Tearsheet

NCS Multistage (NCSM)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $40.96 | Market Cap: $106.3 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

NCS Multistage (NCSM)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $40.96
Market Cap: $106.3 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Key risks
NCSM key risks include [1] a high dependence on volatile exploration and production spending by its oil and gas customers and [2] adverse regulatory and environmental changes that could reduce industry demand.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 18%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
5 Key risks
NCSM key risks include [1] a high dependence on volatile exploration and production spending by its oil and gas customers and [2] adverse regulatory and environmental changes that could reduce industry demand.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NCSM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points for why NCS Multistage (NCSM) stock moved by 6% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025:

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<b>1. NCS Multistage reported strong second-quarter 2025 financial results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations.</b> The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, a notable turnaround from a forecasted loss of $1.3 per share, and revenue reached $36.5 million, surpassing the anticipated $27.74 million. This positive financial performance led to a 5.97% increase in premarket trading on August 1, 2025, just at the beginning of the specified period.

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<b>2. The company continued to outperform with its third-quarter 2025 earnings.</b> NCS Multistage reported $1.37 EPS, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.17 by $0.20. Additionally, the business achieved revenue of $46.54 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $46.10 million.

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<b>3. Analyst ratings for NCSM experienced fluctuations during this period.</b> While Zacks Research downgraded shares from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" rating on October 3rd, and Wall Street Zen downgraded from "strong-buy" to "buy" on November 8th, Singular Research subsequently raised its rating to a "strong-buy" on November 11th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "hold (c)" rating on December 22nd.

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<b>4. Short interest in NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. saw a significant percentage increase in December.</b> Short interest rose by 92.3% to 5,084 shares, representing approximately 0.2% of the stock. While a large percentage increase, the absolute volume remained relatively small.

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<b>5. A notable increase in institutional investment by UBS Group AG occurred in the third quarter.</b> UBS Group AG raised its stake in NCS Multistage by 9,535.4%, acquiring an additional 23,457 shares. The firm now owns 23,703 shares of the company's stock, valued at $1,210,000.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.9% change in NCSM stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -21.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)53.0840.41-23.87%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)175.47178.001.44%
Net Income Margin (%)7.18%6.89%-4.08%
P/E Multiple10.938.55-21.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.592.590.00%
Cumulative Contribution-23.87%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NCSM-23.9% 
Market (SPY)4.3%25.8%
Sector (XLE)-3.9%12.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 35.9% change in NCSM stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 35.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)29.7440.4135.88%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)168.70178.005.51%
Net Income Margin (%)5.09%6.89%35.43%
P/E Multiple8.908.55-3.95%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.572.59-1.01%
Cumulative Contribution35.86%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NCSM35.9% 
Market (SPY)12.6%3.2%
Sector (XLE)4.5%17.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 63.5% change in NCSM stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 480.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)24.7240.4163.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)152.80178.0016.49%
Net Income Margin (%)27.98%6.89%-75.39%
P/E Multiple1.478.55480.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.552.59-1.81%
Cumulative Contribution63.42%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NCSM63.5% 
Market (SPY)17.0%17.3%
Sector (XLE)7.1%29.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 64.9% change in NCSM stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 49.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)24.5140.4164.86%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)151.56178.0017.44%
P/S Multiple0.390.5949.35%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2.442.59-6.40%
Cumulative Contribution64.18%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NCSM126.4% 
Market (SPY)48.0%15.9%
Sector (XLE)11.4%27.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NCSM Return-46%29%-14%-29%45%59%-1%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCSM Win Rate50%50%42%25%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCSM Max Drawdown-82%-2%-25%-51%-17%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNCSMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven366.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven445.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven650 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-93.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1410.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

NCS Multistage's stock fell -78.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/18/2022. A -78.6% loss requires a 366.5% gain to breakeven.

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About NCS Multistage (NCSM)

NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. provides engineered products and support services for oil and natural gas well completions and field development strategies in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers fracturing systems, which include casing-installed sliding sleeves, downhole frac isolation assemblies, sand jet perforating products, accelus sliding sleeves, injection control devices, repeat precision products, chemical and radioactive tracer diagnostics, and well construction products. The company also provides tracer diagnostics services for well completion and reservoir characterization that utilize downhole chemical and radioactive tracers. It offers its products and services primarily to exploration and production companies for use in onshore wells through technically-trained direct sales force, and operating partners or sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Pioneer Super Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. in December 2016. NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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  • A highly specialized Halliburton, focusing on the advanced tools and systems for multistage fracking in oil and gas wells.
  • It's like the NVIDIA for oil well completions, providing the specialized, high-performance downhole technology that enables complex multistage fracking.
  • Think of it as the 'Intel Inside' for oil and gas wells, providing the critical components and systems that make multistage fracturing possible and efficient.

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  • Multistage Frac Systems: Downhole tool systems, including frac sleeves and packers, that enable pinpoint stimulation in horizontal wells without the need for multiple trips into the wellbore.
  • Open Hole Isolation Packers: Inflatable and mechanical packers used for zonal isolation and sealing in open hole environments during well completions.
  • Coiled Tubing and Wireline Tools: Tools deployed via coiled tubing or wireline for well intervention, stimulation, and completion operations.
  • Casing and Cementing Accessories: Products such as casing centralizers and float equipment designed to facilitate effective cementing and wellbore integrity.
  • Tracer Diagnostics: Technology that uses chemical tracers to provide data on frac fluid distribution and reservoir flowback performance.

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NCS Multistage (symbol: NCSM) primarily sells its highly engineered products and support services to other companies within the oil and natural gas industry, specifically for well completions and hydraulic fracturing.

Based on their latest public filings (such as their Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023), NCS Multistage has customer concentration, with a significant portion of their revenue coming from a limited number of customers. For the year ended December 31, 2023, sales to two customers each represented 10% or more of their total revenue (18% and 11% respectively).

However, NCS Multistage does not publicly disclose the specific names of these major customers in their SEC filings. Therefore, specific customer names and their symbols cannot be provided.

Generally, companies like NCS Multistage serve the following category of customers:

  • Exploration and Production (E&P) Companies: These are companies engaged in the upstream sector of the oil and gas industry. They are responsible for locating, extracting, and producing crude oil and natural gas. E&P companies are the primary end-users of NCSM's well completion products and services, utilizing them to optimize the performance and recovery from their oil and gas wells.

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Ryan Hummer, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Hummer has served as Chief Executive Officer of NCS Multistage since November 1, 2022. He joined NCS Multistage in 2014 and previously held positions including Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer (March 2020 - November 2022), Chief Financial Officer (November 2016 - March 2020), Executive Vice President, Corporate Development (August 2015 - November 2016), and Vice President, Corporate Development (July 2014 - August 2015). Prior to joining NCS, Mr. Hummer was a Director, Investment Banking at Lazard Freres & Co. from January 2011 to April 2014, where he advised clients on various transactions, including mergers and acquisitions, restructuring, and debt and equity capital raises.

Michael Morrison, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Morrison was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of NCS Multistage, effective November 3, 2022. Before joining NCS, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at ION Geophysical Corporation from February 2020 to September 2022, and as Vice President of Finance and Treasurer from April 2016 to February 2020. Mr. Morrison held various other finance and accounting roles at ION Geophysical Corporation since 2002. Prior to 2002, he was a Director of Accounting, providing transaction support for an energy trading company, and also held various positions at Deloitte & Touche, LLP, a public accounting firm.

Tim Willems, Chief Operations Officer
Mr. Willems has over 30 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, with expertise in wellbore construction, completion, and remediation. His career includes 16 years in the international arena, holding diverse positions in applications engineering, operations, sales, and marketing. He has also served as a vice president for a major service company in both U.S. and international operations and marketing.

Ori Lev, Executive Vice President, General Counsel And Secretary
Mr. Lev serves as the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary at NCS Multistage.

Heather Mueller, Executive Vice President, Product Strategy
Ms. Mueller is the Executive Vice President of Product Strategy at NCS Multistage.

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NCS Multistage (symbol: NCSM) faces several key risks inherent to its operations in the oil and natural gas industry. The most significant risks include:
  1. Dependence on the Volatile Oil and Natural Gas Industry: NCS Multistage's business is highly dependent on the level of exploration and production (E&P) activity by its customers, which are primarily oil and natural gas producers. Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices directly impact these customers' spending, making it difficult to predict future market movements. A decline in E&P activity in North America and international markets or volatile commodity prices can significantly affect the company's revenue and financial performance. This also encompasses the cyclical and seasonal nature of the business and its reliance on customer spending.
  2. Intense Competition: The markets in which NCS Multistage operates are highly competitive. To succeed, the company must continuously provide services and products that meet the specific needs of E&P companies at competitive prices.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Changes: The company is exposed to risks associated with changes in legislation or regulations governing the oil and natural gas industry, particularly those related to climate change and restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions. Such regulatory shifts could impact demand for oil and natural gas, and consequently, demand for NCS Multistage's products and services.

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NCS Multistage (symbol: NCSM) operates in several key addressable markets related to oil and natural gas well completions and field development strategies.

The main products and services offered by NCS Multistage, and their corresponding addressable markets, are as follows:

  • Well Completion Equipment and Services: NCS Multistage is a prominent provider of highly engineered products and support services for optimizing oil and natural gas well completions. The global well completion equipment and services market was valued at $10.59 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to $14.77 billion by 2029, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2%. North America holds the largest share in this market.
  • Dissolvable and Composite Frac Plugs: NCS Multistage is a key player in the market for dissolvable frac plugs and composite frac plugs and frac balls, which are critical components in hydraulic fracturing operations. The global composite frac plugs and frac balls market was sized at approximately USD 789.1 million in 2024. It is forecast to reach USD 1042.5 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2030. North America is identified as the largest market for these products.
  • Oilwell Completion Tools: More broadly, the global market for oilwell completion tools, which includes a range of products used in well completions, is another addressable market for NCS Multistage. This market is projected to expand from USD 216.7 million in 2025 to USD 323.9 million by 2035, demonstrating a CAGR of 4.1% during this forecast period.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for NCS Multistage (NCSM) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Strategic Acquisitions, notably ResMetrix: The acquisition of ResMetrix in July 2025 is expected to contribute significantly to NCS Multistage's revenue, particularly in tracer diagnostics and by expanding its service offerings and market penetration in the Middle East. This acquisition is a key component of the company's growth strategy.
  2. Expansion into International and Offshore Markets: NCS Multistage is strategically focused on capitalizing on offshore and international opportunities, including the North Sea, the Middle East, Argentina, and China. These markets are anticipated to grow faster than North America, with customers often prioritizing technical characteristics over price. The company is also developing and deploying deepwater fracturing systems, with a candidate well identified in the Gulf of America for deployment in the second half of 2026.
  3. Product Innovation and Commercialization of New Technology Solutions: The company emphasizes its focus on internal research and development (R&D) and bringing innovative technology to market. This includes new solutions such as the Luminate multi-day composite sampling units and ATRS AICV sliding sleeves, designed to address complex customer challenges and expand the addressable market. This strategy aims to deliver tangible value to customers by offering solutions that save time, money, or both, and help create more productive wells.
  4. Leveraging Leading Market Positions in Key Product Lines and Geographies: NCS Multistage aims to build on its strong market positions in fracturing systems globally, its presence in Canadian completions, and its worldwide capabilities in tracer diagnostics. While Canadian revenue has seen some fluctuations due to market activity, increased fracturing system sales in Canada and robust contributions from fracturing services, fracturing systems, and tracer diagnostics in the U.S. are expected to contribute to revenue growth.

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years) for NCS Multistage (NCSM)

Share Repurchases

  • No specific share repurchase programs or authorized amounts for future repurchases were identified within the last 3-5 years.

Share Issuance

  • As of September 30, 2025, NCS Multistage had 2,607,362 shares issued and 2,540,849 shares outstanding.
  • As of December 31, 2024, the company had 2,563,979 shares issued and 2,507,430 shares outstanding.
  • The net issuance of preferred stock for the trailing twelve months ended June 2025 was $0.0 million, indicating no significant activity in preferred share issuance or buyback.

Inbound Investments

  • No significant inbound investments made in NCS Multistage by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, were reported within the specified timeframe.

Outbound Investments

  • On July 31, 2025, NCS Multistage acquired ResMetrics LLC for $7.2 million, consisting of $5.9 million in cash and assumed debt, with an additional earn-out of up to $1.3 million.
  • This acquisition was strategic, aimed at expanding the company's product offerings and market reach in chemical tracer diagnostics services.
  • The ResMetrics acquisition was funded entirely with cash, which helped preserve NCS Multistage's balance sheet.

Capital Expenditures

  • NCS Multistage incurred capital expenditures of $0.4 million for the full year 2021, $1 million in 2022, $2 million in 2023, and $1 million in 2024.
  • For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, capital expenditures were $1.0 million.
  • The company expects to incur approximately $1.3 million to $1.5 million in capital expenditures for the full year 2025, primarily focused on upgrades to manufacturing facilities (including Repeat Precision), tracer diagnostics deployment, sampling, laboratory equipment, and field service equipment to support North American operations.

Better Bets than NCS Multistage (NCSM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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5.4%5.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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28.1%28.1%-0.7%
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Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for NCS Multistage

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCSMHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameNCS Mult.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price40.4123.2624.49305.0978.16273.4059.28
Mkt Cap0.121.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM17855,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM83,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM182,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg102,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM203,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg113,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

NCSMHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameNCS Mult.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM16.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.8%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q5.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM4.6%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.0%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.1%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%15.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.9%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.2%

Valuation

NCSMHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameNCS Mult.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.121.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S0.60.41.04.45.410.02.7
P/EBIT8.16.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E8.68.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO5.35.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield11.7%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

NCSMHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameNCS Mult.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn7.9%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn-23.9%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn35.9%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%24.9%
12M Rtn63.5%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%25.3%
3Y Rtn64.9%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%76.2%
1M Excs Rtn7.4%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-28.2%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn23.6%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%12.6%
12M Excs Rtn49.0%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.5%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product sales1001068375146
Services4250353260
Total142156119107205


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$40.41 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date04/28/2017 
Distance from 52W High-23.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$38.77$34.12
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA4.2%18.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.2%69.9%
Downside Capture283.8720.38
Upside Capture96.6366.12
Correlation (SPY)25.8%17.3%
NCSM Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.991.760.970.080.650.49
Up Beta-2.270.48-0.220.200.180.21
Down Beta1.640.011.121.451.580.89
Up Capture128%113%86%-8%61%18%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8152659121326
Down Capture179%331%148%-124%29%73%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12273765125356

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of NCSM With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 NCSMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return71.2%8.6%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility69.5%24.4%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.050.290.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 29.5%17.3%3.6%29.3%18.2%9.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of NCSM With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 NCSMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.0%21.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility63.9%26.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.450.750.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 24.4%17.4%5.6%20.0%15.4%7.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of NCSM With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 NCSMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-23.3%8.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility79.3%29.8%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.000.330.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 35.7%28.4%4.0%24.5%23.7%8.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,084
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202592.3%
Average Daily Volume18,049
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,594,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-7.0%-3.3%-6.6%
7/31/20253.2%10.5%24.2%
3/10/20257.3%26.9%-1.3%
10/30/20242.4%22.5%15.7%
7/31/2024-0.5%-1.3%15.5%
3/7/20242.7%1.7%8.9%
10/30/2023-4.7%-7.5%-15.9%
7/31/2023-16.9%-16.0%-11.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1395
# Negative61014
Median Positive3.2%10.5%15.7%
Median Negative-2.6%-8.6%-10.7%
Max Positive52.4%26.9%36.6%
Max Negative-16.9%-18.8%-37.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021308202210-K 12/31/2021