Nelnet (NNI)
Market Price (10/9/2026): $125.92 | Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Nelnet (NNI)
Market Price (10/9/2026): $125.92Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 8.1% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 122% Key risksNNI key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and legislative changes impacting student loan programs and servicing contracts, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 8.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 122% |
| Key risksNNI key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and legislative changes impacting student loan programs and servicing contracts, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nelnet (NNI) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Nelnet reported disappointing fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, missing analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue.
For the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026, Nelnet announced an EPS of $1.77, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $2.13 by $0.36. Quarterly revenue was reported at $410.02 million, which was below analyst expectations of $419.92 million. This performance represents a significant year-over-year decline in GAAP net income, which fell to $66.7 million ($1.85 per share) in fiscal Q2 2026, compared to $181.5 million ($4.97 per share) for the same period in 2025.
2. The company experienced a substantial increase in its provision for loan losses, directly impacting profitability.
A key contributor to the decline in net income during fiscal Q2 2026 was a surge in loan loss provisions, which amounted to $41.1 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026. This increase indicates a more cautious outlook on the collectability of outstanding loans and suggests potential pressure on asset quality within Nelnet's loan portfolios.
Show more
Nelnet (NNI) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Nelnet reported disappointing fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, missing analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue.
For the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026, Nelnet announced an EPS of $1.77, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $2.13 by $0.36. Quarterly revenue was reported at $410.02 million, which was below analyst expectations of $419.92 million. This performance represents a significant year-over-year decline in GAAP net income, which fell to $66.7 million ($1.85 per share) in fiscal Q2 2026, compared to $181.5 million ($4.97 per share) for the same period in 2025.
2. The company experienced a substantial increase in its provision for loan losses, directly impacting profitability.
A key contributor to the decline in net income during fiscal Q2 2026 was a surge in loan loss provisions, which amounted to $41.1 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026. This increase indicates a more cautious outlook on the collectability of outstanding loans and suggests potential pressure on asset quality within Nelnet's loan portfolios.
3. Broader challenges within the student loan market, including rising defaults and delinquencies, created headwinds.
As of June 2026, the cumulative number of federal student loan recipients in default increased by approximately 400,000, reaching over 9.3 million borrowers with $234 billion in outstanding federal student loans in default. Additionally, nearly 20% of Education Department-serviced recipients with loans in active repayment were more than 30 days delinquent. This environment of increasing loan distress, coupled with Nelnet's role in the Department of Education's transition of approximately 3 million borrowers from the SAVE plan forbearance (with notices expected by the end of 2026), introduces uncertainty and potential for further pressure on the company's loan servicing segment and future loan loss provisions.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.4% change in NNI stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 132.98 | 124.52 | -6.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,375 | 1,436 | 4.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.3% | 21.0% | -30.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 14.8 | 29.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | -6.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 0.3% | 29.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.9% change in NNI stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 128.30 | 124.52 | -2.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,352 | 1,436 | 6.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 31.7% | 21.0% | -33.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.8 | 14.8 | 37.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | -2.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.8% | -1.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 9.3% | 26.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.3% change in NNI stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.10 | 124.52 | 0.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,210 | 1,436 | 18.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.2% | 21.0% | -22.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.7 | 14.8 | 8.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.6% | 8.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.0% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.9% change in NNI stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.52 | 124.52 | 43.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,121 | 1,436 | 28.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.9% | 21.0% | 24.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.1 | 14.8 | -13.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 4.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 43.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.1% | 38.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 69.2% | 50.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NNI Return | 39% | -6% | -2% | 22% | 26% | -6% | 86% |
| Peers Return | 60% | -22% | 39% | 13% | 15% | -17% | 88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NNI Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 75% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 40% | 53% | 55% | 58% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NNI Max Drawdown | -7% | -24% | -18% | -16% | -17% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -42% | -29% | -24% | -31% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SLM, NAVI, SOFI, BLKB, PFG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NNI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 192 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 152 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Nelnet's stock fell -10.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | NNI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -24.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 152 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 296 days | 15 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1126 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Nelnet's stock fell -10.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Nelnet (NNI)
Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) is a diversified company with a strong focus on the education sector, providing extensive services related to student loans and educational technology. Primarily, it operates as a major servicer for student loans, handling processes from application and borrower updates to customer service, payment processing, and claims management. Beyond servicing, Nelnet develops and licenses specialized software systems for the student loan industry and offers business process outsourcing, particularly in contact center management.
Complementing its loan services, Nelnet provides a wide array of education technology and payment processing solutions. This includes financial management services and school information system software for K-12 institutions, website design, and admissions platforms. It also facilitates tuition payment plans, manages student billing and refunds, and offers comprehensive payment processing solutions for campuses covering in-person, online, and mobile transactions. Furthermore, Nelnet extends services like giving management and learning management technologies to faith communities.
Beyond education-centric operations, Nelnet diversifies into several other areas. Its Communications segment delivers fiber optic internet, television, and telephone services to homes and businesses. The company also engages in the acquisition, management, and ownership of loan assets. Finally, through Nelnet Bank, it operates internet industrial banks, offering a range of online banking services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Think of it as a blend of Blackbaud (software for schools and non-profits) for its education technology, and Navient (student loan servicer) for its loan management, all while also running a regional fiber internet business.
2. Imagine a specialized Fiserv (financial technology services) built for the entire education ecosystem – from school payments and administrative software to student loan servicing and digital banking – with an additional regional fiber internet division.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Student Loan Servicing: Processes and manages student loans, including customer service and payment processing.
- Student Loan Servicing Software: Provides software solutions for institutions to administer student loans.
- Education Financial Management & Payment Processing: Offers financial management services, tuition payment plans, and campus payment solutions for educational institutions.
- Education Information Systems & Management Software: Provides school information system software, website design, and comprehensive K-12 school management platforms.
- Fiber Optic Communications: Delivers high-speed internet, television, and telephone services via fiber optics to homes and businesses.
- Loan Asset Management: Acquires, manages, and owns loan assets.
- Nelnet Bank Services: Operates an internet industrial bank providing various banking services.
- Business Process Outsourcing (BPO): Offers contact center management and specialized business process outsourcing services.
- FACTS Giving Platform: A donation platform designed for educational institutions and other organizations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nelnet (NNI) primarily sells its services and technology solutions to other companies and institutions rather than directly to individuals, with some offerings like its Communications segment serving homes and Nelnet Bank serving individual depositors/borrowers. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
-
Government Agencies and Financial Institutions: Through its Loan Servicing and Systems segment, Nelnet provides comprehensive loan conversion, application processing, borrower updates, customer service, payment processing, due diligence procedures, funds management reconciliation, claim processing services, and student loan servicing software. While specific government agencies or financial institutions are not named in the description, the nature of these services points to clients involved in managing large portfolios of loans, such as federal student loan programs or other financial entities.
-
Educational Institutions: The Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment serves a broad range of educational clients. These include K-12 schools, colleges, and universities that utilize Nelnet's financial management services, school information system software, website design and admissions software, FACTS Giving platform, customized professional development and coaching services, educational instruction services, technology products for teacher and student evaluations, tuition payment plans, and solutions for on-campus payment experiences.
-
Faith-Based Organizations and Businesses: Nelnet also provides services to faith communities, offering engagement, giving management, and learning management services and technologies. Additionally, its Communications segment provides fiber optic service to businesses for internet, television, and telephone services, and its payment processing services are utilized by various businesses for credit card and electronic transfer transactions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Visa (V)
- Mastercard (MA)
- American Express (AXP)
- Discover Financial Services (DFS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jeffrey R. Noordhoek, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Noordhoek has served as Nelnet's Chief Executive Officer since January 2014. He leads the executive team in developing and executing corporate strategy and is responsible for the company's financial performance and growth. Before becoming CEO, he held roles as President of Nelnet, Senior Vice President of National Education Loan Network, Inc. (a Nelnet subsidiary), and Vice President of Nelnet's predecessor, Union Financial Services, Inc. Prior to joining Nelnet, he spent seven years in various capacities for State Street Capital Corporation (State Street Bank's Investment Banking Division) in Boston and Luxembourg. He was involved in the original financing for Nelnet, helping to secure a $50 million investment, and initially served as head of capital markets, contributing to sales, marketing, and operations during the company's startup phase. Throughout his career at Nelnet, the team has securitized over $75 billion in loan assets and acquired more than 50 companies.
Jim Kruger, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kruger has been the Chief Financial Officer of Nelnet, Inc. since January 1, 2014. He is responsible for student loan asset generation and management, corporate accounting and tax, financial reporting, mergers and acquisitions, and the Innovation Hub. Before this role, he served as the company's Principal Accounting Officer and Controller from October 1998 to December 2013. Prior to joining Nelnet, Mr. Kruger worked as a Senior Manager at KPMG Peat Marwick from 1986 to 1994, and then at NEBHELP, which was subsequently acquired by Nelnet in 1998.
Terry J. Heimes, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Heimes has served as Nelnet's Chief Operating Officer since January 2014. In this role, he manages the company's shared services, including accounting, legal, risk, people services, facilities, communication services, and the IT department, and also leads Nelnet's Asset Generation and Management segment. Previously, he held the position of Chief Financial Officer from October 1998 to December 2013, and served as Executive Director of Corporate Finance & Legal Services from March 2001 to December 31, 2013. Before joining Nelnet, Mr. Heimes worked as a Manager in the audit department at the public accounting firm KPMG LLP through 1992, and also served as CFO at Premiere Credit of North America LLC and Vice President of Finance at National Education Loan Network, Inc.
Michael S. Dunlap, Executive Chairman of the Board
Mr. Dunlap is the Executive Chairman of the Board at Nelnet. He co-established the company that would later become Nelnet with Stephen Butterfield in 1996. From the company's inception, he served as Chairman and CEO, including a period as co-CEO with former Vice Chairman Stephen Butterfield from 2003 to 2007. Mr. Dunlap also holds leadership positions in various other organizations, such as Union Bank & Trust, the Raikes School Board, and Capital Casualty Company.
Timothy A. Tewes, President
Mr. Tewes serves as President of Nelnet, where he leads both Nelnet Business Solutions (NBS) and Nelnet Enrollment Solutions (NES), and oversees all sales functions, fostering growth and collaboration. He previously held the positions of Chief Executive Officer of Nelnet Business Solutions (NBS) and President of NBS's K–12 division, FACTS Management. Mr. Tewes joined FACTS Management in 2000, becoming CEO for NBS in 2007. Prior to his time with FACTS Management Company, he served as President of Wells Fargo's Lincoln, Nebraska banks, and as Regional President for Wells Fargo's greater Nebraska banks. Mr. Tewes intends to retire effective June 30, 2026, but will continue to serve on the Nelnet Bank Board of Directors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks for Nelnet (NNI)
The primary risks for Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) stem from its significant exposure to the student loan market, competitive pressures across its diversified business segments, and interest rate sensitivity inherent in its financial operations.
- Dependence on Government Student Loan Policies and Regulatory Changes: A substantial portion of Nelnet's business revolves around student loan servicing and the acquisition and management of loan assets. Changes in federal government policies related to student loans, such as new forgiveness programs, modifications to servicing contracts, shifts in interest rate subsidies, or broader regulatory overhauls of the student lending landscape, could significantly impact the profitability and volume of its Loan Servicing and Systems and Asset Generation and Management segments.
- Intense Competition and Technological Disruption Across Diversified Segments: Nelnet operates in several highly competitive markets, including education technology, payment processing, and communications (fiber optics). The Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment faces competition from numerous EdTech providers and payment processors, requiring continuous investment in technology and innovation to maintain market share. Similarly, its Communications segment, providing fiber optic services, operates in a capital-intensive environment with established telecom incumbents and new entrants, posing risks related to market penetration and customer acquisition costs.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations and Credit Risk: As a company that acquires, manages, and owns loan assets through its Asset Generation and Management segment, and operates internet industrial banks through its Nelnet Bank segment, Nelnet is inherently exposed to interest rate risk. Fluctuations in interest rates can affect the profitability of its loan portfolios by impacting the cost of funds relative to the yield on its assets. Additionally, these segments face credit risk, which is the potential for borrowers to default on their loan obligations, leading to financial losses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid emergence and growth of digital-only challenger banks (neobanks) poses a clear emerging threat to Nelnet Bank, which operates internet industrial banks. These neobanks leverage modern technology to offer streamlined, mobile-first banking experiences, often with lower fees and innovative features, directly challenging traditional internet banking models.
Additionally, within Nelnet's Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment, the continuous proliferation of specialized fintech platforms represents an ongoing emerging threat. These agile companies offer highly focused, technologically advanced, and often more cost-effective solutions for areas such as campus payments, K-12 financial management, and donation platforms, potentially eroding market share from broader service providers.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Expansion in Education Technology and Payments: Nelnet is prioritizing growth in its Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing (ETSP) segment. The company appointed a new managing director to lead "Project Horizon," a multi-year platform transformation designed to enhance its higher education technology offerings. This segment already saw revenue increases in the first quarter of 2025.
- Growth in Private Education and Consumer Lending via Nelnet Bank: Nelnet is emphasizing the expansion of private education and consumer lending through its Nelnet Bank segment. The company purchased $629.7 million in private and consumer loans in 2025 and has $744.2 million in Pay Later receivables, indicating a focus on expanding its lending portfolio.
- International Expansion: Nelnet has demonstrated a strategy of international growth, exemplified by its acquisition of a Canadian student loan servicer for CAD $130.5 million (USD $95.7 million) in February 2026. This strategic move suggests a concerted effort to expand its services beyond the United States.
- Renewable Energy Tax Equity Investments: The company is actively pursuing growth in renewable energy tax equity investments, indicating a diversification of its revenue streams into this sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Nelnet repurchased $16.1 million in Class A common shares during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- For the first nine months of 2025, the company repurchased Class A common shares totaling $53.1 million.
- As of June 30, 2023, 4,467,021 shares remained authorized for repurchase under a program that allowed for the repurchase of up to five million shares of Class A common stock through May 8, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Nelnet expanded internationally by acquiring a Canadian student loan servicer for CAD $130.5 million (approximately USD $95.7 million).
- In 2025, Nelnet purchased $629.7 million in private education and consumer loans.
- The company recorded a $175.0 million gain in the second quarter of 2025 from the partial redemption of its interest in ALLO.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures for Nelnet were $115 million in 2025.
- In 2024, the company's total capital expenditures amounted to $87 million.
- Nelnet reported total capital expenditures of $53 million in 2023.
Peer Outperformance in Consumer Finance
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | Nelnet | 9.0% | 14.8x | -2.6% | 45.9% | 58.4% | — |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 12.2% | 23.6x | 37.6% | 115.2% | 157.9% | +99pp |
| AGM | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 11.7% | 9.9x | 37.1% | 52.1% | 110.6% | +52pp |
| AXP | American Express | 10.0% | 18.0x | -6.2% | 110.1% | 84.1% | +26pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 12.0% | 63.7% | 110.0% | SPNT 162% · RGA 133% · RNR 127% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -5.0% | 101.1% | 91.5% | IBKR 403% · SNEX 199% · HOOD 162% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 26.4% | 123.8% | 89.8% | CM 133% · RY 122% · JPM 119% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 8.1% | 47.8% | 83.5% | JXN 496% · UNM 283% · MFC 167% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 4 | 4.0% | 52.0% | 71.3% | JONE 361% · BRK-B 78% · VOYA 64% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 4.0% | 72.0% | 57.1% | ASIC 2546900% · HRTG 393% · UVE 307% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 5.0% | 68.4% | 48.8% | GNW 134% · L 87% · AIZ 79% |
| Regional Banks | 263 | 23.9% | 87.0% | 46.3% | GCBC 332% · ESQ 289% · PBAM 247% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -0.5% | 17.0% | 27.2% | VIRT 174% · CBOE 138% · CME 65% |
| Consumer Finance ← | 30 | 0.1% | 85.7% | 18.1% | ENVA 411% · EZPW 269% · FCFS 158% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -5.8% | 21.2% | 15.5% | FRHC 173% · EQH 91% · TMS -60% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 82 | -10.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | WT 352% · SII 262% · VCTR 255% |
| Insurance Brokers | 16 | -25.6% | -8.3% | 8.4% | LIFE 294% · ARX 88% · CRD-A 62% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 13 | -55.3% | 15.3% | -5.1% | FNMA 434% · FMCC 411% · ACT 175% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 8.0% | 36.6% | -13.4% | EFC 16% · CACC -13% · HASI -14% |
| Mortgage REITs | 33 | -15.7% | -1.7% | -35.2% | NREF 45% · RITM 28% · DX 16% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | -3.7% | -5.7% | -41.2% | V 68% · MA 65% · CPAY 53% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -45.6% | 12.4% | -60.1% | OPY 162% · LPLA 99% · GOLD 41% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Nelnet Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Why Nelnet Stock Moved: NNI Stock Has Gained 60% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | 08/08/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| NNI Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Nelnet Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 23.3% in 2024 and 5.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Time To Buy Nelnet Stock? | 02/28/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 12/23/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 33.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,699 |
| Op Inc LTM | 227 |
| FCF LTM | 308 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 331 |
| CFO LTM | 340 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 376 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 45.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 175.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loan Servicing and Systems (LSS) | 568 | 510 | 498 | 514 | 496 |
| Asset Generation and Management | 553 | 461 | 282 | 238 | 330 |
| Education Technology Services and Payments (ETSP) | 416 | 339 | 286 | 287 | 226 |
| Corporate and Other Activities | 37 | 41 | 292 | 23 | 46 |
| Nelnet Bank | 17 | 7 | 0 | ||
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | -33 | -34 | -37 | -47 | -47 |
| Communications | 78 | 66 | 36 | ||
| Total | 1,559 | 1,325 | 1,400 | 1,081 | 1,087 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Generation and Management | 354 | 375 | 333 |
| Student Loan and Guaranty Servicing | 53 | 72 | |
| Tuition Payment Processing and Campus Commerce | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corporate Activity and Overhead | -15 | -1 | 20 |
| Enrollment Services | 3 | ||
| Student Loan and Guaranty Servicing | 86 | ||
| Total | 421 | 470 | 466 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Other Activities | 121 | -34 | -34 | -86 | -63 |
| Asset Generation and Management | 96 | 57 | 61 | 346 | 322 |
| Education Technology Services and Payments (ETSP) | 86 | 90 | 69 | 56 | 55 |
| Loan Servicing and Systems (LSS) | 73 | 31 | 59 | 49 | 47 |
| Nelnet Financial Services (NFS) Other Operating Segments | 41 | 42 | 42 | 39 | 32 |
| Nelnet Bank | 11 | -1 | -1 | 3 | -1 |
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 428 | 184 | 196 | 407 | 393 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Generation and Management | 9,860 | 10,038 | 13,488 | 15,946 | 18,965 |
| Nelnet Bank | 2,070 | 1,449 | 991 | 919 | 536 |
| Nelnet Financial Services (NFS) Other Operating Segments | 1,145 | 904 | 1,115 | 1,500 | 1,208 |
| Corporate and Other Activities | 810 | 843 | 874 | 889 | 755 |
| Education Technology Services and Payments (ETSP) | 541 | 601 | 490 | 485 | 444 |
| Loan Servicing and Systems (LSS) | 154 | 193 | 294 | 273 | 297 |
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | -516 | -250 | -541 | -656 | -527 |
| Total | 14,064 | 13,778 | 16,712 | 19,355 | 21,678 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $124.52 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/12/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $127.42 | $130.60 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.3% | -4.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 16.4% | 23.3% |
| Downside Capture | 66.13 | 19.73 |
| Upside Capture | 24.33 | 13.05 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 3.0% | 8.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.16 | 0.61 |
| Up Beta | -0.80 | -0.27 | -0.79 | -0.35 | -0.13 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | -0.11 | -0.99 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.32 | 0.64 |
| Up Capture | 23% | 7% | 16% | 1% | 12% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 121 | 379 |
| Down Capture | 70% | 107% | 68% | 17% | 29% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 35 | 63 | 130 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | -3.1% | 23.3% | -0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 1.3% | 14.8% | -0.13 | 38.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.8% | 13.0% | 0.92 | 8.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.2% | 29.5% | 0.11 | -10.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 44.6% | 20.9% | 1.66 | -18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.6% | 13.7% | -0.13 | 29.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.7% | 44.2% | -0.73 | 6.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | 10.5% | 22.5% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.9% | 18.3% | 0.35 | 52.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 44.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.4% | 18.9% | 0.79 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.6% | 0.40 | 1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.8% | 18.8% | -0.07 | 43.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.5% | 52.2% | 0.46 | 14.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | 13.5% | 26.6% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.9% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 57.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 50.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.4% | 0.57 | -1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 18.1% | 0.38 | 11.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 20.7% | 0.16 | 45.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 64.0% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 14.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/16/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | -2.5% | -5.6% | -5.3% |
| 5/7/2026 | -13.4% | -11.1% | -9.7% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.2% | 0.6% | -3.4% |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.9% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | 9.6% | 6.2% | -0.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.3% | -10.7% | -11.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 2.3% | 6.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -5.3% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -11.1% | -11.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | -2.5% | -5.6% | -5.3% |
| 5/7/2026 | -13.4% | -11.1% | -9.7% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.2% | 0.6% | -3.4% |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.9% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | 9.6% | 6.2% | -0.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.3% | -10.7% | -11.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | 10.8% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| 2/27/2024 | -4.2% | -1.6% | 5.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | 0.5% | 1.3% | -2.4% |
| 8/7/2023 | -3.0% | -5.3% | -8.5% |
| 5/8/2023 | -0.7% | 0.3% | 7.5% |
| 2/28/2023 | -3.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% |
| 11/7/2022 | 0.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| 8/8/2022 | -0.3% | -2.1% | -11.2% |
| 5/9/2022 | -0.3% | 2.3% | 5.7% |
| 2/28/2022 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 8.9% |
| 11/8/2021 | -1.9% | 0.0% | 8.6% |
| 8/5/2021 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 7.7% |
| 5/10/2021 | -1.3% | 1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2/25/2021 | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% |
| 11/5/2020 | 0.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 2.3% | 6.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -5.3% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -11.1% | -11.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Van, Deun Jona M | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 128.95 | 400 | 51,580 | 90,781 | Form | |
| 2 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 5,094 | 656,464 | 1,425,044 | Form | |
| 3 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Spouse | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 3,102 | Form | |||
| 4 | Butterfield, Shelby J | Butterfield GST Non-Exempt Marital Trust | Sell | 8272025 | 119.25 | 41,929 | 5,000,033 | 60,818 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Van, Deun Jona M | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 128.95 | 400 | 51,580 | 90,781 | Form | |
| 2 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 5,094 | 656,464 | 1,425,044 | Form | |
| 3 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Spouse | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 3,102 | Form | |||
| 4 | Butterfield, Shelby J | Butterfield GST Non-Exempt Marital Trust | Sell | 8272025 | 119.25 | 41,929 | 5,000,033 | 60,818 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 9, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Consumer Finance Resources |
| Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) |
| InsideARM |
| The Nilson Report |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.


