Tearsheet

Orchid Island Capital (ORC)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $7.27 | Market Cap: $991.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Orchid Island Capital (ORC)


Market Price (12/30/2025): $7.27
Market Cap: $991.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.1%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
Key risks
ORC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged business model and a dividend payout ratio that often exceeds earnings, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 112%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 112%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Innovation & Structured Products. Themes include Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate Risk Management, and Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (mREITs).
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 9.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 112%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 112%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Innovation & Structured Products. Themes include Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate Risk Management, and Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (mREITs).
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.1%, Dist 3Y High is -4.1%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
9 Key risks
ORC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged business model and a dividend payout ratio that often exceeds earnings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ORC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points for the movement of Orchid Island Capital (ORC) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 30, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Orchid Island Capital reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53, substantially higher than the forecasted $0.22, marking a 140.91% surprise. Revenue also surpassed projections, reaching $26.92 million against an anticipated $4.38 million, representing a 514.61% surprise. This strong performance, which included a positive total return of 6.7% for the quarter and an increase in book value to $7.33, led to a positive stock reaction in after-hours and premarket trading.

2. Consistent Monthly Dividend Declarations: The company consistently declared monthly cash dividends of $0.12 per share throughout the period, including for August, September, October, November, and December 2025. This regular distribution of income to shareholders is a key feature of mREITs and generally supports investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.5% change in ORC stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 230.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
929202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)6.687.258.46%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)24.2680.19230.57%
Net Income Margin (%)26.42%76.28%188.71%
P/E Multiple119.3816.16-86.46%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)114.45136.37-19.15%
Cumulative Contribution4.48%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORC8.5% 
Market (SPY)3.6%30.2%
Sector (XLF)2.2%33.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.5% change in ORC stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 53.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
630202512292025Change
Stock Price ($)6.447.2512.53%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)52.2480.1953.50%
Net Income Margin (%)67.01%76.28%13.83%
P/E Multiple17.5216.16-7.72%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)95.17136.37-43.28%
Cumulative Contribution-8.55%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORC12.5% 
Market (SPY)11.6%26.9%
Sector (XLF)6.0%29.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.9% change in ORC stock from 12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 104.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1229202412292025Change
Stock Price ($)6.487.2511.87%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)75.6980.195.93%
Net Income Margin (%)78.27%76.28%-2.54%
P/E Multiple7.9216.16104.15%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)72.38136.37-88.41%
Cumulative Contribution-75.58%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORC11.9% 
Market (SPY)16.6%50.5%
Sector (XLF)14.7%48.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.8% change in ORC stock from 12/30/2022 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a -125.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1230202212292025Change
Stock Price ($)6.107.2518.78%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-320.7080.19-125.00%
P/S Multiple-0.6712.33-1940.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35.21136.37-287.35%
Cumulative Contribution-962.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ORC22.6% 
Market (SPY)47.9%49.1%
Sector (XLF)51.0%42.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ORC Return5%0%-42%-3%10%13%-27%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORC Win Rate67%58%42%50%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORC Max Drawdown-67%-6%-57%-34%-5%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventORCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven410.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven255.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-58.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Orchid Island Capital's stock fell -80.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2021. A -80.4% loss requires a 410.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Orchid Island Capital (ORC)

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS comprising interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

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1. Like Prologis, but instead of physical buildings, it's a landlord for mortgage-backed securities, collecting interest with high leverage.

2. A highly leveraged, specialized bond fund manager, much like a niche BlackRock that only invests in mortgage-backed securities.

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  • Agency Fixed-Rate Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS): These are debt securities backed by residential mortgages with a fixed interest rate, where principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. government agency.
  • Agency Adjustable-Rate Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (ARMBS): These are debt securities backed by residential mortgages with an interest rate that adjusts periodically, where principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. government agency.
  • Agency Interest-Only (IO) and Principal-Only (PO) Strips: These are derivative securities created from Agency RMBS, where IO strips receive only interest payments and PO strips receive only principal payments from the underlying mortgage pool.

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Orchid Island Capital (ORC) is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT). Unlike traditional companies that sell goods or services to customers, ORC primarily generates revenue from the interest income on its portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). It does not have "customers" in the conventional sense of entities buying its products or services.

However, if "customers" are interpreted as the entities that purchase the company's equity (i.e., its shareholders) in exchange for potential returns (dividends and capital appreciation), then ORC "sells" its shares to both institutional investors (other companies) and individual investors. Given the significant institutional ownership typical of public companies like ORC, it can be considered to sell primarily to other companies (institutional investors).

Based on its major institutional holdings, the following are some of ORC's significant "customers" in this interpreted sense:

  • BlackRock, Inc. (Symbol: BLK)

  • The Vanguard Group, Inc. (Vanguard is a privately held investment management company, though it manages numerous publicly traded funds.)

  • State Street Corp (Symbol: STT)

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  • Bimini Advisors, LLC (Parent: Bimini Capital Management, Inc., Symbol: BMNM)
  • Barclays PLC (Symbol: BCS)
  • Bank of America Corporation (Symbol: BAC)
  • Citigroup Inc. (Symbol: C)
  • UBS Group AG (Symbol: UBS)
  • The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Symbol: GS)
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (Symbol: JPM)
  • Morgan Stanley (Symbol: MS)
  • Nomura Holdings, Inc. (Symbol: NMR)
  • Royal Bank of Canada (Symbol: RY)
  • Wells Fargo & Company (Symbol: WFC)

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Robert E. Cauley, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Cauley has served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Orchid Island Capital since August 2010. He also holds the positions of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Orchid Island Capital's Manager. Mr. Cauley co-founded Bimini in 2003 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors since April 2008. Prior to April 2008, he was Vice-Chairman, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Investment Officer of Bimini. Before co-founding Bimini, Mr. Cauley was a vice-president and portfolio manager at Federated Investors from 1996 to 2003. He was also a member of the ABS/MBS structuring desk at Lehman Brothers from 1994 to 1996 and a credit analyst at Barclays Bank, PLC from 1992 to 1994. Mr. Cauley is a CPA (inactive status) and served in the United States Marine Corps for four years.

G. Hunter Haas, IV, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, Secretary and Director

Mr. Haas has served as Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, and a Director of Orchid Island Capital since August 2010. He is also the President, Chief Investment Officer, and Chief Financial Officer of Orchid Island Capital's Manager and has held the same roles at Bimini since April 2008. Before these appointments at Bimini, he was a Senior Vice President and Head of Research and Trading. Mr. Haas joined Bimini in May 2004 as Vice President and Head of Mortgage Research. He has over 12 years of experience in the industry and has managed trading operations for the portfolio since his arrival in May 2004. Mr. Haas has approximately eight years of experience as a member of senior management of a public REIT. Prior to joining Bimini, he worked in the mortgage industry as part of a team responsible for hedging a servicing portfolio at both National City Mortgage and Homeside Lending, Inc.

Jerry Sintes, Vice President and Treasurer

Mr. Sintes has served as Vice President and Treasurer of Orchid Island Capital since August 2010. He has also been the Vice President and Controller of Bimini since October 2007. From January 2006 to October 2007, Mr. Sintes was Vice President and Assistant Controller of Riverside National Bank of Florida. Prior to that, he served as Chief Financial Officer of GS Financial Corp. and its subsidiary, Guaranty Savings and Homestead Association, from May 2003 to December 2005. He held various positions at Bain, Freibaum, Sagona & Co., LLP from September 1992 to May 2003 and Whitney National Bank from May 1988 to September 1992. Mr. Sintes is a graduate of Louisiana State University with a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting and is a Certified Public Accountant.

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Key Risks to Orchid Island Capital (ORC)

  1. Interest Rate Risk: Orchid Island Capital is highly susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates. Significant increases in both long-term and short-term interest rates can substantially reduce the market value of the company's Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) investments and simultaneously increase the cost of its repurchase agreements used for financing. This can lead to reduced earnings or even losses, negatively impacting the company's ability to pay distributions to its stockholders.
  2. High Leverage and Dividend Sustainability: The company operates with a highly leveraged business model, relying on borrowing short-term to finance long-duration Agency RMBS. While this amplifies returns in stable market conditions, it significantly magnifies losses and mark-to-market pressures when interest rates are volatile or move abruptly. This high leverage ratio means that even a small decline in asset value can have a substantial impact on the company's book value per share. Furthermore, Orchid Island Capital's high dividend payout ratio, which often exceeds its earnings per share, makes the dividend vulnerable to cuts, potentially leading to further pressure on the stock price and erosion of capital.
  3. Market Volatility and Illiquidity of Investments: The market price of Orchid Island Capital's common stock can experience significant volatility, primarily influenced by current and anticipated future cash dividends and the company's book value. Moreover, the Agency RMBS in which the company invests, particularly structured Agency RMBS, can face periods of illiquidity. Such illiquidity can prevent the company from selling its assets at opportune times and favorable prices, which could materially and adversely affect its business, financial condition, results of operations, and its capacity to pay distributions to stockholders.

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Orchid Island Capital (ORC) operates as a specialty finance company, primarily focusing on investments in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) within the United States. The company's main products are Agency RMBS, which include traditional pass-through Agency RMBS and structured Agency RMBS. These securities are backed by single-family residential mortgage loans and are guaranteed by government-sponsored entities such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae.

The addressable market for residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the U.S. is substantial. In the first quarter of 2024, the total value of outstanding mortgage-related securities in the U.S. was approximately $13.5 trillion. This market includes both agency and non-agency RMBS, with agency RMBS constituting the vast majority. The U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding was approximately $13.3 trillion in Q1 2024.

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Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Orchid Island Capital (ORC) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Favorable Interest Rate Environment and Yield Curve Dynamics: Expectations of continued Federal Reserve rate cuts, an end to quantitative tightening, and a positively sloped yield curve are anticipated to benefit Orchid Island Capital's funding costs and net interest margin. This environment is projected to lead to margin expansion and sustained earnings growth.
  2. Strategic Portfolio Management and Expansion: Orchid Island Capital has been actively adjusting and expanding its investment portfolio. This includes increasing its allocation to higher-coupon and longer-duration residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), particularly 30-year RMBS with 5.5% and 6.0% coupons, and maintaining a focus on agency fixed-rate pass-through securities. Expanding the average portfolio balance by deploying capital into attractive assets is a key driver.
  3. Optimized Net Interest Spread: The company's revenue generation is primarily driven by the difference between the yield on its mortgage assets and the cost of its borrowings. Management anticipates that supportive market conditions, coupled with strategic adjustments to its investment portfolio and funding, will improve the economic net interest spread, thereby enhancing net interest income.
  4. Effective Capital Deployment and Leverage: Orchid Island Capital has demonstrated its ability to successfully raise and deploy capital into agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at attractive spreads, which directly contributes to an increased average portfolio balance and supports returns. The potential for increased leverage, particularly if anticipated rate cuts materialize, could further amplify revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • From its inception through September 30, 2025, Orchid Island Capital repurchased shares totaling approximately $84.8 million.
  • During the nine months ended September 30, 2025, the company repurchased approximately $7.3 million in shares.
  • Significant quarterly share repurchases included $20.01 million in Q4 2022 and $5.47 million in Q4 2023.

Share Issuance

  • In 2025, Orchid Island Capital raised approximately $497.19 million net through its at-the-market program year-to-date.
  • Under an equity distribution agreement in effect from March 2023 until its termination in June 2024, the company generated approximately $228.8 million in gross proceeds from share issuances.
  • A new equity distribution agreement was entered into on June 11, 2024, authorizing the company to offer and sell up to an aggregate of $250 million of common stock.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ORC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-2.8%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.5%7.5%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.5%-11.5%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Orchid Island Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrchid I.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price7.2522.7324.33305.7477.79273.7651.06
Mkt Cap1.021.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
Rev LTM8055,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-3,6241,64411,54412,991130,21411,544
FCF LTM902,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg492,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM903,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg493,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

ORCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrchid I.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM5.9%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg264.9%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q259.1%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM230.6%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM111.9%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM111.9%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

ORCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrchid I.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap1.021.432.4285.5307.74,079.8159.0
P/S12.30.40.94.45.310.04.8
P/EBIT-6.619.725.122.431.322.4
P/E16.28.4569.036.129.841.133.0
P/CFO11.05.811.121.222.437.616.1
Total Yield21.3%14.4%2.3%5.0%5.5%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield15.1%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.5%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.60.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

ORCHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOrchid I.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn0.3%-5.8%11.9%-0.9%1.1%-1.8%-0.3%
3M Rtn8.5%-14.5%1.4%9.9%15.6%7.7%8.1%
6M Rtn12.5%-5.0%20.3%5.0%13.5%33.7%13.0%
12M Rtn11.9%-28.7%15.4%40.8%33.9%7.6%13.6%
3Y Rtn18.8%-5.3%65.8%142.1%78.3%113.9%72.0%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%-5.5%12.3%-0.5%0.9%-2.7%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn4.8%-18.1%-2.3%6.2%11.9%4.0%4.4%
6M Excs Rtn1.2%-16.3%9.0%-6.3%2.2%22.4%1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-2.3%-43.3%-0.2%25.4%19.0%-7.8%-1.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.4%-82.8%-10.4%61.9%0.1%27.1%-5.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-21-241-501335
Total-21-241-501335


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$7.25 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.0 
First Trading Date02/14/2013 
Distance from 52W High-4.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.21$6.68
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA0.5%8.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility17.3%23.7%
Downside Capture29.2258.66
Upside Capture63.5860.67
Correlation (SPY)29.7%50.5%
ORC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.110.420.360.470.620.86
Up Beta-0.340.660.760.750.510.67
Down Beta-0.150.330.380.200.810.81
Up Capture42%58%38%55%49%79%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10203059121378
Down Capture16%24%9%38%67%102%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9213261119349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of ORC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ORCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return13.0%15.4%16.7%65.4%7.5%4.2%-7.3%
Annualized Volatility23.6%19.0%19.4%19.8%15.3%17.0%34.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.460.620.672.430.270.08-0.06
Correlation With Other Assets 48.1%50.6%6.5%20.1%51.5%19.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of ORC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ORCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-7.4%16.2%14.8%17.7%11.2%5.1%30.2%
Annualized Volatility30.0%18.9%17.1%15.6%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio-0.220.710.700.910.480.180.57
Correlation With Other Assets 45.9%47.5%10.8%11.9%51.7%18.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of ORC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ORCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-1.7%13.4%15.0%14.6%6.9%5.4%69.0%
Annualized Volatility37.9%22.3%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.090.560.720.820.310.230.89
Correlation With Other Assets 44.2%42.8%8.6%17.6%49.3%13.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,022,517
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-14.4%
Average Daily Volume5,543,367
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.17
Basic Shares Quantity136,368,958
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/15/20250.6%2.9%2.1%
7/9/2025-1.0%-2.1%-1.5%
4/9/2025-6.3%-1.1%12.7%
1/8/2025-0.8%1.5%8.3%
10/16/20240.4%-2.9%-1.9%
7/10/20240.8%2.8%-3.8%
4/10/20242.4%-1.3%5.2%
1/10/2024-0.8%-2.4%-4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121115
# Negative131410
Median Positive1.0%2.3%4.7%
Median Negative-1.0%-2.2%-4.1%
Max Positive6.1%8.8%20.1%
Max Negative-11.4%-15.5%-15.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q (09/30/2025)
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q (06/30/2025)
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q (03/31/2025)
12/31/202402/21/202510-K (12/31/2024)
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q (09/30/2024)
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q (06/30/2024)
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q (03/31/2024)
12/31/202302/23/202410-K (12/31/2023)
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q (09/30/2023)
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q (06/30/2023)
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q (03/31/2023)
12/31/202203/03/202310-K (12/31/2022)
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q (09/30/2022)
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q (06/30/2022)
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q (03/31/2022)
12/31/202102/25/202210-K (12/31/2021)