Tearsheet

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.08 | Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.08
Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -93%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Key risks
LOB key risks include [1] a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting and [2] the inherent credit risk associated with its small business lending focus.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
 
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 30%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -93%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 30%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 11%
8 Key risks
LOB key risks include [1] a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting and [2] the inherent credit risk associated with its small business lending focus.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) experienced a -6.7% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by several key factors.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Analyst Expectations. Live Oak Bancshares reported third-quarter 2025 net income of $25.6 million, or $0.55 per diluted common share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.58 per share. Revenue of $146.1 million also slightly fell short of the $147.35 million consensus.

2. Negative Analyst Revisions and Downgrades. Analysts adjusted their outlooks on LOB, with Piper Sandler lowering its price target to $35.00 on October 24, 2025. Additionally, a Seeking Alpha article on December 15, 2025, downgraded the stock to "Hold," citing "mediocre asset quality and expensive valuation relative to peers." The consensus analyst rating for LOB shifted to "Hold" during this period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOB Return151%84%-65%51%-13%-10%91%
Peers Return-4%94%-28%27%14%18%129%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOB Win Rate67%50%33%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%77%42%53%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOB Max Drawdown-57%-16%-67%-34%-30%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-2%-37%-29%-16%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AX, NEWT, CUBI, HBAN, BY. See LOB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven387.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven159 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven144.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven630 days120 days

Compare to C, USB, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Live Oak Bancshares's stock fell -79.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -79.5% loss requires a 387.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)

Better Bets than Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
LOB_1312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312024LOBLive Oak BancsharesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.3%-2.3%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
LOB_1312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312024LOBLive Oak BancsharesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.3%-2.3%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Live Oak Bancshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOBAXNEWTCUBIHBANBYMedian
NameLive Oak.Axos Fin.NewtekOneCustomer.Huntingt.Byline B. 
Mkt Price36.0487.4112.0874.6517.5930.7633.40
Mkt Cap1.64.90.32.425.71.42.0
Rev LTM5331,2452697207,946429626
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM498492-5203742,472129433
FCF 3Y Avg384306-229382,301149227
CFO LTM508538-5195072,648135507
CFO 3Y Avg420347-2281162,461153250

Growth & Margins

LOBAXNEWTCUBIHBANBYMedian
NameLive Oak.Axos Fin.NewtekOneCustomer.Huntingt.Byline B. 
Rev Chg LTM13.6%8.4%21.8%-0.5%11.1%7.2%9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.9%19.1%31.6%0.6%4.9%11.3%10.6%
Rev Chg Q12.8%0.9%20.7%39.6%13.9%12.6%13.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%0.2%4.7%9.9%3.4%3.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM95.3%43.2%-193.4%70.4%33.3%31.4%38.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg88.6%30.1%-91.8%16.0%32.3%38.8%31.2%
FCF/Rev LTM93.5%39.6%-193.4%51.9%31.1%30.1%35.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg80.7%26.5%-91.9%5.1%30.2%37.8%28.3%

Valuation

LOBAXNEWTCUBIHBANBYMedian
NameLive Oak.Axos Fin.NewtekOneCustomer.Huntingt.Byline B. 
Mkt Cap1.64.90.32.425.71.42.0
P/S3.13.81.12.93.22.93.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E23.711.14.912.011.39.911.2
P/CFO3.28.9-0.64.29.59.36.5
Total Yield4.5%9.0%20.2%8.3%12.4%11.5%10.3%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%1.4%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg25.1%8.1%-76.1%-0.8%12.1%14.7%10.1%
D/E0.10.32.60.70.70.40.6
Net D/E-0.9-0.31.8-1.60.1-0.8-0.5

Returns

LOBAXNEWTCUBIHBANBYMedian
NameLive Oak.Axos Fin.NewtekOneCustomer.Huntingt.Byline B. 
1M Rtn21.6%15.6%23.4%16.0%15.0%15.9%16.0%
3M Rtn-0.9%-0.2%2.2%11.4%0.3%8.9%1.2%
6M Rtn29.1%22.9%19.4%45.1%12.9%24.0%23.5%
12M Rtn-15.9%13.4%-2.1%45.0%7.9%1.5%4.7%
3Y Rtn28.1%143.5%-21.9%177.6%46.6%42.6%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn20.9%14.9%22.7%15.3%14.3%15.2%15.2%
3M Excs Rtn-4.5%-5.2%-3.3%7.8%-2.9%4.1%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn16.7%10.6%7.0%32.7%0.5%11.6%11.1%
12M Excs Rtn-29.2%-1.3%-19.5%28.4%-4.6%-10.7%-7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.7%54.7%-87.9%80.4%-29.9%-29.7%-29.8%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking platform434    
Banking 410412273204
Fintech 155437-2
Other 1122
Total434565457281204


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,435,579
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-13.2%
Average Daily Volume285,420
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.03
Basic Shares Quantity45,780,794
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-3.3%-8.1%-15.1%
7/23/20250.6%-0.6%8.3%
4/23/20256.6%5.5%8.8%
1/22/2025-14.0%-12.7%-21.5%
10/23/2024-10.3%-14.2%1.7%
7/24/20243.8%5.3%-5.0%
4/24/2024-14.0%-16.0%-15.2%
1/24/2024-5.2%-14.4%-7.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141313
# Negative101111
Median Positive3.8%6.8%11.3%
Median Negative-5.7%-5.0%-7.4%
Max Positive15.4%34.8%38.9%
Max Negative-14.0%-16.0%-21.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251117202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021