Nelnet (NNI)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $132.9 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Nelnet (NNI)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $132.9Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.3% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133% Key risksNNI key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and legislative changes impacting student loan programs and servicing contracts, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 8.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133% |
| Key risksNNI key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and legislative changes impacting student loan programs and servicing contracts, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Nelnet reported a miss on its Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) on February 26, 2026, with an EPS of $1.56, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.63 by $0.07. This decline was also reflected in the company's net income for the fourth quarter, which was $57.77 million, down from $63.16 million in the same period a year prior, and basic EPS from continuing operations decreased from $1.73 to $1.60 year-over-year.
2. The company's solar construction business incurred a notable loss in Q4 2025, reporting a pre-tax loss of $27.3 million ($20.7 million after tax or $0.57 per share). This significant, non-core business loss negatively impacted overall financial performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.1% change in NNI stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 132.63 | 132.80 | 0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,348 | 1,353 | 0.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 32.2% | 31.7% | -1.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.1 | 11.2 | 0.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 20.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | -6.3% | 49.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.5% change in NNI stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.75 | 132.80 | 6.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,211 | 1,353 | 11.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.2% | 31.7% | 16.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.8 | 11.2 | -19.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 6.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 21.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -4.4% | 49.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.9% change in NNI stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 100.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 109.85 | 132.80 | 20.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,166 | 1,353 | 16.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.8% | 31.7% | 100.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.8 | 11.2 | -48.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 36 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 20.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 50.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.1% | 62.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 49.3% change in NNI stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 37.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 88.97 | 132.80 | 49.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,387 | 1,353 | -2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.3% | 31.7% | 7.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.2 | 11.2 | 37.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 49.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNI | 49.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 45.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 66.7% | 55.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NNI Return | 39% | -6% | -2% | 22% | 26% | 1% | 98% |
| Peers Return | 60% | -22% | 39% | 13% | 15% | -24% | 71% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NNI Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 75% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 40% | 53% | 55% | 58% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NNI Max Drawdown | -3% | -24% | -8% | -6% | -5% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -40% | -15% | -19% | -20% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SLM, NAVI, SOFI, BLKB, PFG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NNI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 159 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 135 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 558.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,360 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SLM, NAVI, SOFI, BLKB, PFG
In The Past
Nelnet's stock fell -25.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/14/2021. A -25.5% loss requires a 34.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Nelnet (NNI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Think of it as a blend of Blackbaud (software for schools and non-profits) for its education technology, and Navient (student loan servicer) for its loan management, all while also running a regional fiber internet business.
2. Imagine a specialized Fiserv (financial technology services) built for the entire education ecosystem – from school payments and administrative software to student loan servicing and digital banking – with an additional regional fiber internet division.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Student Loan Servicing: Processes and manages student loans, including customer service and payment processing.
- Student Loan Servicing Software: Provides software solutions for institutions to administer student loans.
- Education Financial Management & Payment Processing: Offers financial management services, tuition payment plans, and campus payment solutions for educational institutions.
- Education Information Systems & Management Software: Provides school information system software, website design, and comprehensive K-12 school management platforms.
- Fiber Optic Communications: Delivers high-speed internet, television, and telephone services via fiber optics to homes and businesses.
- Loan Asset Management: Acquires, manages, and owns loan assets.
- Nelnet Bank Services: Operates an internet industrial bank providing various banking services.
- Business Process Outsourcing (BPO): Offers contact center management and specialized business process outsourcing services.
- FACTS Giving Platform: A donation platform designed for educational institutions and other organizations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nelnet (NNI) primarily sells its services and technology solutions to other companies and institutions rather than directly to individuals, with some offerings like its Communications segment serving homes and Nelnet Bank serving individual depositors/borrowers. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
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Government Agencies and Financial Institutions: Through its Loan Servicing and Systems segment, Nelnet provides comprehensive loan conversion, application processing, borrower updates, customer service, payment processing, due diligence procedures, funds management reconciliation, claim processing services, and student loan servicing software. While specific government agencies or financial institutions are not named in the description, the nature of these services points to clients involved in managing large portfolios of loans, such as federal student loan programs or other financial entities.
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Educational Institutions: The Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment serves a broad range of educational clients. These include K-12 schools, colleges, and universities that utilize Nelnet's financial management services, school information system software, website design and admissions software, FACTS Giving platform, customized professional development and coaching services, educational instruction services, technology products for teacher and student evaluations, tuition payment plans, and solutions for on-campus payment experiences.
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Faith-Based Organizations and Businesses: Nelnet also provides services to faith communities, offering engagement, giving management, and learning management services and technologies. Additionally, its Communications segment provides fiber optic service to businesses for internet, television, and telephone services, and its payment processing services are utilized by various businesses for credit card and electronic transfer transactions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Visa (V)
- Mastercard (MA)
- American Express (AXP)
- Discover Financial Services (DFS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jeffrey R. Noordhoek, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Noordhoek has served as Nelnet's Chief Executive Officer since January 2014. He leads the executive team in developing and executing corporate strategy and is responsible for the company's financial performance and growth. Before becoming CEO, he held roles as President of Nelnet, Senior Vice President of National Education Loan Network, Inc. (a Nelnet subsidiary), and Vice President of Nelnet's predecessor, Union Financial Services, Inc. Prior to joining Nelnet, he spent seven years in various capacities for State Street Capital Corporation (State Street Bank's Investment Banking Division) in Boston and Luxembourg. He was involved in the original financing for Nelnet, helping to secure a $50 million investment, and initially served as head of capital markets, contributing to sales, marketing, and operations during the company's startup phase. Throughout his career at Nelnet, the team has securitized over $75 billion in loan assets and acquired more than 50 companies.
Jim Kruger, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kruger has been the Chief Financial Officer of Nelnet, Inc. since January 1, 2014. He is responsible for student loan asset generation and management, corporate accounting and tax, financial reporting, mergers and acquisitions, and the Innovation Hub. Before this role, he served as the company's Principal Accounting Officer and Controller from October 1998 to December 2013. Prior to joining Nelnet, Mr. Kruger worked as a Senior Manager at KPMG Peat Marwick from 1986 to 1994, and then at NEBHELP, which was subsequently acquired by Nelnet in 1998.
Terry J. Heimes, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Heimes has served as Nelnet's Chief Operating Officer since January 2014. In this role, he manages the company's shared services, including accounting, legal, risk, people services, facilities, communication services, and the IT department, and also leads Nelnet's Asset Generation and Management segment. Previously, he held the position of Chief Financial Officer from October 1998 to December 2013, and served as Executive Director of Corporate Finance & Legal Services from March 2001 to December 31, 2013. Before joining Nelnet, Mr. Heimes worked as a Manager in the audit department at the public accounting firm KPMG LLP through 1992, and also served as CFO at Premiere Credit of North America LLC and Vice President of Finance at National Education Loan Network, Inc.
Michael S. Dunlap, Executive Chairman of the Board
Mr. Dunlap is the Executive Chairman of the Board at Nelnet. He co-established the company that would later become Nelnet with Stephen Butterfield in 1996. From the company's inception, he served as Chairman and CEO, including a period as co-CEO with former Vice Chairman Stephen Butterfield from 2003 to 2007. Mr. Dunlap also holds leadership positions in various other organizations, such as Union Bank & Trust, the Raikes School Board, and Capital Casualty Company.
Timothy A. Tewes, President
Mr. Tewes serves as President of Nelnet, where he leads both Nelnet Business Solutions (NBS) and Nelnet Enrollment Solutions (NES), and oversees all sales functions, fostering growth and collaboration. He previously held the positions of Chief Executive Officer of Nelnet Business Solutions (NBS) and President of NBS's K–12 division, FACTS Management. Mr. Tewes joined FACTS Management in 2000, becoming CEO for NBS in 2007. Prior to his time with FACTS Management Company, he served as President of Wells Fargo's Lincoln, Nebraska banks, and as Regional President for Wells Fargo's greater Nebraska banks. Mr. Tewes intends to retire effective June 30, 2026, but will continue to serve on the Nelnet Bank Board of Directors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks for Nelnet (NNI)
The primary risks for Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) stem from its significant exposure to the student loan market, competitive pressures across its diversified business segments, and interest rate sensitivity inherent in its financial operations.
- Dependence on Government Student Loan Policies and Regulatory Changes: A substantial portion of Nelnet's business revolves around student loan servicing and the acquisition and management of loan assets. Changes in federal government policies related to student loans, such as new forgiveness programs, modifications to servicing contracts, shifts in interest rate subsidies, or broader regulatory overhauls of the student lending landscape, could significantly impact the profitability and volume of its Loan Servicing and Systems and Asset Generation and Management segments.
- Intense Competition and Technological Disruption Across Diversified Segments: Nelnet operates in several highly competitive markets, including education technology, payment processing, and communications (fiber optics). The Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment faces competition from numerous EdTech providers and payment processors, requiring continuous investment in technology and innovation to maintain market share. Similarly, its Communications segment, providing fiber optic services, operates in a capital-intensive environment with established telecom incumbents and new entrants, posing risks related to market penetration and customer acquisition costs.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations and Credit Risk: As a company that acquires, manages, and owns loan assets through its Asset Generation and Management segment, and operates internet industrial banks through its Nelnet Bank segment, Nelnet is inherently exposed to interest rate risk. Fluctuations in interest rates can affect the profitability of its loan portfolios by impacting the cost of funds relative to the yield on its assets. Additionally, these segments face credit risk, which is the potential for borrowers to default on their loan obligations, leading to financial losses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlThe rapid emergence and growth of digital-only challenger banks (neobanks) poses a clear emerging threat to Nelnet Bank, which operates internet industrial banks. These neobanks leverage modern technology to offer streamlined, mobile-first banking experiences, often with lower fees and innovative features, directly challenging traditional internet banking models.
Additionally, within Nelnet's Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment, the continuous proliferation of specialized fintech platforms represents an ongoing emerging threat. These agile companies offer highly focused, technologically advanced, and often more cost-effective solutions for areas such as campus payments, K-12 financial management, and donation platforms, potentially eroding market share from broader service providers.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Nelnet (NNI) operates across several significant markets, with addressable market sizes varying by product and region. For its **Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing segment**: * The global education technology (EdTech) market was valued at approximately $163.54 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $572.08 billion by 2034. * The U.S. EdTech market was valued at an estimated $45.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to be worth around $163.34 billion by 2034. Another source states the U.S. EdTech market was valued at $87.4 billion in 2024, expected to increase to $197.3 billion by 2032. * The K-12 education technology (EdTech) market in the U.S. is projected to reach $94.8 billion in 2025. Globally, the K-12 EdTech market size is estimated to be $295.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $908.1 billion by the end of 2034. North America is projected to hold a dominant share in the global K-12 Education Technology (EdTech) market with 38.0% of the total revenue by the end of 2025. * The U.S. higher education technology market generated a revenue of $7,469.2 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $19,599.3 million by 2030. Globally, the higher education technology market size was estimated at $36.24 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $140.40 billion by 2030. For its **Communications segment**, which provides fiber optic service: * The global fiber optics market was valued at $98.65 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $171.70 billion by 2032. Another source estimates the global fiber optics market size at $10.74 billion in 2025, predicted to increase to approximately $20.86 billion by 2035. * The United States fiber optics market size reached $3.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $8.3 billion by 2034. Other estimates for the U.S. fiber optics market include $2.9 billion in 2024, set to grow to $5.3 billion in 2032, and $1,431.3 million in 2025, expected to reach $1,910.2 million by 2033. The U.S. fiber optic connectivity market is a leading segment globally, with North America holding a significant 40% of the global Fiber Optic Connectivity Market Share. For its **Loan Servicing and Systems segment** and **Asset Generation and Management segment** (related to student loans): * The global student loan market was valued at $3,933.18 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $8,750.75 billion by 2031. Another report values the global education/student loans market at $3,800 billion in the current year. * The student loans market size in 2026 is estimated at $4.75 trillion, growing to $6.44 trillion by 2031. * North America held a 42.20% share of the student loans market in 2025. The U.S. holds the largest share in North America, accounting for approximately 90% of the market. * The private student loans market was valued at $412.7 billion in 2023 and is estimated to reach $980.8 billion by 2032. At the end of Q3 2020, the private student loan market was estimated at $138.57 billion.AI Analysis | Feedback
Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives across its diversified business segments. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:- Expansion in Education Technology and Payments: Nelnet is prioritizing growth in its Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing (ETSP) segment. The company appointed a new managing director to lead "Project Horizon," a multi-year platform transformation designed to enhance its higher education technology offerings. This segment already saw revenue increases in the first quarter of 2025.
- Growth in Private Education and Consumer Lending via Nelnet Bank: Nelnet is emphasizing the expansion of private education and consumer lending through its Nelnet Bank segment. The company purchased $629.7 million in private and consumer loans in 2025 and has $744.2 million in Pay Later receivables, indicating a focus on expanding its lending portfolio.
- International Expansion: Nelnet has demonstrated a strategy of international growth, exemplified by its acquisition of a Canadian student loan servicer for CAD $130.5 million (USD $95.7 million) in February 2026. This strategic move suggests a concerted effort to expand its services beyond the United States.
- Renewable Energy Tax Equity Investments: The company is actively pursuing growth in renewable energy tax equity investments, indicating a diversification of its revenue streams into this sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Nelnet repurchased $16.1 million in Class A common shares during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- For the first nine months of 2025, the company repurchased Class A common shares totaling $53.1 million.
- As of June 30, 2023, 4,467,021 shares remained authorized for repurchase under a program that allowed for the repurchase of up to five million shares of Class A common stock through May 8, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Nelnet expanded internationally by acquiring a Canadian student loan servicer for CAD $130.5 million (approximately USD $95.7 million).
- In 2025, Nelnet purchased $629.7 million in private education and consumer loans.
- The company recorded a $175.0 million gain in the second quarter of 2025 from the partial redemption of its interest in ALLO.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures for Nelnet were $115 million in 2025.
- In 2024, the company's total capital expenditures amounted to $87 million.
- Nelnet reported total capital expenditures of $53 million in 2023.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Nelnet Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Why Nelnet Stock Moved: NNI Stock Has Gained 60% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | 08/08/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| NNI Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Nelnet Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 23.3% in 2024 and 5.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Time To Buy Nelnet Stock? | 02/28/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Nelnet (NNI) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 12/23/2025 |
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | BLKB | Blackbaud | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03202026 | MKTX | MarketAxess | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,669 |
| Op Inc LTM | 191 |
| FCF LTM | 300 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 325 |
| CFO LTM | 344 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 380 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 13.0 |
| P/CFO | 3.1 |
| Total Yield | 8.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -24.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -20.3% |
Segment Financials
Net Income by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Technology Services and Payments (ETSP) | 90 | 69 | 56 | 55 | 50 |
| Asset Generation and Management | 57 | 61 | 346 | 322 | 124 |
| Nelnet Financial Services (NFS) Other Operating Segments | 42 | 38 | 39 | ||
| Loan Servicing and Systems (LSS) | 31 | 59 | 49 | 47 | 41 |
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Nelnet Bank | -1 | -0 | 3 | -1 | -0 |
| Corporate and Other Activities | -34 | -138 | -86 | -31 | 163 |
| Communications | -25 | ||||
| Total | 184 | 90 | 407 | 393 | 352 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset Generation and Management | 10,038 | 13,488 | 15,946 | 18,965 | 20,774 |
| Nelnet Bank | 1,449 | 991 | 919 | 536 | 217 |
| Nelnet Financial Services (NFS) Other Operating Segments | 904 | 1,115 | 1,500 | ||
| Corporate and Other Activities | 843 | 874 | 907 | 1,963 | 1,226 |
| Education Technology Services and Payments (ETSP) | 601 | 490 | 485 | 444 | 437 |
| Loan Servicing and Systems (LSS) | 193 | 294 | 273 | 297 | 190 |
| Eliminations/ Reclassifications | -250 | -541 | -655 | -527 | -198 |
| Total | 13,778 | 16,712 | 19,374 | 21,678 | 22,646 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $132.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/12/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $130.35 | $128.38 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.9% | 3.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| Upside Capture | 10.38 | 62.91 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 20.4% | 44.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| Up Beta | -0.34 | -0.06 | 0.87 | 0.30 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| Down Beta | 0.13 | 0.38 | 0.59 | 0.43 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| Up Capture | 48% | 36% | 8% | 35% | 50% | 38% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 28 | 59 | 129 | 370 |
| Down Capture | 28% | 32% | 28% | 35% | 64% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 24 | 35 | 67 | 121 | 379 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | 32.6% | 22.5% | 1.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 17.7% | 17.2% | 0.78 | 59.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.1% | 17.4% | 1.36 | 45.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 61.3% | 27.8% | 1.72 | -12.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.9% | 16.7% | 1.41 | -2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.7% | 15.4% | 0.86 | 43.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.9% | 43.9% | -0.14 | 22.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | 13.8% | 21.8% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.7% | 0.42 | 55.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.4% | 17.0% | 0.52 | 49.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.2% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 44.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.6% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 15.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNI | 14.3% | 26.9% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.9% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 57.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 52.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.1% | 15.9% | 0.74 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 14.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 44.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 13.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.4% | 0.4% | -3.6% |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.9% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | 9.6% | 6.2% | -0.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -8.3% | -10.7% | -11.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | 10.8% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 17 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.0% | 2.3% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% |
| Max Negative | -8.3% | -10.7% | -11.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Van, Deun Jona M | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 128.95 | 400 | 51,580 | 90,781 | Form | |
| 2 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 5,094 | 656,464 | 1,425,044 | Form | |
| 3 | Henning, Thomas Edward | Spouse | Sell | 9082025 | 128.87 | 3,102 | Form | |||
| 4 | Butterfield, Shelby J | Butterfield GST Non-Exempt Marital Trust | Sell | 8272025 | 119.25 | 41,929 | 5,000,033 | 60,818 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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