Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $5.08 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $5.08Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Key risksMPW key risks include [1] acute tenant concentration and credit risk stemming from the financial failure of major operators like Steward Health Care, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 23.79, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
| Key risksMPW key risks include [1] acute tenant concentration and credit risk stemming from the financial failure of major operators like Steward Health Care, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are the key points for why Medical Properties Trust (MPW) stock moved from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025:
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<b>1. Positive Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Initiatives:</b> While the reported Q3 2025 Normalized Funds from Operations (NFFO) of $0.13 per share and revenue of $237.5 million missed some analyst estimates, the stock experienced a 6.4% one-day return post-earnings on October 30, 2025. This positive reaction was likely driven by the announced increase in cash collections, significant progress in the Prospect Medical Group restructuring, and the authorization of a $150 million common stock repurchase program, all signaling an improved future outlook and management confidence.
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<b>2. Progress in Prospect Medical Group Restructuring:</b> Medical Properties Trust made substantial strides in resolving issues with Prospect Medical Group. This included an agreement in principle for a new lease with NOR Healthcare Systems for six California facilities, expected to generate $45 million in annual cash rent, and a $45 million settlement with Yale New Haven Health. These developments reduced uncertainty and improved anticipated cash flows.
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<b>3. Authorization of a $150 Million Stock Repurchase Program:</b> The company's board authorized a program on October 30, 2025, to repurchase up to $150 million of its common stock. This action reflected management's belief that the stock was materially undervalued and provided potential support for the stock price.
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<b>4. Increase in Quarterly Dividend:</b> Medical Properties Trust increased its quarterly dividend to $0.09 per share on November 17, 2025, annualizing to $0.36 and implying an approximately 7.0% yield. This move, despite some analyst skepticism regarding its timing, could have attracted income-oriented investors and signaled financial stability.
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<b>5. Reduction in Short Interest:</b> A notable decrease in short interest, from 35.52% of the total float on June 30, 2025, to 31.47% by October 15, 2025, indicated that short sellers were covering their positions. This short covering activity can contribute to upward pressure on a stock's price.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.0% change in MPW stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.84 | 5.08 | 4.97% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 921.83 | 933.52 | 1.27% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.15 | 3.27 | 3.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 600.81 | 601.14 | -0.05% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.97% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPW | 5.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 7.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -3.2% | 36.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.8% change in MPW stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 19.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.31 | 5.08 | 17.84% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 948.03 | 933.52 | -1.53% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.73 | 3.27 | 19.78% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 600.59 | 601.14 | -0.09% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.84% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPW | 17.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 2.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -0.7% | 35.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.4% change in MPW stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 45.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.49 | 5.08 | 45.42% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 641.32 | 933.52 | 45.56% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.27 | 3.27 | 0.05% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 600.23 | 601.14 | -0.15% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.42% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPW | 45.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 2.3% | 46.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.1% change in MPW stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -40.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.35 | 5.08 | -39.14% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1571.70 | 933.52 | -40.60% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.18 | 3.27 | 2.83% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 598.98 | 601.14 | -0.36% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.15% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPW | 17.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 18.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 6.0% | 33.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPW Return | 9% | 14% | -49% | -50% | -12% | 37% | -62% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPW Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPW Max Drawdown | -38% | -7% | -55% | -60% | -37% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See MPW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 491.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 467.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,488 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Medical Properties Trust's stock fell -83.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -83.1% loss requires a 491.4% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogy 1: Simon Property Group for hospitals.
Analogy 2: Blackstone, but exclusively for hospital buildings.
Analogy 3: Like Enterprise Rent-A-Car, but for hospital buildings.
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- Leasing Healthcare Facilities: MPW leases various healthcare properties, primarily general acute care hospitals, to healthcare operators under long-term net leases.
- Real Estate Financing (Mortgage Lending): MPW provides mortgage loans to healthcare operators, offering capital solutions secured by their real estate assets.
- Sale-Leaseback Transactions: MPW acquires real estate assets from healthcare providers and leases them back to the same providers, offering a capital-raising solution while securing a long-term tenant.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPW) is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that acquires and develops healthcare facilities and leases them to healthcare operating companies under long-term triple-net leases. Therefore, MPW sells primarily to other companies.
Its major customers are healthcare operating companies, which lease properties from MPW. While the company's tenant base is dynamic, especially given recent challenges with certain operators, the following companies represent major current or recent past customers:
- Steward Health Care System: Historically MPW's largest tenant, Steward Health Care System filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May 2024. MPW is actively working to transition Steward's hospitals to new operators and recover value from these assets.
- Prospect Medical Holdings: Another significant tenant for MPW in the U.S., Prospect Medical Holdings has also been undergoing restructuring efforts related to its lease obligations.
- Priory Group (operated by Universal Health Services, Inc.): Priory Group is a major healthcare operator in the United Kingdom, and its facilities are leased from MPW. Universal Health Services, Inc. is a public company with the symbol UHS.
- Median Kliniken: A leading post-acute rehabilitation provider in Germany, Median Kliniken is a major tenant for MPW in Europe. (Private company)
- Healthscope: A significant healthcare operator in Australia, Healthscope facilities are leased from MPW. (Effectively a private entity under Brookfield ownership for direct MPW relationship context)
- Springstone: A U.S.-based operator focused on behavioral health facilities, representing a growing segment of MPW's tenant base. (Private company)
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Edward K. Aldag, Jr. Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Edward K. Aldag, Jr. launched Medical Properties Trust in 2003 as the world's only real estate investment trust focused exclusively on hospitals. Under his leadership, MPT's assets have grown to nearly $25 billion, with approximately 45,000 to 46,000 hospital beds in its portfolio across the United States, Western Europe, South America, and Australia. He is a finance graduate of the University of Alabama. Aldag serves on the board of Children's of Alabama and as a director and member of the investment committee of the Alabama Children's Hospital Foundation.
R. Steven Hamner Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
R. Steven Hamner is a co-founder of Medical Properties Trust and has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since September 2003, also being elected as a director prior to the company's 2005 IPO. Before joining MPT, he was the Managing Director of Transaction Analysis LLC from October 2001 to March 2004, a company that provided accounting and consulting services to commercial real estate owners. From June 1998 to September 2001, he served as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of United Investors Realty Trust, a publicly-traded REIT. Prior to that, he spent ten years with Ernst & Young LLP and its predecessors. He is a Certified Public Accountant and holds a B.S. in Accounting from Louisiana State University.
J. Kevin Hanna Senior Vice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
J. Kevin Hanna joined Medical Properties Trust in 2008 as Controller. He was promoted to Senior Vice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer in March 2023. Prior to MPT, he served as Controller for Fruit of the Loom, Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, and Russell Corp. He began his career in 1995 at Ernst & Young LLP, where he spent eight years auditing public and private companies, primarily in the retail, distribution, and consumer products sectors. Mr. Hanna earned a B.S. in Accounting from the University of Alabama and is a Certified Public Accountant.
Rosa H. Williams Senior Vice President of Operations
Rosa H. Williams was appointed Senior Vice President of Operations in March 2023. In this role, she leads all business operations and continues to oversee MPT's asset management and underwriting functions. She also assumed the role of Assistant Secretary. Ms. Williams has been integral to MPT's decision-making process for over a decade.
Larry H. Portal Senior Vice President, Senior Advisor to the CEO
Larry H. Portal was appointed Senior Vice President, Senior Advisor to the CEO in March 2023. He has been a central figure in Medical Properties Trust's decision-making process for more than ten years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Medical Properties Trust (MPW) faces several key risks, primarily centered around its tenant relationships and financial structure. The most significant risks include:
- Tenant Financial Instability and Concentration Risk: Medical Properties Trust has been significantly impacted by the financial difficulties of its major tenants, notably Steward Health Care and Prospect Medical. Steward Health Care filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2024, leading to MPW taking control of its real estate and the need to transition these properties to new operators. Prospect Medical, another large tenant, has also faced financial troubles, including skipped rent payments and exploring restructuring options. The heavy reliance on re-tenanting assets, especially those previously leased to distressed operators, creates credit risk and revenue volatility for MPW. This tenant concentration has directly led to dividend cuts and significant asset impairments for MPW.
- High Leverage and Sensitivity to Interest Rate Fluctuations: As a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), MPW utilizes substantial debt to acquire and develop properties. This high leverage exposes the company to increased financial risk, particularly in an environment of rising interest rates. Higher interest rates increase the cost of debt, which can negatively impact MPW's operating results and cash available for distributions to stockholders. The company also faces the risk of refinancing maturing debt, with the possibility of less favorable terms.
- Regulatory and Healthcare Industry Risks: Healthcare REITs are susceptible to changes in healthcare industry dynamics and regulatory environments. The increasing operational costs for healthcare providers and pressures for affordable healthcare can lead to tenant demands for lower rents, affecting REIT profitability. Furthermore, legislative efforts to regulate healthcare REITs are gaining traction in various states, particularly following issues with operators like Steward Health Care, which could introduce new compliance burdens or operational constraints for MPW.
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- The ongoing and accelerating shift in healthcare delivery models, moving away from traditional inpatient acute care hospitals towards outpatient settings, ambulatory surgical centers, telehealth, and "hospital at home" programs. This trend potentially diminishes the long-term demand for and utility of the large, traditional hospital facilities that comprise a significant portion of Medical Properties Trust's asset base.
- The systemic financial instability and business model challenges facing several of its key hospital operator tenants, notably the bankruptcy of its largest tenant, Steward Health Care. This situation reveals significant vulnerabilities within the highly leveraged, for-profit hospital operator segment upon which MPW heavily relies, questioning the long-term economic viability of these operators and the stability of MPW's rental income stream.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPW) specializes in acquiring, developing, and leasing various healthcare facilities under long-term, triple-net lease agreements, primarily focusing on hospitals. The company also provides mortgage and other loans to healthcare operators. Its portfolio includes acute care hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, and behavioral health facilities across the United States, Europe, and South America.
The addressable markets for Medical Properties Trust's main products and services are sized as follows:
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Global Healthcare Real Estate Market (including Hospitals, Rehabilitation Facilities, and Behavioral Health Facilities):
- The global healthcare real estate market was estimated at USD 1,434.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2,270.40 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.9% from 2024 to 2030.
- North America held over 50.41% of this global market in 2023.
- Within the global healthcare real estate market, hospital real estate alone held a market share of 33.56% in 2023.
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U.S. Post-Acute Care Services Market (relevant to Rehabilitation Hospitals):
- The U.S. post-acute care services market was valued at approximately USD 472.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 856.3 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 6.3% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate places the U.S. post-acute care market at USD 482.97 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 786.71 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 5% from 2024 to 2034. This market encompasses services provided in facilities such as skilled nursing facilities, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and long-term care hospitals, which relate to MPW's rehabilitation hospital segment.
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Global Medical Office Buildings Market:
- The global medical office buildings (MOBs) market was estimated at US$82.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$108.2 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.7% from 2024 to 2030. Another report estimated the global MOB market size at USD 39.79 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 62.18 billion by 2030.
- North America dominated the global medical office buildings market, holding 39.16% of the revenue share in 2023.
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Medical Properties Trust (MPW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Ramp-up of Cash Rents from Re-tenanted Properties: MPW anticipates a significant increase in cash rents from its recently re-tenanted portfolio, particularly properties formerly leased to Steward Health Care. Pro rata annualized cash rent from the current portfolio is projected to exceed $1 billion by the end of 2026. Specifically, post-Steward tenants paid $16 million in cash rent in Q3, with expectations to reach $160 million in Q4 2026. The company expects to gradually resume cash rent receipts from 17 re-tenanted properties in Q1 2025, ramping up to approximately $90 million in aggregate annualized rent by the end of 2025, and a fully stabilized aggregate annualized rent of about $160 million by the end of 2026. This is expected to push MPW's total annualized cash rent in excess of $1 billion.
- New Lease Agreements and Expansion with Key Tenants: New and expanded lease agreements are poised to contribute to revenue growth. An example is the lease with NOR Healthcare Systems for six facilities in California, which is expected to generate $45 million in annualized cash rent, including CPI-based rent escalators, starting in 2026. This strategic move marks NOR's expansion into California under a master lease setup. Furthermore, the continued growth of MPW's diversified tenant base, including operators such as LifePoint, Ernest, HSA, Surgery Partners in the U.S., and Circle, Priory, MEDIAN, and Swiss Medical Network internationally, is expected to generate robust cash flows.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Market Expansion in the Growing Healthcare Sector: The company aims to capitalize on the overall growth of the healthcare sector, driven by demographic shifts and increased healthcare spending. MPW sees opportunities to expand its portfolio of healthcare facilities, thereby increasing its revenue potential and market share. This includes the potential to enter new markets and specialized segments within the healthcare industry, which could offer higher yields and diversification benefits. While prioritizing debt reduction, MPW will continue to pursue selective additional transactions that reinforce asset values.
- CPI-based Rent Escalators: Many of MPW's lease agreements, including new ones, feature annual percentage-based rent escalations tied to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This contractual mechanism provides a built-in driver for incremental revenue growth, allowing rents to adjust with inflation and contribute to a stable and growing income stream.
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Share Repurchases
- Medical Properties Trust's board of directors authorized a new $150 million common stock repurchase program on October 28, 2025.
- Prior to this authorization, quarterly stock buybacks have been relatively modest, including $290.25K as of March 31, 2025, $553.66K as of December 31, 2024, $2.55 million as of June 30, 2024, $5.56 million as of March 31, 2023, $18.39 million as of December 31, 2022, and $27.91 million as of March 31, 2022.
Share Issuance
- Information regarding significant dollar amounts of shares issued by Medical Properties Trust within the last 3-5 years is not readily available in the provided search results. A change in outstanding shares from 600,403 at December 31, 2024, to 601,136 at September 30, 2025, indicates minor adjustments, but not large-scale public offerings.
Inbound Investments
- There is no information available regarding large strategic investments made directly into Medical Properties Trust (MPW) by third-parties within the last 3-5 years. Note that "MPW Capital Advisors" is a separate entity that partnered with iCapital for investments in the Gulf region.
Outbound Investments
- Medical Properties Trust has engaged in significant asset sales (divestitures) to strengthen its balance sheet and improve liquidity. The company disposed of approximately $2.5 billion in leased assets within the 18 months preceding August 2023.
- In 2023, the company announced anticipated sales, including its Connecticut hospitals to Yale New Haven Health for approximately $355 million and the remainder of its Australian portfolio for around $300 million.
- In 2025, MPT sold two facilities in Phoenix, Arizona, for approximately $50 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Medical Properties Trust's reported capital expenditures were $68 million in 2020, $84 million in 2021, $146 million in 2022, $74 million in 2023, and $171 million in 2024.
- The company's financing model aims to facilitate facility improvements, technology upgrades, and other operational investments for its hospital operators.
- Medical Properties Trust continues to pursue development projects and capital addition initiatives that are expected to contribute to future growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MPW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.1% | -0.1% | -5.8% |
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | -3.0% | -26.6% |
| 10312024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.7% | 19.6% | -18.1% |
| 04302024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.9% | 29.7% | -13.8% |
| 07312023 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -66.3% | -44.6% | -67.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Medical Properties Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 20.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/08/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.13 | $4.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -1.0% | 6.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 38.2% | 43.5% |
| Downside Capture | 9.63 | 38.19 |
| Upside Capture | 30.91 | 69.13 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.5% | 31.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.36 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Up Beta | 1.24 | 0.86 | 0.89 | -0.03 | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 0.04 | -0.00 | 0.86 | 0.55 | 0.98 | 0.67 |
| Up Capture | 108% | 58% | 48% | 37% | 57% | 78% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 30 | 57 | 109 | 341 |
| Down Capture | -35% | -28% | -114% | -42% | 51% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | 126 | 385 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of MPW With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 40.5% | 2.7% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 43.2% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.90 | -0.01 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.1% | 30.8% | 1.1% | 13.1% | 47.0% | 14.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLRE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of MPW With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -18.4% | 5.3% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 49.0% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 | 0.19 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.1% | 29.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 49.6% | 11.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLRE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of MPW With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -0.8% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 59.4% | 42.7% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 62.4% | 10.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLRE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 6.4% | 0.2% | 15.6% |
| 7/31/2025 | -0.2% | 0.7% | 6.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | 17.0% | 20.1% | 31.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.1% | -4.1% | -9.8% |
| 8/8/2024 | 4.4% | 2.0% | 7.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | 5.2% | 21.5% | 20.4% |
| 2/21/2024 | 5.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| 10/26/2023 | 15.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -4.1% | -9.8% |
| Max Positive | 17.0% | 21.5% | 31.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -22.7% | -38.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Stewart Michael G | 11212025 | Sell | 5.02 | 59,000 | 296,180 | 788,642 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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