PROG (PRG)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $38.5 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
PROG (PRG)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $38.5Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8% Key risksPRG key risks include [1] increased compliance costs and significant penalties from recent regulatory settlements, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8% |
| Key risksPRG key risks include [1] increased compliance costs and significant penalties from recent regulatory settlements, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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PROG (PRG) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. PROG Holdings delivered a significant beat on its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, which ended March 31, 2026, driving a substantial stock price surge. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $1.24, significantly exceeding the anticipated $0.80 forecast by analysts, representing a 55% positive surprise. Consolidated revenues reached $742.7 million, an 11.1% increase year-over-year, also surpassing the $734.62 million forecast. Following this announcement on April 29, 2026, the stock price surged by 19.46% in pre-market trading.
2. The strong financial performance was largely driven by robust growth in the Four Technologies segment and the strategic acquisition of Purchasing Power. The Four Technologies segment achieved a Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) of $280.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026, representing a 133.6% increase compared to the prior year, with revenues up 142.3%. The results for fiscal Q1 2026 also included the Purchasing Power acquisition, completed on January 2, 2026, which contributed a GMV of $132.7 million, up 10.3% on a standalone basis. These diversified revenue streams and growth engines significantly contributed to the overall positive results.
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PROG (PRG) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. PROG Holdings delivered a significant beat on its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, which ended March 31, 2026, driving a substantial stock price surge. The company reported non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $1.24, significantly exceeding the anticipated $0.80 forecast by analysts, representing a 55% positive surprise. Consolidated revenues reached $742.7 million, an 11.1% increase year-over-year, also surpassing the $734.62 million forecast. Following this announcement on April 29, 2026, the stock price surged by 19.46% in pre-market trading.
2. The strong financial performance was largely driven by robust growth in the Four Technologies segment and the strategic acquisition of Purchasing Power. The Four Technologies segment achieved a Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) of $280.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026, representing a 133.6% increase compared to the prior year, with revenues up 142.3%. The results for fiscal Q1 2026 also included the Purchasing Power acquisition, completed on January 2, 2026, which contributed a GMV of $132.7 million, up 10.3% on a standalone basis. These diversified revenue streams and growth engines significantly contributed to the overall positive results.
3. PROG Holdings demonstrated improved financial health through substantial debt reduction following its acquisition activities. Since the acquisition of Purchasing Power, the company reduced its net recourse debt by $210 million, effectively lowering its net leverage ratio to 2.0. This focus on strengthening the balance sheet likely reassured investors regarding the company's financial stability and capital management.
4. Positive analyst sentiment and favorable price targets provided a strong endorsement for the stock. As of April 30, 2026, analysts maintained a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for PROG Holdings, with an average price target of $45.17, implying a potential upside of 21.64% from recent ratings. Analysts also projected full-year 2026 EPS of $4.31, with price targets ranging from $28.50 to $55, indicating continued confidence in the company's future performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.1% change in PRG stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.90 | 38.43 | 10.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,394 | 2,468 | 3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.1% | 6.0% | -2.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.4 | 10.4 | 9.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 40 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRG | 10.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 29.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.7% change in PRG stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.53 | 38.43 | 34.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,427 | 2,468 | 1.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.8% | 6.0% | -11.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.9 | 10.4 | 49.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 40 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRG | 34.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 27.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 30.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.7% change in PRG stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 87.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.33 | 38.43 | 35.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,426 | 2,468 | 1.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 6.0% | -30.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.5 | 10.4 | 87.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 40 | 2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRG | 35.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 33.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 36.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.5% change in PRG stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.38 | 38.43 | 22.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,543 | 2,468 | -2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.7% | 6.0% | 27.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.6 | 10.4 | -17.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 40 | 19.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PRG | 22.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 33.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 39.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRG Return | -16% | -63% | 83% | 38% | -29% | 29% | -27% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -42% | 87% | 6% | 22% | 13% | 93% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRG Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 42% | 52% | 40% | 58% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRG Max Drawdown | -31% | -73% | -36% | -17% | -45% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -56% | -40% | -38% | -41% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KPLT, AFRM, OMF, CACC, EZPW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 170 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -72.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 263.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 648 days | 427 days |
In The Past
PROG's stock fell -21.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | PRG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 170 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -72.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 263.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 648 days | 427 days |
In The Past
PROG's stock fell -21.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About PROG (PRG)
PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) is an omnichannel provider specializing in financial solutions for consumers who are underserved by traditional credit markets. The company primarily offers lease-purchase options and various credit products, targeting customers who may have challenged credit profiles and difficulty qualifying for prime lending.
The company operates its core business through two main segments. Its Progressive Leasing segment provides lease-purchase solutions for a broad range of consumer goods, including furniture, appliances, electronics, jewelry, and mobile phones. These solutions are integrated into the purchasing process at approximately 24,000 third-party retail partner locations and e-commerce websites across 49 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.
Additionally, PROG operates the Vive segment, which offers "second-look" and revolving credit products. This segment issues both private label and Vive-branded credit cards, specifically catering to customers seeking alternative credit options when they do not meet the criteria for traditional prime lending.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for PROG (PRG):
- Like a Rent-A-Center, but integrated into thousands of retail stores offering lease-to-own for a wide range of products.
- Similar to 'buy now, pay later' services like Affirm or Klarna, but specifically for customers with developing or challenged credit histories.
- A specialized financial services provider, akin to Synchrony Bank, focused on offering credit and lease-to-own solutions to non-prime customers.
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- Lease-Purchase Solutions: Offers flexible leasing options with an embedded purchase option for various consumer goods, targeting credit-challenged customers.
- Second-Look Credit Products: Provides credit offerings for customers who may not qualify for traditional prime lending.
- Revolving Credit Products: Delivers credit card-based solutions for customers with non-prime credit profiles, often through private label or Vive-branded cards.
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PROG (PRG) primarily sells its lease-purchase solutions and credit products to individuals.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Credit-Challenged Consumers: Individuals with limited, poor, or no credit history who may not qualify for traditional prime lending or financing options.
- Underserved Consumers: Individuals who face barriers to accessing mainstream financial services and credit products due to various socio-economic factors, often overlapping with the credit-challenged category.
- Consumers Seeking Alternative Payment Solutions: Individuals who require flexible lease-purchase options or "second-look" credit to acquire essential or desired retail merchandise such as furniture, appliances, and electronics, when direct purchase or traditional credit is not viable or preferred.
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Steven A. Michaels, President and Chief Executive Officer
Steven A. Michaels has served as the Chief Executive Officer of PROG Holdings since December 1, 2020, and was named President as of April 1, 2021. He has a long history with the company and its predecessor, having spent 31 years in total, with the first 25 years at The Aaron's Company before the businesses separated in 2020. While at Aaron's, he held various strategic roles, including Vice President, Strategic Planning & Business Development (2013-2014), President (2014-2016), and Chief Financial Officer and President of Strategic Operations (2016-2020). He was instrumental in the planning, execution, and integration of the Progressive Leasing acquisition in 2014. Michaels also served as CEO of the Progressive Leasing operating segment from July 2020 to November 2020. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from the University of Florida and an MBA from Georgia State University, and is a Certified Public Accountant.
Brian Garner, Chief Financial Officer
Brian Garner has been the Chief Financial Officer of PROG Holdings since December 2020. Prior to this role, he served as Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting, Vice President of Finance and Accounting, and Controller for the Company's Progressive Leasing segment. Before joining Progressive Leasing, Mr. Garner was employed by Ernst & Young, where he worked in their Assurance and Advisory practice, providing technical guidance and advising on SEC filings, initial public offerings, and M&A transactions for both public and private corporations. He earned a Master of Science degree in Accounting and Finance from Brigham Young University.
Curt Doman, Co-Founder and Special Advisor to the CEO
Curt Doman founded Progressive Leasing in 1999, which later became a core part of PROG Holdings. His venture received early financial support from private equity partners and angel investors. Progressive Leasing was acquired by Aaron's, Inc. in 2014 for approximately $700 million. He continues to be involved with the company as Co-Founder and Special Advisor to the CEO.
Todd King, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary
Todd King serves as the Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary for PROG Holdings. In this role, he oversees the company's legal affairs and ensures compliance with regulatory requirements.
Trevor Thatcher, Chief Operations Officer
Trevor Thatcher holds the position of Chief Operations Officer at PROG Holdings. He is responsible for managing and optimizing the company's operational functions.
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Here are the key risks to PROG Holdings, Inc.'s business:
- Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Credit Risk: PROG Holdings, Inc. serves underserved and credit-challenged customers, making its business highly vulnerable to adverse macroeconomic conditions. Factors such as inflation, higher cost of living, and elevated interest rates can significantly reduce consumer disposable income and discretionary spending, thereby decreasing demand for the company's lease-purchase solutions and impacting customers' ability to make timely payments. This can lead to increased delinquencies, higher charge-offs, and negatively affect the company's financial performance.
- Regulatory Challenges and Industry Scrutiny: The company operates in a highly regulated environment, particularly within the subprime financial marketplace and its "Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) segment. It faces ongoing scrutiny from government officials, consumer advocacy groups, and regulatory bodies such such as the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). This regulatory landscape can lead to increased compliance costs, the imposition of monetary penalties, mandated changes to product offerings and fee structures, and stricter data privacy laws, all of which could impact the company's operational freedom and profitability.
- Reliance on Key Point-of-Sale (POS) Partners: A significant portion of PROG Holdings' Progressive Leasing segment revenue is derived from a concentrated number of key point-of-sale partners. The disruption or loss of a major retail partner could materially and adversely affect the company's financial performance and growth trajectory. The bankruptcy of a top-five retail partner, such as Big Lots, Inc., has been cited as an example of how such events can lead to substantial reductions in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV).
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The clear emerging threat for PROG Holdings, Inc. is the rapid rise and widespread adoption of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services. Companies like Affirm, Klarna, Afterpay, and others are directly competing with PROG's Progressive Leasing segment by offering immediate point-of-sale installment financing for a wide range of retail merchandise. While PROG traditionally targets underserved and credit-challenged customers with lease-purchase solutions, BNPL providers are expanding their offerings and customer reach, including longer-term financing and sophisticated underwriting models. The simplicity, transparency, and often 0% interest options (for certain terms) of BNPL services present a significant appeal to consumers, potentially diverting demand from PROG's lease-purchase agreements and placing competitive pressure on its business model and retail partner relationships.
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PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) operates in the lease-purchase and credit markets primarily within the United States.
The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:
- Lease-Purchase Solutions: The U.S. rent-to-own market was valued at approximately USD 11.95 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 18.17 billion by 2029. Another estimate places the U.S. Rent-To-Own market size at USD 12.31 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 19.39 billion by 2032.
- Second-Look Credit Products: The market for second-look financing serves a significant portion of the U.S. population. Approximately 30% of the U.S. population falls into the "near-prime" financing category, which could benefit from second-look financing. More than 40% of the U.S. population has less than perfect credit, with credit scores ranging from 550 to 700, and is categorized as near prime.
- Revolving Credit Products: In the United States, outstanding revolving credit was measured at over USD 1.3 trillion at the end of 2023. The total U.S. revolving credit outstanding is at a current level of USD 1.329 trillion.
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- Evolving to a Multi-Product Consumer Platform: PROG Holdings is strategically expanding beyond its traditional lease-centric business, Progressive Leasing, to become a multi-product consumer access platform. This involves the growth of its other offerings, including Four Technologies, MoneyApp, and the recent acquisition of Purchasing Power. The addition of Purchasing Power is particularly highlighted as a strategic move that adds scale, growth, and profitability by providing access to over 7 million eligible employees through payroll relationships, leading to lower customer acquisition costs and higher conversion potential.
- Leveraging Technology Modernization and AI-enabled Servicing: The company is investing in modernizing its core systems and deploying automation and artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance servicing. This initiative aims to reduce the cost to serve, accelerate delivery, and improve overall customer and partner experiences. These operational efficiencies and improved experiences are expected to contribute to revenue growth by enhancing customer retention and acquisition.
- Data-Driven Marketing and Personalization: PROG Holdings plans to utilize its extensive proprietary dataset, built from years of customer behavioral and payment performance information, to improve the effectiveness of its marketing efforts, personalize customer interactions, and enhance decision precision across all its products. This targeted approach is anticipated to drive more efficient customer acquisition and increase customer lifetime value.
- Expansion and Diversification of Distribution Channels: The company is focused on deepening its competitive moat by expanding its distribution channels. This includes strengthening its existing exclusive, multi-year enterprise retail relationships, which account for a significant portion of Progressive Leasing's Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV). Additionally, PROG is growing its employer channel through Purchasing Power and expanding its direct-to-consumer and app-driven engagement, broadening its reach to new customer segments.
- Sustained Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) Growth in Progressive Leasing: Despite navigating a challenging retail environment and the exit of a significant retail partner, the core Progressive Leasing segment remains a key focus for revenue growth. Management emphasizes driving GMV growth by focusing on increasing customer acquisition and lifetime value, coupled with disciplined portfolio management to maintain healthy performance. Recent earnings reports have indicated a return to GMV growth in some quarters, demonstrating the effectiveness of their initiatives.
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Share Repurchases
- PROG Holdings, Inc. had a $500 million share repurchase program.
- As of the fourth quarter of 2025, $309.6 million of repurchase capacity remained under this $500 million share repurchase program, and no shares were repurchased during that quarter.
- The company repurchased $25.7 million of its stock in the second quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- The company's diluted weighted average shares outstanding in the second quarter of 2025 were 7.2% lower year-over-year, indicating a reduction in shares, primarily due to repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- PROG Holdings acquired Purchasing Power for $420 million in cash; this acquisition was agreed upon in December 2025 and closed on January 2, 2026.
- The company divested its Vive Financial credit card receivables portfolio, resulting in $150 million of excess cash on the balance sheet by Q3 2025, a move aimed at improving capital efficiency.
Capital Expenditures
- PROG Holdings' capital expenditure plan includes projected spending of $9 million for 2026 and $10 million annually from 2027 to 2030.
- Capital allocation priorities include investing in high-ROI growth initiatives across the platform, such as modernization, data, marketing, and product expansion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PROG Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Why PROG Stock Moved: PRG Stock Has Gained 87% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| PRG Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| null | 05/16/2025 | |
| PROG (PRG) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| PROG (PRG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| PROG (PRG) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| PROG (PRG) Operating Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| PROG (PRG) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 2,384 |
| Op Inc LTM | 386 |
| FCF LTM | 536 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 390 |
| CFO LTM | 653 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 486 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 72.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 35.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Leasing | 2,323 | 2,366 | 2,334 | 2,524 | 2,619 |
| Four | 74 | ||||
| Other | 13 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Vive | 64 | 69 | 71 | 58 | |
| Total | 2,409 | 2,463 | 2,408 | 2,598 | 2,678 |
| $ Mil | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 1998 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales & Lease Ownership | 63 | 57 | 43 | 31 | |
| Franchise | 22 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 4 |
| Rent-to-Rent | 11 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
| Manufacturing | 1 | -0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | -1 | 2 | -2 | -6 | -1 |
| Rental Purchase | 12 | ||||
| Total | 97 | 86 | 62 | 47 | 35 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Leasing | 1,444 | 1,283 | 1,287 | 1,309 | 1,446 |
| Four | 132 | ||||
| Other | 20 | 93 | 64 | 27 | 27 |
| Assets of Discontinued Operations | 14 | ||||
| Vive | 138 | 141 | 156 | 150 | |
| Total | 1,610 | 1,514 | 1,491 | 1,492 | 1,622 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $38.43 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/19/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $34.31 | $31.93 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.0% | 20.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.2% | 47.7% |
| Downside Capture | -51.55 | 71.84 |
| Upside Capture | 82.90 | 91.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.0% | 32.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.43 | 1.24 | 1.39 | 1.05 |
| Up Beta | 3.40 | 3.18 | 2.10 | 1.64 | 2.14 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 5.57 | 11.22 | 3.25 | 2.43 | 1.89 | 0.83 |
| Up Capture | 32% | 59% | 64% | 91% | 93% | 92% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 28 | 63 | 120 | 373 |
| Down Capture | -15% | -310% | 77% | 49% | 95% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 35 | 61 | 129 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRG | 37.5% | 47.5% | 0.80 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 35.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 32.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | -2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -15.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 23.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 10.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRG | -6.2% | 50.7% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 45.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 43.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 39.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 19.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PRG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRG | -2.3% | 49.7% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 44.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 42.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 38.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 24.1% | 23.0% | 29.4% |
| 2/18/2026 | 6.6% | 9.5% | -16.9% |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -19.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | 16.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | -7.0% | -0.9% | 8.8% |
| 2/19/2025 | -28.4% | -31.7% | -36.0% |
| 10/23/2024 | -9.6% | -7.9% | 0.3% |
| 7/24/2024 | 22.0% | 32.7% | 33.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -5.4% | -9.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.1% | 32.7% | 33.4% |
| Max Negative | -28.4% | -31.7% | -36.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 24.1% | 23.0% | 29.4% |
| 2/18/2026 | 6.6% | 9.5% | -16.9% |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -19.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | 16.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | -7.0% | -0.9% | 8.8% |
| 2/19/2025 | -28.4% | -31.7% | -36.0% |
| 10/23/2024 | -9.6% | -7.9% | 0.3% |
| 7/24/2024 | 22.0% | 32.7% | 33.4% |
| 4/24/2024 | 8.8% | 1.4% | 10.7% |
| 1/25/2024 | 2.1% | 1.4% | -6.1% |
| 10/25/2023 | 3.2% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 7/26/2023 | 14.9% | 9.9% | -5.2% |
| 4/26/2023 | 17.7% | 14.5% | 25.8% |
| 2/22/2023 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| 7/27/2022 | 6.0% | 12.9% | 22.3% |
| 4/27/2022 | -5.5% | 2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2/23/2022 | -13.2% | -18.4% | -19.6% |
| 11/3/2021 | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| 7/29/2021 | -2.3% | -5.5% | 0.7% |
| 4/29/2021 | 2.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| 2/25/2021 | 3.0% | -5.3% | -9.1% |
| 10/29/2020 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 18.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -5.4% | -9.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.1% | 32.7% | 33.4% |
| Max Negative | -28.4% | -31.7% | -36.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/20/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/04/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/25/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 700.00 Mil | 712.50 Mil | 725.00 Mil | -2.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 730.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Net Earnings | 29.00 Mil | 33.50 Mil | 38.00 Mil | 157.7% | Raised | Guidance: 13.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 72.00 Mil | 77.00 Mil | 82.00 Mil | 10.0% | Raised | Guidance: 70.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Diluted EPS | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 160.9% | Raised | Guidance: 0.32 for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS | 0.85 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 18.8% | Raised | Guidance: 0.8 for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 3.00 Bil | 3.05 Bil | 3.10 Bil | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.08 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Earnings | 150.50 Mil | 158.25 Mil | 166.00 Mil | 10.3% | Raised | Guidance: 143.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 343.00 Mil | 356.50 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 6.4% | Raised | Guidance: 335.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Diluted EPS | 3.68 | 3.87 | 4.06 | 8.6% | Raised | Guidance: 3.56 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 8.9% | Raised | Guidance: 4.22 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 715.00 Mil | 730.00 Mil | 745.00 Mil | 25.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 582.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 65.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 38.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 50.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 33.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.6 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 3.02 Bil | 3.08 Bil | 3.14 Bil | 27.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.42 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 320.00 Mil | 335.00 Mil | 350.00 Mil | 28.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 261.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | 4 | 4.22 | 4.45 | 24.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.4 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garner, Brian | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5142025 | 28.93 | 3,500 | 101,255 | 3,836,031 | Form |
| 2 | Michaels, Steven A | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 5142025 | 29.03 | 14,000 | 406,420 | 16,246,378 | Form |
| 3 | Michaels, Steven A | President and CEO | Spouse | Buy | 5142025 | 29.03 | 1,000 | 29,030 | 290,300 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garner, Brian | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5142025 | 28.93 | 3,500 | 101,255 | 3,836,031 | Form |
| 2 | Michaels, Steven A | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 5142025 | 29.03 | 14,000 | 406,420 | 16,246,378 | Form |
| 3 | Michaels, Steven A | President and CEO | Spouse | Buy | 5142025 | 29.03 | 1,000 | 29,030 | 290,300 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Consumer Finance Resources |
| Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) |
| InsideARM |
| The Nilson Report |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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