Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.62 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.62Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.68, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, and Diabetes Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 307% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 16.68, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MPW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 27.1% stock movement for Medical Properties Trust (MPW) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. New Lease Agreement for California Facilities.
Medical Properties Trust announced on August 28, 2025, a new lease agreement with NOR Healthcare Systems for its California operations, which is expected to generate $45 million in annual cash rent, pending regulatory approvals. This positive development in portfolio stabilization contributed to a 10.3% surge in MPW shares on September 12, 2025.
2. Stronger than Expected Q3 2025 Normalized FFO.
On October 30, 2025, Medical Properties Trust reported its third-quarter 2025 Normalized Funds from Operations (NFFO) of $0.13 per share, which significantly surpassed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.0076. This substantial beat on a key profitability metric was met with a positive market reaction, with shares advancing approximately 2.3% in pre-market trading.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPW Return | 9% | 14% | -49% | -50% | -12% | 49% | -58% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 11% | -13% | 13% | 22% | 29% | 55% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPW Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 42% | 58% | 63% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPW Max Drawdown | -38% | -7% | -55% | -60% | -37% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -9% | -25% | -15% | -9% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WELL, VTR, ALX, OHI, DOC. See MPW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MPW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 491.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 467.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1488 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WELL, VTR, ALX, OHI, DOC
In The Past
Medical Properties Trust's stock fell -83.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -83.1% loss requires a 491.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Medical Properties Trust Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | |
| Medical Properties Trust vs Barrick Mining: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Medical Properties Trust vs Safehold: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| How Does Medical Properties Trust Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Medical Properties Trust (MPW) Debt Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MPW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | 5.3% | -26.6% |
| 10312024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.7% | 19.6% | -18.1% |
| 04302024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.9% | 29.7% | -13.8% |
| 07312023 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -66.3% | -44.6% | -67.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | 5.3% | -26.6% |
| 10312024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.7% | 19.6% | -18.1% |
| 04302024 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.9% | 29.7% | -13.8% |
| 07312023 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -66.3% | -44.6% | -67.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Medical Properties Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,976 |
| Op Inc LTM | 619 |
| FCF LTM | 922 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 705 |
| CFO LTM | 1,059 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 893 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 32.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.8 |
| P/S | 5.7 |
| P/EBIT | 22.7 |
| P/E | 28.0 |
| P/CFO | 17.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 53.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -17.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Stewart Michael G | 11212025 | Sell | 5.02 | 59,000 | 296,180 | 788,642 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |