Lightwave Logic (LWLG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.04 | Market Cap: $506.1 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Lightwave Logic (LWLG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.04Market Cap: $506.1 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22797% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1646x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 280% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14824%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16993% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22797% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1646x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 280% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14824%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16993% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LWLG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Lightwave Logic's (LWLG) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Lightwave Logic initiated a technical program with a second Fortune Global 500 company focused on Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) applications. This collaboration aims to co-develop a specialized Perkinamine® electro-optic polymer material and a technical solution optimized for 400Gb/s CPO applications, encompassing high-speed modulator simulation, design, product testing, packaging, assembly processes, and the associated Process Design Kit (PDK) for silicon photonics foundry integration.
2. A Fortune Global 500 Company advanced to Stage 3 of Lightwave Logic's Design Win Cycle for its Perkinamine® platform. This signifies a progression beyond initial product design to a formal engineering program, with 2026 milestones including the creation, processing, and testing of Silicon Photonics PICs (Photonic Integrated Circuits) augmented with electro-optic polymers for a final product intended for hyperscale data centers or AI factories.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LWLG Return | -9% | 2225% | -71% | 16% | -58% | 90% | 471% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 41% | -40% | 6% | 21% | 13% | 46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LWLG Win Rate | 17% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 62% | 35% | 47% | 48% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LWLG Max Drawdown | -30% | 0% | -73% | -8% | -64% | -60% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -4% | -55% | -29% | -32% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, SHW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LWLG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 395.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 532 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 657 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 533.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 333 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FUL, GEVO, FSI, LOOP, SHW
In The Past
Lightwave Logic's stock fell -79.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -79.8% loss requires a 395.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Lightwave Logic Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LWLG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lightwave Logic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 59 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2 |
| FCF LTM | -0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -7 |
| CFO LTM | 2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 2.1 |
| P/E | 7.4 |
| P/CFO | 3.4 |
| Total Yield | -4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 31.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -21 | ||||
| Total | -21 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -21 | ||||
| Total | -21 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 29 | 27 | 7 | 7 | |
| Total | 29 | 27 | 7 | 7 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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