| 35 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 10172025 | 28.08 | 2,992 | 84,017 | 122,606,907 | Form | |
| 36 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 10092025 | 28.14 | 976 | 27,468 | 122,965,749 | Form | |
| 37 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 10092025 | 28.03 | 4,676 | 131,078 | 122,505,939 | Form | |
| 38 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 10092025 | 28.04 | 9,975 | 279,685 | 122,665,454 | Form | |
| 39 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 28.03 | 1,798 | 50,398 | 122,906,991 | Form | |
| 40 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 9252025 | 28.09 | 28,000 | 786,425 | 123,206,112 | Form | |
| 41 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 9252025 | 28.25 | 78,534 | 2,218,311 | 124,698,439 | Form | |
| 42 | Bluescape, Riley Exploration Holdings Llc | Direct | Sell | 9252025 | 28.16 | 28,582 | 804,941 | 126,539,323 | Form | |
| 43 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 26.01 | 15,000 | 390,076 | 10,392,574 | Form |
| 44 | Riley, Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | Direct | Sell | 8112025 | 26.42 | 3,500 | 92,463 | 4,668,043 | Form |
| 45 | Libin, Alvin Gerald | 2624063 Alberta Ltd. | Buy | 7172025 | 25.39 | 15,000 | 380,850 | 56,795,424 | Form | |
| 46 | Libin, Alvin Gerald | 2624063 Alberta Ltd. (1) | Buy | 7162025 | 27.27 | 15,000 | 409,050 | 60,591,786 | Form | |
| 47 | Arriaga, Brent Alexander | Direct | Sell | 6252025 | 27.95 | 3,918 | 109,508 | 534,767 | Form | |
| 48 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 6172025 | 28.65 | 5,500 | 157,580 | 11,879,736 | Form |
| 49 | Riley, Bobby | CEO | Direct | Sell | 6172025 | 28.05 | 4,500 | 126,207 | 11,783,134 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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