Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -46%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -212%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -226%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI in Credit Underwriting.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -46%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI in Credit Underwriting.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.8%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -212%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -226%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of actual stock movement for LendingClub (LC) during this period. However, based on available information up to my knowledge cutoff, LendingClub reported strong financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025.

1. LendingClub reported robust Third Quarter 2025 results on October 22, 2025. The company announced significant growth with origination volume up 37% year-over-year to $2.6 billion, and diluted EPS nearly tripling to $0.37. Net income more than tripled to $44.3 million compared to the prior year.

2. LendingClub initiated a $100 million common stock repurchase program on November 5, 2025. This program authorizes the company to buy back up to 4.9% of its stock through the end of 2026, signaling management's belief that the stock is undervalued and a continued strong financial performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LC Return-16%129%-64%-1%85%14%46%
Peers Return30%-1%-21%14%13%15%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LC Win Rate33%50%17%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%43%33%42%40%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LC Max Drawdown-65%-10%-65%-43%-14%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-18%-35%-12%-8%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FCFS, NNI, PRG, GDOT, AVBC. See LC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-89.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven850.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven203.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven737 days120 days

Compare to FCFS, NNI, PRG, GDOT, AVBC


In The Past

LendingClub's stock fell -89.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -89.5% loss requires a 850.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LendingClub (LC)

Better Bets than LendingClub (LC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
LC_4302018_Short_Squeeze04302018LCLendingClubSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.3%18.2%-5.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
LC_4302018_Short_Squeeze04302018LCLendingClubSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.3%18.2%-5.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LendingClub

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LCFCFSNNIPRGGDOTAVBCMedian
NameLendingC.FirstCashNelnet PROG Green DotAvidia B. 
Mkt Price18.80162.28133.1830.1713.1916.4724.48
Mkt Cap2.27.24.81.20.7-2.2
Rev LTM9503,4861,3482,5071,928901,638
Op Inc LTM-530-41380-413
FCF LTM-2,15152844729657-8176
FCF 3Y Avg-1,93843642022170-221
CFO LTM-2,009577466305138-4222
CFO 3Y Avg-1,854493469231149-231

Growth & Margins

LCFCFSNNIPRGGDOTAVBCMedian
NameLendingC.FirstCashNelnet PROG Green DotAvidia B. 
Rev Chg LTM25.7%3.9%27.7%3.7%22.2%-22.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.8%12.3%-0.5%-1.5%10.7%--0.5%
Rev Chg Q31.9%11.7%57.6%-1.8%23.8%-23.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.3%2.9%11.3%-0.4%5.3%-5.3%
Op Mgn LTM-15.2%-16.5%4.1%-15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.3%-16.8%2.0%-13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.2%1.8%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-211.5%16.6%34.6%12.2%7.2%-4.2%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-224.6%14.9%41.3%9.4%9.3%-9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-226.5%15.1%33.2%11.8%2.9%-8.3%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-233.9%13.2%36.8%9.0%4.4%-9.0%

Valuation

LCFCFSNNIPRGGDOTAVBCMedian
NameLendingC.FirstCashNelnet PROG Green DotAvidia B. 
Mkt Cap2.27.24.81.20.7-2.2
P/S1.82.03.40.50.3-1.8
P/EBIT-13.3-5.77.4-7.4
P/E16.822.610.57.8-24.8-10.5
P/CFO-0.912.19.84.24.3-4.3
Total Yield5.9%5.4%10.4%14.4%-4.0%-5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.9%1.6%0.0%-0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-144.9%7.9%10.4%15.1%9.1%-9.1%
D/E0.00.41.70.50.1-0.4
Net D/E-0.50.31.40.2-3.8-0.2

Returns

LCFCFSNNIPRGGDOTAVBCMedian
NameLendingC.FirstCashNelnet PROG Green DotAvidia B. 
1M Rtn6.9%2.4%3.7%6.0%14.0%7.2%6.5%
3M Rtn14.9%8.7%4.9%-13.9%-3.9%9.1%6.8%
6M Rtn80.9%31.2%17.5%5.2%39.6%-31.2%
12M Rtn19.4%54.1%24.1%-36.2%28.3%-24.1%
3Y Rtn84.7%80.3%39.2%56.7%-34.5%-56.7%
1M Excs Rtn7.0%2.5%3.7%6.0%14.0%7.2%6.5%
3M Excs Rtn7.3%2.5%-1.4%-19.9%-9.1%1.3%-0.1%
6M Excs Rtn66.2%16.5%2.8%-9.5%24.9%-16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-0.6%37.3%10.2%-50.4%14.9%-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn14.1%9.2%-31.0%-7.6%-104.1%--7.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment    655
Total    655


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
LendingClub Bank8,6117,5904,322  
LendingClub Corporation (Parent Only)1,1441,1861,3171,863 
Intercompany Eliminations-927-796-738  
Total8,8277,9804,9001,863 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,875,384
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202524.4%
Average Daily Volume2,353,649
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.50
Basic Shares Quantity114,961,676
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0ARMSTRONG ANNIEChief Risk Officer11192025Sell17.105,33391,1946,308,498Form