Newell Brands (NWL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.73 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Housewares & Specialties
Newell Brands (NWL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.73Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Housewares & Specialties
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 232% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.2% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 232% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NWL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, highlighting why Newell Brands (NWL) stock moved by -35.2%:
1. Newell Brands missed Third Quarter 2025 earnings expectations and lowered its full-year guidance. On October 31, 2025, Newell Brands reported third-quarter results that fell short of analyst estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. Net sales declined 7.2% year-over-year, and normalized earnings per share of $0.17 missed the projected $0.18. This disappointing performance led to a significant downward revision of the company's full-year 2025 outlook for net sales, core sales, and earnings per share.
2. The company faced higher-than-anticipated tariff impacts which pressured profitability. Newell Brands experienced increased tariff costs, with a notable portion of its third-quarter gross margin decline attributed to temporary one-time China tariffs. The company updated its full-year 2025 incremental cash tariff cost expectation to approximately $180 million, up from a previous estimate of $155 million, significantly impacting its profitability and leading to a reduction in its operating cash flow guidance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NWL Return | 17% | 7% | -37% | -31% | 19% | -61% | -75% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 560% | -37% | -4% | -33% | 8% | 233% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NWL Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 38% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NWL Max Drawdown | -44% | 0% | -40% | -48% | -33% | -68% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -4% | -50% | -27% | -50% | -54% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MYE, LWLG, HELE, NWL. See NWL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NWL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 343.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -75.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 302.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 601.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1745 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MYE, LWLG, HELE, NWL
In The Past
Newell Brands's stock fell -77.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -77.4% loss requires a 343.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Newell Brands Earnings Notes | |||
| Would You Still Hold Newell Brands Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| As NWL Surges 12% in a Week, GM's Story Stands Out | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than NWL Stock: Pay Less Than Newell Brands To Get More From PR, CALM | |||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newell Brands (NWL) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Earnings Turnaround Could Lead To Newell Brands Stock Surging Past $30 | June 4th, 2021 | ||
| Newell Brands Stock Seems To Have Peaked | February 1st, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NWL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Newell Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,323 |
| Op Inc LTM | 115 |
| FCF LTM | 17 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 130 |
| CFO LTM | 91 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 167 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 3.4 |
| P/E | -4.1 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | -5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| D/E | 1.1 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -56.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -131.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home and Commercial Solutions | 4,713 | 5,243 | |||
| Learning and Development | 4,111 | 4,494 | 4,401 | 4,663 | 4,800 |
| Corporate expenses | 2,652 | 2,605 | 2,185 | 2,463 | 1,746 |
| Outdoor and Recreation | 687 | 920 | 907 | 988 | 1,570 |
| Commercial Solutions | 2,522 | 2,529 | 2,731 | ||
| Home Appliances | 1,055 | 970 | 1,468 | ||
| Home Solutions | 3,109 | 3,087 | 3,327 | ||
| Total | 12,163 | 13,262 | 14,179 | 14,700 | 15,642 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |