Tearsheet

Orchid Island Capital (ORC)


Market Price (5/20/2026): $6.76 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Orchid Island Capital (ORC)


Market Price (5/20/2026): $6.76
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 11%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -53%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 179%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Innovation & Structured Products. Themes include Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate Risk Management, and Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (mREITs).

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.7x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -159%

Key risks
ORC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged business model and a dividend payout ratio that often exceeds earnings, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -53%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 179%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Innovation & Structured Products. Themes include Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate Risk Management, and Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (mREITs).
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.7x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -159%
9 Key risks
ORC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged business model and a dividend payout ratio that often exceeds earnings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Orchid Island Capital (ORC) stock has lost about 10% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Orchid Island Capital experienced a significant decline in its book value and reported a net loss for the first quarter of 2026. The company reported a net loss of $(20.0) million, or $(0.11) per common share, for the three months ended March 31, 2026, a stark contrast to a net income of $17.1 million in the prior year period. This loss was primarily driven by $69.6 million, or $0.37 per common share, in net realized and unrealized losses on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and derivative instruments. Consequently, the book value per common share decreased by $0.46, from $7.54 at December 31, 2025, to $7.08 as of March 31, 2026. The estimated total return on equity for the quarter was a negative 1.33%.

2. The company reduced its monthly cash dividend, signaling financial pressure. For April 2026, Orchid Island Capital declared a monthly dividend of $0.10 per share, a decrease of $0.02 from the $0.12 per share paid for January, February, and March 2026. This 16.67% reduction in the dividend payout likely contributed to negative investor sentiment, as mortgage REITs are often valued for their income distributions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.5% change in ORC stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265192026Change
Stock Price ($)7.446.73-9.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8014681.6%
Net Income Margin (%)76.3%83.8%9.8%
P/E Multiple16.610.4-37.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)136189-27.9%
Cumulative Contribution-9.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ORC-9.5% 
Market (SPY)6.3%49.9%
Sector (XLF)-3.9%25.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.4% change in ORC stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 81.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255192026Change
Stock Price ($)6.576.732.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8014681.6%
Net Income Margin (%)76.3%83.8%9.8%
P/E Multiple14.610.4-28.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)136189-27.9%
Cumulative Contribution2.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ORC2.4% 
Market (SPY)8.2%39.9%
Sector (XLF)-1.6%22.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.7% change in ORC stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 178.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255192026Change
Stock Price ($)5.876.7314.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)52146178.7%
Net Income Margin (%)67.0%83.8%25.0%
P/E Multiple15.910.4-34.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)95189-49.7%
Cumulative Contribution14.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ORC14.7% 
Market (SPY)33.8%38.2%
Sector (XLF)6.4%26.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.6% change in ORC stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235192026Change
Stock Price ($)6.086.7310.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-88146-265.2%
P/S Multiple-2.78.7-429.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)38189-79.7%
Cumulative Contribution10.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ORC10.6% 
Market (SPY)83.3%49.4%
Sector (XLF)61.7%42.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ORC Return0%-42%-3%10%13%1%-30%
Peers Return2%-23%3%8%24%5%14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORC Win Rate58%42%50%58%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate57%47%47%67%63%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORC Max Drawdown-23%-58%-45%-12%-30%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-44%-38%-12%-23%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AGNC, NLY, ARR, DX, TWO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventORCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven271 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven462 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven83 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-70.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven240.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven327 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-14.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven36 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-35.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven262 days15 days

Compare to AGNC, NLY, ARR, DX, TWO

In The Past

Orchid Island Capital's stock fell -29.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 42.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventORCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven271 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven462 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-70.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven240.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven327 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-35.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven262 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-21.0%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven106 days1 days

Compare to AGNC, NLY, ARR, DX, TWO

In The Past

Orchid Island Capital's stock fell -29.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 42.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Orchid Island Capital (ORC)

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS comprising interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

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Prologis for mortgages: Imagine Prologis, a company that owns and leases out massive warehouses. Orchid Island Capital operates similarly as a REIT, but instead of physical property, it essentially "rents out" or earns income from pools of residential mortgages.

A specialized bond fund for home loans: Think of it like a highly focused bond mutual fund you might invest in through Fidelity or Vanguard, but instead of investing in a mix of different corporate or government bonds, Orchid Island Capital exclusively buys and manages securities backed by U.S. residential mortgages.

A behind-the-scenes mortgage bank: Imagine a bank like JPMorgan Chase, but stripped down: it doesn't have branches, it doesn't take deposits, and it doesn't directly lend to people for homes. Instead, Orchid Island Capital focuses solely on investing in the bundled-up residential mortgage loans (securities) that banks originate, profiting from their interest payments.

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  • Traditional Pass-Through Agency RMBS: Investments in standard mortgage-backed securities such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations, which represent ownership interests in pools of residential mortgage loans.
  • Structured Agency RMBS: Investments in specialized mortgage-backed securities that segment the cash flows from underlying mortgage pools into components like interest-only securities, inverse interest-only securities, and principal-only securities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Orchid Island Capital (ORC) is a specialty finance company that operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). Its primary business involves investing in and holding Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) to generate income from the interest payments on these securities.

As an investment firm focused on acquiring and managing a portfolio of securities, Orchid Island Capital does not have "customers" in the traditional sense, as it does not sell products or services to other companies or individuals. Its revenue is derived from the returns on its investment portfolio rather than from sales to external customers.

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  • Fannie Mae (FNMA)
  • Freddie Mac (FMCC)
  • Ginnie Mae

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Robert E. Cauley Chairman of the Board of Directors, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Cauley has served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Orchid Island Capital, Inc. since August 2010. He co-founded Bimini Capital Management Inc., the company's manager, in 2003. He has held the roles of CEO and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Bimini since April 2008, following his tenure as Vice-Chairman, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Investment Officer of Bimini. Prior to co-founding Bimini, Mr. Cauley was a vice-president and portfolio manager at Federated Investors from 1996 to 2003. His experience also includes serving as a member of the ABS/MBS structuring desk at Lehman Brothers from 1994 to 1996 and as a credit analyst at Barclays Bank, PLC from 1992 to 1994. Mr. Cauley is a CPA (inactive status) and is a veteran of the United States Marine Corps.

G. Hunter Haas, IV Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, and Director

Mr. Haas has served as Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, and Director of Orchid Island Capital, Inc. since August 2010. He also holds the positions of President, Chief Investment Officer, and Chief Financial Officer of Bimini Advisors LLC, the company's manager, since April 2008. Before these roles, he was a Senior Vice President and Head of Research and Trading at Bimini. Mr. Haas initially joined Bimini in May 2004 as Vice President and Head of Mortgage Research. With over 12 years in the industry, he has managed trading operations for the portfolio since May 2004 and possesses approximately eight years of experience in senior management for a public REIT. Earlier in his career, he worked in the mortgage industry, responsible for hedging servicing portfolios at National City Mortgage and Homeside Lending, Inc.

Jerry Sintes Vice President and Treasurer

Mr. Sintes serves as the Vice President and Treasurer for Orchid Island Capital, Inc. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting from Louisiana State University and is a Certified Public Accountant, as well as a member of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Orchid Island Capital (ORC), a specialty finance company investing in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), faces several key risks inherent to its business model. The most significant risks revolve around interest rate fluctuations, the prepayment behavior of mortgage holders, and the company's reliance on leverage.
  1. Interest Rate Risk: As a mortgage Real Estate Investment Trust (mREIT), Orchid Island Capital's profitability is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. The company generates income from the spread between the interest earned on its long-term RMBS assets and the short-term interest rates it pays on its borrowed funds (primarily through repurchase agreements). An increase in short-term interest rates raises borrowing costs, while rising long-term rates can decrease the market value of its existing RMBS portfolio, shrinking profit margins and potentially leading to losses. Conversely, significant increases in interest rates can negatively affect the value of its investments and increase borrowing costs, thereby reducing earnings and potentially impacting its ability to pay distributions to stockholders.
  2. Prepayment Risk (and Extension Risk): Changes in interest rates directly influence mortgage prepayment speeds, posing a significant risk. When interest rates fall, borrowers are more likely to refinance their mortgages, leading to earlier-than-anticipated repayment of higher-yielding RMBS in ORC's portfolio. This forces the company to reinvest the principal at lower prevailing interest rates, which can reduce its overall returns and net interest margin. Conversely, in a rising interest rate environment, homeowners may hold onto their mortgages longer, extending the duration of ORC's assets (extension risk), which can expose the company to prolonged periods of higher borrowing costs relative to its fixed-rate assets.
  3. Leverage Risk and Dividend Sustainability: Orchid Island Capital, like other mREITs, utilizes significant financial leverage (borrowing to acquire assets) to enhance its returns. While leverage can amplify profits in favorable market conditions, it also magnifies losses when market conditions are adverse, such as during periods of interest rate volatility or declining asset values. This high leverage contributes to the volatility of the company's book value. Furthermore, the sustainability of ORC's dividend, which is a major draw for investors, is closely tied to its ability to maintain a sufficient net interest spread. The company has a history of dividend cuts, and its high payout ratio (dividends potentially exceeding earnings) raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of its current dividend, especially if interest rate and prepayment risks erode its earnings.

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The addressable market for Orchid Island Capital's main products and services, which include investments in Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS), is the U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) market. This market is primarily composed of Agency RMBS.

The U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities market was estimated at USD 15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 22.43 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.60% during the forecast period (2025-2030). As of 2024, the market size was estimated at USD 14.37 trillion. The Agency MBS segment consistently accounts for over 90% of total RMBS new issuance in the residential mortgage market.

The market size is for the United States.

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Orchid Island Capital (ORC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market conditions:

  1. Expansion of Agency RMBS Portfolio: The company is actively growing its investment portfolio of Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS). For instance, in Q4 2025, Orchid Island Capital significantly increased its average Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) balance, which, alongside the doubling of its equity base and MBS portfolio over 2025, indicates a clear strategy of expanding its asset base to generate more interest income.
  2. Favorable Funding Cost Trends: A decline in funding costs is anticipated to enhance net interest income. Orchid Island Capital experienced a reduction in its weighted average repo rate in Q4 2025, and the funding environment has shown further improvement since year-end, with lower SOFR rates and tightening mortgage repo spreads. These trends are expected to positively impact the company's profitability and, consequently, its revenue.
  3. Strategic Asset Allocation and Investment in Higher-Yielding RMBS: Orchid Island Capital's investment strategy focuses on acquiring Agency RMBS with attractive characteristics. In Q4 2025, the company purchased $3.2 billion in Agency MBS, primarily in Fannie Mae 5.0% to 6.5% coupons, which include call protection features. Such strategic acquisitions at favorable spread levels (an average of 108 basis points in 2025) are designed to optimize returns and manage risk, thereby contributing to revenue growth.
  4. Beneficial Broader Market Conditions: A positively sloped yield curve and stable mortgage market conditions are expected to bolster the company's net income. These macroeconomic factors create a more conducive environment for mortgage REITs like Orchid Island Capital to generate income from their RMBS investments.

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Share Repurchases

  • Orchid Island Capital repurchased 6,257,826 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $84.8 million through December 31, 2025.
  • In December 2021, the Board of Directors approved an increase of 3,372,399 shares for the stock repurchase program, bringing the remaining authorization to 3,539,861 shares, representing about 10% of outstanding shares at that time.
  • The company conducted substantial share repurchases, buying back over 14 million shares in just a few months during 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Orchid Island Capital intends to continue utilizing equity distribution agreements to raise capital for its investment strategy.
  • The company expanded its at-the-market (ATM) equity program, with authorization increasing from $350 million to $500 million by July 2025.
  • Under the ATM program, Orchid Island Capital sold 34,517,584 shares for $266.5 million in gross proceeds, with $233.5 million remaining available as of July 2025.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORCAGNCNLYARRDXTWOMedian
NameOrchid I.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca.Two Harb. 
Mkt Price6.7310.1321.2816.4112.7812.5012.64
Mkt Cap1.311.415.42.02.61.32.3
Rev LTM1461,6052,390251304232277
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM143848-1,581134184-70139
FCF 3Y Avg823271,1151928892142
CFO LTM143848-55213418434139
CFO 3Y Avg823271,99619288230211

Growth & Margins

ORCAGNCNLYARRDXTWOMedian
NameOrchid I.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca.Two Harb. 
Rev Chg LTM178.7%174.8%173.2%6,043.9%181.4%7.5%176.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg428.8%127.2%290.4%2,099.4%228.6%166.1%259.5%
Rev Chg Q-158.8%-246.2%85.4%-274.1%-753.7%372.1%-202.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-18.9%-10.7%6.8%-24.5%-18.3%102.0%-14.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM98.4%52.8%-23.1%53.6%60.6%14.5%53.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-27.5%--44.2%79.2%44.2%
FCF/Rev LTM98.4%52.8%-66.2%53.6%60.6%-30.1%53.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-27.5%--44.2%35.3%35.3%

Valuation

ORCAGNCNLYARRDXTWOMedian
NameOrchid I.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca.Two Harb. 
Mkt Cap1.311.415.42.02.61.32.3
P/S8.77.16.47.88.45.67.5
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.47.77.08.210.6-3.87.9
P/CFO8.913.4-27.814.613.939.013.6
Total Yield26.3%12.9%14.2%27.7%9.5%-14.0%13.6%
Dividend Yield16.8%0.0%0.0%15.5%0.0%12.2%6.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%2.9%12.8%15.2%5.4%6.4%8.1%
D/E0.00.02.20.00.00.80.0
Net D/E-0.5-0.02.2-0.0-0.30.4-0.0

Returns

ORCAGNCNLYARRDXTWOMedian
NameOrchid I.AGNC Inv.Annaly C.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca.Two Harb. 
1M Rtn-3.0%-6.0%-6.7%-5.7%-4.9%12.4%-5.3%
3M Rtn-5.9%-7.3%-4.2%-3.8%-4.9%14.6%-4.6%
6M Rtn2.6%7.1%5.3%7.0%2.0%39.6%6.2%
12M Rtn14.2%27.6%23.2%16.2%19.8%20.1%20.0%
3Y Rtn18.2%71.5%66.1%14.4%77.9%53.1%59.6%
1M Excs Rtn-6.0%-8.3%-9.5%-8.0%-9.1%10.0%-8.2%
3M Excs Rtn-13.1%-14.2%-11.2%-10.1%-11.8%8.3%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn-6.9%-2.5%-4.4%-0.9%-7.8%28.4%-3.5%
12M Excs Rtn-9.0%3.8%-0.8%-7.4%-4.8%-4.2%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.6%-6.0%-8.5%-66.2%-1.4%-19.7%-14.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment54-21-241-5013
Total54-21-241-5013


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.73 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.3 
First Trading Date02/14/2013 
Distance from 52W High-14.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.94$6.77
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-3.1%-0.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility27.4%21.2%
Downside Capture123.7068.64
Upside Capture66.6866.30
Correlation (SPY)56.3%39.8%
ORC Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.371.170.910.710.640.85
Up Beta1.521.381.260.710.650.67
Down Beta3.031.811.060.830.710.82
Up Capture61%71%43%66%51%74%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days13223063121374
Down Capture261%112%102%67%66%102%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9203054116351

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ORC
ORC14.5%21.2%0.54-
Sector ETF (XLF)0.6%14.6%-0.1826.6%
Equity (SPY)25.0%12.1%1.5539.9%
Gold (GLD)40.0%26.8%1.2327.0%
Commodities (DBC)49.4%18.5%2.03-11.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.7%13.4%0.4538.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.6%41.9%-0.5917.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ORC
ORC-8.0%29.7%-0.25-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.7%18.6%0.3545.5%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.0%0.6548.5%
Gold (GLD)19.3%18.0%0.8714.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.4%0.4510.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1152.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%55.6%0.3820.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ORC
ORC-3.0%37.6%0.05-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.5%22.2%0.5243.9%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7342.8%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.6710.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.9%0.3815.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2149.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.2%66.9%1.0613.9%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 415202638.2%
Average Daily Volume8.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity189.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/23/20263.1%4.3% 
1/14/20262.8%4.0%-3.3%
10/15/20250.6%2.9%2.1%
7/9/2025-1.0%-2.1%-1.5%
4/9/2025-6.3%-1.1%12.7%
1/8/2025-0.8%1.5%8.3%
10/16/20240.4%-2.9%-1.9%
7/10/20240.8%2.8%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131112
# Negative111311
Median Positive1.3%2.9%4.8%
Median Negative-1.0%-2.4%-3.8%
Max Positive6.1%8.8%20.1%
Max Negative-11.4%-15.5%-15.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/24/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202203/03/202310-K
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q