Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.0 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.0Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.76, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | Key risksMPW key risks include [1] acute tenant concentration and credit risk stemming from the financial failure of major operators like Steward Health Care, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.76, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Key risksMPW key risks include [1] acute tenant concentration and credit risk stemming from the financial failure of major operators like Steward Health Care, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MPW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the movement of Medical Properties Trust (MPW) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. 1. Increased Quarterly Dividend and Share Repurchase Program: Medical Properties Trust announced an increase in its regular quarterly dividend from $0.08 to $0.09 per share in November 2025 and authorized a new $150 million share repurchase program. These actions were seen as a signal of improved liquidity and management confidence.
2. 2. Improved Q3 2025 Net Loss and Cash Rent Outlook: For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, the company reported a net loss of ($78 million) ($0.13 per share), a significant improvement compared to a net loss of ($801 million) ($1.34 per share) in the prior year period. The CEO also expressed confidence that pro rata annualized cash rent from the company's portfolio would exceed $1 billion by the end of 2026.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPW Return | 9% | 14% | -49% | -50% | -12% | 32% | -63% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 8% | -11% | 17% | 28% | 23% | 60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPW Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 48% | 43% | 57% | 65% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPW Max Drawdown | -38% | -7% | -55% | -60% | -37% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -61% | -12% | -24% | -13% | -11% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WELL, VTR, DOC, OHI, SBRA. See MPW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 491.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 467.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,488 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WELL, VTR, ALX, OHI, DOC
In The Past
Medical Properties Trust's stock fell -83.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -83.1% loss requires a 491.4% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Medical Properties Trust Earnings Notes | ||
| Would You Still Hold Medical Properties Trust Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | |
| Medical Properties Trust vs Barrick Mining: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Medical Properties Trust vs Safehold: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Is Medical Properties Trust Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | Peer Comparison | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Operating Income Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MPW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | -6.5% | -26.6% |
| 10312024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.7% | 19.6% | -18.1% |
| 04302024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.9% | 29.7% | -13.8% |
| 07312023 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -66.3% | -44.6% | -67.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | -6.5% | -26.6% |
| 10312024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.7% | 19.6% | -18.1% |
| 04302024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.9% | 29.7% | -13.8% |
| 07312023 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -66.3% | -44.6% | -67.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Medical Properties Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,976 |
| Op Inc LTM | 619 |
| FCF LTM | 922 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 705 |
| CFO LTM | 1,059 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 893 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 36.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 22.7 |
| P/E | 24.4 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 16.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 22.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 6.4% | 0.2% | 15.6% |
| 7/31/2025 | -0.2% | 0.7% | 6.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | 17.0% | 20.1% | 31.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.1% | -4.1% | -9.8% |
| 8/8/2024 | 4.4% | 2.0% | 7.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | 5.2% | 21.5% | 20.4% |
| 2/21/2024 | 5.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| 10/26/2023 | 15.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -4.1% | -9.8% |
| Max Positive | 17.0% | 21.5% | 31.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -22.7% | -38.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Stewart Michael G | 11212025 | Sell | 5.02 | 59,000 | 296,180 | 788,642 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |